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FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy: Tuesday (1/12)

by Zachary Hanshew | @ZaktheMonster | Featured Writer
Jan 12, 2021

Jamal Murray can score 50 FD points with ease.

It’s Tuesday, and we’ve got a solid, five-game NBA slate on deck. As always, we’ll name values, studs, and fades for the day’s DFS festivities. Let’s get right to it!

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Most Value Per Dollar

Players expected to generate the most value relative to salary.

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Mike Conley (UTH) at CLE $7,100 ⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jamal Murray (DEN) at BKN $7,000 ⭐⭐⭐ High
George Hill (OKC) vs. SA $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

  • Conley’s coming off a 42-FD-point performance Sunday, and he’s got a great chance to keep the production coming against a shorthanded Cavs squad tonight.
  • Murray is coming off two really poor showings, and his ownership is likely to be way down. At just $7K, I’ll take a stab in GPPs, given his huge upside. Murray can score 50 FD points with ease, and while we’ve only seen a couple of blowup games from him thus far, the potential of another is always lurking.
  • Hill consistently sees minutes in the high-20’s, and he’s eclipsed 30 FD points twice this season. His affordable salary makes him attractive in a favorable matchup with his former team.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Damyean Dotson (CLE) vs. UTH $5,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High
Gary Harris (DEN) at BKN $4,600 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Talen Horton-Tucker (LAL) at HOU $4,500 ⭐⭐ High

  • Dotson’s averaged just a hair under 34 FD points across his last three contests while playing at least 35 minutes in each.
  • Harris doesn’t have huge upside, but he’s consistently scored 20 FD points or better this season, and he can get hot on any given night.
  • THT went off for 37.5 FD points in Sunday’s win over Houston, and he could be in line for another big performance, especially if one or both of LeBron James or Anthony Davis are forced to sit out.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Eric Gordon (HOU) vs. LAL $4,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Justin Holiday (IND) at GSW $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Cedi Osman (CLE) vs. UTH $5,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

  • Gordon is questionable with a leg injury tonight, but if he goes, he should be in lineups as a huge value play. John Wall is a GTD, and if he’s out, Houston’s backcourt would be whittled down to a skeleton crew.
  • Holiday faces the most generous matchup at the SF position tonight, and the game has a projected 228.5 over/under. He’s averaged better than 30 minutes across his last five games, giving Holiday some appeal as a low-cost option.
  • Osman continues to see plenty of run for the shorthanded Cavs, and he’s been well worth his value in four of his last five contests.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Trey Lyles (SA) at OKC $3,600 ⭐⭐⭐ High
Doug McDermott (IND) at GSW $3,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

  • If you’re really looking to dig deep for savings tonight, Lyles could be your man. DeMar DeRozan (personal) is out, and Lyles should be in line for another start. Lyles scored 20 FD points in 35 minutes Sunday, and that kind of playing time gives him plenty of value at such a low cost.
  • Dougie McBuckets has totaled 33 points and five boards across his last two, and while there’s plenty of risk to absorb, he could certainly pay handsome value if his three-point shot is falling. The potential absence of Victor Oladipo (rest) would mean more offensive opportunities for McDermott.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Rudy Gobert (UTH) @CLE $8,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low

  • Gobert is about as steady as they come from a fantasy perspective. He’s not a high scorer, but his elite rebounding and work as a defender provide him a sturdy floor with upside for those nights when he gets it going on offense.

Studs Worth Their Salary

  • James Harden (HOU) $10,400: Harden hasn’t been the same DFS stud we’ve seen in previous seasons, but make no mistake – he’s still got 70-point upside. His price may never be lower, and if John Wall is forced to sit tonight, Harden’s value should only increase.
  • Kevin Durant (BKN) $10,100: No Kyrie Irving means plenty of KD tonight. His price continues to creep up, but he’s a bona fide stud who should see plenty of minutes and a ton of usage against Denver.
  • Domantas Sabonis (IND) $9,200: The big man is putting up huge numbers this season, and he went 28/22 just three days ago. Facing a generous Warriors’ frontcourt defense, Sabonis is in play tonight.
  • Caris LeVert (BKN) $7,900: LeVert has provided some monster games this season, and with Kyrie Irving out, LeVert should be the Nets’ second option on offense behind only Durant. This game has the highest over/under on the slate (231.5), and getting LeVert and KD into lineups together wouldn’t be a bad idea.

Notable Players to Fade

  • LeBron James (LAL) $9,900: James’ price continues to drop, but he’s still almost $10K on a slate that offers better top-dollar options. The King is averaging just under 46 FD points per game this season, and he hasn’t eclipsed 50 FD points in any of his last three contests.
  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) $11,400: The upside is undeniable, as Jokic has been a walking triple-double with some gaudy stat lines thus far. But every stud gets too expensive at some point, and it’s not prudent to spend almost a fifth of the salary cap on one guy, even if he can net you 70 points. I’d prefer to pivot to James Harden, whose ownership is likely to be depreciated given his recent play.

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Zachary Hanshew is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Zachary, check out his archive and follow him @zakthemonster.