NFL DFS Value Plays: Week 1 PREMIUM
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Week 1 Value Plays
We made it. Week 1 is here. It feels like an eternity ago that Tom Brady was hoisting yet another Lombardi Trophy. After a long summer, we have finally made it to September and real football. As I have for the last few years, I will be providing a weekly value column for FantasyPros, but this year it will be a little different. Instead of concentrating on one site, I’ll be looking at values on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Some of the values will crossover onto both sites, but with the different scoring as well as different pricing algorithms, there will be some players I like more on one site or the other. So without further ado, here are my Week 1 Value Plays.
Sam Darnold (CAR): $5,000 vs. NYJ
Let’s ignore for a second the “revenge” narrative with Darnold opening the season against his former team and look at some of the numbers. First, the Jets defense ranked 28th in passing DVOA in 2020 (per FootballOutsiders.com), and while former defensive coordinator and new head coach Robert Saleh will improve that side of the ball, it won’t happen overnight. The Jets also had the third-worst adjusted completion percentage (per FTNFantasy.com), which removes spikes, throwaways, batted passes, and passes thrown while being hit. Oh, and there is a revenge narrative too.