It’s important to know who to target and who to pass on when it comes to your fantasy football draft. To get a better sense of players to avoid and others to reach for, use our Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and compare them to a player’s average draft position (ADP). Players that are going higher in ADP versus ECR are likely those that you want to reconsider at their current cost. On the flipside, players that experts are higher on versus ADP are those that could be worth reaching for, or at least targeting at their current ADP.
And you can use our expert accuracy rankings to help determine which experts to select when you are building your custom fantasy football draft cheat sheets.
Here’s a look at players Andrew Erickson, Derek Brown, Pat Fitzmaurice and Ryan Wormeli are targeting at their current ADP.
- AFC Busts & League Winners: East | North | South | West
- NFC Busts & League Winners: East
- Snake Draft Pick Strategy: Early | Middle | Late
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Best Fantasy Football Draft Targets: Wide Receivers
Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA)
Receivers Tyreek Hill (ADP: WR4) and Jaylen Waddle (WR11) are expensive but fairly priced. Tua Tagovailoa (QB11) might be a value if he stays healthy all year, but his concussion history makes him a risk. The Miami tight ends hold little fantasy appeal. We’re left looking for value in the Dolphins’ backfield, and third-round rookie De’Von Achane (RB41) offers it. Achane has blazing 4.32 speed, and while he’s small (5-9. 188), he averaged 23.2 touches a game for Texas A&M last year. Achane is a perfect fit for Miami head coach Mike McDaniel’s wide-zone running scheme and is more explosive than veterans Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)
Zay Flowers spent four seasons at Boston College simply dominating as the team’s best wide receiver. He posted a career 33% dominator rating – the highest in the draft class. His senior year was truly special as the 5-foot-9, 182-pound wideout racked up 78 receptions for 1,077 yards and 12 receiving TDs. Per Sports Info Solution, Flowers finished 3rd in the class in unique routes run, 6th in target share (30%), and third in deep route percentage (49%). With first-round draft capital and projected inside/slot usage that will work well with Lamar Jackson…don’t count out Flowers emerging as Baltimore’s WR1 at a WR48 price tag. The best ability is availability… which has not been the case for either Beckham Jr. or Bateman.
– Andrew Erickson
Elijah Moore (WR – CLE)
As a rookie in 2021, Elijah Moore had a six-game stretch in which he had 34 catches for 459 yards and five touchdowns. He was the WR4 in PPR fantasy scoring over that span behind only Justin Jefferson, Keenan Allen and Cooper Kupp. Moore didn’t an out last year and grew unhappy that QB Zach Wilson wasn’t targeting him enough. The 23-year-old Moore now finds himself in Cleveland, where he gets a QB upgrade with Deshaun Watson. Moore”s ADP is WR47, leaving ample room for profit if this former second-round draft pick recaptures the form he flashed as a rookie.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Diontae Johnson (WR – PIT)
Diontae Johnson is slated for a massive bounce-back campaign. He didn’t score last season – likely a fluke – and that’s being held against him, even though DJ ranks: 5th in total targets (460), 7th in receptions (281) and 9th in target share (25%) over the past three seasons. Johnson’s ability to command targets based on his 28% target share and seventh-ranked 137 targets in 2022 suggests he is a prime candidate for positive regression in many facets. His combined downfield targets and red-zone targets were the most of any player not to score in 2022. Those trends don’t tend to carry over from year-to-year. Buy-low on the WR15 in expected fantasy points per game from last season. His WR30 ADP is insulting.
– Andrew Erickson
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