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Players to Buy
Baker Mayfield completed 15 of 24 passes for 152 yards without a touchdown or interception, managing the offense efficiently but without much explosiveness through the air. His leading target was Emeka Egbuka, who drew a team-high nine targets, catching three passes for 35 yards. Down game for the rookie but the usage was solid again for a second straight game.
58% air yards share and a 38% target share (67 incomplete air yards) to go with two more end-zone targets.
It’s ironic that finally Egbuka is getting alpha usage but the production has been lackluster. When to start the year he was overproducing based on a sub-par role.
Either way…you want to go aggressively after Egbuka on his bye week. 10-plus targets per game over the last two weeks. Four end zone targets. Over 180 incomplete air yards.
Remember…Egbuka hurt his hamstring two weeks ago and almost didn’t play versus the Lions. After they bye week he should be closer to full go.
Managers with a strong record should be looking to buy Buccaneers on the injury discount.
Weeks 16-17: Panthers/Dolphins. ROS? Top-10 schedule for WRs, RBs, and QBs.
London has averaged 12 targets, 7.3 receptions, and 103 yards per game when healthy, cementing himself as Atlanta’s clear alpha. The Falcons’ passing game should rebound once Michael Penix Jr. returns, and their rest-of-season schedule is among the league’s easiest for quarterbacks. London’s recent hip injury , the Falcons’ dud performance against Miami and tough matchup versus NE in Week 9 create a perfect buy-low window. With a decent playoff run (TB, ARI, LAR), he’s positioned for a strong finish.
Jauan Jennings is not a surefire long-term bet to stay healthy, given all the injuries he is playing through.
His injuries seemed to hamper his production. Given he caught just one pass for 7 yards on three targets in Week 6, followed up by 4-31 on 7 targets in Week 7 (27% target share).
But in Week 8 it was again another team-high 7 targets going 4 for 45 (79 incomplete air yards, 22% target share). Targets have been there, the production has not. Jennings had a bad bad drop on a deep ball from Mac Jones that would have likely resulted in a long TD.
Presuming he is getting healthier with Brock Purdy returning…Jennings might be the sneaky-buy candidate here. In the last 2 games he is the WR target leader for the 49ers (14 targets (25% target share) and 36% air yards share.
He has a real connection with Purdy, and maybe another week passing has improved his health. He’s “due” to produce ranking 7th in XPPG scored under expectation.
If Ricky Pearsall starts practicing this week, it’s possible he could return this week. He’s another buy among this 49ers WR room. PFF’s 17th-highest graded WR in four games played.
Brandon Aiyuk is also eyeing a Week 10 return. The 49ers also suffered more defensive injuries. They can’t catch a break. But combine their bad defense with a good schedule…and this is a recipe for fantasy success on offense.
Lamar Jackson‘s expected return lifts the offense’s touchdown ceiling, and the upcoming slate (MIA, MIN with two Bengals matchups) sets up favorable game scripts. His red-zone and TD upside remains elite. This is your last chance to buy an RB1 workload before another 100-yard game sends the price soaring.
However, be wary that Weeks 16-17 are tougher versus GB/NE for the Big Dog. But if you need to string together wins right now to get into the playoffs, Henry is your guy to target.
The rookie dominated again with 10 targets and 7-99 receiving, accounting for 42 % of team targets and 60 % of air yards. He showed out/still produced with Andy Dalton giving him an extremely high floor, and Carolina’s offense should improve once Bryce Young returns. McMillan ranks top-15 in expected points per game and still hasn’t hit his ceiling.
Lamb still earned 10 targets in a blowout loss, with three red-zone looks and multiple penalties wiping additional opportunities. He’s posted a 27 % target share across the last two weeks since returning from his injuries. With the Cowboys likely to rebound against Arizona this week, Lamb’s target floor/ceiling combination remains elite with Dallas constantly playing in shootouts. Take advantage of any frustration from his manager that might not be able to stomach a Week 10 bye week for Dallas.
In the backfield, Josh Jacobs (54% snaps) handled lead duties despite nursing a calf injury, rushing 13 times for 33 yards and punching in a goal-line touchdown. Emmanuel Wilson (41% snaps) looked more explosive, turning 11 carries into 61 yards (5.5 yards per carry), though Jacobs maintained control of short-yardage and red-zone opportunities. Both backs were equally involved in the passing game — running 12 routes each — with Wilson catching three passes for 26 yards and Jacobs adding three receptions for 12 yards.
Not ready to say this backfield is a split…but Wilson is worth adding if you are just looking for a high-end handcuff – especially if you are the Jacobs manager.
Buy Josh Jacobs if a manager is freaking out about the Wilson usage. GB has one of the easiest schedules for ROS. Jacobs is also PFF’s 7th-highest graded RB this season. RB3 in XPPG. Buy lead backs on top-end offenses.
Warren handled 65 % of snaps and produced 62 yards on 13 carries, continuing his season-long efficiency. He’s top-10 in rushing success rate and PFF grade and faces a fantasy-friendly schedule. With some plus spots in the fantasy playoffs.
The Steelers’ offense is settling in, so Warren’s RB2 floor is valuable. The Steelers RB is also the RB15 in XPPG.
Buy slightly if his manager is worried about committee talk.
Without Tyreek Hill, Waddle has averaged 7 targets and 78 yards per game, including 99 yards and a TD in Week 8. His route share and air-yard dominance (73 %) underline a WR1 profile when healthy. Miami’s offense plays six of its final nine at home, boosting efficiency and odds that Mike McDaniel can at least finish the season as the HC before a potential firing. With public concern about Tua Tagovailoa‘s status, this is a classic buy window on an elite talent.
Kittle bounced back with 4-43-1 while logging an 85% route rate, showing the role remains intact even as the offense fluctuates. Brock Purdy‘s return and a favorable schedule should fuel steady production ahead. Elite tight ends are scarce, and Kittle’s usage stays top-five at the position. A buy-low opportunity if his manager is spooked by recent inconsistency and the returns of injured 49ers WRs.
DK Metcalf served as Aaron Rodgers‘ top red-zone weapon, drawing two red-zone targets and finishing with five receptions for 55 yards and a touchdown on seven targets — a 20% target share — though two additional targets were negated by penalties. However he was used closer to the LOS – averaging 9 air yards per target (although he did have 39 incomplete air yards). I listed DK Metcalf as a sell before the bye week. Right after the bye, I was eating the L. But he did have a slight down game versus the Bengals with the Steelers TEs feasting. But Week 8 he was back in business.
Versus the Bengals, Metcalf went three for 50 on five targets with more deep targets. Two games following the bye week…Metcalf is averaging over 16 air yards per target. It was below 8.5 before the Week 5 bye week. But the air yards dipped back down in this game with Calvin Austin/Roman Wilson filling that air yards void.
Even so…Metcalf’s usage is trending in the right direction for his ROS outlook. The fact that he is only competing with mainly TEs and beta WRs for targets ensures his target share should stay high. Metcalf is playing extremely well – PFF’s 20th-highest graded WR – and the schedule is awesome from here on out. I might have gone full 180….going from selling, to holding, to now buying Metcalf. He’s already had his bye week and seems destined to be a fantasy WR2 at worst ROS, even if he doesn’t score a TD every single week (even though it seems like it happens every week).
However I think you can wait…given his price might get cheaper if the Steelers trade for a WR before the November 4th deadline.
Steelers ROS schedule is GREAT for WRs…and No.1 in the fantasy playoffs: Dolphins, Lions, and Browns.
Colston Loveland was somewhat uneventful without Cole Kmet – 3-38 on just five targets. Fell short of scoring on his red-zone target from the 3-yard line. 80% snap rate and 77% route participation were season-highs as was his five targets and yardage totals.
Still – he can be added because the matchup next week is the best for fantasy TEs.
Also note that Luther Burden suffered a concussion. Olamide Zaccheaus also hurt his knee. With some WR injuries and Cole Kmet also hurt, Loveland should continue on an upward trajectory with a breakout week in sight for Week 9.
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