8 Late-Round PPR Draft Targets (2020 Fantasy Football)
With draft day rapidly approaching for many leagues, there is often no doubt which players are at the top of draft boards. While early-round picks tend to set the tone, the most crucial part of drafts is completing your team with possible breakout players.
There are countless examples of late-round fliers that propelled teams to fantasy glory. Last season, Lamar Jackson, Darren Waller, and Mark Andrews dominated all season long and were among the most rostered players on championship teams. These players paced the position and outperformed the more attractive names taken in earlier rounds.
Let’s discuss players you should take a chance on in the late rounds, based on FantasyPros’ ADP in PPR formats, that could lead you to a championship this season.
Daniel Jones (NYG): ADP: QB14, 124 Overall
There are many reasons to believe that Daniel Jones will be a breakout QB this season. The Giants ranked ninth in passing attempts last season, and that is unlikely to change since game scripts will continue to favor a pass-heavy approach. Jones flashed multiple times during the season with four top-five weekly finishes among QBs.
He produced as a rookie even though the offense was riddled with injuries to Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram, and the entire receiving corps. It is tough to imagine the Giants suffering as many injuries to the offense as they did last season. Lastly, Jones comes with some rushing upside, which should bolster his ceiling a bit. Definitely bet on Jones taking a huge step forward in 2020 and reap the rewards.
Joe Burrow (CIN): ADP: QB19, 144 Overall
The first overall pick out of LSU is fresh off what may be the greatest college season ever by a quarterback, and I do not understand the lack of excitement about a possible rookie breakout. While Cincinnati was atrocious last season, Joe Burrow does not enter into a hopeless offensive situation.
The offensive line was not nearly as bad as you would expect, and the Bengals have proven weapons in Joe Mixon, A.J. Green, and Tyler Boyd. The defense is not expected to take a major jump in 2020, which means there could be a repeat of last season’s sixth-highest passing volume. If game scripts continue to favor the passing game, Burrow could put up great numbers with the plethora of weapons at his disposal.
Joshua Kelley (LAC): ADP: RB65, 216 Overall
It is unlikely Austin Ekeler assumes a bell-cow role in the Chargers offense with the departure of Melvin Gordon. Joshua Kelley is the most recent addition in what is an extremely versatile running back room. At the very least, there are 200 touches vacated by Gordon, but this number is likely understating the opportunity available.
This is not counting the possible decrease in carries for Ekeler after rushing a career-high 132 times because of Gordon’s holdout. Plus, Tyrod Taylor has never attempted over 440 passing attempts. Last season, the Chargers attempted 597 passes. There will be competition for touches with Justin Jackson, but he has struggled through injuries. The former UCLA walk-on displayed elite vision and toughness, averaging 2.3 yards after contact and 4.6 yards per attempt. Kelley is an exciting prospect who comes with more upside than most around his ADP.
Chris Thompson (JAC): ADP: RB72, 256 Overall
I was close to putting Ryquell Armstead in this spot, but I believe his value comes in the event Leonard Fournette is traded. Even though I think this will happen, as it makes the most sense for the Jaguars, I am not going to assume he gets moved. Chris Thompson, meanwhile, has experience working with new offensive coordinator Jay Gruden and is in a better situation for fantasy purposes than most realize.
Jacksonville was desperate for help with the passing game at running back. The backfield saw 129 targets and accounted for 23% of the passing offense last season. This leaves a massive opportunity for Thompson to come in and assume a strong workload in what should be a pass-heavy offense. The downside is there are injury concerns, and it is unlikely he assumes a significant workload carrying the ball, but he should come with a respectable floor in PPR formats.
He is not a flashy name, but Thompson will provide reliable depth at the position. Consider rounding out your roster with him late in the draft.
Anthony Miller (CHI): ADP: WR52, 137 Overall
There may be no higher-upside sleeper at this ADP than Anthony Miller. The former second-round pick out of Memphis had an impressive stretch between Weeks 11-15 following a Taylor Gabriel injury that showed us what could be in store for 2020. Over this span, he averaged 10.4 targets, 6.6 receptions, and 86.2 yards per game. He was a top-20 receiver in PPR formats during this stretch.
The Bears releasing Gabriel and adding Nick Foles should put Miller in line for more consistent opportunities. It does not seem likely that Chicago will repeat its struggles offensively, leaving massive upside for Miller to break out. He should be in the driver’s seat for the WR2 position alongside Allen Robinson.
Allen Lazard (GB): ADP: WR67, 204 Overall
Opportunity is coming for Allen Lazard in 2020. It was not until Week 6 that he got on the field and recorded a low snap share (61%). He now has a role, and the departure of Jimmy Graham and Geronimo Allison immediately vacates 115 targets. Additionally, the surprising move to not draft any receivers — and only sign Devin Funchess — signals the Packers are confident they have their guy to line up with Davante Adams.
Lazard was extremely productive when targeted, and he should be in line for significant work. He has built up a rapport with Aaron Rodgers, who has endorsed Lazard’s talent over the course of the offseason. While his target share upside is capped, there is much room for him to outperform his ADP.
Hayden Hurst: ADP: TE11, 105 Overall
Hayden Hurst may be the most popular choice for a breakout tight end, and it feels like this point has been made multiple times. I still chose to rehash why Hurst is bound to finish as a TE1, but I will keep it brief.
Matt Ryan loves to throw to tight ends, as displayed by the 121 targets to them in 2019. Atlanta led the NFL in passing attempts, and Austin Hooper averaged 7.5 targets per game in 13 contests. Hurst comes with a high floor and elite upside. Do not hesitate to take him as your TE1 in any format, but he is especially valuable in PPR formats given the target share he will likely assume.
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