Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 14 Rankings
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1.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA (at ATL)
Last week's game against the Vikings was not what anyone wanted to see. Unless you are a Seattle fan and love defense, this game was ugly from start to finish. As a result, no one got home for fantasy. This includes JSN, who was on track to beat the all-time receiving yards record, before his two catch, 23-yard performance last week. With how great he has been all season, take the Men in Black approach and erase this from your memory. Moving forward, he has three solid matchups, starting with the Falcons. After starting the year with a decent defense, the Falcons just allowed Adonai Mitchell to have eight catches for 102 yards and a score. That should tell you all you need to know about this matchup. JSN remains one of the best receivers of the season.
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2.
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN (at BUF)
2024's triple crown winner is back with his best friend under center. Last week's performance against the Ravens may not have been the massive fantasy game we've seen in the past. However, 14 targets for seven catches and 110 yards is a great day at the office regardless. If the Bengals want to make the postseason, they need to win out. That starts this week against the Bills with a great game between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow. The Bills have been stout against opposing passing offenses lately, and weakest against the run. That said, you don't need me to tell you that Josh Allen going against the Bengals defense will force the pass-happy Bengals ot air it out all season. Even in a below-average matchup, the Chase-Burrow connection keeps him atop the wideout rankings this week.
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3.
Puka Nacua
LAR (at ARI)
Expectations need to be altered for Nacua, but not necessarily in a bad way. Sure, he does not have the top-end upside that we saw at the start of the season. However, he is one of the most consistently productive receivers for fantasy. We also saw him make a ridiculous grab last week, showcasing his ability to make jaw-dropping plays. With Davante Adams and Matthew Stafford looking like prime Aaron Rodgers and Adams, Nacua has been held out of the endzone for three consecutive weeks. Thankfully, he has averaged 6.4 receptions and 80 yards over his last five games. He remains one of the best receivers in the league, but has become the best WR2 you could ask for. It's only a matter of time before we see him find pay dirt once again, providing fantasy managers with a WR1 week.
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4.
George Pickens
DAL (at DET)
For what seems to be the first time this season, CeeDee Lamb outperformed Pickens. Regardless of who is out-producing who, these two receivers are incredible and linked to the hottest offense in the league. This week, they have a great opportunity against the Lions on Thursday Night Football. The Lions just allowed Jordan Love to have four passing touchdowns, with Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson combining for 174 yards and three touchdowns. There should be plenty to go around in what is projected to be one of the highest-scoring games of the season. Pickens has seen seven straight games with over 75 receiving yards, and has over 140 yards in two of his last three. Both Lamb and Pickens are locked in WR1s in this incredible matchup.
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5.
CeeDee Lamb
DAL (at DET)
The Cowboys are riding high after taking down both teams featured in last year's Super Bowl in consecutive weeks. Finding the endzone for the third time this season and second time over the last three weeks, Lamb is heating up at the right time for fantasy. The fact that he was able to have seven catches for 112 yards and a score against a difficult Chiefs defense gets him back into the top-end WR conversation. This week, they face the Lions, who were torched by Jordan Love for four touchdowns last week. With Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson combining for 174 yards and three touchdowns, there will be plenty to go around for both Lamb and George Pickens. CeeDee is primed for another huge performance on Thursday this week.
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6.
Rashee Rice
KC (vs . HOU)
It's not often a receiver has 12 targets and eight catches in back-to-back games. That's currently what Rice has done, totalling 233 yards and two scores over his last two games. Since returning from his suspension for causing a multicar collision and fleeing the scene, he has been this team's undisputed top target. The Chiefs have their work cut out for them after dropping a game to Dallas and keeping them outside the playoff picture. This week, they face another horse in the wild-card race. The Texans have been rolling, bolstering arguably the best defense in the league. With Dereck Stingley Jr. likely covering Rice, it is one of the toughest matchups in the league. As a result, Rice remains a WR1, and we have to trust Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to scheme up a few big plays for Rice.
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7.
Davante Adams
LAR (at ARI)
This is incredible. If anyone doesn't believe football can be art, they need to watch Matthew Stafford and Davante Adams in the red zone. Move over Mona Lisa, because the Louvre needs to make room for a highlight reel of these two at work. Reminiscent of prime Aaron Rodgers and Adams, these two are leading the league in passing touchdowns and receiving touchdowns. Typically, when a player has scored in all but three games on the season, they are risky for fantasy. However, this is one of those special situations alongside LaGarrette Blount's 18 touchdowns in 2016, Jimmy Graham's 10 touchdowns in 2017, Eric Ebron's 13 touchdowns in 2018, Jamaal Williams' 17 touchdowns in 2022, you get the point. With eight or more targets in all but three games, Adams also provides a decent yardage floor in case he fails to convert in the red zone. Embrace the fact that not all touchdown production is equivalent, and continue to play Adams as a WR1 each week.
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8.
Jameson Williams
DET (vs . DAL)
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9.
Nico Collins
HOU (at KC)
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10.
A.J. Brown
PHI (at LAC)
The Eagles have finally admitted that their run game is not working. It only took over 10 games and losing their Hall of Fame tackle, Lane Johnson to get there, but they are officially a pass-first team. It's no surprise that with this change, Brown has had two of is best games of the season. With 22 targets, 18 receptions, 242 yards, and three scores over his last two games, Brown is back to being a fantasy star. Thankfully, their matchups into the fantasy playoffs are very friendly to receivers. However, they start with the Chargers this week, who have allowed the fewest fantasy points to the position on the season. It's a tough matchup for the Eagles' passing offense, however, Brown has been on fire and has the physical ability to turn any play into a house call. Continue riding his resurgence into the fantasy playoffs.
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11.
Jaylen Waddle
MIA (at NYJ)
The Dolphins have been one of the weirdest teams to try and predict this season. With bad vibes coming out of the team starting in summer training camp, this entire season has seemed like a write-off. Thankfully, De'Von Achane has been a fantasy force, and Waddle is having a very productive season. After three straight games of 80-plus yards, his last two games have combined for six receptions and 92 yards. It may be a mini-slump for the veteran wideout, but his role on this offense keeps him in the high-end WR2 conversation. This week, they take on the Jets, who have traded away their best defenders. It's difficult to predict a big game for Waddle, but he should be just fine for fantasy in Week 14.
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12.
Michael Wilson
ARI (vs . LAR)
With Marvin Harrison Jr. and Greg Dortch out this week, the Cardinals' passing attack will again be all the Michael Wilson and Trey McBride that the Rams can handle. In Weeks 11-12, when Wilson was living in a similar situation, he finished as the WR1 and WR9 in weekly scoring, commanding a 30.8% target share with a 53.9% air-yard share, 151.5 receiving yards per game, 3.16 yards per route run, and a 38.6% first-read share. In those two games, he had five deep targets and two red zone targets. Wilson is upgraded to a STRONG WR2 this week. This week, Wilson has an average to below-average matchup depending upon how you look at it. Since Week 9, the Rams have allowed the 13th-fewest fantasy points per game and ranked 18th in receiving yards per game against perimeter wide receivers.
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13.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET (vs . DAL)
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14.
Christian Watson
GB (vs . CHI)
Since Week 11, Christian Watson has taken off as Green Bay's clear WR1 and the WR12 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 11, Watson has led the team with an 82.4% route share, a 28.2% target share, 58.3 receiving yards per game, 2.50 yards per route run, and a 36% first-read share. Since Week 6, Chicago has utilized single high at the 12th-highest rate (53.8%). Since Week 10, against single high, Watson has had a 25.4% target share with 2.04 yards per route run and a 31.6% first-read share. Watson should crush again this week. Since Week 9, Chicago has allowed the tenth-most PPR points per target and the second-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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15.
Emeka Egbuka
TB (vs . NO)
Emeka Egbuka has had a slump recently. Since Week 6, he has finished as a top 24 wide receiver in weekly scoring only once. That includes his last meeting with New Orleans, where he secured only three of his nine targets for 35 scoreless receiving yards as the WR55 for the week. Overall, Egbuka has a 24.9% target share with 65.9 receiving yards per game, 2.04 yards per route run, and a 30.7% first-read share. Egbuka leads the Bucs with 13 red zone targets and 14 deep targets. This week, he has a rematch with a Saints' secondary that, since Week 3, has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (58.9%). Since Week 6, Egbuka's struggles have been against two high as he has CRUSHED single high with a 33.9% target share with 2.23 yards per route run and a 41.5% first-read share. This is a wonderful spot for Egbuka to bounce back. Since Week 9, New Orleans has allowed the second-most PPR points per target and the 14th-most receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers.
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16.
Justin Jefferson
MIN (vs . WAS)
In J.J. McCarthy's six starts, Justin Jefferson has finished as a top-24 wide receiver in weekly scoring twice (WR18, WR20. In that sample, he has had a 30.8% target share with 53 receiving yards per game, 1.77 yards per route run, and a 38% first-read share. In those six games, he has had seven red zone targets and eight deep targets. Since Week 11, Washington has utilized two high at the highest rate in the NFL (64.8%). With McCarthy against two high, Jefferson has still led the team with a 25.6% target share and 28% first-read share. If McCarthy can show a pulse this week (I know it's a big IF), Jefferson could have a big bounce-back game. Since Week 9, Washington has allowed the most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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17.
Chris Olave
NO (at TB)
Olave is the WR10 on the season. Considering he has been working with Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough, his resurgent season hasn't been getting enough credit. Sitting in second in the league with 115 targets, Olave has been one of the most consistent fantasy producers. Despite the rest of this offense being held together with Duct Tape, Olave has only had one game since Week 6 with fewer than 10 fantasy points. With only one game over 20 fantasy points, his highs aren't week-winning, but his lows are never detrimental to your fantasy week. As a result, keep playing Olave as a top-end WR2.
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18.
Zay Flowers
BAL (vs . PIT)
Zay Flowers is the WR31 in fantasy points per game with a 26.2% target share, 63.9 receiving yards per game, 2.22 yards per route run, and a 31.7% first-read share. He has six red zone targets and 12 deep targets. Last week was the first game he hasn't hit double-digit PPR points since Week 6. Flowers has been living in the low-end WR2/high-end WR3 bucket for most of the season. This week, he faces a Pittsburgh pass defense that has utilized single high at the fifth-highest rate (59.8%). Against single high, Flowers has seen his target share increase to 28.4% with 2.66 yards per route run and a 32.7% first-read share. Flowers is a solid flex/WR3 this week despite Jackson's struggles. Since Week 9, Pittsburgh has allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game and ranked 16th in receiving yards per game against perimeter wide receivers.
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19.
DeVonta Smith
PHI (at LAC)
DeVonta Smith is the WR20 in fantasy points per game with a 25.4% target share, 66.8 receiving yards per game, 2.13 yards per route run, and a 31.9% first-read share. Smith is second on the team in red zone targets (seven) and leads Philly in deep targets (18). Since Week 6, the Bolts have had a second-highest two high rate (62.7%). Against two high, Smith has had a 25.7% target share with 2.15 yards per route run and a 32% first-read share. He leads the team in each of those categories. Smith should lead the way for Philly's passing attack this week. Since Week 9, the Bolts have allowed the 13th-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers while also giving up the 14th-highest passer rating to slot receivers. Since Week 9, they have faced the second-fewest slot targets in the NFL, so we're working with a small sample here and differing info. This should be viewed as a neutral matchup for Smith.
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20.
Tee Higgins
CIN (at BUF)
Tee Higgins has cleared the concussion protocol and will be back this week. Higgins is the WR22 in fantasy points per game with a 16.5% target share, 1.55 yards per route run, and a 23.2% first-read share. Higgins is second on the team with nine red zone targets and 14 deep targets. The Bills have the sixth-highest rate of two high (55.3%) this season. Against two high, Higgins has seen his numbers dwindle with a 13.8% target share, 1.28 yards per route run, and a 20.9% first-read share. Higgins could pay off with a touchdown, but I don't think this is a ceiling game for him. Since Week 9, Buffalo has limited perimeter wide receivers to the fourth-fewest PPR points per target and the eighth-fewest receiving yards per game.
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21.
Ladd McConkey
LAC (vs . PHI)
Ladd McConkey is the WR21 in fantasy points per game. McConkey has a 21.8% target share with 56.9 receiving yards per game, 1.68 yards per route run, and a 22.3% first-read share. He is tied for the team lead with 13 red zone targets while ranking third in deep targets with nine. Since Week 7, Philly has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (56.3%). Against two high, McConkey has led the way with a 22.4% target share and a 25% first-read share while posting only 1.38 yards per route run. The lack of per-route efficiency from McConkey is concerning, and with the corner matchup, it's tough to expect a monster game from him. Since Week 9, Philly has limited slot receivers to the lowest PPR points per target and the lowest passer rating when targeted.
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22.
Terry McLaurin
WAS (at MIN)
Last week, Terry McLaurin LOUDLY announced his return to the starting lineup for Washington with a WR8 finish while seeing a 28% target share with a 36.1% air-yard share, 96 receiving yards (3.00 yards per route run), and a 27.5% first-read share. He had five red zone targets and two deep targets. I don't think McLaurin stays in the flames this week. Minnesota has utilized two high at the highest rate in the NFL (66.4%). Against two high this season, McLaurin has had a 14.3% target share with 1.76 yards per route run and a 15.8% first-read share. Since Week 9, Minnesota has allowed the eighth-fewest PPR points per target and the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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23.
Alec Pierce
IND (at JAC)
This doesn't line up well as another strong Alec Pierce week. Pierce has been the Colts' field-stretching single-high destroyer all season. Since Week 10, the Jags have allowed the eighth-lowest passer rating while ranking 16th in adjusted completion rate when defending downfield passing. Also, since Week 10, they have utilized two high at the fifth-highest rate (58.8%). Against two high, Pierce has had an 11.3% target share, 1.44 yards per route run, and a 14.9% first-read share. Working in Pierce's favor is the fact that the Jags have been horrible against perimeter wide receivers recently. Since Week 9, the Jags have allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. This could help Pierce pop off with a splash play or two, but I don't believe this is a ceiling game for Pierce.
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24.
DK Metcalf
PIT (at BAL)
DK Metcalf is the WR32 in fantasy points per game with a 21% target share, 50.4 receiving yards per game, 1.79 yards per route run, and a 26.9% first-read share. Metcalf has nine red zone targets and 13 deep targets this season. With Aaron Rodgers not healthy and struggling, Metcalf hasn't surpassed 50 receiving yards in a game since Week 8. This week, he gets a nice schematic matchup, but I don't know if he'll be able to take advantage of it with the state of Rodgers and how well the Ravens' secondary is playing. Since Week 11, Baltimore has the fourth-highest single high rate (66.1%). Against single high, Metcalf has had a 27.8% target share with 1.85 yards per route run and a 33.3% first-read share. The problem for Metcalf is that since Week 9 has ranked 15th in receiving yards per game against perimeter wide receivers while also limiting the position to the second-fewest PPR points per target.
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25.
Courtland Sutton
DEN (at LV)
Courtland Sutton is the WR24 in fantasy points per game with 14 deep targets and ten red zone targets. He had a nice bounce-back game last week as the WR16, which was his first top 24 finish in weekly scoring since Week 7. This week, he faces a Raiders' secondary that, since Week 9, has utilized single high at the third-highest rate (63.8%). Since Week 7, against single high, Sutton has ranked second on the team with a 19.1% target share, second in yards per route run with 2.60, and second in first-read share with 22.1%. Sutton should have another strong game against a Raiders' secondary that, since Week 9, has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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26.
Jakobi Meyers
JAC (vs . IND)
Last week, Meyers led the team with a 22.2% target share, 90 receiving yards, 3.10 yards per route run, and a 35.3% first-read share. He had one red zone target and one deep target as the WR11 for the week. Since Week 11, he has had a 22.8% first-read share, 68 receiving yards per game, 2.65 yards per route run, and a 27.8% first-read share. In those three games, he has had four red zone targets and one deep target. Since Week 10, Indy has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (62.3%). Since Week 11, against single high, Meyers has had a 23.1% target share, 2.02 yards per route run, and a 29.6% first-read share. Meyers should lead the Jaguars' passing attack this week. Indy has ranked 15th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers while also giving up the 13th-most receiving yards per game to the position.
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27.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WAS (at MIN)
Deebo Samuel is the WR15 in fantasy points per game with six deep targets and ten red zone targets this season. Across the last two games, he has finished as the WR5 and WR32 in weekly scoring. This week's matchup with Minnesota leans in his direction as the focal point for the passing offense along with Zach Ertz. Minnesota has utilized two high at the highest rate in the NFL (66.4%). Against two high, Samuel has had a 26.4% target share with 2.54 yards per route run and a 30.5% first-read share. Since Week 9, Minnesota has allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target and the tenth-highest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.
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28.
Michael Pittman Jr.
IND (at JAC)
Michael Pittman Jr. is the WR16 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 20.9% target share with 51.7 receiving yards per game, 1.74 yards per route run, and a 24.7% first-read share. He is tied for second on the team with ten red zone targets and six deep targets. This week, Pittman should lead the way for the Indy passing attack against the two high heavy Jags pass defense. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has ranked fifth in two high rate (58.8%). Against two high, Pittman has led the team with a 22.5% target share with 2.10 yards per route run and a 28.1% first-read share. Since Week 9, the Jags have allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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29.
Adonai Mitchell
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Last week, Adonai Mitchell finally had a boom game which you could see coming from a mile away with the market share and the matchup that he had last week. It was wonderful to still see it come to fruition. Last week, Mitchell was the WR5 in fantasy with a 36.4% target share, a 59.8% air-yard share, 102 receiving yards (2.83 yards per route run), and a 50% first-read share. He had two red zone targets and two deep targets. Since Week 11, Mitchell has had a 28.4% target share, a 61.4% air-yard share, and a 41.8% first-read share with four red zone targets and seven deep targets. He has been operating as the team's clear WR1. He could easily continue the hot streak this week against a Miami secondary that, since Week 9, has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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30.
Khalil Shakir
BUF (vs . CIN)
Khalil Shakir is the only fantasy viable wide receiver to discuss with the Bills, right now. Last week, only Shakir and Gabe Davis crossed the 50% route share mark. If you were to tell me that Shakir was the only Bills' wide receiver to surpass that line this week, I wouldn't be surprised at all. Shakir is the WR41 in fantasy points per game with a 20.5% target share with 47.4 receiving yards per game, 1.91 yards per route run, and a 23.9% first-read share. Shakir leads the team with ten red zone targets while also kicking in five deep targets. Shakir offers solid flex appeal against a Bengals team that will force Buffalo to pass more than they probably want to. Since Week 9, Cincy has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target and receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
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31.
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAC (vs . IND)
Brian Thomas Jr. returned to the huddle last week with a 78.1% route share, an 11.1% target share, 28 receiving yards, and a 17.6% first-read share (second on the team). He had a 16.0 aDOT, and one of his three targets was downfield. Could Trevor Lawrence and Brian Thomas Jr. connect on a deep heave this week? Sure, but I don't want to bet on it this week. This season, Indy has allowed the 13th-lowest deep completion rate, the tenth-lowest passer rating to downfield passing, and the third-fewest deep passing touchdowns (tied).
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32.
Chris Godwin Jr.
TB (vs . NO)
Chris Godwin (WR)
Last week, Chris Godwin saw his route share increase to 60.6% with a 17.9% target share with 78 receiving yards, 3.90 yards per route run, and a 22.2% first-read share. Godwin had two red zone targets and a deep target. Godwin is a solid flex option this week against a Saints' pass defense that has faced the fewest slot targets this season but has allowed the 12th-highest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers. |
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33.
Troy Franklin
DEN (at LV)
Troy Franklin continues to hum along as the WR35 in fantasy points per game while ranking second in deep targets and eighth in red zone targets among wide receivers. The last time he faced this pass defense, he was the WR23 for the week, securing five of his nine targets with 40 receiving yards and a score. This week, he faces a Raiders' secondary that, since Week 9, has utilized single high at the third-highest rate (63.8%). Since Week 7, against single high, Franklin has had a team-leading 27% target share and 33.8% first-read share with 2.13 yards per route run. He should lead the way for Denver's passing attack this week. Since Week 9, the Raiders' secondary has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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34.
Xavier Worthy
KC (vs . HOU)
Since Rashee Rice has been a full-time player in the Chiefs' offense (Week 8), Worthy has been the WR51 in fantasy points per game with two top-36 weekly finishes (WR33, WR28), which have come in his last two games. Houston's perimeter corners are really, really good, but the coverage matchup is working in Worthy's favor this week. Since Week 8, he has had a 16.6% target share with 44.2 receiving yards per game, 1.29 yards per route run, and a 21.8% first-read share. In those five games, he has had two red zone targets and seven deep targets. Since Week 9, Houston has utilized single-high at the seventh-highest rate (59.9%). Since Week 8, against single high, Worthy has had a 19.8% target share with 1.65 yards per route run and a 26.9% first-read share. The problem for Worthy is that, since Week 9, Houston has allowed the fifth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Worthy gets a bump with the positive single high numbers, but it still only makes him a dart throw flex this week.
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35.
Romeo Doubs
GB (vs . CHI)
Since Week 11, Romeo Doubs has been the WR44 in fantasy points per game with a 19.2% target share, 32 receiving yards per game, 1.52 yards per route run, and an 18% first-read share. I those three games, he has had four red zone targets and zero deep targets. Since Week 6, Chicago has utilized single high at the 12th-highest rate (53.8%). Since Week 10, against single high, Doubs has had a 12.7% target share, 0.38 yards per route run, and a 15.8% first-read share. The matchup is good for Doubs this week, but the coverage matchup could limit his volume. He's a low-end flex this week. Since Week 9, Chicago has allowed the tenth-most PPR points per target and the second-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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36.
Jordan Addison
MIN (vs . WAS)
In his four games with JJ McCarthy under center, Jordan Addison has only one top-36 finish in weekly scoring (WR31). In those four games, Addison has had a 17.8% target share with 25.8 receiving yards per game, 0.84 yards per route run, and a 21.3% first-read share. In that sample, he has two red zone targets and seven deep targets. Since Week 11, Washington has utilized two high at the highest rate in the NFL (64.8%). With McCarthy against two high, Addison has had a 20.7% target share and a 22.9% first-read share. Addison is a dart throw flex this week with a good matchup. Since Week 9, Washington has allowed the most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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37.
Quentin Johnston
LAC (vs . PHI)
Quentin Johnston is the WR29 in fantasy points per game with a 17% target share, 47.7 receiving yards per game, 1.39 yards per route run, and a 21.1% first-read share. He leads the team with 13 deep targets while also ranking fourth in red zone targets with 11. This isn't the matchup to consider flexing Johnston. Since Week 7, Philly has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (56.3%). Against two high, Johnston's numbers have cratered with a 14.5% target share, 0.98 yards per route run, and an 18.6% first-read share. Since Week 9, Philly has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game and the eighth-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers, so maybe that helps Johnston this week. I'm not projecting a ceiling performance for him, though. He'll need a touchdown to save his day.
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38.
DJ Moore
CHI (at GB)
DJ Moore has had a quiet season as the WR43 in fantasy points per game, with only two top 24 weekly finishes. In the last four games, he has finished as the WR68 in weekly scoring or lower three times. Moore has a 14.9% target share with 41.8 receiving yards per game, 1.41 yards per route run, and a 16.9% first-read share. He has seven red zone targets and 11 deep targets. Moore is best left on the bench this week. Since Week 9, Green Bay has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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39.
Luther Burden III
CHI (at GB)
Since Week 10, Luther Burden has had a 51.6% route share, a 13.7% target share with 39.3 receiving yards per game, 1.96 yards per route run, and a 19.5% first-read share. In those four games, he has zero high-leverage usage with no red zone or deep targets. With Rome Odunze out this week, I expect Burden to shift outside opposite DJ Moore as Olamide Zaccheaus becomes the full-time starting slot. Burden will have a tough assignment on the perimeter this week. Since Week 9, Green Bay has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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40.
Darnell Mooney
ATL (vs . SEA)
Over the last two games, with Drake London on the shelf, Darnell Mooney has had only a 14.3% target share with 49.5 receiving yards per game, 1.87 yards per route run, and a 22.2% first-read share. He has had two red zone targets and one deep target since Week 12. Mooney is a low-end flex play this week. Since Week 9, Seattle has held perimeter wide receivers to the third-fewest PPR points per target and the fewest receiving yards per game.
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41.
Jayden Higgins
HOU (at KC)
Since Week 10, Jayden Higgins has been the WR24 in fantasy points per game. He has settled into a 60%-ish route share weekly. Last week, he had a 62.2% route share. Since Week 10, Higgins has had an 18.5% target share, a 30% target per route run rate, 50 receiving yards per game, 2.15 yards per route run, and a 22.2% first-read share. In his last four games, he has had four red zone targets and five deep targets. If Houston would allow him to play a 75-80% route share, he could be winning people weeks, but I'll take what we can get from Nick Caley. Higgins has been uber-efficient with his workload and drawing targets at a high level when on the field. Since Week 11, the Chiefs have utilized two high at the second-highest rate (61.9%). Since Week 10, against two high, Higgins has had a 30% target per route run rate, 2.28 yards per route run, and a 22.4% first-read share. Higgins should crush again this week. Since Week 9, the Chiefs have allowed the fifth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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42.
Tre Tucker
LV (vs . DEN)
Since Week 10, Tucker has been the WR56 in fantasy points per game with a 17.6% target share with 30.8 receiving yards per game, 0.79 yards per route run, and a 21.6% first-read share. In those four games without Jakobi Meyers, he has had three red zone targets and eight deep targets. Sit Tucker this week. Since Week 9, Denver has held perimeter wide receivers to the sixth-fewest PPR points per target.
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43.
Keenan Allen
LAC (vs . PHI)
After seeing his route share dip recently, Keenan Allen came roaring back last week with a season-high 82.1% route share. Overall, he has been the WR28 in fantasy points per game with a 21.3% target share, 51.8 receiving yards per game, 1.87 yards per route run, and a 23.8% first-read share. Since Week 7, Philly has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (56.3%). Against two high, Allen has seen his numbers improve with a 21.4% target share, 1.96 yards per route run, and a 23.2% first-read share. Allen could lead the way for the Bolts' passing attack this week, especially when you consider his matchup on the perimeter. Since Week 9, Philly has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game and the eighth-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Justin Herbert's effectiveness and the passing volume for the offense could limit Allen's ceiling and crush his floor. He's a risky flex play.
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44.
Pat Bryant
DEN (at LV)
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45.
John Metchie III
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Since Week 11, John Metchie has finished as a top-20 wide receiver in weekly scoring twice (WR18, WR11). Since Week 11, Metchie has had a 20.5% target share with 43 receiving yards per game, 1.39 yards per route run, and a 23.6% first-read share. In those three games, he has two red zone targets and zero deep targets. He could easily be a strong flex play again this week operating as New York's WR2 against a Miami secondary that, since Week 9, has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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46.
Jerry Jeudy
CLE (vs . TEN)
Jerry Jeudy is an intriguing deep league flex this week. In Shedeur Sanders' two starts, Jeudy has finished as the WR75 and WR59 in weekly scoring. Yes, I know that's not sexy, but stay with me. Let me explain. Since Week 12, Jeudy has had a 15.2% target share with 32.5 receiving yards per game, 1.55 yards per route run, and a 23.1% first-read share. In those two games, Jeudy has led the team with three deep targets. The Titans have struggled to defend perimeter wide receivers and downfield passing. Since Week 9, Tennessee has allowed the third-highest deep ball completion rate, the second-most deep passing yards per game, and the third-highest deep passer rating. Also, since Week 9, Tennessee has allowed the seventh-highest PPR points per target and the seventh-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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47.
Dontayvion Wicks
GB (vs . CHI)
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48.
Devaughn Vele
NO (at TB)
Since Week 12, Devaughn Vele has had an 18.1% target share with 65 receiving yards per game, 1.55 yards per route run, and a 16.7% first-read share. In those two games, Vele had two red zone targets and two deep targets. Last week, he was the WR7 in weekly scoring, securing all eight of his targets with 93 receiving yards and a score. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has utilized single high at the third-highest rate (63.1%). Since Week 12, against single high, Vele has been a distant third in the target pecking order against single high with a 17.9% target share, 1.29 yards per route run, and an 11.1% first-read share. Vele is a decent flex play this week, but I wouldn't expect a repeat of last week's stat line in Week 14. Since Week 9, Tampa Bay has allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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49.
Josh Downs
IND (at JAC)
Josh Downs has had a disappointing season, and I don't see it turning around this week. He is the WR53 in fantasy points per game and hasn't hit double-digit PPR points since Week 9. Downs has a 16.7% target share with 33.6 receiving yards per game, 1.60 yards per route run, and a 19% first-read share. He is tied for second on the team with ten red zone targets while kicking in five deep targets. Jourdan Lewis's return last week means Downs is headed toward another quiet game. In slot coverage this season, Lewis has allowed only one touchdown and a 61.7 passer rating in his coverage. Jacksonville has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers this season.
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50.
Isaac TeSlaa
DET (vs . DAL)
Last week, TeSlaa had an 83.9% route share, a 7.4% target share, 35 receiving yards, 1.35 yards per route run, and a 12.5% first-read share. TeSlaa didn't garner a large portion of the passing offense even with Amon-Ra St. Brown going down. Overall, this season, he has had an 8% target per route run rate with 0.71 yards per route run and a 3.9% first-read share. He has four red zone targets, one deep target, and three touchdowns. He's a deep league flex play this week because of the matchup. Since Week 9, Dallas has allowed the 13th-most PPR points per target and the most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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51.
Cooper Kupp
SEA (at ATL)
If I'm picking between Cooper Kupp or Rashid Shaheed for a last flex spot as the tertiary Seattle pass catcher to believe in this week, it's Kupp. I'll say that Atlanta has been horrible at defending perimeter wide receivers over the last few weeks, so I could easily be wrong about this and Shaheed could pop off, but looking at their usage against single high, I lean to Kupp. Atlanta has utilized single high at the second-highest rate in the NFL (64%). Since Week 11, against single high, Kupp has ranked second on the team with an 18.8% target share and 18.5% first-read share with 1.12 yards per route run. Since Week 9, Atlanta has allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game and the seventh-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
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52.
Keon Coleman
BUF (vs . CIN)
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53.
Rashid Shaheed
SEA (at ATL)
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54.
Chimere Dike
TEN (at CLE)
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55.
Malik Washington
MIA (at NYJ)
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56.
Elic Ayomanor
TEN (at CLE)
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57.
Gabe Davis
BUF (vs . CIN)
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58.
Tez Johnson
TB (vs . NO)
Last week, with Chris Godwin's route share increasing, Johnson saw his role evaporate with a 54.5% route share, a 7.1% target share, and an 11.1% first-read share. Jonson hasn't been a strong target earner this season and has lived on touchdowns to keep his fantasy value afloat. Johnson is a sit this week and droppable with Mike Evans likely back next week.
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59.
Rashod Bateman
BAL (vs . PIT)
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60.
Calvin Austin III
PIT (at BAL)
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61.
Andrei Iosivas
CIN (at BUF)
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62.
David Sills V
ATL (vs . SEA)
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63.
Jayden Reed
GB (vs . CHI)
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64.
Marquise Brown
KC (vs . HOU)
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65.
DeAndre Hopkins
BAL (vs . PIT)
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66.
Christian Kirk
HOU (at KC)
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67.
Cedric Tillman
CLE (vs . TEN)
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68.
Olamide Zaccheaus
CHI (at GB)
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69.
Tyler Lockett
LV (vs . DEN)
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70.
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN (at LV)
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71.
Jack Bech
LV (vs . DEN)
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72.
Jalen Nailor
MIN (vs . WAS)
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73.
Van Jefferson
TEN (at CLE)
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74.
KaVontae Turpin
DAL (at DET)
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75.
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU (at KC)
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76.
Matthew Golden
GB (vs . CHI)
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77.
Mason Tipton
NO (at TB)
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78.
Jaylin Noel
HOU (at KC)
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79.
Ryan Flournoy
DAL (at DET)
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80.
Roman Wilson
PIT (at BAL)
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81.
Parker Washington
JAC (vs . IND)
Parker Washington sustained a hip injury last week. He opened this week with a DNP. Washington managed limited practice sessions on Thursday and Friday. He has been listed as questionable for Week 14. Washington is expected to be inactive this week. If he does play this week, I don't like his prospects. Since Week 7, Washington has been the WR30 in fantasy points per game with a 19% target share, 48.7 receiving yards per game, 1.72 yards per route run, and a 22.1% first-read share. In those six games, he has had six red zone targets and six deep targets. Since Week 10, Indy has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (62.3%). Since Week 7, against single high, Washington has had a 19.4% target share with 2.12 yards per route run and a 21.9% first-read share. Washington could pay off as a flex play this week, but he has a tough matchup incoming. Since Week 9, Indy has allowed the third-fewest PPR points per target and the third-lowest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.
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82.
Sterling Shepard
TB (vs . NO)
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83.
Tre Harris
LAC (vs . PHI)
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84.
Tom Kennedy
DET (vs . DAL)
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85.
Tyrell Shavers
BUF (vs . CIN)
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86.
Isaiah Bond
CLE (vs . TEN)
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87.
Tyquan Thornton
KC (vs . HOU)
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88.
Treylon Burks
WAS (at MIN)
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89.
Mitch Tinsley
CIN (at BUF)
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90.
Jahan Dotson
PHI (at LAC)
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91.
Brandin Cooks
BUF (vs . CIN)
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92.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
KC (vs . HOU)
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93.
Xavier Weaver
ARI (vs . LAR)
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94.
Xavier Smith
LAR (at ARI)
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95.
Tim Patrick
JAC (vs . IND)
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96.
Jaylin Lane
WAS (at MIN)
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97.
Devontez Walker
BAL (vs . PIT)
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98.
Noah Brown
WAS (at MIN)
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99.
Andre Baccellia
ARI (vs . LAR)
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100.
Konata Mumpfield
LAR (at ARI)
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101.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
MIA (at NYJ)
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102.
Allen Lazard
NYJ (vs . MIA)
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103.
Jordan Whittington
LAR (at ARI)
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104.
Dylan Drummond
ATL (vs . SEA)
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105.
Austin Trammell
JAC (vs . IND)
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106.
Dyami Brown
JAC (vs . IND)
|
|
107.
Isaiah Williams
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
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108.
Tutu Atwell
LAR (at ARI)
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109.
Chris Moore
FA (BYE)
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110.
Greg Dortch
ARI (vs . LAR)
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111.
Adam Thielen
PIT (at BAL)
|
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112.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
MIA (at NYJ)
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113.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
ARI (vs . LAR)
|
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114.
Kameron Johnson
TB (vs . NO)
|
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115.
Malachi Corley
CLE (vs . TEN)
|
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116.
Joshua Palmer
BUF (vs . CIN)
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117.
Gage Larvadain
CLE (vs . TEN)
|
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118.
James Proche II
TEN (at CLE)
|
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119.
Jalen Brooks
ARI (vs . LAR)
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120.
Deven Thompkins
ATL (vs . SEA)
|
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121.
Cody White
SEA (at ATL)
|
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122.
Darius Cooper
PHI (at LAC)
|
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123.
Casey Washington
ATL (vs . SEA)
|
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124.
Dante Pettis
NO (at TB)
|
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125.
Laquon Treadwell
IND (at JAC)
|
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126.
Bo Melton
GB (vs . CHI)
|
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127.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
PIT (at BAL)
|
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128.
Devin Duvernay
CHI (at GB)
|
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129.
Dominic Lovett
DET (vs . DAL)
|
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130.
Tylan Wallace
BAL (vs . PIT)
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131.
Malik Heath
FA (BYE)
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132.
Jonathan Mingo
DAL (at DET)
|
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133.
Mason Kinsey
TEN (at CLE)
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134.
Kevin Austin Jr.
NO (at TB)
|
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135.
Arian Smith
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
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136.
Ben Skowronek
PIT (at BAL)
|
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137.
Derius Davis
LAC (vs . PHI)
|
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138.
Xavier Restrepo
TEN (at CLE)
|
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139.
Charlie Jones
CIN (at BUF)
|
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140.
KhaDarel Hodge
ATL (vs . SEA)
|
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141.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN (at LV)
|
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142.
Shedrick Jackson
LV (vs . DEN)
|
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143.
Tyler Johnson
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
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144.
LaJohntay Wester
BAL (vs . PIT)
|
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145.
Jamal Agnew
ATL (vs . SEA)
|
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146.
Jahdae Walker
CHI (at GB)
|
|
147.
Jamari Thrash
CLE (vs . TEN)
|
|
148.
Ryan Miller
TB (vs . NO)
|
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149.
Dee Eskridge
MIA (at NYJ)
|
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150.
Ricky White III
SEA (at ATL)
|
|
151.
Tai Felton
MIN (vs . WAS)
|
|
152.
Myles Price
MIN (vs . WAS)
|
|
153.
Justin Shorter
LV (vs . DEN)
|
|
154.
Xavier Gipson
PHI (at LAC)
|
|
155.
Anthony Gould
IND (at JAC)
|
|
156.
DJ Turner
LV (vs . DEN)
|
|
157.
Alex Bachman
LV (vs . DEN)
|
|
158.
Jake Bobo
SEA (at ATL)
|
|
159.
Tahj Washington
MIA (at NYJ)
|
|
160.
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
LAC (vs . PHI)
|
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161.
Ke'Shawn Williams
PIT (at BAL)
|
|
162.
Scotty Miller
PIT (at BAL)
|
|
163.
Jackson Meeks
DET (vs . DAL)
|
|
164.
Britain Covey
PHI (at LAC)
|
|
165.
Sederrick Cunningham
FA (BYE)
|
|
166.
Ashton Dulin
IND (at JAC)
|
|
167.
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
LV (vs . DEN)
|
|
168.
Wan'Dale Robinson
NYG (BYE)
|
|
169.
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR (BYE)
|
|
170.
Stefon Diggs
NE (BYE)
|
|
171.
Jauan Jennings
SF (BYE)
|
|
172.
Ricky Pearsall
SF (BYE)
|
|
173.
Mack Hollins
NE (BYE)
|
|
174.
Kayshon Boutte
NE (BYE)
|
|
175.
Darius Slayton
NYG (BYE)
|
|
176.
Isaiah Hodgins
NYG (BYE)
|
|
177.
Xavier Legette
CAR (BYE)
|
|
178.
Jalen Coker
CAR (BYE)
|
|
179.
DeMario Douglas
NE (BYE)
|
|
180.
Demarcus Robinson
SF (BYE)
|
|
181.
Kyle Williams
NE (BYE)
|
|
182.
Kendrick Bourne
SF (BYE)
|
|
183.
Jimmy Horn Jr.
CAR (BYE)
|
|
184.
Gunner Olszewski
NYG (BYE)
|
|
185.
Brycen Tremayne
CAR (BYE)
|
|
186.
Savion Williams
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
187.
Will Sheppard
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
188.
Jermaine Burton
CIN (at BUF)
|
|
189.
Skyy Moore
SF (BYE)
|
|
190.
Elijah Moore
DEN (at LV)
|
|
191.
Bryce Oliver
TEN (at CLE)
|
|
192.
Tejhaun Palmer
ARI (vs . LAR)
|
|
193.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
BUF (vs . CIN)
|
|
194.
Efton Chism III
NE (BYE)
|
|
195.
Braxton Berrios
HOU (at KC)
|
|
196.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
NYG (BYE)
|
|
197.
Tim Jones
JAC (vs . IND)
|
|
198.
Beaux Collins
NYG (BYE)
|
|
199.
Jordan Watkins
SF (BYE)
|
|
200.
Zay Jones
ARI (vs . LAR)
|
|
201.
Luke McCaffrey
WAS (at MIN)
|
|
202.
Malik Turner
SF (BYE)
|
|
203.
Dareke Young
SEA (at ATL)
|
|
204.
Josh Reynolds
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
205.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
NYG (BYE)
|
|
206.
Hunter Renfrow
CAR (BYE)
|
|
207.
Jalen Royals
KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
208.
Russell Gage Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
209.
Nikko Remigio
KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
210.
DeAndre Carter
CLE (vs . TEN)
|
|
211.
David Moore
CAR (BYE)
|
|
212.
Malik Taylor
FA (BYE)
|
|
213.
Jason Brownlee
KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
214.
Justin Watson
HOU (at KC)
|
|
215.
Ainias Smith
CAR (BYE)
|
|
216.
Lucky Jackson
FA (BYE)
|
|
217.
Velus Jones Jr.
SEA (at ATL)
|
|
218.
Trey Palmer
NO (at TB)
|
|
219.
Roc Taylor
FA (BYE)
|
|
220.
Brandon Powell
FA (BYE)
|
|
221.
Daurice Fountain
FA (BYE)
|
|
222.
Nelson Agholor
FA (BYE)
|
|
223.
Trenton Irwin
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
224.
Tank Dell
HOU (at KC)
|
|
225.
Tru Edwards
LAR (at ARI)
|
|
226.
Jalen Reagor
FA (BYE)
|
|
227.
Brandon Aiyuk
SF (BYE)
|
|
228.
Kaden Davis
CLE (vs . TEN)
|
|
229.
Jalen Guyton
FA (BYE)
|
|
230.
Quez Watkins
PHI (at LAC)
|
|
231.
Equanimeous St. Brown
FA (BYE)
|
|
232.
Michael Gallup
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
233.
Tyler Davis
FA (BYE)
|
|
234.
Javon Baker
FA (BYE)
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