Welcome to Week 10, everyone. We’re still on COVID watch each week, and the bye week blues are still here for a little while longer.
This week’s column is a bit shorter than previous ones due to some real-life occurrences, but the same logic applies when making your lineups: Allow flexibility, target opportunity and positive game scripts, and don’t force in players just for the sake of forcing them in. I will try to add some more context to my picks on my Twitter feed this weekend, and you should feel free to drop me a message if you have any last-minute decisions for your line-ups.
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The players below are ones I’m looking at for cash game considerations in Week 10:
Quarterbacks
Jared Goff (LAR): $7,400 vs. Seattle Seahawks
Until they show that they can defend it, the passing game facing the Seahawks is always in play for cash lineups. Goff’s price, given the matchup, is almost too good to be true. Pair him up with one or two of the pass catchers from this game, and enjoy. Goff will be my primary cash game quarterback this week.
"I hope Jared Goff is hungry & brings a big appetite bc everybody gets to eat at the Seattle Buffett. Matt Ryan had 450 yards, Josh Allen had 415, Kyler had 360, Cam Newton threw for almost 400 against Seattle. So Jared Goff, Thanksgiving comes early for him." — @kevinwildes pic.twitter.com/oNfY2Zs3Kx
— First Things First (@FTFonFS1) November 12, 2020
Deshaun Watson (HOU): $8,300 at Cleveland Browns
The Browns have been pretty stout against the run this season, but they’ve been mediocre against the pass. This bodes well for a revived passing attack in Houston.
Don't let the Texans' record distract you from the fact that Deshaun Watson continues to ball the hell out pretty much every week pic.twitter.com/vhV1ggxvl9
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 12, 2020
Other notables: Aaron Rodgers (GB): $8,400 vs. JAC; Carson Wentz (PHI): $7,500 at NYG
Running Backs
Antonio Gibson (WAS): $6,100 at Detroit Lions
Start running backs against the Lions. Just like passing attacks against the Seahawks, target these players until the Lions prove they can stop them. Gibson overcame a fumble last week and still put up a good finishing line against the Giants.
Antonio Gibson has a chance to go off this week.
The Lions are giving up:
? T-Most rushing TDs given up to RBs
? Most receiving TDs to RBs
? 3rd most rushing yards to RBs (>5 YPC)
? 7th most receiving yards to RBs (>11 YPR ?)Let's just hope he gets the work.
— Faraz Siddiqi (@farazsiddiqi) November 13, 2020
On the season, Gibson has a 29% target rate. For whatever reason, the Football Team has only had Gibson on the field for fewer than 10% of their third-down snaps. J.D. McKissic is getting a bunch of snaps still and remains active in the passing game.
Mike Davis (CAR): $5,400 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It’s chalk week on both Fanduel and DraftKings for Mike Davis. Nearly minimum-priced, Davis returns to a full-time role just one week after Christian McCaffrey’s ill-fated return from injury. Earlier in the season, Davis performed admirably against the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is allowing the third-most receptions and fourth-most targets to running backs. In the first game, Davis had eight receptions for 74 yards. He’s not as much of a free square on FanDuel as he is on DraftKings, but he’s still too cheap to ignore this week given the projected workload.
Other notables: Alvin Kamara (NO): $9,000 vs. SF; Miles Sanders (PHI): $7,700 @ NYG; Duke Johnson Jr. (HOU): $5,800 at CLE
Wide Receivers
Brandin Cooks (HOU): $6,300 at Cleveland Browns
Since the coaching change in Houston, Cooks and the Houston passing game have been revived in a big way. After Bill O’Brien’s departure, Cooks has scored the eighth-most FanDuel points among wide receivers. Last week, Cooks had a 31% target share and 52% air yard share. Over the last four weeks, only three other players have averaged more targets per game than Cooks. In those four games, Cooks has scored a touchdown in three. Cooks is on pace to finish the season with 74 receptions for 1,020 yards and six touchdowns.
Robert Woods (LAR): $7,200 vs. Seattle Seahawks
Pick a Rams receiver and stick with it. Pick two if you want. Either way, the Seahawks cannot stop opposing pass-catchers. Over the last three games, they have allowed at least two receivers to total 80 or more receiving yards per game. The Seahawks have allowed a league-high 2,236 receiving yards to wide receivers for the season, with the next closest team 300 yards away.
Other notables: Cooper Kupp (LAR): $7,700 vs. SEA; Travis Fulgham (PHI): $6,800 at NYG
Tight Ends
Eric Ebron (PIT): $5,400 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Ebron has emerged as an integral part of the Steelers’ passing game of late. Over the last six games, Ebron has had 36 targets and 25 receptions. He’s found the end zone three times in that span, too. That six-game stretch almost entirely matches Ebron’s output from last season.
The Bengals are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. You know what to do.
Evan Engram (NYG): $5,600 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
It has to be on his mind entering a quick rematch between the Eagles and the Giants. Engram had the game at his fingertips but dropped it the last time these two teams met up. He’ll finally get a chance to right his wrong this week.
Engram caught six passes on nine targets in the last game. The Eagles are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends on the season. With the players returning on the Eagles offense, it’s reasonable to think that the Giants are going to have to throw a bunch in this game.
Evan Engram has come alive in the last three weeks.
Check out where he stacks up among other tight ends:
80.09% of snaps (10th)
28.43% target share (2nd)
29.41% red-zone target share (9th)
37.5 PPR points (4th)
12.9 PPR points per game (4th)Engram is a Top-5 TE ROS.
— Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) November 11, 2020
Other notables: Jordan Reed (SF): $5,000 vs. NO
Defense/Special Teams
Green Bay Packers D/ST: $4,800 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars defense isn’t going to be able to stop the Packers offense. The Vegas line has clearly shown that, as the Packers are listed as two-touchdown home favorites. The one weakness that the Packers defense has shown thus far: their susceptibility to the run. But given the possible (and likely) game script, this isn’t going to bode well for James Robinson and the Jags’ run game. Sorry to Jake Luton, who had an impressive debut last week, as he’ll face a much more difficult challenge this week.
Other notables: New Orleans Saints D/ST: $4,500 vs. SF
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Matt Giraldi is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Matt, check out his archive or follow him @Mgiraldi.
