Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 14 Rankings
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1.
Tyreek Hill
MIA (vs . TEN)
Do you need any real analysis to start Hill? I didn't think so. He is THE WR1 in fantasy, ranking second in targets, first in target share, third in deep targets, and second in red zone targets. Week 14 Positional Value THE WR1
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2.
CeeDee Lamb
DAL (vs . PHI)
Lamb has been untouchable since Week 6. Over his last seven games, he ranks third in target share (31.6%), 14th in air-yard share (40.5%), and fifth in first read share (37.6%). Since Week 6, he has had a whopping 12 red zone targets. All I can say is good luck to Darius Slay and James Bradberry. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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3.
A.J. Brown
PHI (at DAL)
Brown is the WR5 in fantasy points per game ranking seventh in targets, sixth in target share, and fifth in air-yard share among wideouts. He is fourth in deep targets. In Week 9 against Dallas, he secured seven of his nine targets for 66 receiving yards and a score to finish as the WR7 for the week. Brown is a weekly must-start WR1 no matter the matchup. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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4.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET (at CHI)
St. Brown is the WR4 in fantasy as he continues to truck along with a stellar season. He's 10th in red zone targets this season, with seven in his last four games. In his last meeting with this secondary, he secured eight of his 11 targets (four red zone targets) with 77 receiving yards as the WR7 for the week. St. Brown has a 27.9% target share, a 32.9% air-yard share, 2.75 YPRR, and a 34.6% first-read share. He will run about 55% of his routes against Kyler Gordon (73% catch rate and 88.6 passer rating). St. Brown remains a locked-in weekly WR1. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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5.
Stefon Diggs
BUF (at KC)
Diggs could get shadowed by L'Jarius Sneed this week, who has been shadowing top receivers all season. Since Week 11, he has continued to shadow, following Romeo Doubs, Davante Adams, and A.J. Brown on roughly 71-83% of their routes. Doubs and Adams both surpassed 65 receiving yards in Sneed's primary coverage, so this matchup isn't the coffin nail that it was earlier in the season. Also, Brown was held to only eight receiving yards in Sneed's shadow, so there's still the chance that Sneed shuts him down. Diggs is the WR6 in fantasy, ranking sixth in red zone targets. Since Week 8, with Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid integrated into the offense, Diggs has had a 23% target share, a 21.3% air-yard share, 1.53 YPRR, and a 29.7% first-read share. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Over his last five games, against two-high, Diggs has had a 20.9% target share, 1.89 YPRR, and a 29.4% first-read share. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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6.
Keenan Allen
LAC (vs . DEN)
Allen is the WR2 in fantasy, ranking first in targets, second in target share, and 11th in red zone targets. Prior to last week's down game against the Patriots, he had rattled off three straight games with at least 14 targets, 10 receptions, and 106 receiving yards. Denver has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target to opposing slot receivers. Allen is no stranger to overcoming tough matchups. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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7.
Mike Evans
TB (at ATL)
Evans just continues to pile up monster games like vintage Tom Brady is chucking him the ball weekly. He has three games this season with at least 140 receiving yards. The last time he played against the Falcons, he secured six of his eight targets for 82 receiving yards and a score as the WR7 for the week. Evans is the WR7 in fantasy points per game, ranking second in deep targets and 11th in red zone targets. Evans has a 24.6% target share, a 43.4% air-yard share, 2.84 YPRR, and a 31.8% first-read share. The last time the Bucs played against the Falcons, A.J. Terrell followed Evans on 58.8% of his routes. Evans secured two of his three targets, with Terrell following for 56 receiving yards and a score. This is a matchup Evans can win again. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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8.
Justin Jefferson
MIN (at LV)
Justin Jefferson is back. He is practicing in full. He has a 26.0% target share, a 37.9% air-yard share, 2.99 YPRR, and a 35% first-read share this season. Here's the #analysis. Play him. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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9.
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN (vs . IND)
In Browning's two starts, Chase has had a 27.7% target share, a 47.5% air-yard share, 3.48 YPRR, and a 31.9% first-read share. Chase is the WR8 in fantasy points per game, ranking 21st in deep targets and third in red zone targets among wide receivers. With Browning playing well, Chase has returned to the WR1 conversation. Since Week 8, Indy has allowed the ninth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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10.
Deebo Samuel
SF (vs . SEA)
Samuel has been crushing since his Week 10 return, with at least 15.9 fantasy points in three of his last four games. He has now risen to the WR15 in fantasy points per game with the sixth-most total touchdowns among wide receivers. Since Week 9, Seattle has utilized zone coverage at the fourth-highest rate (82.2%). In the eight games that Aiyuk, Samuel, and George Kittle have been full-time players, Samuel has had a 20.5% target share, 2.74 YPRR, and a 22.3% first-read share against zone. Samuel has returned to the wide back role, but he has also chipped in at least three rushing attempts, 15 rushing yards, and a rushing score in three of his last four games. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1/2
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11.
DJ Moore
CHI (vs . DET)
Moore is the WR11 in fantasy points per game ranking ninth in deep targets. He dropped 22.6 fantasy points on Detroit in Week 11 to finish as the WR6 in fantasy. He can easily do it again this week. Since Week 8, Detroit has the ninth-highest rate of single-high (61.1%). Moore has a 25.4% target share, a 40.1% air-yard share, 2.88 YPRR, and a 37.2% first-read share against single-high. Among 149 qualifying wide receivers, Moore ranks 21st in fantasy points per route run against single-high. Moore will run about 80% of his routes against Cameron Sutton (61.3% catch rate and 103.6 passer rating) and Jerry Jacobs (66.7% catch rate and 103.4 passer rating). Since Week 8, Detroit has allowed the second-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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12.
Michael Pittman Jr.
IND (at CIN)
In the five games that Pittman and Josh Downs have been full-time players with Minshew under center, Pittman has handled a 28.7% target share, a 32.5% air-yard share, and a 35% first-read share with 2.11 YPRR. Pittman is the WR12 in fantasy points per game, ranking third in red zone targets. He has garnered nine red zone looks over his last six games. Over their last four games, Cincinnati has the 11th-highest single-high rate (59.9%). In the last five games with Downs as a full-go, Pittman has a 35.1% target share, a 40.6% air-yard share, 2.76 YPRR, and a 42% first read share against single-high. Pittman will run about 71% of his routes against D.J. Turner (55.8% catch rate and 91.4 passer rating) and Chidobe Awuzie (67.6% catch rate and 108.2 passer rating). Pittman is set up for another high-volume game. He has at least 12 targets in five of his last seven games. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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13.
Jaylen Waddle
MIA (vs . TEN)
Waddle is the WR23 in fantasy points per game after he has strung together some strong games recently. Waddle has a 22.0% target share, a 29.5% air-yard share, 2.72 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. Since Week 8, the Titans have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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14.
Brandon Aiyuk
SF (vs . SEA)
Aiyuk is the WR14 in fantasy points per game. The last time he faced this secondary, he secured two of his four targets with 50 receiving yards and a score (WR30). Seattle's corners have played well all season, but recently, they have shown some flexibility with the 12th-most PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers since Week 8. Since Week 9, Seattle has utilized zone coverage at the fourth-highest rate (82.2%). In the eight games that Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle have been full-time players, Aiyuk has led the team with a 22.5% target share, a 42.7% air-yard share, 3.47 YPRR, and a 28.7% first-read share against zone. Don't be surprised if Aiyuk leads the 49ers in receiving this week with a big game. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1/2
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15.
Chris Olave
NO (vs . CAR)
Olave is the WR19 in fantasy, ranking first in deep targets and 23rd in red zone targets among wide receivers. Olave has a 24.5% target share, a 41.2% air-yard share, 2.19 YPRR, and a 31.4% first-read share. Since Week 8, Carolina has utilized single high at the fifth-highest rate (64.2%). Against single-high, Olave has eaten with a 45.3% air-yard share, 3.06 YPRR, and a 34.9% first-read share. Since Week 8, Carolina has held perimeter wide receivers to the third-lowest PPR points per target. While that is absolutely concerning, Olave should see a heaping dose of volume to outkick efficiency concerns. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1/2
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16.
Davante Adams
LV (vs . MIN)
With O'Connell tossing the rock since Week 9, Adams has handled a 29.1% target share, a 49.5% air-yard share, and a 34.8% first-read share with 2.24 YPRR. In those four games, Adams has finished as the WR45, WR21, WR8, and WR32 in weekly scoring while seeing three red zone targets. Overall, Adams is the WR20 in fantasy points per game, ranking fourth in deep targets and first in red zone targets among wide receivers. Adams should have a strong day in Week 14 against a secondary that, since Week 8, has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game and the seventh-most receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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17.
DeVonta Smith
PHI (at DAL)
Smith has been rocking along, raising his season-long numbers. He is now the WR16 in fantasy points per game while ranking 21st in deep targets. His biggest issue is touchdown equity, with only four red zone targets. He has only two red zone targets over his last seven games and four all season. With Goedert probably coming back this week, Smith falls back into the lower end of WR2 territory. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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18.
DK Metcalf
SEA (at SF)
After his monster performance against Dallas, Metcalf is now the WR18 in fantasy points per game. He ranks ninth in deep targets and sixth in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 8, he has had a 24.1% target share, a 47.2% air-yard share, 2.41 YPRR, and a 32% first-read share. Over the last six games, he leads the team with nine end-zone targets. Since Week 12, the 49ers have utilized two-high at the seventh-highest rate (56%). Since Week 8 against two-high, Metcalf has seen his target share dip to 17.6%, his air-yard share fall to 37.2%, and his first-read share fall to 24.6%. This game sets up as a sneaky Tyler Lockett game. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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19.
Nico Collins
HOU (at NYJ)
After last week's blow-up game, Collins has climbed to WR9 in fantasy points per game while ranking 23rd in red zone targets (eight red zone targets in his last five games). Last week, Collins had a 42.9% target share, a 56.9% air-yard share, 6.59 YPRR, and a 55% first-read share. Those are elite numbers, no matter how you slice them. Overall, Collins has a 22.3% target share, a 30.6% air-yard share, 3.20 YPRR, and a 29.4% first-read share. Since Week 8, New York has operated with the seventh-highest rate of two high (53.4%). Against two-high, Collins has had 2.40 YPRR and a 27.2% first-read share. Collins will have to roll up his sleeves again this week against a strong secondary. Since Week 8, the Jets have allowed the fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. With Tank Dell out, Collins should see an elite workload again this week, which can help him overcome the brutal matchup. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1
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20.
Courtland Sutton
DEN (at LAC)
Sutton is the WR24 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in red zone targets and third in total touchdowns among wide receivers. Sutton has had a 21.7% target share, a 42.8% air-yard share, 1.88 YPRR, and a 27.5% first-read share. He has a whopping 13 end-zone targets this season. Since Week 6, the Bolts rank 14th in PPR points per target and receiving yards per game allowed to perimeter wide receivers. Sutton should have another solid day. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2/3
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21.
Rashee Rice
KC (vs . BUF)
The Chiefs don't have the luxury of messing around anymore with these wide receiver committees. It's go time, and Rice has been leaned on the last two weeks. He has played 67-69% of snaps since Week 12 with a 65% route run rate, 28.4% target share, 3.42 YPRR, and a 34.1% first-read share. Since Week 9, Buffalo has utilized two-high at the fourth-highest rate (60%). Against two-high, Rice leads the team with a 28% target per route run rate and three end zone targets while also ranking second on the team with 2.27 YPRR. Mahomes will feed Rice again this week. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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22.
Zay Flowers
BAL (vs . LAR)
In the two games Flowers has played this season without Mark Andrews, he has handled a 31.5% target share, a 22.0% air-yard share, and a 53.3% first read share with 1.69 YPRR. Since Week 9, the Rams have had the 11th-highest rate of single-high (61.1%). Against single-high, Flowers has had a 25.7% target share, 2.02 YPRR, and a 28.1% first-read share. Flowers will run about 69% of his routes against Derion Kendrick (58% catch rate and 84.4 passer rating) and Akhello Witherspoon (45.5% catch rate and 69.0 passer rating). Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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23.
Puka Nacua
LAR (at BAL)
In the last three games with Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp playing full-time roles, Nacua has led the way in the passing attack with a 27.3% target share, a 41.7% air-yard share, 3.67 YPRR, and a 30.9% first-read share. The Puka Juice remains strong. While he is dealing with a shoulder issue, the Rams have stated it will not impact his game-day availability or playing time. Fire him up as usual. Nacua is the WR10 in fantasy points per game, ranking 23rd in red zone targets. The Rams should look to feed the ground game this week, but when they do take to the air, it'll be all Nacua. Baltimore has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers since Week 8 (one receiving touchdown). Week 14 Positional Value: WR2
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24.
DeAndre Hopkins
TEN (at MIA)
Since Week 9, Hopkins has had a 26.3% target share, a 44.5% air-yard share, 1.99 YPRR, and a 32.8% first-read share, which has sadly only amounted to 54 receiving yards per game. Hopkins has finished as a WR3 or higher in three of his last five games while seeing only one red zone target. He has a brutal matchup this week running routes against Jalen Ramsey (36.4% catch rate and 7.4 passer rating) and Xavien Howard (67.95 catch rate and 90.8 passer rating). Since Week 8, Miami has allowed the sixth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3/4
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25.
Garrett Wilson
NYJ (vs . HOU)
Wilson has seen his fantasy stock wither as the Jets' quarterback play has gotten even worse, as crazy as that is to say. He has failed to surpass 10 fantasy points in two of his last three games. He is the WR28 in fantasy points per game, ranking ninth in deep targets and 11th in red zone looks. Wilson has a 27.8% target share, a 46.7% air-yard share, 1.67 YPRR, and a 38.9% first read share. He is the only playable Jets wide receiver option. Since Week 8, Houston has allowed the third-most PPR points per target and receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2/3
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26.
Cooper Kupp
LAR (at BAL)
Kupp has looked like a shell of his former self. In the last three games, he and Stafford have been full-time players, he has seen only a 19.2% target share, a 16% air-yard share (5.5 aDOT), and a 22.1% first-read share with 0.92 YPRR. In those three games, he saw zero designed targets which were his bread and butter when he was cooking the entire league. In those three games, Kupp has seen his slot usage increase (68% slot). Kupp will tangle with Arthur Maulet (68% catch rate and 76.1 passer rating) all day. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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27.
Brandin Cooks
DAL (vs . PHI)
Since Week 6, Cooks has had a 12.4% target share, a 16.8% air-yard share, 1.87 YPRR, and a 12.7% first-read share. Cooks has finished as a WR3 or higher in five of his last seven games. He probably makes that six of his last eight games this week. Since Week 8, Philly has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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28.
Gabe Davis
BUF (at KC)
Davis is the WR41 in fantasy, ranking 13th in deep targets and 19th in red zone targets. If Allen is looking to attack deep, Davis should be part of the equation. He leads the team with 17 deep targets (Diggs 14). Since Week 8 with Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid integrated into the offense. Davis has seen a 17.1% target share, a 31.8% air-yard share (team-leading), and a 22.0% first read share with 1.39 YPRR. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Over his last five games, against two-high, Davis has a 15.1% target share, a 32.9% air-yard share, and a 19.6% first-read share. Since Week 8, he has led the team with three deep targets against two-high. If Sneed is covering Diggs all day, Davis will see Joshua Williams (66.7% catch rate and 119.2 passer rating) and Jaylen Watson (60% catch rate and 117.5 passer rating) all day. Davis is primed for a monster day. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3 with WR2 upside
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29.
Jayden Reed
GB (at NYG)
Reed has risen to the WR37 in fantasy points per game. He ranks 24th in deep targets and 16th in red zone targets. He has finished as a WR3 or better in 58.3% of his games this season. Since Week 8, the Giants have utilized single-high at the tenth-highest rate (60.6%). Since Week 5, against single-high, Reed has a 14.8% target share, a 14.3% air-yard share, 1.82 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. New York ranks 15th in receiving yards allowed to slot receivers since Week 6. Week 14 Positional Value: Middling flex play
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30.
Drake London
ATL (vs . TB)
I can't wait until London has at least league-average quarterback play, tossing him the rock. It will be beautiful. The talent is there, and we see flashes of it when he gets catchable targets and the Falcons are forced to pass. Since Week 2, London has had a 22.3% target share, a 30.1% air-yard share, 1.93 YPRR, and a 28.3% first-read share. Unfortunately for London, he has seen only three red zone targets over his last six games, all of which came in Week 7, which was also the last time that he faced Tampa Bay. Since Week 8, the Bucs have utilized single-high at the eighth-highest rate (61.1%). Since Week 2, against single-high, London leads the team with a 22.8% first-read share and a 26.4% air-yard share. London should have a strong outing this week against a secondary that, since Week 8, has allowed the 10th-most PPR points per target and the second-most receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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31.
Calvin Ridley
JAC (at CLE)
Ridley is the WR25 in fantasy. It has been a rollercoaster all season as he has four weeks as a WR1 but he has also finished outside the top 60 wide receivers in weekly scoring four times. After enduring a long red zone drought during the middle of the season, Ridley has bounced back with five red zone targets over his last four games. Overall he ranks 15th in deep targets and 23rd in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 8, the Browns have utilized single-high as the highest rate in the NFL (67.7%). Against single-high, Ridley has a 23.7% target share, a 42.1% air-yard share, 2.20 YPRR, and a 27.6% first-read share. Ridley carries a high weekly ceiling, but the floor is also extremely low. This feels like more of a floor week than a ceiling outcome. Since Week 8, Cleveland has allowed the fourth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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32.
Adam Thielen
CAR (at NO)
Thielen's season has gone in the toilet. Over his last five games, he has surpassed 45 receiving yards only once and had only one WR2 or higher finish (WR21). Since Week 9, he has had a 21.4% target share, a 26.0% air-yard share, 0.95 YPRR, and a 27.8% first-read share. It has been tough, as he has averaged only 33.3 receiving yards per game with 0.22 fantasy points per route run. It's tough to consider Thielen as anything more than an uninspiring flex play at this juncture. Thielen will run about 71% of his routes against Alontae Taylor (since Week 8: 65.4% catch rate and 101.3 passer rating). Since Week 8, New Orleans has ranked 14th in PPR points per target allowed to slot receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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33.
Tyler Lockett
SEA (at SF)
This game screams Tyler Lockett week. He is finally not on the injury report. Lockett is the WR30 in fantasy points per game, ranking 19th in red zone targets. Lockett has surpassed 60 receiving yards in a game only once since Week 9. That trend halts this week. Since Week 12, the 49ers have utilized two-high at the seventh-highest rate (56%). Since Week 8 against two-high, Lockett has had a 22.0% target share, a team-leading 45.6% air-yard share, 1.92 YPRR, and a team-leading 29.5% first-read share. Lockett should turn back the clock this week. Week 14 Positional Value: WR2/3
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34.
Josh Downs
IND (at CIN)
Downs has had some encouraging moments this season, with five weeks as a WR3 or higher. Across his last five games as a full-time player, Downs has had a 19.8% target share, 1.69 YPRR, and a 22.4% first-read share. Over their last four games, Cincinnati has the 11th-highest single-high rate (59.9%). In his last five games in his usual role with Minshew under center, Downs has had a 15.8% target share, 1.16 YPRR, and a 17.3% first-read share against single-high. Pittman has been the clear leader against single-high. Downs will run about 81% of his routes against Mike Hilton (69.6% catch rates and 82.3 passer rating). He should have a productive week against a secondary that, since Week 8, has allowed the second-most PPR points per target to slot receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3/4
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35.
Elijah Moore
CLE (vs . JAC)
Last week, with Joe Flacco under center and Cooper banged up, Moore led the team with a 27.3% target share, a 50.3% air-yard share, 2.31 YPRR, and a 39.3% first-read share. Moore could see similar usage this week against the Jaguars if Cooper isn't able to suit up. In the three previous games, Moore had settled into a nice high-floor play with at least seven targets and 44 receiving yards in each game. Moore has five red zone targets over his last five games. Jacksonville ranks 15th in receiving yards allowed to slot receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR4 with upside
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36.
Diontae Johnson
PIT (vs . NE)
Since his Week 7 return, Johnson has had a 25.8% target share, a 43.5% air-yard share, 1.80 yards per route run (YPRR), and a 32% first-read share. Over the last seven games, he leads the team with five end-zone targets. Since Week 8, the Patriots have still led the NFL in man coverage rate (43.7%). Since Week 7, Johnson has led the team with a 28.6% target share, a 50.6% air-yard share, and a 31.4% first read share against man coverage. Johnson will run about 80% of his routes against Jonatahn Jones (60.5% catch rate and 93.8 passer rating) and J.C. Jackson (55.2% catch rate and 96.8 passer rating). Since Week 7, New England has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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37.
Tee Higgins
CIN (vs . IND)
Last week was Higgins' first game with Browning under center. He played 78% of the snaps with a 64.3% route run rate, a 7.7% target share, a 24.8% air-yard share, and an 11.1% first read share. Higgins was the distant third option in the passing offense last week. With the matchup looking soft this week, Higgins is worth flex consideration, but he's not the locked-in WR2 option that we have come to know and love over the last few seasons. Since Week 8, Indy has allowed the ninth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR4
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38.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA (at SF)
Smith-Njigba just quietly had his breakout game against Dallas with 11 targets, seven receptions, and 62 receiving yards. Add in the touchdown that was called back, and Smith-Njigba would have been cooking. Since Week 8, he has had a 16.4% target share, a 15.3% air-yard share, 1.75 YPRR, and a 20.4% first-read share. Since Week 12, the 49ers have utilized two-high at the seventh-highest rate (56%). Since Week 8 against two-high, Smith-Njigba has had a 16.5% target share, 1.41 YPRR, and an 18% first-read share. Chef Geno will lean on Lockett this week. Since Week 9, the 49ers have allowed the tenth-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3/4
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39.
Jordan Addison
MIN (at LV)
With Dobbs under center, Addison has had a 22.4% target share, a 42.1% air-yard share, 1.94 YPRR, and a 27.4% first-read share. All of those numbers will decline with a healthy Justin Jefferson back in the huddle. The question is, by how much? Even with Jefferson out of the lineup, Addison has been volatile, finishing as WR29, WR33, WR48, and WR40 over his last four games. Addison should level out as a weekly WR3/4, with Jefferson providing a boost to Dobbs' efficiency and the overall efficiency of this passing attack. Since Week 8, the Raiders have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3/4
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40.
Jakobi Meyers
LV (vs . MIN)
With O'Connell as the team's starter over the last four games, Meyers has seen his target share dwindle to 15%, his air-yard share fall to 18.3%, and his first-read share sits at 18.5%. Meyers has surpassed 50 receiving yards only once in this four-game sample. Since Week 8, Minnesota has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game and the seventh-most receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR4
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41.
George Pickens
PIT (vs . NE)
Since Johnson's return in Week 7, Pickens has taken a step back with an 18.2% target share, a 35.9% air-yard share, 1.72 YPRR, and a 22.0% first-read share. Pickens could lead the team in receiving output this week, though. While his numbers have sagged with Johnson back in the lineup overall, his usage against man coverage has remained strong. Over the last seven games against man, Pickens has had a 26.2% target share, a 45.0% air-yard share, 3.53, and a 28.6% first-read share. Pickens will run about 85% of his routes against Jonatahn Jones (60.5% catch rate and 93.8 passer rating) and J.C. Jackson (55.2% catch rate and 96.8 passer rating). Since Week 7, New England has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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42.
Chris Godwin
TB (at ATL)
Godwin's disappointing 2023 season continues. He is the WR44 in fantasy points per game with zero double-digit fantasy point outings since Week 8. Godwin has only finished higher than WR26 in weekly fantasy scoring twice this season. Godwin has a 20.4% target share, a 24.4% air-yard share, 1.62 YPRR, and a 25.4% first-read share. The coaching staff continues to talk him up and vow to get him more involved and to "get him going," but in Week 14, that might just not happen this season. Godwin has only one red zone target over his last four games. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3/4
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43.
Romeo Doubs
GB (at NYG)
Doubs is the WR36 in fantasy ranking 11th in red zone targets. Since Week 8, the Giants have utilized single-high at the tenth-highest rate (60.6%). Since Week 5, against single-high, Doubs has only seen an 11.6% target share, 19.2% air-yard share, and a 13% first-read share with 0.62 YPRR against single-high. None of these metrics instill any hope for Doubs to blow it out this week. There are other matchup-streaming wide receivers with better setups this week that can outproduce Doubs. Week 14 Positional Value: Sit
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44.
Odell Beckham Jr.
BAL (vs . LAR)
Beckham Jr. has been walking a tightrope weekly. Since Week 10, he hasn't played more than 35% of the snaps in any game. In his last four games, he has had two touchdowns, and in another game, he snagged four balls for 116 receiving yards. Beckham Jr. isn't on the injury report this week, so we could see a snapshare spike for him. If that's the case, he could post a nice stat line this week. Since Week 9, the Rams have had the 11th-highest rate of single-high (61.1%). Against single-high, Beckham leads the team with a 24% target per route run rate, 2.71 YPRR, and four end zone targets. Beckham will run about 89% of his routes against Derion Kendrick (58% catch rate and 84.4 passer rating) and Akhello Witherspoon (45.5% catch rate and 69.0 passer rating). Week 14 Positional Value: WR4/5 with WR2/3 upside this week
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45.
Jerry Jeudy
DEN (at LAC)
Jeudy is the WR57 in fantasy and droppable. He has scored one touchdown all season and surpassed 60 receiving yards only once since Week 3. The hope that he will turn his season around is dead. Wilson has leaned heavily on Sutton all year long, and that doesn't seem to be changing. Steve Smith was right. Week 14 Positional Value: Droppable
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46.
Noah Brown
HOU (at NYJ)
Last week, while Brown only drew two targets, he did return to a full-time role with a 74.3% route run rate while playing 69.2% of his snaps on the perimeter. With the unfortunate season-ending injury to Tank Dell, Brown should be Nico Collins' running mate for the rest of the season. In Weeks 8-10, Brown had a 17.1% target share, a 23.4% air-yard share, 4.55 yards per route run, and a 16.7% first-read share, as he averaged 127.3 receiving yards per game over that stretch. Brown is a viable flex this week, but temper your expectations considering the matchup. Since Week 8, the Jets have allowed the fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR4
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47.
Jonathan Mingo
CAR (at NO)
Since Week 9, Mingo has had an 18.5% target share, a 30.3% air-yard share, 0.87 YPRR, and a 26.9% first-read share. Mingo is the WR71 in fantasy points per game, with only two WR3 or higher finishes this season. Mingo will run about 68% of his routes on the perimeter against Paulson Adebo (58.5% catch rate and 52.6 passer rating) and Isaac Yiadom (57.9% catch rate and 86.3 passer rating). Week 14 Positional Value: WR5
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48.
Khalil Shakir
BUF (at KC)
Since Week 8, Shakir has had an 11.2% target share, 2.29 YPRR, and a 6.8% first read share. Over the same timeframe, Shakir has ranked second on the team in deep targets, behind only Davis. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Over his last five games, against two-high, Shakir has seen a 14% target share and a 16.8% air-yard share with a team-best 2.88 YPRR. Shakir will run about 76% of his routes against Trent McDuffie (70.9% catch rate and 104.1 passer rating). Shakir is a flex play that could crush all expectations this week. Since Week 8, Kansas City has allowed the third-most PPR points per target to slot receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: Flex play with WR3 upside
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49.
Jameson Williams
DET (at CHI)
Williams is a sit this week. He has not had more than three targets in any game since Week 7. He scored last week on the ground, but even that is flukey as that is his only rushing attempt this season. Since Week 8, Chicago has operated with the sixth-highest rate of single-high (63.6%). Since Week 7, against single-high, Williams has had a 10.7% target share, 1.21 YPRR, and an 11.6% first-read share. This looks like another game where Detroit leans on St. Brown and LaPorta. Week 14 Positional Value: Sit
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50.
Jalin Hyatt
NYG (vs . GB)
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51.
Alec Pierce
IND (at CIN)
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52.
Tyler Boyd
CIN (vs . IND)
Over the last two weeks with Browning, Boyd has had a 16.9% target share (4.2 aDOT) with 1.3 YPRR and a 17.0% first-read share. He has averaged 30 receiving yards with zero end-zone targets since Week 12. Indy has been tough against slot receivers, allowing the third-fewest PPR points per target. Boyd will run about 86% of his routes against Kenny Moore (75.8% catch rate and 71.6 passer rating). Kenny Moore hasn't allowed a receiving touchdown in his coverage this season. There's no reason that I feel compelled to get Boyd in any lineups this week. Sit him. Week 14 Positional Value: Sit
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53.
Justin Watson
KC (vs . BUF)
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54.
Zay Jones
JAC (at CLE)
Jones has had only two games this season in which he was healthy enough to play more than 80% of the snaps (Weeks 1 & 13). In those games, he had a 21.1% target share, a 35.7% air-yard share, 2.08 YPRR, and a 25.9% first-read share. The Jaguars could lean more heavily on their wide receivers this week, with Evan Engram staring down a terrible matchup. Since Week 8, Cleveland has allowed the fourth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3
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55.
Darius Slayton
NYG (vs . GB)
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56.
Quentin Johnston
LAC (vs . DEN)
Josh Palmer has returned to practice. We'll see if he can gain clearance to play this week. If he does, it does not hurt Johnston's value because he has done very little with Palmer out of the picture. Last week, Johnston had a season-high in targets with seven, and he only turned it into 52 receiving yards, which sadly was also a season-high. Week 14 Positional Value: Droppable
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57.
DJ Chark Jr.
CAR (at NO)
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58.
Darnell Mooney
CHI (vs . DET)
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59.
A.T. Perry
NO (vs . CAR)
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60.
Rashod Bateman
BAL (vs . LAR)
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61.
Dontayvion Wicks
GB (at NYG)
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62.
Cedric Tillman
CLE (vs . JAC)
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63.
Jalen Guyton
LAC (vs . DEN)
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64.
Trey Palmer
TB (at ATL)
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65.
Tutu Atwell
LAR (at BAL)
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66.
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN (at LAC)
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67.
Josh Reynolds
DET (at CHI)
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68.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
NE (at PIT)
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69.
K.J. Osborn
MIN (at LV)
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70.
Amari Cooper
CLE (vs . JAC)
Cooper remains in concussion protocol. I'll update his status on Saturday. He didn't practice until Friday and only managed a limited session, so I'm more skeptical that he will clear in time for the game this week.
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71.
Robert Woods
HOU (at NYJ)
Woods is droppable. Last week, he saw his route run rate drop to 42.9% as he worked in with John Metchie lll. Brown and Collins were the only full-time wide receivers for Houston. Week 14 Positional Value: Droppable
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72.
Jalen Tolbert
DAL (vs . PHI)
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73.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
KC (vs . BUF)
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74.
Michael Gallup
DAL (vs . PHI)
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75.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
TEN (at MIA)
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76.
Tyquan Thornton
NE (at PIT)
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77.
Wan'Dale Robinson
NYG (vs . GB)
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78.
Xavier Gipson
NYJ (vs . HOU)
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79.
Treylon Burks
TEN (at MIA)
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80.
Parker Washington
JAC (at CLE)
Last week, with Christian Kirk's season cut short, Washington assumed a starting role. He had a 68.2% route run rate, a 15.4% target share, a 12.3% air-yard share, 1.97 YPRR, and a 10.3% first-read share. Washington finished with six receptions, 61 receiving yards, and a score. He could keep the gravy train rolling this week against Cleveland. The one area that Cleveland has been mere mortals at defending is slot receivers. The Browns rank 15th in PPR points per target and 12th in receiving touchdowns (tied) allowed to slot receivers (Washington 80% slot last week). Washington is in play in deep leagues as a flex with upside. Week 14 Positional Value: Deep league flex with upside
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81.
Kalif Raymond
DET (at CHI)
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82.
Jauan Jennings
SF (vs . SEA)
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83.
Skyy Moore
KC (vs . BUF)
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84.
Kadarius Toney
KC (vs . BUF)
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85.
John Metchie III
HOU (at NYJ)
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86.
Allen Robinson II
PIT (vs . NE)
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87.
KaVontae Turpin
DAL (vs . PHI)
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88.
Hunter Renfrow
LV (vs . MIN)
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89.
Sterling Shepard
NYG (vs . GB)
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90.
Chris Moore
TEN (at MIA)
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91.
Julio Jones
PHI (at DAL)
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92.
Rashid Shaheed
NO (vs . CAR)
Shaheed didn't practice to open the week. He missed last week's game with a thigh ailment. I'll update his outlook on Friday.
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93.
Van Jefferson
ATL (vs . TB)
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94.
Nelson Agholor
BAL (vs . LAR)
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95.
Demarcus Robinson
LAR (at BAL)
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96.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
MIA (vs . TEN)
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97.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
NO (vs . CAR)
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98.
Allen Lazard
NYJ (vs . HOU)
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99.
Trenton Irwin
CIN (vs . IND)
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100.
Olamide Zaccheaus
PHI (at DAL)
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101.
Braxton Berrios
MIA (vs . TEN)
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102.
Malik Heath
GB (at NYG)
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103.
Quez Watkins
PHI (at DAL)
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104.
Isaiah Hodgins
NYG (vs . GB)
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105.
Tyler Scott
CHI (vs . DET)
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106.
Tre Tucker
LV (vs . MIN)
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107.
Derius Davis
LAC (vs . DEN)
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108.
Jalen Reagor
NE (at PIT)
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109.
Joshua Palmer
LAC (vs . DEN)
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110.
Jake Bobo
SEA (at SF)
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111.
Calvin Austin III
PIT (vs . NE)
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112.
Deven Thompkins
TB (at ATL)
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113.
KhaDarel Hodge
ATL (vs . TB)
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114.
Alex Erickson
LAC (vs . DEN)
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115.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN (at LAC)
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116.
Brandon Powell
MIN (at LV)
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117.
River Cracraft
MIA (vs . TEN)
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118.
Richie James Jr.
KC (vs . BUF)
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119.
David Bell
CLE (vs . JAC)
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120.
Mack Hollins
ATL (vs . TB)
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121.
Mike Strachan
CAR (at NO)
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122.
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU (at NYJ)
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123.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
DET (at CHI)
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124.
Isaiah McKenzie
IND (at CIN)
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125.
Keith Kirkwood
NO (vs . CAR)
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126.
Scott Miller
ATL (vs . TB)
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127.
Jason Brownlee
NYJ (vs . HOU)
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128.
Lawrence Cager
NYG (vs . GB)
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129.
Trent Sherfield
BUF (at KC)
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130.
Equanimeous St. Brown
CHI (vs . DET)
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131.
Ben Skowronek
LAR (at BAL)
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132.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
CAR (at NO)
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133.
Tim Jones
JAC (at CLE)
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134.
Parris Campbell
NYG (vs . GB)
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135.
David Moore
TB (at ATL)
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136.
Andrei Iosivas
CIN (vs . IND)
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137.
Devin Duvernay
BAL (vs . LAR)
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138.
Brandon Johnson
DEN (at LAC)
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139.
D.J. Montgomery
IND (at CIN)
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140.
DeAndre Carter
LV (vs . MIN)
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141.
Samori Toure
GB (at NYG)
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142.
Trent Taylor
CHI (vs . DET)
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143.
Miles Boykin
PIT (vs . NE)
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144.
Ronnie Bell
SF (vs . SEA)
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145.
Velus Jones Jr.
CHI (vs . DET)
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146.
Marquez Callaway
NO (vs . CAR)
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147.
Jalen Brooks
DAL (vs . PHI)
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148.
Tylan Wallace
BAL (vs . LAR)
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149.
Deonte Harty
BUF (at KC)
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150.
Colton Dowell
TEN (at MIA)
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151.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
SF (vs . SEA)
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152.
Andy Isabella
BUF (at KC)
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153.
Charlie Jones
CIN (vs . IND)
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154.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
CAR (at NO)
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155.
Marquise Goodwin
CLE (vs . JAC)
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156.
Austin Trammell
LAR (at BAL)
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157.
Chris Conley
SF (vs . SEA)
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158.
James Proche II
CLE (vs . JAC)
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159.
Randall Cobb
NYJ (vs . HOU)
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160.
Ryan Miller
TB (at ATL)
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161.
Chase Claypool
MIA (vs . TEN)
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162.
Dee Eskridge
SEA (at SF)
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163.
Robbie Chosen
MIA (vs . TEN)
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164.
Cody Thompson
SEA (at SF)
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165.
Sederrick Cunningham
FA (BYE)
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166.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
CAR (at NO)
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167.
Irvin Charles
NYJ (vs . HOU)
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168.
Britain Covey
PHI (at DAL)
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169.
Juwann Winfree
FA (BYE)
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170.
Kyle Philips
TEN (at MIA)
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171.
Dareke Young
SEA (at SF)
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172.
Gunner Olszewski
NYG (vs . GB)
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173.
DJ Turner
LV (vs . MIN)
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174.
Antoine Green
DET (at CHI)
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175.
Elijah Cooks
JAC (at CLE)
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176.
Jalen Nailor
MIN (at LV)
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177.
Justyn Ross
KC (vs . BUF)
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178.
Erik Ezukanma
MIA (vs . TEN)
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