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Players to Buy
CeeDee Lamb once again commanded elite usage, drawing a 31% target share and 42% of the team’s air yards, but failed to find the end zone despite multiple end-zone targets and 117 incomplete air yards. He finished with 7 catches for 85 yards on 12 targets and remains a prime buy-low candidate given his consistent volume and elite route involvement.
Lamb is averaging a 28% target share since returning from injury in Week 7. If you can trade for him on his bye week to a manager with a losing record…Full send.
Last four games when healthy, Drake London has averaged 12.5 targets, 7.7 receptions, and 107 receiving yards per game. Solid playoff schedule as well (TB, ARI, LAR).
Always be buying.
Baker Mayfield completed 15 of 24 passes for 152 yards without a touchdown or interception, managing the offense efficiently but without much explosiveness through the air in Week 8. His leading target was Emeka Egbuka, who drew a team-high nine targets, catching three passes for 35 yards. Down game for the rookie, but the usage was solid again for a second straight game.
58% air yards share and a 38% target share (67 incomplete air yards) to go with two more end-zone targets. It’s ironic that finally Egbuka is getting alpha usage, but the production has been lackluster. When to start the year, he was overproducing based on a sub-par role. Either way, you want to go aggressively after Egbuka in his bye week. 10-plus targets per game over the last two games. Four end zone targets. Over 180 incomplete air yards.
Remember…Egbuka hurt his hamstring two weeks ago and almost didn’t play versus the Lions. Coming out of the bye week, he should be closer to full go.
Pat Freiermuth returned to the end zone, catching three of four targets for 27 yards and a red-zone touchdown. Jonnu Smith (3-25) and DK Metcalf (2-6) chipped in minimal gains on just four targets. Metcalf was put back in his low ADOT role with two RZ targets inside the 5-yard line – while Roman Wilson (1-4) and running back Kaleb Johnson (1-9) rounded out the receiving production. Bad game for Metcalf’s usage with Rodgers only attempting quick throws. Even so…I still love the schedule for DK. He’s already had his bye week and seems destined to be a fantasy WR2 at worst ROS, even if he doesn’t score a TD every single week (even though it seems like it happens every week). However, I think you can wait…given his price might get cheaper if the Steelers trade for a WR before the November 4th deadline.
The Steelers ROS schedule is GREAT for WRs, and No.1 in the fantasy playoffs: Dolphins, Lions, and Browns.
Buying Metcalf after his worst game of the season is a quintessential process buy low maneuver.
Jaylen Waddle once again served as the offensive focal point in Tyreek Hill‘s absence, commanding a 23% target share and 35% air yards share. He caught six of nine targets for 82 yards, and it could have been an even bigger day had a long reception not been wiped out by a questionable tripping penalty. Waddle has now topped 82 yards in four of his five games this season without Hill, averaging over seven targets and 78 yards per contest when Hill plays fewer than 50% of snaps or misses entirely (9-game sample size). He’s cemented himself as an auto-start WR1 with Hill out. After the BAL-MIA game, Miami fired its general manager but reaffirmed its commitment to head coach Mike McDaniel, ensuring continuity for an offense built around speed and spacing. The Dolphins’ final eight games feature five at home — an ideal setup for fantasy production. With Achane commanding elite usage and Waddle thriving as the WR1 in Hill’s absence, this offense remains a buy-low opportunity for savvy managers looking ahead to the fantasy playoffs.
Rookie Tetairoa McMillan led the team in targets (6, 30% target share), receptions (4), and yards (46), while Xavier Legette added a 22-yard grab on a deep shot. 53% air yards share.
Again, Rico Dowdle stole the production, but McMillan’s peripherals are super strong – as they have been all season.
The rookie WR is 12th in XPPG this season. Also, the Panthers have a top-10 schedule ROS for WRs.
If Ricky Pearsall starts practicing this week, it’s possible he could return this week. Another buy among this 49ers WR room. PFF’s 21st-highest graded WR in four games played. And he has a chance to practice/play this week.
Must-add/trade for dirt-cheap.
Jakobi Meyers will provide a slight boost to Trevor Lawrence – although his impact after being traded is probably better for his individual WR fantasy value, given the history of Liam Coen and slot WRs.
Romeo Doubs led the way with 10 targets, catching 7 passes for 91 yards (41% air yards share) and serving as Love’s primary chain-mover, while Christian Watson flashed explosiveness before getting banged up, hauling in 2 catches for 58 yards — including a 52-yard deep shot that set up a score. Watson averaged nearly 27 air yards per target and ran a route on 79% of the dropbacks playing a full-time role. Add Watson given all the injuries.
Players to Sell
Brown missed Week 8 and could return post-bye, but the Eagles’ passing volatility creates weekly boom-or-bust outcomes. With DeVonta Smith thriving and Saquon Barkley starting to heat up, target volume may normalize lower. His name still commands WR1 trade value despite the fact that Smith has been the more productive WR this season. Sell into that brand before Philadelphia leans heavier on the run.
After two strong weeks – you “could” get a ton for DeVonta Smith. A.J. Brown should return after the bye week (although hamstring injuries can be tricky). Or even trading AJB should still be on your radar. Eagles offense was fine on Sunday without jamming him targets.
And as I think about this situation more…shouldn’t Smith be valued over AJB?
This season, Smith is PFF’s 9th-highest graded WR. Brown is 23rd. Through 7 games they have nearly identical target shares. However Smith has been much more efficient. Has more yards/catches by a substantial margin. Smith is averaging 2.24 yards per route. Career high.
I always talk about No. 2 WRs being undervalued…and Smith feels like that guy because of AJB’s alpha-ness. But given the way AJB has carried him self this season, I think Smith might finish this season as the Eagles No. 1 WR. We have seen teams phase out alphas post bye weeks.
And don’t forget that Brown still needs to overcome this hamstring…which might be a contributing factor to his lack of efficiency in 2025.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI)
Marvin Harrison Jr. delivered a signature performance, catching 7 (career-high) of 10 targets for 96 yards and a touchdown, including 5 receptions for 61 yards and the score against DaRon Bland. Harrison roasted Bland repeatedly, and per Next Gen Stats, the Cowboys corner allowed 9 receptions for 144 yards, the third-most by any defender in a game this season. Last week, I mentioned I didn’t think it was going to happen with Marv Jr. with Kyler Murray as his QB. Also, not in love with the start of the postseason schedule either for Arizona (HOU, ATL), but Cincy in Week 17 might be all that matters. Last week wasn’t the week to sell. Dallas is the gift that keeps on giving, and that was proved true on MNF. But I’m not nearly as convinced Murray is going to return as the starter. Arizona’s offense has been better with Brissett. But Jonathan Gannon said post-game that Murray will be the starting quarterback when he returns. Ergo, the offense could regress from what we have seen with Brissett. Unfortunately, that makes MHJ a sell high. I think you can wait this week, though, before shipping him off just to gather more info on Murray’s status for Week 10. But if we get more news about Brissett being the starter the rest of the way…that’s a plus for this offense.
With Oronde Gadsden emerging and Ladd McConkey reclaiming WR1 status…QJ is will be tough to trust and difficult for fantasy managers to deal with. It’s now 3 games since his injury that his targets have tanked (sub-18% target shares).
Something has also happened to Keenan Allen, who is entering a similar TD or bust territory with his targets falling off in the last two contests. We know that these Chargers WRs have weekly upside. They play Dallas in Week 16. Even if QJ/Allen rides your bench or is a boom/bust option until Week 16…that one game alone could make them worth targeting/rostering as I explained last week. That being said…Johnston is still PFF’s 35th-lowest graded WR this season. The lowest among the top-3 Bolts WRs.
Long story short – all these Chargers WRs/TEs have tremendously weekly upside. If somebody is undervaluing that week-winning potential. I’d take advantage. Like we saw with QJ’s injury…just takes one guy to miss for the production floodgates to open for the other Chargers pass-catchers. But if the volatile nature of QJ is too much – or he just can’t be dealt then I think you have to hold him. A very price-dependent player that should be traded a lot. I think there’s a price where QJ and/or Allen is serviceable, but they project to be very boom-or-bust. When the Chargers get Omarion Hampton back they could lean on the ground game more. Also FWIW, the Chargers ROS for WRs in near the bottom of the league (playoffs withstanding of course).
Layer in the OL injuries with Joe Alt – and the offense becomes more of an issue. Alt will miss the rest of the season with his ankle injury. Bobby Hart also got hurt versus the Titans. The OL injuries are a big concern for Quentin Johnston – given he runs the most deep/go routes. Less time makes it more likely Herbert goes to his quick outlets – ie, his slot WRs and his tight end who can create yards after the catch. So, although I opened this section a bit pessimistic on Allen…he leads the Chargers in targets Weeks 4-7 when Joe Alt played just 10 snaps. We might see his targets bounce back – so I think he’s a hold if you didn’t already trade him away. QJ very much remains the sell-high after the TD grab. Schedule is tough over the next four weeks for WRs and bottom-7 ROS.
Over the next four games…the Chargers have the worst schedule for WRs in the NFL.
Samuel handled his usual hybrid role, catching 5 of 6 targets for 41 yards (27% target share) and adding a 3-yard rush. His usage remains strong, though the quarterback change could limit red-zone opportunities. Looked better after coming off the injury report this past week.
Still, Samuel’s tendencies to fall off in the second halves of seasons – especially in what looks like a lost year for Washington – is concerning. Samuel has finished outside the top-45 fantasy WRs in three straight games…despite averaging over 5 targets/game.
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