DraftKings NFL Cash Lineup Advice: Week 10 (2019)
The NFL season has graduated into the double-digits with Week 10 upon us. With nine weeks of data and building lineups, we should have a pretty good grasp on what players are capable of and offensive and defensive tendencies of teams and their coaching staffs. We should also have an idea of what things to look for when building your cash game lineups on DraftKings as we search for high volume players in good matchups and game environments who have big-game upside. Let’s see which players check those boxes for Week 10.
Drew Brees (NO): $6,700 vs. ATL
There are two games on the Sunday main slate with a Vegas total over 50 points, so you can probably guess which matchups my preferred quarterback option will come from. I’ll give the nod to Brees, who is playing at home for a Saints team with the highest Vegas implied total on the slate. In the two games that Brees has started and completed this season, both at home, he has averaged 371.5 passing yards and 2.5 touchdown passes per game. He’ll face a Falcons secondary that has been shredded for 304 passing yards (25th) and 3.0 touchdown passes (28th) per game over the last five weeks while giving up a league-high 9.57 yards per attempt.
- Jameis Winston (TB): $6,800 vs. ARI
- Kyler Murray (ARI): $6,500 @ TB
- Ryan Tannehill (MIA): $5,100 vs. KC
Aaron Jones (GB): $7,400 vs. CAR
I’m not going to write up Christian McCaffrey because there is nothing left to say. Just start him in your cash game lineup every week and figure the rest out from there. I’m also looking at the backfield on the other side of the Panthers/Packers matchup on Sunday in Green Bay with Aaron Jones. Jones put up a dud last week and Jamaal Williams will be involved in the offense but a matchup against the Panthers at home is a great bounce-back spot for the explosive Packers back. The Panthers rank dead-last in the league in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) against the run according to FootballOutsiders. They have given up 5.02 yards per carry (27th) and 2.0 rushing scores (32nd) per game to running backs over the last five weeks. Before last week, Jones had at least 15 touches in five straight games. Look for 15-plus touches this week including involvement in the passing game.
David Montgomery (CHI): $5,300 vs. DET
Searching for value at running back this week is a little bit dicey unless we get some late-breaking injury news like last week. So, as of now my “cheap” running back is Montgomery who has topped 22 DraftKings points in back-to-back weeks despite the Bears anemic offense putting up just a total of 30 points in two losses. Montgomery hits the trifecta we should be looking for in our running backs on DraftKings as he is the primary ballcarrier, he gets goal-line work with three rushing scores over the last two weeks, and he is involved in the passing game with nine targets over the last two weeks. The matchup is also primed for success against the Lions who have allowed an average of 132 rushing yards (30th) and 1.0 rushing scores (24th) to running backs over the last five weeks. They have also given up 5.5 receptions (17th) for 64 yards (32nd) per game to pass-catching backs this season. Montgomery could also get a positive game script this week with the Bears at home as a small favorite.
- Christian McCaffrey (CAR): $10,500 @ GB
- Saquon Barkley (NYG): $8,800 @ NYJ
- Nick Chubb (CLE): $7,000 vs. BUF
Christian Kirk (ARI): $5,200 @ TB
There are some strong high-priced wide receiver options this week, but with the salary spent at quarterback and running back, we will need to bump down into the mid-range prices at wide receiver. Kirk has been a target hog at times this season with three of his six starts generating 11 or more targets. He should get peppered with looks this week against a Buccaneers defense that commits to stopping the run as one of the top-ranked rush defenses but that opens the floodgates in the passing game where they rank 26th DVOA. The Buccaneers have allowed 15.1 receptions (31st) per game to wide receivers this season to go along with 1.5 touchdowns (29th) per game to the position. In a game with a Vegas total over 50 and a tight line, it could be a shootout in Tampa this week and Kirk is a fairly cheap way to get exposure to the game.
Sammy Watkins (KC): $5,100 @ TEN
The anticipated return of Patrick Mahomes to the Chiefs lineup on Sunday help raise the potential for the entire passing game. In the four games this season, when both Mahomes and Watkins were healthy, Watkins averaged 9.5 targets per game while putting up 5.8 receptions for 91.3 yards with a total of three scores. Watkins will face a Titans pass defense this week that ranks 20th DVOA and is down one of their starting defensive backs with Malcolm Butler out. With Tyreek Hill putting drawing attention of the defense, Watkins’ salary is just too low for his potential in an explosive offense.
- Michael Thomas (NO): $8,300 vs. ATL
- Chris Godwin (TB): $7,400 vs. ARI
- John Brown (BUF): $6,000 @ CLE
- Golden Tate (NYG): $5,900 @ NYJ
- Curtis Samuel (CAR): $4,600 @ GB
- Josh Reynolds (LAR): $3,800 @ PIT
- Ted Ginn (NO): $3,700 vs. ATL
Jonnu Smith (TEN): $3,500 vs. KC
With Delanie Walker expected to miss another game this week, Smith will continue to get increase snaps and targets in the Titans offense. Smith has played at least 73 percent of the snaps in each of the last three weeks with Walker out and Ryan Tannehill slinging the pigskin for the Titans, Smith has averaged five targets with 4.0 receptions for 53 yards in those outings. The Titans might be forced into a high volume of pass attempts this week as they try to keep up with Chiefs who have allowed 6.4 receptions (28th) for 58 yards (22nd) per game to the tight end position this season.
Steelers (PIT): $2,600 vs. LAR
The Steelers defense is on a roll with six straight games of at least 11 DraftKings points, yet they are still relatively cheap at $2,600. The Steelers have at least four sacks in four of their last five games and have multiple takeaways in seven straight games. This week the Steelers will be at home against the Rams who have been fairly good at keeping their quarterback upright and taking care the ball this season but do have the worst pass protection matchup on the slate according to the ProFootballFocus offensive line versus defensive line matchup grading.
- Ravens (BAL): $4,000 @ CIN
- Colts (IND): $3,500 vs. MIA
- Cardinals (ARI): $2,200 @ TB