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DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Tuesday (1/26)

Jan 26, 2021

Russell Westbrook is a walking triple-double.

After one of the biggest slates of the season on Monday, we’re stuck with just three games here. While that may annoy some of you, I happen to love these small slates. It allows you to focus on these six teams and limit the variance from random blow-up games. There’s still a lot to talk about, though, so let’s go ahead and get into it!

If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

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Most Value Per Dollar

Players expected to generate the most value relative to salary.

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Russell Westbrook (WAS) at HOU $9,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
John Wall (HOU) vs. WAS $6,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Reggie Jackson (LAC) at ATL $6,800 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Westbrook is a walking triple-double, and he should have no problem doing that against a terrible Rockets defense.
  • Wall is another great pick in this game, averaging 35 DK points per game before his most recent injury. While he was limited in his return, we expect a full workload here against the NBA’s worst defense. Not to mention, it’s a revenge game for the long-time Wizard.
  • It looks like Jackson could be starting and playing 30-plus minutes with so many Clippers sitting this game out.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Bradley Beal (WAS) at HOU $9,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Victor Oladipo (HOU) vs. WAS $7,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Lou Williams (LAC) at ATL $5,800 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Beal and Oladipo should run things in this high-scoring matchup, and they’ll both be in the studs section later on, as will Sweet Lou with his expanded role.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Eric Gordon (HOU) vs. WAS $6,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Bojan Bogdanovic (UTH) vs. NYK $5,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Nicolas Batum (LAC) at ATL $6,300 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Gordon has been handling the ball a ton since the James Harden trade, averaging nearly 30 fantasy points a night since then.
  • Bojan flirted with a triple-double in his most recent game and is slowly getting better as the season progresses.
  • Batum should see a massive increase in usage, shot attempts, and minutes played with so many Clippers out.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Julius Randle (NYK) at UTH $9,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Serge Ibaka (LAC) at ATL $6,600 ⭐⭐⭐ Low
Isaac Bonga (WAS) at HOU $4,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

 

  • Randle controls the Knicks offense, and it’s led to a career season, averaging 45 DK points per game. Anyone doing that is hard to fade on a three-game slate.
  • It looks like Ibaka might be one of the focal points of the Clippers’ offense, with Kawhi and PG13 both out.
  • Bonga started on Sunday and received 33 minutes of playing time. Anyone getting that many minutes is hard to overlook at such a cheap price tag.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
DeMarcus Cousins (HOU) vs. WAS $6,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Mitchell Robinson (NYK) at UTH $5,800 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Robin Lopez (WAS) at HOU $4,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Cuz just dropped 58 DK points in a start for Christian Wood on Saturday. He’s been one of the best per-minute producers in the NBA, and he’s impossible to fade in this expanded role.
  • Robinson is a per-minute monster and has been playing a career-high 30 minutes a night this season. He should get some extra run to counter Rudy Gobert here too.
  • Lopez has started the last two games for the Wizards after Thomas Bryant tore his ACL. He’s got at least 25 DK points in both and is a nice value at this price tag.

3 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Bradley Beal (WAS) $9,900: Many people may not realize it because of all the games Washington has had to postpone, but Beal has been one of the best basketball players in the world this year. After another gem on Sunday, BB has at least 40 DraftKings points in all 11 games this season while averaging an absurd 51 fantasy points a night. We love that against a Houston team that surrenders the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards.
  • Victor Oladipo (HOU) $7,900: Oladipo has been running things in Houston since his trade from Indiana. In his three games with the Rockets, Oladipo is posting a 29 percent usage rate while taking over 21 shots a night. That’s really all you can ask for from a player south of $8K, especially when you take into consideration that he faces a Washington team that ranks dead-last in total defense and first in pace.
  • Lou Williams (LAC) $5,800: Ok, we know Lou isn’t a stud, but this is a fantastic spot. It would be one thing to miss Kawhi, but being without Beverley and PG13 makes Williams one of the only ball-handlers left. That’s great news for a guy this talented, with Williams being one of the best bench players in the history of the NBA. Not only should we see Sweet Lou start, but he’s also got a 28 percent usage rate with these guys off the floor. All of these other Clippers saw a major price bump, but Williams was not enough. It will likely have him locked in every single lineup but rightfully so.

Notable Players to Fade

  • R.J. Barrett (NYK) $6,600: This is definitely the riskiest fade of the bunch the way Barrett has been playing, but this one really scares me. What’s really worrisome is his efficiency in this sort of matchup. We’re talking about a guy who shoots just 40 percent from the field and 26 percent from three-point range. That seems unlikely to improve against a Utah team that sits Top-6 in defensive efficiency, field goal percentage defense, and three-point percentage defense.
  • Kevin Huerter (ATL) $5,600: With Danilo Gallinari, De’Andre Hunter, and Cam Reddish all healthy, Huerter has too many bodies to compete with for minutes. That doesn’t even include John Collins, which held Huerter to just eight points, two rebounds, and two assists on Sunday. That’s even more frightening when you consider that he’s facing a top-notch Clippers defense.
  • Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, Patrick Beverley, Thomas Bryant, Rui Hachimura, Christian Wood, Davis Bertans, and Bogdan Bogdanovic are all expected to sit here. Trae Young and Clint Capela are questionable too.

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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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