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Round 4 Sleepers and Busts (2020 Fantasy Football)

Aug 10, 2020

Every round of a fantasy football draft brings with it decisions to be made, pitfalls to avoid and potential league-winning upside if you make the right picks. And our analysts are here to make sure you’re well prepared for every round of your draft; here are their thoughts on what to do – and what not to do – with your fourth-round pick (rounds based on consensus ADP in 1/2 PPR scoring formats as of Aug. 3):

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Q1. Who has the greatest sleeper potential in Round 4?

It’s almost like everyone forgot how good JuJu Smith-Schuster was. He totaled 2,343 yards and 15 touchdowns over his first two seasons. He’s just 23 years old. He played through injuries for much of last year and lost the only competent quarterback on the roster. Don’t sleep on Smith-Schuster who’s a virtual lock for 130-plus targets.
– Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL)

If there’s a player who could ascend and become the “Chris Godwin” of 2020, it’s Calvin Ridley. Ridley’s in a pass-happy offense that is going to put up points with Matt Ryan behind center. Russell Gage is unlikely to command more than 4 to 5 targets per game and Ridley could easily see over 120 targets this season. With his route-running acumen, plus nose for the end zone, Ridley could very easily finish as a top-10 WR in 2020.
– Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL)

Todd Gurley could smash this year if he can stay healthy. He has chronic knee issues but has stayed relatively healthy and was still productive despite running behind one of the worst offensive lines in football. Now with the high-powered Falcons offense and behind a solid offensive line, Gurley could be a huge bargain in drafts, especially if he’s anywhere near as involved in the passing game as Devonta Freeman was when he was healthy.
– Dan Harris (@danharris80)

Q2. Who has the greatest bust potential in Round 4?

Drafting Mark Ingram in the fourth round will be a move you look back on and regret. Sure, he finished as a top-10 running back last year. The Ravens also drafted JK Dobbins in the second round of this year’s draft and said that they’d be doing the team a disservice by passing on him there, as they gave him a first-round grade. Ingram will be 31 years old at the end of this year and will split touches with Dobbins and Lamar Jackson.
– Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL)

Keenan Allen‘s draft price has obviously taken a tumble from where it’s been in previous seasons, but it’s understandable. The Chargers are dramatically shifting their offense with Tyrod Taylor behind center and they’re going to significantly cut down on their overall pass attempts. The Chargers threw the ball 597 times in 2020 and it’s not unreasonable to expect that they could be under 500 this year. With Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and Austin Ekeler all still being heavily involved, it’s hard to see how Allen gets enough volume to even return WR19 value. He’s one of my biggest fades this offseason.
– Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL)

Mark Ingram had a wonderful 2019 season, and the Ravens should run the ball a ton. But he isn’t scoring close to 15 touchdowns again he’ll be in his age-31 season, long after most running backs decline. The Ravens drafted JK Dobbins and John Harbaugh has said he wants to get all four running backs on the roster involved. Ingram’s not going where last year’s numbers say he ​should – which is good – but he still has plenty of bust potential even in the fourth round.
– Dan Harris (@danharris80)

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Round-by-Round Advice

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