The Primer: Week 10 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

Winter is coming.

The clocks have fallen back. The leaves are blanketing the ground. Christmas music is blaring at every store, and decor is on display (yes…don’t get me started). With the page turning and holidays approaching, that also means that the fantasy playoffs will soon be here. We are about to be in stuffin’ and cuffin’ season down the home stretch. This is where teams separate, and fantasy football contenders and pretenders emerge. Which are you? Let’s find out in Week 10.

Welcome to the Week 10 Primer. Enjoy.

LV vs. DEN | ATL vs. IND | NO vs. CAR | NYG vs. CHI | NE vs. TB | BUF vs. MIA | BAL vs. MIN | JAC vs. HOU | CLE vs. NYJ | ARI vs. SEA | DET vs. WAS | LAR vs. SF | PIT vs. LAC | PHI vs. GB

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Fantasy Football Primer

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos

• DEN -9, O/U 42.5
• Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Raiders Players & Weekly Rankings

Broncos Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Brock Bowers

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Bo Nix (QB)

Bo Nix is the QB7 in fantasy points per game as his rushing production and passing touchdown rate have helped to mask some serious accuracy issues. Nix has three rushing scores and at least 20 rushing yards in six games. Among 41 qualifying passers, he ranks third in passing touchdowns, but that’s where the gravy train stops as he is also 33rd in yards per attempt, 26th in highly accurate throw rate, 37th in catchable target rate, and 15th in hero throw rate. Luckily, Nix has another plus matchup this week that he can exploit. Since Week 5, Las Vegas has allowed the 14th most passing yards per game, the third-highest CPOE, and the tenth-highest success rate per dropback.

J.K. Dobbins (RB)

J.K. Dobbins remains the early down hammer for the Denver offense with little passing game utility. He has only one target in five of his last six games. Dobbins is the RB24 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16.1 touches and 78.3 total yards. Among 62 qualifying backs, he ranks second in explosive run rate and 20th in missed tackle rate. Dobbins is 19th in red zone rushing attempts and tied for 18th in rushing attempts inside the ten-yard line. He should find more success on the ground this week. Since Week 5, they haven’t given up a ton of huge plays to rushing attacks, but they have allowed the 13th-highest success rate, the eighth-highest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt.

Courtland Sutton (WR)

Courtland Sutton is the WR24 in fantasy points per game commanding an 18.9% target share with 62.9 receiving yards per game, 2.02 yards per route run, and a 23.5% first-read share. Sutton is second on the team in red zone targets (six) and third in deep targets (ten). This week, he faces a Raiders’ secondary that has utilized single high with 56.1-69.6% of their defensive snaps in five of their last seven games. Against single high, Sutton has led the team with a 27% target per route run rate, 2.46 yards per route run, and a 28.7% first-read share. Sutton should smash this week against a secondary that since Week 5, has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Troy Franklin (WR)

Troy Franklin is the WR38 in fantasy points per game with four top-36 wide receiver finishes in weekly scoring (WR1, WR26, WR36, WR7). Franklin remains a high-leverage usage machine, ranking fourth in red zone targets and fourth in deep targets among wide receivers. Franklin has a 19.3% target share, 42.8 receiving yards per game, 1.50 yards per route run, and a 22.2% first-read share. This week, he faces a Raiders’ secondary that has utilized single high with 56.1-69.6% of their defensive snaps in five of their last seven games. Against single high, Franklin has seen his target share increase to 20.6% with 1.83 yards per route run and a 22.5% first-read share. He’s a strong flex again this week with top 24 upside. Since Week 5, Las Vegas has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

RJ Harvey (RB)

Last week, RJ Harvey had his highest snap rate since Week 4 (31.1%) and his highest route share (41%) and target share (13.5%) of the season. Sean Payton…don’t give me hope. Are you really going to increase his workload, or am I just going to be even more frustrated after Week 10 when I realize I got rugpulled again? It still only amounted to seven touches (five targets) and 56 total yards (one score) for R.J. Harvey. With the passing game usage and insane touchdown runout over the last two weeks, Harvey has been the RB7 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 4, he has been the RB21 in fantasy points per game. The usage has been volatile but profitable. Since Week 4, he has averaged 8.5 touches and 45.6 total yards per game. Among 62 qualifying backs, he ranks 27th in explosive run rate and 26th in missed tackles forced per attempt. This isn’t a good matchup for Harvey through the air, but he could get it done on the ground. The Raiders have allowed the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game and the fourth-lowest yards per reception to running backs. Since Week 5, they haven’t given up a ton of huge plays to rushing attacks, but they have allowed the 13th-highest success rate, the eighth-highest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt. Harvey remains flex viable weekly with his passing game role and his touchdown equity.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Geno Smith (QB)

Geno Smith just logged his second QB1 outing of the season (QB6) with his WR1 returning to full health, and I wish I could tell you that better things are incoming this week, but it isn’t so. Smith will have a tough time this week. Among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, Smith ranks 20th in yards per attempt, 16th in highly accurate throw rate, 38th in hero throw rate, and 30th in fantasy points per dropback. Even without Patrick Surtain, Denver still stood strong as a pass defense last week, limiting Houston to 191 yards, 5.4 yards per attempt, zero passing touchdowns, and a 72.5 passer rating. Since Week 5, they have allowed the ninth-fewest yards per game, the fifth-fewest yards per attempt, and the second-lowest success rate per dropback. Sit Smith.

Ashton Jeanty (RB)

Ashton Jeanty hasn’t lived up to the draft season hype, but that doesn’t mean he has been terrible as the RB16 in fantasy points per game. He ranks 12th in snap share, fourth in opportunity share, and tenth in red zone touches. Jeanty has averaged 18 touches and 77.5 total yards. Among 62 qualifying backs, Jeanry ranks eighth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 25th in yards after contact per attempt. Jeanry will need all the volume he can get this week and likely a score to turn in a productive fantasy day. Since Week 5, Denver has allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game, the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the lowest yards before contact per attempt, and managed the fifth-best stuff rate. Jeanty has averaged 3.8 targets, three receptions, and 26 receiving yards across his last five games, which should help pad his fantasy box score this week.

Tre Tucker (WR)

I’ve said it a million times, but Tre Tucker‘s monster Week 3 performance was a wondrous outlier game. Since that game, he has had two red zone targets and hasn’t eclipsed 70 receiving yards in any game. In his other seven games played this season, Tucker has had a 15.9% target share with 40.3 receiving yards per game with 1.31 yards per route run, and a 20.7% first-read share. Since Week 5, Denver has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Sit Tucker.

LV vs. DEN | ATL vs. IND | NO vs. CAR | NYG vs. CHI | NE vs. TB | BUF vs. MIA | BAL vs. MIN | JAC vs. HOU | CLE vs. NYJ | ARI vs. SEA | DET vs. WAS | LAR vs. SF | PIT vs. LAC | PHI vs. GB

Atlanta Falcons vs. Indianapolis Colts

• IND -6.5, O/U 48.5
• Atlanta Falcons vs. Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Falcons Players & Weekly Rankings

Colts Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Bijan Robinson
• Drake London
• Jonathan Taylor
• Tyler Warren

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Daniel Jones (QB)

Yes, Daniel Jones had a rough Week 9. Does that wipe out everything else he has done this season? Nope. Players have down games. It happens, and we move on. Jones is the QB9 in fantasy points per game. Among 41 qualifying passers, Jones ranks sixth in yards per attempt, tenth in highly accurate throw rate and catchable target rate, and seventh in fantasy points per dropback. He continues to add value on the ground, especially near the goal line with ten rushing yards per game and five rushing scores. Jones should have a bounceback game this week against an Atlanta secondary that since Week 5, has allowed the 13th-highest yards per attempt and success rate per dropback, the 14th-highest passer rating, and the 11th-most passing touchdowns (tied).

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR)

Michael Pittman Jr. is having a standout season as the WR10 in fantasy points per game. He has seven red zone targets and six deep targets this season. Pittman has a 22.1% target share with 62.3 receiving yards per game, 2.07 yards per route run, and a 26% first-read share. This week, he faces an Atlanta secondary that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (73.2%). Against single high, he has a strong 21% target share with 1.60 yards per route run and a 23.6% first-read share. Alec Pierce will likely lead the way this week against single high, but Pittman shouldn’t be far behind him. Since Week 5, Atlanta has allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Alec Pierce (WR)

Well, I hope you read the Primer last week and started Alec Pierce. Last week, he finished as the WR14 with a 24% target share, 115 receiving yards, and a 33.3% first-read share. This week, he is primed to have another nice outing. Like last week, he faces another single high heavy team and should exploit it. This week, he faces an Atlanta secondary that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (73.2%). Against single high, Pierce has a 27.6% target share with 3.69 yards per route run and a 32.5% first-read share. Those are elite numbers no matter how ya slice it. Since Week 5, Atlanta has allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Start Pierce again this week and enjoy.

Kyle Pitts (TE)

Kyle Pitts is the TE12 in fantasy points per game and has seen five red zone targets and three deep targets this season. Pitts is having a strong season, and it’s like no one cares. He has a 20% target share with 47.8 receiving yards per game, 1.49 yards per route run, and a 17.4% first-read share. Pitts should post another nice TE1 stat line in Week 10. Indy has been a wonderful matchup for tight ends, giving up the third-most receiving yards per game, the eighth-highest yards per reception, and the sixth-most fantasy points per game to the position.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Michael Penix Jr. (QB)

Michael Penix Jr. has three QB1 outings this season (QB10, QB10, QB12). For a quarterback who has to rely solely upon his passing acumen to score fantasy points, it has been tough. He has quietly struggled as a passer this season. Among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 23rd in yards per attempt, 38th in highly accurate throw rate and catchable target rate, and 29th in fantasy points per dropback. Penix should be able to rack up solid QB2 production this week. Since Week 5, Indy has allowed the third-most passing yards per game while ranking 17th in success rate per dropback and 15th in CPOE.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Josh Downs (WR)

Josh Downs has finished as a top-36 wide receiver in weekly scoring in each game since Week 5 (WR34, WR15, WR27, WR22). Since Week 5, he has had an 18.2% target share, 48 receiving yards per game, 1.86 yards per route run, and a 21.6% first-read share. In those four games, he has seven red zone targets and one deep target. His route share in those games has been a decent 66%. This week, he faces an Atlanta secondary that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (73.2%). Since Week 5, against single high, his target share has dipped to 13.2% with 1.34 yards per route run and a 15.7% first-read share. Since Week 5, Atlanta has held slot receivers to the 14th-fewest receiving yards per game and ranked 16th in PPR points per target. Downs is a middling flex play this week. He could easily score a touchdown and save his day, but I don’t project a standout performance.

Darnell Mooney (WR)

Darnell Mooney has been a ghost since his return to the lineup. Since Week 7, he has had a 9.4% target share with 31.3 receiving yards per game, 0.96 yards per route run, and a 15.9% first-read share. In those three games, he has only one red zone target and four deep targets. He has regulated to a downfield, low volume role with a 20.8 aDOT and 40% of his target volume coming via deep targets. Since Week 5, Indy has allowed the seventh-lowest passer rating and the eighth-lowest CPOE to downfield targets. Sit Mooney this week and he’s borderline droppable at this point.

LV vs. DEN | ATL vs. IND | NO vs. CAR | NYG vs. CHI | NE vs. TB | BUF vs. MIA | BAL vs. MIN | JAC vs. HOU | CLE vs. NYJ | ARI vs. SEA | DET vs. WAS | LAR vs. SF | PIT vs. LAC | PHI vs. GB

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers

• CAR -5, O/U 38.5
• New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Saints Players & Weekly Rankings

Panthers Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Rico Dowdle

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Tetairoa McMillan (WR)

Tetairoa McMillan is doing the best he can with the quarterback play and passing volume he has to work with as the WR35 in fantasy points per game. McMillan has a 23.8% target share with a 42% air-yard share with 62 receiving yards per game, 1.96 yards per route run, and a 29.1% first-read share. He leads the team with ten red zone targets and eight deep targets. McMillan remains a strong weekly play, and he has a nice matchup this week against a secondary that, since Week 5, has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers while ranking 16th in PPR points per target to the position. McMillan popped up on the injury report on Friday with a hamstring issue. He has been listed as questionable. He is active for Week 10.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Chris Olave (WR)

Chris Olave has been a volume-fueled WR2/3 this season as the WR17 in fantasy points per game. He has a 26.3% target share with 62.2 receiving yards per game, 1.79 yards per route run, and a 30.3% first-read share. Olave could see an even larger market share of targets moving forward with Rashid Shaheed heading to Seattle. Olave has eight red zone targets and 15 deep targets this season. If Tyler Shough can deliver him catchable targets (that’s a big if), Olave should have another strong game this week. Since Week 5, Carolina has allowed the 13th-most PPR points per target and the 14th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Juwan Johnson (TE)

Juwan Johnson is the TE15 in fantasy points per game with five TE1 outings this season in weekly scoring. In his nine games played, he has had five red zone targets and two deep targets. Johnson has a 17.5% target share, 44.3 receiving yards per game, 1.45 yards per route run, and a 21.1% first-read share. He’ll likely see a bump in target share with Rashid Shaheed gone. Johnson is a solid streaming tight end option this week, assuming he can get close to league-average quarterback play from Tyler Shough. Carolina has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game, the fourth-highest yards per reception, and the ninth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Tyler Shough (QB)

In Tyler Shough‘s first NFL start, he finished as the QB23 in fantasy with 176 passing yards, one passing touchdown, and 7.3 yards per attempt. His per-dropback accuracy remained horrendous with a 41.7% highly accurate throw rate, a 70.8% catchable target rate, and 16.7% of his throws deemed off-target. I don’t have a lot of faith in Shough to take advantage of good matchups right now, much less middle-of-the-road ones. Since Week 5, Carolina has allowed the 13th-lowest passing yards per game and passer rating, the 14th-fewest yards per attempt, and the ninth-lowest success rate per dropback. Sit Shough.

Bryce Young (QB)

Since Week 3, Bryce Young has finished higher than the QB23 in weekly scoring only once. He has eclipsed 200 passing yards only once this season and has only three games with multiple passing touchdowns. He’s not worth considering in fantasy right now in a run-first offense that is attempting to grind out wins. The Saints are a nice matchup for him this week, and maybe he makes me look silly, but I don’t think the passing volume will be there this week, although with the good matchup, maybe he runs hot with efficiency and passing touchdowns. Since Week 5, New Orleans has ranked 16th in yards per attempt while giving up the ninth-highest success rate per dropback and second-highest CPOE.

Alvin Kamara (RB)

The stink of the Saints’ offense has crushed Alvin Kamara. Since Week 5, he has averaged 11.2 touches and 44.4 total yards as the RB43 in fantasy points per game. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1. He has played 51.4-62.5% of the offensive snaps in four of his past five games. His per-touch efficiency remains bottom-of-the-barrel with only a 14% missed tackle rate and 1.69 yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 5, Carolina has allowed the tenth-fewest rushing yards per game, the 13th-fewest yards after contact per attempt, and the fourth-lowest success rate. Sit Kamara.

**Since Week 6, Carolina has ranked second in neutral and overall rushing rates. This suffocating stance to run the ball heavily has crushed every pass catcher for Carolina outside of Tetairoa McMillan. While McMillan remains viable in fantasy, we can’t depend upon any other pass catchers right now from this offense with the limited passing volume and play of Bryce Young.**

LV vs. DEN | ATL vs. IND | NO vs. CAR | NYG vs. CHI | NE vs. TB | BUF vs. MIA | BAL vs. MIN | JAC vs. HOU | CLE vs. NYJ | ARI vs. SEA | DET vs. WAS | LAR vs. SF | PIT vs. LAC | PHI vs. GB

New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears

• CHI -4.5, O/U 46.5
• New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Giants Players & Weekly Rankings

Bears Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

N/A

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Jaxson Dart (QB)

Since assuming the starting job for New York, Dart has been the QB5 in fantasy points per game. Among 41 qualifying passers, he ranks 27th in yards per attempt, 30th in highly accurate throw rate, 15th in catchable target rate, tenth in hero throw rate, and fourth in fantasy points per dropback. He has averaged 8.2 rushing attempts and 41.8 rushing yards with five rushing scores in his six starts. This week should be another nice game for Dart. Since Week 5, the Bears have allowed the third-highest yards per attempt, the fifth-most passing yards per game, the highest CPOE, and the sixth-highest success rate per dropback. Smash Dart. Smash.

Caleb Williams (QB)

Caleb Williams is pulling his best Kyler Murray from yesteryear in 2025. Williams has been quite volatile in fantasy with four top-ten finishes in weekly fantasy scoring while also stacking four weeks as the QB20 or lower. He took advantage of three amazing matchups against Dallas, Washington, and Cincinnati, which he should have. The bottom has fallen out when he has been tested against better opponents. Even when we zoom into his play since Week 4, Williams has still had maddening accuracy issues, ranking 28th in highly accurate throw rate and 30th in catchable target rate. After saying all of that, he should still have a nice fantasy outing this week against a weak Giants’ pass defense. Since Week 5, New York has allowed the 12th-most passing yards per game, the 13th-highest CPOE, the sixth-highest passer rating, and the fifth-most passing touchdowns (tied).

D’Andre Swift (RB)

D’Andre Swift will be back this week. Swift and Kyle Monangai will split up the work. Ben Johnson has stated that he will ride the hot hand, so this is an uneasy situation for Swift and Kyle Monangai regarding who will lead the backfield in touches in Week 10. In Weeks 7 & 8, when both were active, Swift had a 51.2% snap rate with 16.3 touches and 104.5 total yards per game. He had 12 red zone rushing attempts (Monangai had four) while also sporting a 32.4% route share and a 4.7% target share. Among 62 qualifying backs, Swift ranks 15th in explosive run rates and 28th in missed tackle rate. He likely will get the first crack at running away with the backfield volume this week. The Giants are a wonderful matchup for backs this season. Since Week 5, they have allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the highest missed tackle rate, the eighth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the third-highest explosive run rate.

Kyle Monangai (RB)

Kyle Monangai will split work with D’Andre Swift this week. Ben Johnson is leaving the light on for Monangai to lead the backfield in touches this week, stating that he’ll ride the hot hand. I do expect Swift to get the first crack at leading the backfield this week, though. In Weeks 7-8, with Swift and Monangai active, Monangai played 45.7% of the snaps with 11 touches and 59 total yards per game. Swift had the lead in red zone work with 12 carries inside the 20-yard line versus Monangai’s four. In those two games, Monangai also had a 29.4% route share and a 5.1% target share. Among 62 qualifying backs, Monangai ranks 17th in explosive run rate, 29th in missed tackle rate, and 12th in yards after contact per attempt. Monangai is a strong RB2/flex this week. The Giants are a wonderful matchup for backs this season. Since Week 5, they have allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the highest missed tackle rate, the eighth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the third-highest explosive run rate.

Rome Odunze (WR)

I know that Rome Odunze burned a lot of people in a great matchup last week with a zero, but let’s also remember that in the week prior, he had ten targets, 114 receiving yards, and a WR8 weekly finish. I get that recency bias can be tough, but take a deep breath. Odunze is the WR20 in fantasy points per game with a 21.7% target share, 59.1 receiving yards per game, 1.86 yards per route run, and a 25.5% first-read share. He’s also second on the team in red zone targets while leading in deep targets (14). Odunze should bounce back this week. Odunze faces a secondary that has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.1%). Against single high, Odunze has a 25% target per route run rate (second on the team) and leads the squad with 2.14 yards per route run. Since Week 5, New York has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Darius Slayton (WR)

In the last two games, Darius Slayton has had a 21.1% target share with a 34.7% air-yard share, 44 receiving yards per game, 1.63 yards per route run, and a 27.3% first-read share. In those two contests, he has had one red zone target and two deep targets. He had a horrible drop last week that would have pushed him close to 100 receiving yards and added a touchdown to his box score. Slayton has a very nice matchup this week that makes him a strong flex play again. Since Week 5, Chicago has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers while ranking 15th in receiving yards per game allowed to the position.

Wan’Dale Robinson (WR)

Since Jaxson Dart took over, Robinson has been the WR39 in fantasy points per game with three top-36 weekly scoring finishes (WR9, WR21, WR28). During those six games, he has had a 24.9% target share with 52.8 receiving yards per game, 1.59 yards per route run, and a 26.5% first-read share. In those six games, Robinson has also seen four red zone targets and five downfield targets. Robinson should eat this week against a secondary that, since Week 5, has allowed the third-most PPR points per target and receiving yards per game to slot receivers.

Theo Johnson (TE)

Since Week 4, Theo Johnson has been the TE13 in fantasy points per game with an 18.6% target share, 31.7 receiving yards per game, 1.17 yards per route run, and a 21.2% first-read share. Touchdowns have helped Johnson immensely as he has six red zone targets in those six games and five scores. Johnson should have another strong game this week against a defense that, overall, has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game to the position and the fifth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game over the last five weeks.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

DJ Moore (WR)

DJ Moore is the WR40 in fantasy points per game with three top-36 weekly finishes among wide receivers (WR29, WR31, WR4). Moore has a 16% target share with 50.4 receiving yards per game, 1.67 yards per route run, and a 16.8% first-read share. If the Giants continue their heavy single-high ways this week, I don’t look for Moore to smash. New York has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.1%). Against single high, Moore has only a 13% target per route run rate and 1.32 yards per route run. Not good, Bob. They have given up substantial production to perimeter wide receivers, which is why Moore is still flex-worthy this week. Since Week 5, New York has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR)

Last week, with Luther Burden sidelined, Zaccheaus finished as the WR14 in weekly scoring with six receptions (eight targets), 58 receiving yards, and a score. Burden will be back this week to cut into Zaccheaus’ routes and snaps. In Weeks 1-7 with Burden active, Zacchaues had a 55.4% route share, a 15.4% target share, 25.3 receiving yards per game, 1.29 yards per route run, and a 17.9% first-read share. In those six games, he had six red zone targets and one deep target. New York has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.1%). Against single high, Zaccheaus has led the team with a 26% target per route run rate with 1.55 yards per route run. Zaccheaus is a solid flex this week with a nice matchup. Since Week 5, New York has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target and the 14th-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.

Colston Loveland (TE)

I know Colston Loveland smashed last week, but Cole Kmet is back this week. Kmet will cut into Loveland’s snaps and routes this week. The question is how much. In the last game that Kmet was healthy (Week 6), Kmet had a 30.3% route share, which was behind Colston Loveland (39.4%). Loveland could lead the way in routes and snaps this week, but Kmet will be involved. This feels like a yesteryear Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox situation. New York has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.1%). Against single high, Loveland is third on the team with a 21% target per route run rate and 1.68 yards per route run. Loveland has four red zone targets and two deep targets this season. Loveland is a decent streaming option this week, but he carries a sizable risk, and the matchup isn’t amazing. New York has allowed the 15th-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game and the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Devin Singletary (RB)

Last week, Devin Singletary surprisingly led the Giants’ backfield with a 55.4% snap rate, ten touches, and 51 total yards. He had eight of 13 running back rushing attempts, their only red zone rushing attempt, and a 35.9% route share (6.1% target share). Singletary hasn’t been amazing on a per-touch basis this season, but he has been better than Tyrone Tracy Jr. with a 14% missed tackle rate and 2.14 yards after contact per attempt. This week, he’ll be a low-end flex against an improved Chicago run defense. Since Week 5, Chicago has allowed the 11th-fewest rushing yards per game, the lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the eighth-lowest missed tackle rate.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB)

Sadly, we were all wrong about Tyrone Tracy Jr. With Cam Skattego going down, Tracy was expected to inherit the everydown role again, but Devin Singletary outpaced him last week. Last week, Tracy had a 44.6% snap rate, five of 13 running back rushing attempts, a 46.2% route share (12.1% target share). He finished with eight touches and 37 total yards. I expect the backfield split to continue. Tracy hasn’t been impressive this season on a per-touch basis with a 10% missed tackle rate and only 2.08 yards after contact per attempt. This week, he’ll be a low-end flex against an improved Chicago run defense. Since Week 5, Chicago has allowed the 11th-fewest rushing yards per game, the lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the eighth-lowest missed tackle rate.

Cole Kmet (TE)

Cole Kmet will be back this week. I expect him to resume his previous workload in this offense. In the last game that he was healthy (Week 6), he had a 30.3% route share, which was behind Colston Loveland (39.4%). Loveland could lead the way in routes and snaps this week, but Kmet will be involved. This feels like a yesteryear Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox situation. Kmet has a 16% target per route run rate, 1.12 yards per route run, and an 8.8% first-read share. Kmet has zero TE1 finishes this season and only three red zone targets. He’s not on the streaming radar this week. New York has allowed the 15th-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game and the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends.

LV vs. DEN | ATL vs. IND | NO vs. CAR | NYG vs. CHI | NE vs. TB | BUF vs. MIA | BAL vs. MIN | JAC vs. HOU | CLE vs. NYJ | ARI vs. SEA | DET vs. WAS | LAR vs. SF | PIT vs. LAC | PHI vs. GB