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DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Monday (1/25)

Jan 25, 2021

Luka Doncic is picking up triple-doubles at ease.

After a crazy day of sports on Sunday, we have another huge Monday slate here. In fact, we have 10 games making up this Monday card, with the Memphis-Sacramento game being postponed. That means the options are plentiful, and there’s a ton to talk about. So, without further ado, let’s go ahead and get into it.

If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

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Most Value Per Dollar

Players expected to generate the most value relative to salary.

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Luka Doncic (DAL) vs. DEN $10,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Damian Lillard (POR) vs. OKC $10,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
George Hill (OKC) at POR $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Doncic is picking up triple-doubles at ease and will definitely find his way into the studs section later on.
  • Lillard is always a beast, but he’s got a 40 percent usage rate ever since C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic went down.
  • Hill had his best game of the season on Sunday, and it’s hard to overlook that with this stellar matchup and cheap price tag.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
D’Angelo Russell (MIN) at GSW $8,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Eric Bledsoe (NOR) vs. SAS $5,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Wayne Ellington (DET) vs. PHI $4,200 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Russell has been the man ever since Karl-Anthony Towns went down. Before getting nicked up on Friday, D-Lo averaged 42 fantasy points per game across his previous eight outings.
  • Bledsoe just dropped 42 DK points in his most recent outing, and that’s all you can ask for from a sub $6K player.
  • Ellington is firing up three’s at will, scoring at least 25 DK points in four-straight games.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
LeBron James (LAL) at CLE $9,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jeremy Lamb (IND) vs. TOR $4,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Rodney Hood (POR) vs. OKC $4,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

 

  • It’s strange to see James at just $9,300. What we love here is that he returns to Cleveland, dropping 64 fantasy points in his only game there since moving to LA.
  • Lamb is averaging 24 DK points per game in his two games since returning from injury, and he’s got the ability to be a $6,000 player.
  • Hood is starting for McCollum now and should see 30 minutes and double-digit shot attempts in his absence.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) vs. DEN $8,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Draymond Green (GSW) vs. MIN $5,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Isaiah Roby (OKC) at POR $4,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • KP has at least 40 DK points in three-straight games, and we definitely want to exploit that against a 24th-ranked Nuggets defense.
  • An ejection and a blowout have lowered Green’s price a ton, but he should thrive here against one of the worst defenses in the NBA.
  • If Roby gets another start for Al Horford, he’s one of the best value plays below $5K.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Nikola Jokic (DEN) at DAL $10,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Bam Adebayo (MIA) vs. BKN $8,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Enes Kanter (POR) vs. OKC $6,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Jokic is the best player in fantasy right now and will highlight that in the next section. Bam is also an incredible value, and he, too, will be in the studs section.
  • Kanter has played at least 27 minutes in his first two starts for Kanter, averaging 40 DK points per game.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) $10,800: It’s pretty much impossible to fade Jokic right now. The big man nearly has a triple-double average for the season, providing 25.5 points, 11.3 rebounds, 9.9 assists, and 1.9 steals per game. That’s over 60 DK points a night, and it’s scary considering he’s got at least 56 DraftKings points in six-straight outings.
  • Luka Doncic (DAL) $10,700: Doncic is a triple-double machine himself, and these two friends are surely going to go at it here. Doncic is averaging 27.8 points, 11.1 rebounds, 10.7 assists, 0.9 steals, and 0.9 blocks over his last 11 games played and gets to face a 24th-ranked Nuggets defense.
  • Joel Embiid (PHI) $9,700: Embiid has one dud last week but has been astounding aside from that. In fact, he’s got at least 42 DraftKings points in his other 13 games this year, averaging 53 fantasy points a night. We love that against a Pistons team that surrenders the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
  • Stephen Curry (GSW) $9,200: Curry is absolutely carrying this team right now, and we like him anytime he’s expected to play a competitive game. That’s certainly expected to be the case here, with the Warriors being a favorite against the NBA’s second-worst defense. He’s been crushing recently, too, averaging 28.2 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.8 assists over his last five games played.
  • Bam Adebayo (MIA) $8,500: With Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro both out, we’ve been getting some Point Bam. It sounds weird that a center plays point guard, but he’s been running the offense recently. That was on full display Saturday night when Adebayo had 41 points, five rebounds, and nine assists against this dreadful Nets defense.

5 Notable Players to Fade

  • Collin Sexton (CLE) $7,200: Sexton opened up some eyes last week with a couple of gems, but it’s gotten his price way too high. What really scares us is the fact that Darius Garland just returned from injury. That’s Cleveland’s primary ball-handler, and it’s worrisome that he’s ceding touches to him while battling Andre Drummond for usage. It’s even scarier that he faces the Lakers, the best defense in the NBA right now.
  • LaMelo Ball (CHA) $6,900: Ball has hit a bit of a rookie wall, failing to crack 22 DK points in three of his last four games. That’s a nightmarish floor from a player this pricey, and his playing time is dropping too. All of that horrifies us against a Top-10 Magic defense.
  • Chris Boucher (TOR) $6,800: Speaking of slumping, Boucher has hit a bit of a wall himself. After dominating the first month, Boucher has just 27.6 combined DK points over the last two games, playing fewer than 22 minutes in both. This bench role always concerned me a bit, and it’s worrisome that he has to match up with a defensive stud like Myles Turner here.
  • Blake Griffin (DET) $6,400: Griffin is in this article on pretty much every slate, and he’s going to remain in it until this price plummets. He’s simply not the same guy we saw in the past, with Jerami Grant dominating the touches in Detroit. That’s evident when you see that Griffin has scored 26 fantasy points or fewer in seven of his 12 games this year. Not to mention, he has to face a fifth-ranked Philly defense too.
  • All of these guys are expected to sit: Jimmy Butler, Caris LeVert, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Wendell Carter, Karl-Anthony Towns, C.J. McCollum, Jusuf Nurkic, and Al Horford.

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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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