Fantasy Football: Buy/Sell (Week 13)
Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.
Players to Buy
Michael Thomas (WR – NO)
This is your last chance to buy a top-five wide receiver before the playoffs begin. Do you remember when Julio Jones was considered a bust before his big game against the Bucs? Well, Thomas has yet to have his massive game, which could come in any of his three playoff games against the Falcons (twice) and Jets. He’s someone who will never cost you a fantasy championship, but just might win you one.
Dez Bryant (WR – DAL)
This is your opportunity to get a bonafide WR1 who has had a brutal stretch of a schedule to this point in the season, facing top-tier cornerbacks seemingly every week. Fortunately for him, his upcoming schedule allows for some big games. He’ll play against the Redskins who don’t have Josh Norman shadow, then the Giants who likely won’t have Janoris Jenkins to cover him, then the Raiders pitiful secondary, and the Seahawks Richard Sherman-less secondary. He’s going to finish the year strong.
Chris Hogan (WR – NE)
It has felt like an eternity since Hogan’s owners have had him in their lineup, which means it’s likely that they forgot how much of an impact he had in fantasy football. Heading into Week 10 (where he was inactive), Hogan had seen just as many targets as Brandin Cooks (54), caught as many passes (33), and scored two more touchdowns (5 to 3). He’s on the borderline WR1 conversation when he’s in the lineup, though he may not come with the 150-yard, two-touchdown upside of some of the elite WR1s.
Demaryius Thomas (WR – DEN)
When looking for consistency in the fantasy playoffs, Thomas should give it to you. Over the final four weeks, he’ll play against the Dolphins, Jets, Colts, and Redskins. If you were to hand-pick some defenses for your wide receivers to play, three of them would be on the top-five list. You don’t want to trade for him and expect him to win you a championship, but he shouldn’t lose it for you, either.
Dion Lewis (RB – NE)
It seems like every running back but Dion Lewis has made it into Bill Belichick’s doghouse this year, as James White‘s seen his snaps decline every week since Week 4, Mike Gillislee‘s been inactive the last two weeks, and Rex Burkhead fumbled last week. Because of that, Lewis was used more in the passing game against the Raiders, raising his ceiling to RB1 levels, though it won’t cost that to acquire him. His remaining schedule also just might be the best among running backs.
Kenyan Drake (RB – MIA)
It was frustrating to watch Drake share carries with Damien Williams, but Williams went down in Week 12 with what looked to be a shoulder injury. If forced to miss time, Drake would step into an immediate 15-touch role. He’s also looked extremely good when given opportunities, as he now has 257 total yards and two touchdowns on 44 touches since the Dolphins traded Jay Ajayi.
Marqise Lee (WR – JAC)
Call me crazy, but I’d rather have Lee than T.Y. Hilton for the remainder of the season. While Hilton deals with a bad situation in bad matchups, Lee will matchup against the Colts, Seahawks, Texans, and 49ers to close out the season. While the Seahawks looked like the only tough matchup to close out the season, the loss of Richard Sherman looms large. He’s an every-week starter from here on out.
Hunter Henry (TE – LAC)
When Mike Williams started to see increased snaps, Henry started producing less. Once Williams went down in Week 12, Henry immediately resumed production. We’ve heard that Williams didn’t tear his ACL, but that he’s going to miss some time. Because of that, you’re going to want to trust Henry as an every-week TE1 going forward. His schedule over the final four weeks includes the Browns, Redskins, and Jets, three of the bottom-six teams against tight ends.
Players to Sell
Julio Jones (WR – ATL)
Look, I love Julio Jones more than any other player in the NFL, but this is what you call a prime opportunity to sell-high. After posting the third 250-yard game of his career, Jones has tough matchups in three of his next four games. First, he’ll match-up against Xavier Rhodes, who just allowed his first touchdown since Week 13 of 2016. Then he’ll have to play against the Saints rookie Marshon Lattimore twice during the fantasy playoffs, a cornerback who has been shutting down No. 1 wide receivers all year. Now don’t get me wrong, Jones is good enough to beat anyone, but as we’ve seen throughout the year, the Falcons have no issue going to other favorable matchups and won’t be force-fed. Don’t just give him away, but don’t be opposed to it, either.
Todd Gurley (RB – LAR)
Call me crazy, but I don’t see Gurley winning you a fantasy championship. After going against the very beatable Saints run defense in Week 12, Gurley will go on to play against the Cardinals (No. 11 ranked run defense) and then against the Eagles (No. 3), Seahawks (No. 5, though they’re not as good as they used to be), and Titans (No. 8) in the fantasy playoffs. Again, he’s still going to put up fantasy points, but don’t expect him to win you a fantasy championship. I’d take Le’Veon Bell, Leonard Fournette, Alvin Kamara or Mark Ingram for him straight up, though it’d likely be a bigger trade that involves more pieces.
Joe Mixon (RB – CIN)
You’ve heard me say it before – I’m a fan of Mixon’s talent, just not of the situation. It was a dream gamescript for him in Week 12, but that’s unlikely to happen in three of their remaining four games. They’ll play against the Steelers, Bears (potentially okay matchup), Vikings, and Lions to close out the season. If you can sell Mixon off his huge game against the Browns, I’d at least consider it.
Tyreek Hill (WR – KC)
Hill is not the type of player you want your fantasy dreams to hinge upon. Sure, he can win you a week with one play, I get it. However, he’s failed to string together two double-digit games in a row all season. He’s had just four games this season where he’s topped 8.4 standard fantasy points, including five games with five or less points. He’s got a great finish to his schedule outside of Week 15 against the Chargers, but he’s had plenty of good matchups he didn’t show up for this year.
T.Y. Hilton (WR – IND)
It’s not the ideal time to sell Hilton, but some may buy him thinking it was just a down week. No, it’s been this way all year. Most don’t know, but he’s had just three games all season with more than 4.9 fantasy points, including 2.7 or less in five of his last six games. His schedule over the final four weeks is also brutal, making him an easy sell.
DeMarco Murray (RB – TEN)
After he posted solid numbers in Week 12, there may be some courting Murray. If you’re one of those who own him, you don’t need me to you that you should trade him for any startable piece. On top of the fact that he’s been incredibly frustrating to own, he will play against the Texans and Cardinals over the next two weeks, two of the top 10 run defenses in the league. Your sell window will likely slam shut.
Sterling Shepard (WR – NYG)
In what is a very sad situation, you should look to sell the currently disabled Shepard. He’s dealing with migraines and it’s gone on for over a week now, leading to some serious concern about his health. This seems eerily similar to Percy Harvin a few years back, and considering the Giants are well out of the playoff race, they may decide to just shut him down. If you can get an every-week starter for him, I’d likely do so in order to eliminate the risk.