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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Max Scherzer Note
Max Scherzer photo 9. Max Scherzer
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
12 weeks ago
Stephen Strasburg Note
Stephen Strasburg photo 20. Stephen Strasburg
Strasburg was limited to just five innings in 2020, with an injury that eventually required carpal tunnel syndrome. Although that's a minor surgery, the truth is that fantasy managers have very little data as to the impact and/or successful recovery rate after that surgery for pitchers. Strasburg's a tricky draft pick in any given year - he always provides strong value when he's on the mound, but has only topped 200 innings pitched twice in his career. Now entering his age-33 season, Strasburg will likely again provide excellent overall numbers assuming he is healthy. He looks great in the spring, though he's currently battling a minor calf injury, though it shouldn't keep him out for long. Draft him as an SP2, but anything more than 160 innings is gravy.
12 weeks ago
Patrick Corbin Note
Patrick Corbin photo 39. Patrick Corbin
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
12 weeks ago
Jon Lester Note
Jon Lester photo 167. Jon Lester
Joe Ross Note
Joe Ross photo 246. Joe Ross
Austin Voth Note
Austin Voth photo 248. Austin Voth
Erick Fedde Note
Erick Fedde photo 271. Erick Fedde
Rogelio Armenteros Note
Rogelio Armenteros photo 289. Rogelio Armenteros
Cade Cavalli Note
Cade Cavalli photo 303. Cade Cavalli
Jackson Rutledge Note
Jackson Rutledge photo 324. Jackson Rutledge
Jefry Rodriguez Note
Jefry Rodriguez photo 386. Jefry Rodriguez
Steven Fuentes Note
Steven Fuentes photo 406. Steven Fuentes
Paolo Espino Note
Paolo Espino photo 430. Paolo Espino
Ben Braymer Note
Ben Braymer photo 433. Ben Braymer
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