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Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.
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Players to Buy
Odell Beckham (WR – CLE)
You should aim to buy elite playmakers at their absolute floor, which is where Beckham’s price is right now after a two-catch, 20-yard performance. The Browns offense has nowhere to go but up and you’re going to want one of the best playmakers to ever step foot on the field. Think about Davante Adams prior to his Thursday night performance. That’s going to be Beckham before long.
Tyreek Hill (WR – KC)
This may be your last chance to buy Hill off a fantasy team who may have gotten off to a slow start without him. Yes, he may miss another game or two, but once he re-enters the lineup, he’s going to be ranked as a top-six play nearly every week. Once that happens, his owners will not want to trade him. If you’re sitting at 3-1 or 4-0, you can afford to be without him for another week or two.
Adam Thielen (WR – MIN)
After a down week against the Bears, many Thielen owners will be looking to sell. While this is clearly not the offense (passing attack, specifically) we saw last year, the matchups against the Giants and Eagles the next two weeks are too juicy to pass up. Buy low on Thielen now and then attempt to sell after a few big weeks of production.
Sony Michel (RB – NE)
Bill Belichick doesn’t go to bat for players in the media he doesn’t believe in, it’s not his style. Knowing he did just that for Michel last week is saying something. After another weak fantasy performance, it’s time to pounce, as it should’ve been expected going into Buffalo. He’s still a candidate to score 10-plus touchdowns, which almost always amounts to top-20 production.
James White (RB – NE)
With the Patriots struggling to run the ball effectively without James Develin, they are likely going to lean on White to move the ball via the screen-game. While he didn’t have a massive game against the tough Bills defense, the fact that he saw 10 targets and caught eight passes says a lot about his potential on a week-to-week basis, as he’s essentially a slot receiver in a high-scoring offense. If you can get him for RB3 prices, you should.
A.J. Green (WR – CIN)
If you’ve started 4-0 or 3-1 this year, you’ve found yourself in a unique scenario where you can trade for injured stars who come at a discounted price. Green falls into that category, as he’ll be considered a borderline WR1 most weeks when he returns. Knowing that Andy Dalton ranked second in pass attempts coming into Week 4 is a great thing for the fantasy floor of his receivers.
Darren Waller (TE – OAK)
Many will think Waller is right around where he should be when it comes to market value, but knowing he hasn’t scored yet, his owners likely don’t realize what they have in him, which is a legitimate top-six tight end for the rest of the season. He’s second in the NFL with 37 targets through three weeks, which puts him on pace for a massive 148 targets on the season. If that pace continues, he’ll finish as a top-three tight end.
Players to Sell
Leonard Fournette (RB – JAC)
While it was impressive to watch Fournette rush for over 200 yards against the Broncos, we have three other games where he was very unimpressive. The Broncos were shorthanded in the secondary, they appeared to sellout to get after Gardner Minshew, which allowed Fournette to get through the first line of defense with relative ease, and then it was just off to the races. Fournette certainly has value as someone who gets 90 percent of his team’s touches at running back, but his lack of efficiency through three weeks should not be overlooked. He should be considered a middling to high-end RB2 for the remainder of the season.
Matt Breida (RB – SF)
If you thought the 49ers backfield was hard to judge before, just wait until Tevin Coleman comes back, which is supposed to be this coming week. The 49ers running backs have had the best-case scenario through three games, as they’ve started 3-0. Despite that, Breida is outside the top-30 running backs and behind guys like Peyton Barber. If you can find someone to give you anywhere close to RB2/3 value, you should take advantage.
Mike Williams (WR – LAC)
It looked like it could be a breakout year for Williams, but just four weeks in, you should be trying to abandon the ship. Not only did he miss Week 4, but he’s basically been missing from the box score all season. With the return of Melvin Gordon, the run-game continues to get better and better, eliminating the need for a whole lot of pass attempts. He’s not someone you should give away given his upside, but he’s not the every-week starter you thought he would be.
Jarvis Landry (WR – CLE)
Coming off what was his biggest game as a Browns receiver, you should be looking to move Landry for another option with some more consistency. He totaled eight catches for 167 yards before exiting Week 4 with a concussion, which could sideline him a week. The Ravens have been struggling to contain the slot due to injuries at the cornerback position, and it’s not like we don’t have more than enough of a sample size with Landry in a Browns uniform. His big game doesn’t negate his three straight games where he had no more than four receptions or 67 yards.
Jordan Howard (RB – PHI)
You have to know when to hold ’em and when to fold ’em. After watching Howard go off for three touchdowns on national television, it’s time to fold ’em. He’s played an average of 23 snaps per game this year, a number that is ridiculously low, and one that would give him unstable fantasy production. Knowing they spent a second-round pick on Miles Sanders, he’s going to get much more opportunity to succeed. Sell high on the Eagles backup running back.
Matthew Stafford (QB – DET)
The Lions are going to be a slow-paced team this year, similar to the way they were last year. The difference in Week 4 is that they were playing the Chiefs, a team you can’t sit still against and hope to win. Because of that, we saw an increased pace in their offense. It also didn’t hurt that the Chiefs defense has one of the weaker secondaries in football. If you can find someone to buy Stafford, great. He’s nothing more than a streamer.
Players to Hold
LeSean McCoy (RB – KC)
Some may think it’s time to sell McCoy knowing that Damien Williams will eventually return, though I’m not sure McCoy doesn’t hold the starting job. Going back to the preseason, Andy Reid was upset about Williams missing much time and after another injury that’s sidelined him for two-plus weeks, it hasn’t done him any favors. If McCoy retains the starting job, he’s worth much more than his perceived RB3 price tag.
Adrian Peterson (RB – WAS)
After a horrible performance against the Giants, you’d naturally want to drop Peterson. Prior to doing so, understand that he has the Dolphins on his schedule in Week 6, a matchup everyone wants a piece of. Don’t play him in Week 5 against the Patriots, but hold onto him for one last hurrah.
Geronimo Allison (WR – GB)
After playing 31 or less snaps in each of the first three games, we saw Allison shoot up to 63 snaps in Week 4, which led to him catching three passes for 52 yards and a touchdown. This doesn’t necessarily mean Allison will be a full-time player moving forward, though the Davante Adams toe injury could mean a bigger role for him. You shouldn’t be quick to sell him.
Kirk Cousins (QB – MIN)
Some would immediately drop Cousins after watching him last week, but before you do, you should look at his matchup this week. If there’s one team you want to get your pass attack going against, it’s the New York Giants. If the Vikings want to go anywhere this year, they’re going to need Cousins in games their defense can’t get it done. While their defense will likely be fine against the Giants, he needs a confidence boost, and the Giants have allowed at least 22.2 fantasy points to three of the four quarterbacks who’ve played against them.
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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.
