Most fantasy leagues have their championship games in Week 17, but some of you play all the way to the whistle. For those of you whose season-long leagues are still active in Week 18, we’ve got you covered with waiver recommendations.
There are no recommended bids this week since the amount of FAAB money you have left is basically the sole determinant of bid size. As always, we’re only listing players who are available in no more than 50% of Yahoo leagues. We’ll list at least 1-2 low-rostered players at each position for those of you in deeper leagues.
In some instances, the questionable motivation of some teams will keep us from recommending certain players. The Ravens, 49ers, Chiefs and Browns are locked into their playoff positions and thus have little to play for. Joe Flacco would normally be an appealing option, and he’s rostered in under 50% of Yahoo leagues, but it seems unlikely that Flacco will play the duration of the Browns’ game against the Bengals this weekend, if at all.
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Rostership percentages are based on Yahoo leagues. Recommended FAAB bids are based on a $100 budget.
RUNNING BACKS
Jamaal Williams (NO): 18% rostered
Next Opponent: ATL
Analysis: Alvin Kamara has an ankle injury that is believed to be a high-ankle sprain. With Kamara leaving early last Sunday against the Buccaneers, Williams wound up getting a season-high 19 carries for 58 yards. Not normally much of a pass catcher, Williams also had four receptions for 13 yards last week. If Kamara misses Week 18, Williams should handle a massive workload against the Falcons in the regular-season finale. I think Williams should be the top waiver add of the week for anyone who still has skin in the game.
Roschon Johnson (CHI): 30% rostered
Next Opponent: @GB
Analysis: Johnson and Khalil Herbert split snaps nearly 50/50 in the Bears’ Week 17 win over the Falcons, and Johnson finished with 7-21-1 rushing and 3-38-0 receiving, good for 14.9 PPR points. D’Onta Foreman was a healthy inactive for the Bears last week, so it appears this has gone from a three-man backfield to a two-man show. Roschon gets a favorable Week 18 matchup against a Green Bay defense that ranks 26th in DVOA vs. the run and has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to running backs.
Tyler Allgeier (ATL): 47% rostered
Next Opponent: @NO
Analysis: Despite playing second fiddle to Bijan Robinson in the Atlanta backfield, Allgeier is averaging 11.3 carries a game this season. He had only six touches against the Bears last week, but one of them was a 75-yard TD catch. Allgeier probably isn’t going to be a Week 18 savior for any fantasy manager counting on him, but his relatively sturdy floor gives him some appeal.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Demarcus Robinson (LAR): 28% rostered
Next Opponent: @SF
Analysis: Robinson’s streak of four consecutive games with a TD catch was snapped in Week 17, but D-Rob still had a nice day, finishing with six catches for a season-high 92 yards against the Giants. Despite being the Rams’ No. 3 receiver behind Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Robinson has been WR12 in PPR fantasy scoring over the last five weeks. He’s a solid Week 18 fantasy option against the 49ers, who might be resting some of their starters since San Francisco has clinched the No. 1 seed in the NFC and has nothing to play for this week.
Darius Slayton (NYG): 3% rostered
Next Opponent: PHI
Analysis: Slayton has been on a heater lately, with 11-259-2 on 17 targets over his last three games, making him the WR12 in half-point PPR scoring over that stretch. He gets a delicious Week 17 matchup against the Eagles, who have given up more fantasy points and more receptions to wide receivers than any other team in the league.
Wan’Dale Robinson (NYG): 11% rostered
Next Opponent: PHI
Analysis: I would personally rather use Darius Slayton in fantasy this week than Robinson, but Wan’Dale admittedly has the safer floor and isn’t a bad Week 18 option in PPR leagues. Over his last four games, Wan’Dale has 19-175-0 on 27 targets. He hasn’t recorded a TD catch since Week 9, but Wan’Dale had a 24-yard TD run against the Rams last week. A matchup against the Eagles’ and their flammable pass defense adds to Wan’Dale’s appeal.
Jameson Williams (DET): 22% rostered
Next Opponent: MIN
Analysis: With chronically low target volume, Williams doesn’t offer a safe weekly floor. But the speedy second-year receiver has gotten a slight usage uptick over the last month, with snap shares in the 57%-68% range in each of his last five games. Williams has some serious splash-play potential, and he’ll be facing a Vikings pass defense that looked completely out of sorts in a New Year’s Eve loss to the Packers. Please that Williams sustained an ankle injury in Week 17, though it’s believed to be a low-ankle sprain. If that’s the case, he should be able to play this week.
Julio Jones (PHI): 1% rostered
Next Opponent: @NYG
Analysis: Jones would only be worth considering if DeVonta Smith were to miss Week 18 after sustaining an ankle injury last weekend. Julio only had two receptions last week against the Cardinals, but both of them went for touchdowns — a 12-yarder and a 22-yarder. Julio gets a favorable Week 18 matchup against the Giants, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to WRs. But again, Jones is only fantasy-viable if the Eagles are forced to play without Smith.
QUARTERBACKS
Gardner Minshew (IND): 32% rostered
Next Opponent: HOU
Analysis: Although he’s only thrown one TD pass in his last two games, Minshew has provided high-end QB2 value since the start of December. He’s QB14 in fantasy scoring over the last five weeks, averaging 15.6 fantasy points over that stretch. Minshew is a solid Week 18 streaming option against a Houston defense that yielded 368 passing yards and three TD passes to the Browns a couple of weeks ago, and also gave up 301 passing yards and a pair of TD passes to the Jets’ Zach Wilson last month.
Derek Carr (NO): 48% rostered
Next Opponent: ATL
Analysis: It’s been an uneven season for Carr, but the veteran quarterback has thrown multiple TD passes in four consecutive games and is QB10 in fantasy scoring over that stretch. He gets a Week 18 matchup against a Falcons defense that just gave up 37 points to Justin Fields and the Bears. Atlanta has allowed the 14th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.
Nick Mullens (MIN): 7% rostered
Next Opponent: @DET
Analysis: Mullens is an interception machine, which is the reason rookie fifth-rounder Jaren Hall started at quarterback for the Vikings in Week 17. But Hall was unable to move the Minnesota offense in the first half of a lopsided New Year’s Eve loss to the Packers, and Mullens was reinserted for the second half. It’s possible that Mullens has another interception binge and goes right back to the bench. But Mullens is an aggressive downfield thrower, which gives him a lofty ceiling for fantasy. Mullens has a favorable matchup against the Lions, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points and eighth-most passing yards to QBs.
TIGHT ENDS
Tucker Kraft (GB): 20% rostered
Next Opponent: CHI
Analysis: With fellow rookie TE Luke Musgrave sidelined by a lacerated kidney for the last six weeks, Kraft has been TE7 in half-point PPR scoring over that stretch, with 23-281-2 on 30 targets. He’s a fine streaming option this week against a Bears defense that has yielded the fifth-most fantasy points and fifth-most receptions to TEs this season.
Juwan Johnson (NO): 15% rostered
Next Opponent: ATL
Analysis: Johnson has emerged as a key cog in the New Orleans offense in recent weeks. He’s scored a touchdown in three consecutive games, and over the last two weeks Johnson has 12-138-2 on 19 targets. He gets a favorable matchup this week against an Atlanta defense that has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to TEs.
Gerald Everett (LAC): 42% rostered
Next Opponent: KC
Analysis: With WRs Keenan Allen and Joshua Palmer sidelined by injuries last week, Everett had a team-high nine targets for the Chargers. He finished with only four receptions for 31 yards, and it’s not optimal that the targets are coming from QB Easton Stick. But the Chargers have little incentive to rush Allen or Palmer back for a meaningless regular-season finale, so Everett seems likely to get another heavy dose of targets Sunday vs. the Chiefs.
DEFENSES
Detroit Lions: 27% rostered
Next Opponent: MIN
Analysis: The Lions don’t have a great deal of motivation for Week 18 — an outside chance of going from the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoffs to the No. 2 seed — but Detroit’s defense is still an appealing option this week against Minnesota. The Vikings have committed 15 turnovers in their last six games. They could muster only 10 points against the Packers last week, and Minnesota’s lone touchdown came after Green Bay muffed a punt return deep in its own territory.
New England Patriots: 21% rostered
Next Opponent: NYJ
Analysis: The Patriots’ defense gets a terrific Week 18 matchup against the Jets, who are giving up 12.4 fantasy points per game to opposing defenses, most in the league. New England only ranks 23rd in defensive scoring for the season, but the Patriots’ D has been on an upswing lately (at least from a fantasy perspective), averaging 9.2 fantasy points over its last six games.
Las Vegas Raiders: 32% rostered
Next Opponent: DEN
Analysis: Led by edge rusher extraordinaire Maxx Crosby, the Raiders’ vastly underrated defense now ranks sixth in defensive fantasy scoring, averaging 14.8 points over its last four games. Las Vegas gets a nice Week 18 matchup against the Broncos and QB Jarrett Stidham, who’s thrown three interceptions and has been sacked eight times in three career starts.
New Orleans Saints: 49% rostered
Next Opponent: ATL
Analysis: The New Orleans defense has scored 14 or more fantasy points in three of its last four games. The Saints have a Week 18 date with the division-rival Falcons, who coughed up four turnovers last week against the Bears.
KICKERS
Brandon McManus (JAX): 36% rostered
Next Opponent: @TEN
Analysis: McManus drilled four field goals last week in the Jaguars’ 26-0 win over the Panthers. Now, Jacksonville has a critical road game against Tennessee, which has allowed a league-high 11.0 fantasy points per game to opposing kickers.
Ka’imi Fairbairn (HOU): 7% rostered
Next Opponent: @IND
Analysis: In the 11 games he’s played this season, the ultra-reliable Fairbairn has converted 26-of-27 field goals and 19-of-19 extra points. The Texans’ offense has been potent this season whenever rookie phenom C.J. Stroud has been quarterbacking the team, so Fairbairn should have scoring opportunities this week against the Colts, who have given up the third-most fantasy points to kickers. Fairbairn won’t have to deal with weather effects in Week 18, since he’ll be kicking in a dome.
Cairo Santos (CHI): 9% rostered
Next Opponent: @GB
Analysis: Santos has been on a tear, averaging 12.1 fantasy points over his last seven games. He’s converted 21-of-24 field goals during that stretch. This Sunday, Santos will be kicking in Green Bay, where weather conditions are often suboptimal this time of year. Luckily, the forecast calls for tolerable temperatures in the low 30s with light winds.
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