The players below are the ones I’m looking at for NFL DFS GPP considerations this week. Salaries marked with an * indicate a strong value in pricing difference on FanDuel.
Week 4 NFL DFS GPP Advice & Picks
Quarterbacks
Josh Allen (QB – BUF) @ NO | DraftKings: $7,700/FanDuel: $9,000*
There’s risk associated with playing Josh Allen this week, hence the lower rostership despite having the highest projected points for the week. New Orleans is an excellent matchup, perhaps too good a matchup. Realistically, Allen may not play the entire game.
The players below are the ones I’m looking at for NFL DFS GPP considerations this week. Salaries marked with an * indicate a strong value in pricing difference on FanDuel.
Week 4 NFL DFS GPP Advice & Picks
Quarterbacks
Josh Allen (QB – BUF) @ NO | DraftKings: $7,700/FanDuel: $9,000*
There’s risk associated with playing Josh Allen this week, hence the lower rostership despite having the highest projected points for the week. New Orleans is an excellent matchup, perhaps too good a matchup. Realistically, Allen may not play the entire game.
However, Buffalo’s defense has been average, at best, and Spencer Rattler has been adequate. If New Orleans can stay within two touchdowns, Allen likely plays the full game, and this is an excellent matchup for Allen to attack through the air. The Saints have allowed an average of two passing touchdowns a game, facing Kyler Murray, Mac Jones and Sam Darnold.
Justin Herbert will be a popular play this week due to the matchup, but not the most popular. The Chargers’ offense is long thought of as run-heavy, but they’ve leaned into the pass, and Herbert is thriving with a deep arsenal of weapons.
Herbert threw for 300 yards last week against a tough Denver defense and could pick apart the Giants’ defense. You can get creative in stacking with all three receivers, and you have natural run-backs with both Malik Nabers and Cam Skattebo.
Additional Considerations
Running Backs
Bijan Robinson’s early-season performances have been good, but not slate-breaking for the pricing, causing a dip in rostership this week. Robinson is producing in terms of yardage. However, he has just one touchdown on the season. The problem isn’t Robinson; it’s Michael Penix Jr.
The Falcons’ offense has been stagnant, particularly in last week’s shutout loss to the Panthers, where Penix struggled against the Panthers’ secondary. This week’s matchup against Washington is a far easier matchup for Penix. If he can move the ball well and provide red-zone opportunities, Robinson could be in line for his best performance of the season.
Quinson Judkins’ lack of offseason preparation is clearly not an issue. He’s the Browns’ unquestioned lead back and thriving. Last week, he picked apart a Packers’ defense that held Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to fewer than 50 rushing yards.
This week’s matchup isn’t ideal, but it’s not a complete no-go either. The Lions tend to limit yardage but do allow touchdowns. This is a risky play because the Browns must keep the game close enough not to abandon the run. However, it’s a play that will garner extremely low rostership.
We’re staying on the high-risk track here. Logically, one would assume the Patriots’ coaching staff would see the three fumbles — all from running backs not named TreVeyon Henderson — and make the logical choice of turning to their electric second-round rookie.
The Patriots can’t be trusted to make such logical decisions, so Henderson remains a boom-or-bust play this week. Given the matchup and likely lean towards low rostership, Henderson is a very intriguing play in GPPs.
Additional Considerations
Wide Receivers
Salaries are on the rise for Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston, causing a dip in rostership after a chalk Week 3 for Allen. Despite the rise, they’re both still reasonably priced with a $1,000 discount compared to Ladd McConkey, whom they are outperforming.
Allen is the more stable play, but Johnston has showcased higher upside. With pricing, it’s reasonable to use both, particularly when stacking with Herbert.
Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) vs. PHI | DraftKings: $6,800/FanDuel: $7,000*
Emeka Egbuka has been a rather chalky play due to his low salary. Now he’s the fifth-highest-priced player on the slate on DraftKings, and naturally, many will gravitate towards the more traditional superstars when they’re $1,000 cheaper.
The matchup isn’t ideal, but the Eagles do allow volume to elite players. With Mike Evans out and Chris Godwin potentially returning with an unknown workload, Egbuka is still a very high upside play.
We needed to give it one week just to see his snaps and what kind of volume Christian Kirk would garner. Kirk returned at full capacity and saw eight targets. While the production was minuscule, this week’s matchup has promise.
The Titans’ defense has been underwhelming against the pass. Consider last week a warm-up for developing chemistry with C.J. Stroud. Kirk could easily outperform his projections and provide high value at his salary.
Michael Pittman remains undervalued for his pricing. We want to have pieces from this matchup with one of the highest point totals on the slate. The Colts’ offense is in a groove, and while the Rams’ defense is strong, they do tend to allow points due to game scripts.
Pittman has had solid volume but has been reaching his ceiling through touchdowns. This is a game where we should see his volume increase.
Additional Considerations
Tight Ends
We’re running it back here with Juwan Johnson, who had another solid volume day but was unceremoniously vultured for a touchdown by Jack Stoll.
Johnson remains the second most-consistent pass-catcher behind Chris Olave, and despite the slight rise in pricing, still offers the best salary per projections. The Saints should be playing catch-up and pushing volume.
Brock Bowers (TE – LV) vs. CHI | DraftKings: $5,800/FanDuel: $6,700*
Brock Bowers has been incredibly underwhelming since injuring his knee and is pacing well below his 2024 numbers. Bowers practiced in full this week, indicating we could see a better version of him moving forward.
Given the matchup, we’ll likely see aggressive rostership for Jakobi Meyers and a likely boost to Tre Tucker. Bowers will still garner rostership, but if Meyers is a heavy focus, Bowers offers a strong contrarian play that could give you the edge.
Additional Considerations
D/ST
New England D/ST vs. CAR | DraftKings: $3,100/FanDuel: $4,300
The Panthers shut out the Falcons 30-0 last week, but it wasn’t because the Panthers’ offense was particularly thriving. Bryce Young threw just 121 yards. The Patriots’ defense should get an upgrade to their secondary with the looming return of Christian Gonzalez.
Young is struggling with volume and has been prone to turnovers. The Patriots could put up points on defense at a slightly discounted price and lower rostership compared to several of the higher-priced options on the slate.
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