Skip to main content

FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Wednesday (9/2)

by Vaughn Dalzell | @VaughnDalzell | Featured Writer
Sep 2, 2020

Danilo Gallinari broke out of his slump and will look to make a major impact in Game 7.

The NBA has a two-game slate for Wednesday’s action in Orlando. There are plenty of FanDuel contests to enter tonight, so let’s take a look at some lineup possibilities with value plays, studs, fades, and more!

Create FanDuel lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>

Value Plays: Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Goran Dragic (MIA) MIL $6,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
George Hill (MIL) MIA $4,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Austin Rivers (HOU) OKC $4,000 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Goran Dragic has been on a tear for the Heat, scoring 20 points in all five postseason games. He set 2019-20 playoff highs in points (27) and rebounds (6) in Game 1 while adding five assists. Dragic has played at least 32 minutes in each game, so he remains a prime DFS play with Eric Bledsoe questionable.

George Hill could step into the starting lineup for the second game, and this time he should be much more productive. He has a challenging defensive task with Dragic and the rest of the Heat’s young shooting guards, but he’s consistently posted better plus-minus numbers than Bledsoe. On a short-slate, Hill is a sleeper who could pay off as your final selection.

Austin Rivers is in a similar boat as Hill, but with backing up Russell Westbrook. Westbrook hasn’t looked great over the last two games. If the star is still on a minutes restriction for Game 7, Rivers could be worth a shot. Rivers put up a donut in his previous game, leading me to prefer Hill, but pay attention to the injury report before choosing between the two.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Dennis Shroder (OKC) HOU $6,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Tyler Herro (MIA) MIL $5,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Duncan Robinson (MIA) MIL $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 
Dennis Schroder has been a critical asset off the bench for OKC. In the first-round series versus Houston, he’s averaged 18.2 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 3.3 assists. He nearly missed a double-double in Game 6, grabbing a personal series-high eight rebounds and scoring 12 points. Schroder has played 31 or more minutes in five of six games so far, and he should see a bump to 35-plus in Game 7.

Tyler Herro had his first subpar game in 10 outings for the Heat, but he’s still worth a DFS spot. He scored 11 points on 3-of-11 shooting, his worst shooting performance since entering the bubble. In his previous two regular-season games versus the Bucks, Herro scored 14 and 20 points while collecting a combined nine rebounds and five assists.

Duncan Robinson only attempted four shots in Game 1, which is very unlike him. In Game 2, he should see an increase in attempts. Part of his production problems stemmed from Jimmy Butler’s 40-point night, but it’s doubtful he puts up those numbers in Game 2. In Round 1, Milwaukee allowed over 39 three-pointers per game and has had issues limiting the opponent’s triples all year. Robinson could hit his stride in any given game, so he’s worth a play if you pass on Herro.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Eric Gordon (HOU) OKC $6,000 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Danilo Gallinari (OKC) HOU $5,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Jae Crowder (MIA) MIL $4,700 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Eric Gordon had his worst scoring game of the series with nine points on 3-of-12 shooting, but he added six assists, four rebounds, two steals, and one block. His all-around effort preserved fantasy relevance, and he’s a must-play off the bench for Houston in Game 7. Gordon is averaging 17.5 shot attempts per game in the series, a high number for anyone playing alongside Westbrook and James Harden. He’s worth another play in a win-or-go-home bout, but not maybe as much as the next guy.

Danilo Gallinari broke out in Game 6 for 25 points after scoring 10 in the last two games combined. He had his best shooting performance since Game 1, going 9-of-17 (52.9%) from the field. He hasn’t played more than 30 minutes in the last three games, so if the Thunder keeps it close, you can expect an increase in playing time. When he plays 30 or more minutes, Gallinari averages 20.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists.

Jae Crowder is a DFS risk tonight, but he’s played well over the last five games. In the first round, he averaged 9.8 points and 6.5 rebounds for the Heat, and he just missed a double-double in Game 1. Crowder finished with nine points and nine rebounds in 35 minutes and could be a reward play if he keeps that same grit in Game 2.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Robert Covington (HOU) OKC $6,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Jeff Green (HOU) OKC $5,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High
Marvin Williams (MIL) MIA $3,800 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Robert Covington has found his stroke from beyond the arc over the past three games, hitting four or more three-pointers in all three for 14 total. He’s attempted at least 11 shots in his past three outings and added five or more boards. A great addition to the Rockets, Covington is the best value outside of Bam Adebayo on this slate.

Jeff Green and Marvin Williams are both high-risk picks to take base on any injury news. Green had massive Games 1 and 3 in the series, but only posted 8.4 and 24.5 fantasy points since Westbrook returned. Williams has played 20 or more minutes in his past two games, but he’s averaged 8.5 points and 4.5 rebounds in that span off the bench. I prefer Green if you’re taking the risk, but Covington is a safer play than both.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Brook Lopez (MIL) MIA $5,700 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Steven Adams (OKC) HOU $5,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
P.J. Tucker (HOU) OKC $4,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 
Brook Lopez continued his scoring streak for the Bucks with a 24-piece that included four triples on six tries. He knocked down 8-of-10 shots total but only managed two blocks, one rebound, and one steal, not ideal for your center. However, Lopez has scored double-digits in 11 of 12 games since entering the bubble, making him a consistent DFS play.

Steven Adams has been hot and cold in this series, but he left Game 6 hot, posting a series-high 14 rebounds with six points. Adams only double-doubled twice in this series, but he’s averaged 10.2 points and 12.0 rebounds versus Houston. He’s only played more than 30 minutes in three games. If he exceeds 30 in Game 7, he will pay off in your lineup.

P.J. Tucker should be considered over Adams at center. In his last game, he played just as well with nine points and 11 rebounds for 32.2 fantasy points. Tucker has surpassed 20 or more fantasy points in four games this series, and he’s a defensive enforcer for the Rockets. It could be a coin flip between him and Adams.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Bam Adebayo (MIA), $8,000: Adebayo had a stellar all-around game of 12 points, 17 rebounds, and six assists in Game 1. The Bucks allow over four assists per game to centers, and Brook Lopez is no match inside for Adebayo. He’s easily worth the grab at center.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL), $11,500: Giannis didn’t have a great Game 1, but he did nearly post a triple-double. You can expect a bigger and better Game 2 from the Defensive Player of the Year and eventual MVP.
  •  James Harden (HOU), $11,400: Harden’s production hasn’t taken much of a hit with Westbrook’s return. He’s averaged 31.5 points, 6.0 assists, and 5.5 rebounds in two games. 
  • Khris Middleton (MIL), $7,500: Middleton is heating up for the Bucks, posting 28 points, six rebounds, and five assists in Game 1. He’s scored 21 or more in three straight games.
  • Chris Paul (OKC), $8,200: CP3 in Game 7 is a must-play. He carried the Thunder in Game 6 with 28 points, seven rebounds, and three assists in 40 minutes. 

5 Notable Players to Fade

  • Russell Westbrook (HOU), $8,800: Westbrook has been on a minute restriction, and he single-handily lost the Rockets Game 6. He’s not playing well since returning, so he should be on the back-burner to Harden all night.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC), $7,100: SAG was quiet in Games 5 and 6, tallying a combined 14 points, 10 assists, and five rebounds. Schroder and Paul are the plays for OKC tonight.
  • Eric Bledsoe (MIL), $5,900: Bledsoe missed Game 1 and played poorly versus the Nets in the final two games. There’s no telling if he will play or not, but if he does, he’s a pass. 
  • Danuel House Jr. (HOU), $5,000: House will play his first Game 7, and despite playing well over the last three games, he shouldn’t see many shot attempts tonight. 
  • Kendrick Nunn (MIA), $4,200: Nunn hasn’t surpassed 13.6 fantasy points in his past two games. With Dragic balling, he’s an afterthought. 

Create FanDuel lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>

Beyond our daily fantasy basketball content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy basketball season.

Vaughn Dalzell is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Vaughn, check out his archive or follow him @VaughnDalzell.

What's your take? Leave a comment

Build winning DFS lineups

Use the FantasyPros Lineup Optimizer to build winning lineups based on expert projections.