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Fantasy Football Draft Values to Target for Each Round (2024)

The 2024 fantasy football regular season is still a few months away. However, now is the time to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts. While the average draft position (ADP) will change between today and opening night, fantasy players should look for bargain and value picks in every round.

Let’s dive into the top fantasy football draft values for each round of a 12-team, 1QB, half-point PPR league using Underdog Fantasy’s ADP.

2024 fantasy football draft kit

Fantasy Football Draft Values to Target

We dive into the best fantasy football draft values to target in each of the first 15 rounds of fantasy football drafts based on current ADP.

Round 1 – Breece Hall (RB -NY): ADP 8.1

While he has played for arguably the worst offense in the NFL the past two years, Hall has been outstanding for fantasy players. He was the RB6 as a rookie. Furthermore, the former Iowa State star was the RB2, averaging 17.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per game from Week 5 through the end of last season. Hall was outstanding despite running behind the sixth-worst run-blocking offensive line in the NFL (per PFF). Expect him to be significantly better after the Jets vastly improved their offensive line.

Round 2 – Nico Collins (WR – HOU): ADP 19.4

Collins was a popular breakout candidate last year. He was the WR6 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 14.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per contest, a higher average than Puka Nacua and Mike Evans. The former Michigan star was C.J. Stroud’s go-to target, leading the team in receptions (80), targets (109), receiving yards (1,297), and touchdowns (eight). While Tank Dell had an impressive rookie season, Collins maintained his fantasy production with him on the field. He is Houston’s No. 1 wide receiver, even with Stefon Diggs in town.

Round 3 – Derrick Henry (RB – BAL): ADP 30.9

Some might have concerns with Henry because of his age (he turned 30 in January) and his career workload (over 2,000 rushing attempts in the NFL). However, the veteran was the RB8 in 2023, averaging 13.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite splitting the backfield work with Tyjae Spears. Henry averaged only 1.11 yards before contact per rushing attempt behind an awful Tennessee Titans offensive line last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Thankfully, he will be far better this season behind a significantly better Baltimore offensive line.

Round 4 – George Pickens (WR – PIT): ADP 41.2

The most popular breakout candidate this summer is Pickens. Pittsburgh traded away Diontae Johnson, replacing him with third-round rookie Roman Wilson, making Pickens the team’s unquestioned No. 1 wide receiver. He was the WR13, averaging 14.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, posting the eighth-highest fantasy points per route ran rate (0.49) among wide receivers with at least 110 routes (per Fantasy Points Data) in the four contests without Johnson last year. Pickens should put up even better numbers catching passes from Russell Wilson and Justin Fields.

Round 5 – Anthony Richardson (QB – IND): ADP 57.1

Unfortunately, Richardson’s rookie season ended after playing only four games. However, the former Florida star was the QB11 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 18.2 fantasy points per contest. Yet, he left two games early with injuries. Richardson averaged 25.3 fantasy points, 211.5 passing yards, 1.5 touchdowns, 48 rushing yards, and a touchdown in the two games he finished as a rookie. The Colts improved his receiving core during the NFL Draft, adding Adonai Mitchell. Richardson has overall QB1 upside if he can stay healthy.

Round 6 – Joe Mixon (RB – HOU): ADP 62.8

While Mixon hasn’t been the most efficient running back, the veteran has had three consecutive top-12 finishes in half-point PPR scoring. Some are concerned that he won’t see the same volume in Houston that he had with the Cincinnati Bengals. However, that won’t be the case. Last year, the Texans’ backfield averaged 22 touches per contest. Furthermore, Devin Singletary was the RB9 from Week 10 through Week 18 as the featured guy, averaging 19.4 touches and 13.2 fantasy points per game. Mixon will remain a low-end RB1 in Houston.

Round 7 – Kyler Murray (QB – ARI): ADP 80.8

Fantasy players have forgotten how dominant Murray was before suffering a torn ACL. He was a top-six quarterback his first two years in the NFL and the QB10 in 2021. Furthermore, the veteran was the QB7 in 2022 on a points-per-game basis. Last year, Murray was the QB10 from when he made his season debut in Week 10 through Week 17, averaging 19.1 fantasy points per game. The star quarterback should have another top-eight finish this year with Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride at his disposal.

Best-Ball: How to Approach the Middle Rounds

Round 8 – Zamir White (RB – LV): ADP 88.9

White was the RB8, averaging 14.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game during the four weeks Josh Jacobs missed with an injury last season. He had the fourth-highest yards after contact per rushing attempt (3.06) among running backs with at least 30 attempts during those four weeks, ahead of Christian McCaffrey and Jahmyr Gibbs (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, White had 20 or more touches in every contest, totaling 100 or more scrimmage yards in all but one game. He is one of my must-have running back draft targets.

Round 9 – Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS): ADP 101.7

Quarterbacks who can make explosive plays with their legs are worth their weight in gold. Therefore, Daniels has massive upside and could turn into a league winner. He had 2,019 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns during his two years at LSU. Furthermore, Daniels had a 10-1 touchdown to interception ratio in 2023. The Commanders have a solid set of weapons and will be chasing points for much of the upcoming season. Therefore, the rookie will have plenty of opportunities to put up significant fantasy points.

Round 10 – Gus Edwards (RB – LAC): ADP 119.5

While he suffered an injury during mini-camps, Edwards should be ready for training camp next week. The veteran running back is coming off the best season of his career, totaling 13 rushing touchdowns in 2023, the fifth-most in the NFL. Meanwhile, he should have no trouble fending off an injury-prone J.K. Dobbins and Kimani Vidal for the starting role this year. Edwards will be the lead back on a run-heavy offense, making him a steal in the 10th round. Don’t be surprised if he has another double-digit touchdown season.

Round 11 – Chase Brown (RB – CIN): ADP 121.8

Many believe Zack Moss will replace Joe Mixon as the lead back in Cincinnati. However, don’t be surprised if Brown takes the starting role from the veteran before Week 1. According to Fantasy Points Data, he had a higher explosive run rate (9.1% vs. 3.1%) and yards after contact per attempt (3.09 vs. 2.29) than Moss did as a starter for the Indianapolis Colts in 2023. Furthermore, Brown had a significantly higher yards per route run average (4.46 vs. 0.98) than Moss.

Round 12 – Pat Freiermuth (TE – PIT): ADP 135.6

Unfortunately, Freiermuth is coming off the worst season of his career. Yet, fantasy players should give him a pass. The Steelers’ offense should be significantly better after upgrading their quarterback room. Arthur Smith taking over as the team’s offensive coordinator is excellent news for Freiermuth. Last year, the Atlanta Falcons tight ends averaged a 31.7% overall target share and a 29.3% red zone target share. With Diontae Johnson in Carolina, Freiermuth could see the volume needed for a breakout season in the final season of his rookie contract.

Round 13 – Jaleel McLaughlin (RB – DEN): ADP 155.1

The Broncos backfield is a wide-open competition. However, McLaughlin is the guy fantasy players want on their team. He impressed as a rookie, averaging 11.8 half-point PPR fantasy points per game and 6.9 yards per rushing attempt in the four contests with at least seven attempts. Furthermore, McLaughlin had the 12th-best explosive run rate among running backs with at least 75 rushing attempts in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data). Don’t be surprised if Sean Payton views him as his next Alvin Kamara and gives McLaughlin a significant workload this season.

Round 14 – Wan’Dale Robinson (WR – NYG): ADP 167.2

After weeks of speculation, Darren Waller announced his retirement from the NFL. Robinson is the biggest beneficiary from Waller’s retirement. Daniel Jones loves to target the middle part of the field, which will help the slot receiver. In the five games he played with Jones last season, Robinson had a 26% target per route run rate and a 20.2% first-read target share (per Fantasy Points Data). Robinson will be over a year removed from a torn ACL this upcoming season. Don’t be surprised if he has a breakout year.

Round 15 – Geno Smith (QB – SEA): ADP 172.6

Smith is coming off a disappointing season, ending the year as the QB19. However, fantasy players should give him a pass, as his offensive line struggled to stay healthy. Meanwhile, the veteran was the QB5 in 2022, averaging 17.9 fantasy points per game. He had 30 passing touchdowns that year, the fourth-most in the NFL. Thankfully, Seattle improved its offensive line in the offseason. More importantly, Smith has an outstanding trio of wide receivers, giving him the weapons needed for a top-five finish in 2024.

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.

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