Fantasy Football Player Notes

Ok, here we go. Trying to predict the Packers roulette wheel of wide receivers has been fun weekly. (it hasn't). Reed should lead the way this week despite the coverage matchup not being in his favor. Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single high at the seventh-highest rate (57.8%). Against single-high, since Week 4, Reed ranks fourth on the team in target share (11.9%) and third in YPRR (2.11) and first-read share (16.8%). Detroit's struggles to defend the slot is what pushes Reed to the top of the Cheesehead pile this week. Detroit has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers this season.

Watson is the weekly wildcard in this receiver room. Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single high at the seventh-highest rate (57.8%). Against single-high, since Week 4, Watson ranks second in target share (17.5%), first in YPRR (2.71), and second in first-read share (22.2%). With Watson's downfield role and efficiency against single-high, I won't bet against him making a splash play or two this week. The matchup isn't great on paper when looking at how Detroit has defended outside receivers. Playing Watson as a flex this week is done with an eye on his ceiling and an internal conversation for your team, depending upon your other options. Since Week 8, Detroit has limited perimeter wide receivers to the third-fewest PPR points per target and the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game.

With Romeo Doubs ruled out, Wicks will step back into the starting lineup in Week 14. Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single high at the seventh-highest rate (57.8%). Against single-high, since Week 4, Wicks leads the team with a 34% TPRR and ranks fourth in YPRR (2.05) and first-read share (14.7%). In the last five games that he has played at least 50% of the snaps, he has seen seven red zone targets. Wicks will be heavily involved this week. The matchup isn't amazing, but he could be the 1B this week behind Jayden Reed. Since Week 8, Detroit has limited perimeter wide receivers to the third-fewest PPR points per target and the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game.