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FanDuel NBA DFS Strategy Advice: Friday (1/1)

by Zachary Hanshew | @ZaktheMonster | Featured Writer
Jan 1, 2021

Happy New Year! It’s our first FanDuel NBA article of the season, and as always, we’ll name values, studs, and fades for the day’s DFS festivities. Yesterday’s picks were a bit hit-or-miss, but we’re regrouping for a better day in 2021. Let’s get right to it!

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Value Plays

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Raul Neto (WAS) MIN $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Monte Morris (DEN) PHO $4,000 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

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  • Neto should be in the starting lineup for Washington tonight, and he was red hot in that position earlier in the week. He scored 41.3 FD points against Orlando on Sunday with Russell Westbrook (rest) out, and he makes a tremendous value on Friday’s slate.
  • Morris has averaged just a hair under 30 FD points across his last three, including 39.2 against Sacramento on Tuesday as a starter. If Jamal Murray (elbow) is ruled out again, expect Morris to get another start and smash value at his ridiculously-cheap price tag.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
D’Angelo Russell (MIN) WAS $7,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Caris LeVert (BKN) ATL $6,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

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  • D-Lo hasn’t been a great DFS play thus far, but he gets a Wizards’ team surrendering the most FD points to opposing shooting guards, and at just $7.5K, he’s a huge value in a possible blowup spot.
  • Even off the bench, LeVert has big-time upside, and tonight’s high-scoring matchup with Atlanta is one to take advantage of, especially at $6.5K. If you want to pivot from Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, LeVert makes a nice play.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Rui Hachimura (WAS) MIN $5,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL) BKN $5,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

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  • Hachimura made his season debut Thursday against the Bulls and poured in 28.5 FD points across 25 minutes of play. He’s got a favorable matchup with Minnesota tonight, and without Russell Westbrook in the lineup, Hachimura could see some additional work on offense.
  • Atlanta/Brooklyn has the highest over/under on the slate at 245 1/2, so this is a matchup to target. Bogdanovic comes in at a very affordable $5.4K, and he’s scored better than 31 FD points in each of his last two games. With Danilo Gallinari already ruled out, BB makes a fine play tonight.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Thaddeus Young (CHI) MIL $3,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Robert Covington (POR) GS $5,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

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  • Young made his season debut Thursday and went for 31.6 FD points in 27 minutes off the bench. With Lauri Markkanen (health protocols) out again, expect Young to play meaningful minutes and return plenty of value at just $3.7K.
  • RoCo has failed to return much value this season, but in Portland’s two competitive games, he’s played at least 37 minutes in each. The matchup with Golden State is one to target with one of the highest over/unders on the slate, and despite some early-season miscues, Covington could be a value play at his current price if he sees big minutes.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Thomas Bryant (WAS) MIN $5,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low

__________

  • Bryant’s production has ramped up as of late, and he scored a season-best 42.6 FD points against Chicago on Thursday. He’s got another excellent matchup with Minnesota on deck, and without Russell Westbrook in the lineup, expect Bryant’s role on offense to expand in this one.

Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Bradley Beal (WAS) $9,500: Beal will be without Russell Westbrook and playing in a great matchup. A blowup game could be in store against Minnesota, and the $9.5K price tag isn’t scary.
  • Gordon Hayward $8,100: He should see over 30 minutes with a heavy usage, and he faces the most generous defense to opposing small forwards. Get him in your lineups.
  • Anthony Davis (LAL) $10,500: AD has failed to live up to expectations thus far, but he’s facing the most generous defense to opposing centers tonight, and LeBron James is a GTD decision due to an ankle injury. Davis is worth his salary here if James sits.
  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) $10,200: The guy has averaged almost 60 FD points per game this season and is a walking triple-double. If you want to pay a five-figure salary for a stud on tonight’s slate, the Joker should be your go-to play.

Notable Players to Fade

  • Luka Doncic (DAL) $11,300: We know Doncic’s ridiculous upside, but he hasn’t shown that to fantasy managers this season. Doncic has averaged just 40.8 FD points this season, and at such a lofty price tag, I’m not ready to spend up until the production increases.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) $11,400: He’s had some huge games this season, but this is a massive price tag, and Milwaukee is favored by 14.5 against the Bulls. There’s major blowout potential in this one, and I’m avoiding the Greek Freak here.
  • Chris Paul (PHO) $7,400: He’s only topped 30 FD points once this season, and there are plenty of better options at this price point.

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Zachary Hanshew is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Zachary, check out his archive and follow him @zakthemonster.

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