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6 Dynasty Risers & Fallers (Fantasy Football)

Mar 21, 2018

A new coach and supporting cast should greatly improve Mitch Trubisky’s future outlook

While free agency certainly has its impact on the upcoming season, it can have an even longer lasting effect on dynasty leagues. Whether it’s a younger player that was seemingly poised for a bigger role or an older player leaving his reliable home, new contracts can squash those warm and fuzzy feelings. If you think I’m talking about Derrick Henry or Jordy Nelson, you guessed right.

It’s always a good idea to look at dynasty rankings post-free agency because of the moves like above. Shifts in value can be dramatic so we reached out to the featured experts below to see who has risen and fallen the most in their rankings. Have a look at their answers below.

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1. After free agency, which player has risen up your dynasty rankings the most and by how much?

Mitch Trubisky (QB – CHI)
“The young quarterback was already a big winner this offseason with the changes on the coaching staff and took another step up my rankings in free agency. Adding in a pair of weapons like Allen Robinson and Trey Burton is a big boost to Trubiksy’s dynasty value. He was very raw coming into the league, but showed some nice flashes during 2017. He’s a good bet to take a big step forward in Matt Nagy’s offense and the team is committed to him for the long term.”
– Dan Clasgens (Pro Football Focus)

“While it may take some time to fully materialize, it’s hard to say that anyone saw their supporting cast get better than Mitch Trubisky. Not only did the Bears go out and hire one of the top offensive minds in Matt Nagy, but they also made it a point to improve everyone around him. Starting with Allen Robinson and Trey Burton, and ending with field-stretcher Taylor Gabriel. After playing with Josh Bellamy, Dontrelle Inman, and Dion Sims as his top receiving options last year, the targets should appear a lot bigger in 2018 and beyond. It’s clear that the Bears are building around their young quarterback who might just become the 2018 version of Jared Goff.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Allen Robinson (WR – CHI)
“McKinnon is probably going to be the popular answer here. Thing is, I’ll be surprised if the 49ers don’t draft one of the top prospects from a loaded RB class — Derrius Guice, Nick Chubb, Rashaad Penny and Royce Freeman would all look good in scarlet red and metallic gold — in which case McKinnon would end up playing much the same role he played in Minnesota last year, when he was sharing work with Latavius Murray. I’ve pushed Allen Robinson into the top 10 at WR now that he’s joined the Bears. He’s free of Blake Bortles and is no longer bound by an offense that wants to take football back to the Eisenhower era. A-Rob should flourish as the clear No. 1 target for ascendant QB Mitch Trubisky, playing in a progressive offense overseen by new head coach Matt Nagy.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (The Football Girl)

Jerick McKinnon (RB – SF)
“McKinnon landed in a great spot and went from a fringe RB3 to a top-15 RB dynasty asset. Only 25, McKinnon has the potential to be a dynamic pass-catching weapon in a Kyle Shanahan offense that always seems to result in a lot of receptions and scoring opportunities for its running backs.”
– Jody Smith (FantasyPros)

2. After free agency, which player has fallen in your dynasty rankings the most and by how much?

Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)
“When the Titans cut veteran DeMarco Murray it finally appeared that Henry was poised to be a bell-cow running back and judging by my Twitter feed he seemingly appeared to be set as a top 15 pick heading into 2018. However, Tennessee inked Dion Lewis and will definitely weave the former Patriot into the backfield mix. Henry still has upside, but I dropped him down my board a full tier given the recent addition.”
– Dan Clasgens (Pro Football Focus)

“It’s clear that the Titans don’t trust Derrick Henry with their workhorse gig, even after two years in the league. He’s yet to become a competent pass-blocker and has never flashed hands out of the backfield. It led the Titans to move from DeMarco Murray to Dion Lewis, who signed a four-year, $20 million deal with them. While this doesn’t erase Henry’s value altogether, it’s clear he’s most likely locked into a two-down role for the rest of his career. That puts his fantasy ceiling in the RB2 territory, which would drastically move him down in my dynasty rankings.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Sammy Watkins (WR – KC)
“Stuck in a decoy role with the Rams last year, Sammy Watkins hit free agency this offseason … and promptly signed on for a decoy role with the Chiefs. Watkins was a top-10 WR last year in fantasy points per target and QB rate when targeted. The missing ingredient was heavy target volume, and he’s not apt to find it in Kansas City, where TE Travis Kelce and WR Tyreek Hill have already established themselves in Andy Reid’s offense. With Watkins under contract with the Chiefs for the next three years, he falls out of my top 25 at WR.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (The Football Girl)

Jordy Nelson (WR – OAK)
“I had Jordy Nelson ranked modestly high in the hopes that he’d still be a valuable player in Green Bay for the next two-to-three seasons. Now that Nelson is plying his trade in Oakland, where Jon Gruden seems serious about his quest to turn back the clock, I lowered Nelson about 20 spots and don’t think he’ll even be able to replicate Michael Crabtree’s numbers as the Raiders’ WR2.”
– Jody Smith (FantasyPros)

Thank you to the experts for naming their dynasty risers and fallers. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter and subscribe to our podcast below for advice all year round.

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16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
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