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The Primer: Week 11 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

The Primer: Week 11 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns

Ravens Players & Weekly Rankings

Browns Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Quinshon Judkins (RB)

Quinshon Judkins has cooled off as the RB19 in fantasy points per game, averaging 19.8 touches and 78,9 total yards. Judkins is 20th in opportunity share, 12th in carries, and 23rd among running backs in red zone touches. Among 64 qualifying backs, he ranks 37th in explosive run rate, 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. He should have a nice bounce-back day in Week 11. Since Week 6, Baltimore has allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate, the 11th-most yards before contact per attempt, the eighth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Judkins, 56.4% gap), and sits at 16th in missed tackle rate.

Zay Flowers (WR)

Zay Flowers is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, with ten deep targets and only five red zone targets. Flowers has all five of his red zone targets in the last five games as the team is using him more often inside the 20-yard line. This week, he faces a Browns’ secondary that has utilized single high at the second-highest rate (65%). Against single high, Flowers has eaten with a 30.5% target share, 2.98 yards per route run, and a 35.6% first-read share. Flowers should have a strong game this week. Since Week 6, Cleveland has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Jerry Jeudy (WR)

Last week, Jerry Jeudy hit a lot of first-time milestones for the 2025 season. His first top 24 weekly finish of the season (WR11). He scored his first touchdown of the season. Jeudy also managed more than 70 receiving yards for the first time. Do I think this is the beginning of Jeudy’s reemergence? Naw, I wish I could say yes, but I can’t. With Dillon Gabriel under center, Jeudy has had a 20% target share, 30.6 receiving yards per game, 0.90 yards per route run, and a 27% first-read share. In those five games, Jeudy has six red zone targets and three deep targets. If you want/need to flex Jeudy this week, I get it, but let that be related to the plus matchup and not that you’re chasing last week’s fantasy points. Since Week 6, Baltimore has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Harold Fannin Jr. (TE)

With Dillon Gabriel under center, Fannin Jr. has been the TE11 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 5, he has had a 20% target share, 47.2 receiving yards per game, 1.75 yards per route run, and a 20.9% first-read share. In those five games, Fannin has three red zone targets (two scores) and zero deep targets. Baltimore has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game while sitting at 18th in yards per reception against tight ends. Fannin is a low-end streaming option this week.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Dillon Gabriel (QB)

Well, Dillon Gabriel did it. Last week, against the Jets, he managed his first QB1 fantasy finish as the QB9 for the week. Do I think he can continue that type of production? I doubt it. Last week, Gabriel had his third game with multiple passing touchdowns, but he has still only once managed more than 200 passing yards. He needed a career-high 54 rushing yards to sneak into the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks for the week. He still had only 5.2 yards per attempt and completed 53.1% of his passes. Naw, I won’t be chasing last week’s outlier fantasy points, and you shouldn’t either.

Mark Andrews (TE)

Mark Andrews has finished as a TE1 in each of the last two games, but touchdowns fueled it. Since Week 9, Andrews has been the TE5 and TE9 in weekly scoring with three red zone targets and three scores. Since Week 8, he hasn’t seen more than five targets in a game or finished with more than 34 receiving yards. It has been a tough season for Andrews. We can’t depend on him to score weekly to float his fantasy value. Overall, he is the TE19 in fantasy points per game, with a 16% target share, 27.1 receiving yards per game, 1.41 yards per route run, and a 21.1% first-read share. The Browns have held tight ends to the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game and the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game. Sit Andrews this week.

David Njoku (TE)

Last week, Njoku’s route share dipped to 48.8% with only a 6.3% target share and a 7.4% first-read share. If Njoku’s only a part-time player now, he’s off the fantasy radar. I don’t know if that was a one-week blip or a sign of things to come, but I can’t play him this week until we see if that is the beginning of a usage trend.

NYJ vs. NE | WAS vs. MIA | LAC vs. JAC | TB vs. BUF | CAR vs.ATL | CIN vs. PIT | HOU vs. TEN | GB vs. NYG | CHI vs. MIN | SF vs. ARI | SEA vs. LAR | KC vs. DEN | BAL vs. CLE | DET vs. PHI | DAL vs. LV

Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Lions Players & Weekly Rankings

Eagles Players & Weekly Rankings

Jalen Hurts QB QB1
Saquon Barkley RB RB1
A.J. Brown WR WR2/3
DeVonta Smith WR WR1/2
Jahan Dotson WR WR5
Dallas Goedert TE TE1/2

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Jared Goff (QB)

Jared Goff is the QB14 in fantasy points per game with two QB1 outings this season. While it hasn’t translated consistently to fantasy success, Goff has had an outstanding season so far. Among 42 qualifying passers, he ranks fifth in yards per attempt, 12th in passing yards per game, seventh in highly accurate throw rate, and second in catchable target rate. Goff will face a Philly pass defense that since Week 6, has held passers to the 13th-lowest yards per attempt, the 14th-lowest passing yards per game, the lowest passing touchdowns, and has ranked 15th in CPOE. It would be a bleak matchup, BUT Philly also has a rusted patch of their armor that Goff can strike and reach the heart of their pass defense. Philly has allowed the seventh-highest yards per attempt, the 11th-most passing yards per game, and the 11th-highest passer rating to play action passing. Overall, Goff has utilized play-action at the sixth-highest rate (30.1%), but last week with Dan Campbell taking over the play call sheet they bumped that up to 51.5%. Play-action could carry Goff to another strong game against a formidable opponent.

David Montgomery (RB)

David Montgomery is the RB22 in fantasy points per game, averaging 13.2 touches and 63.6 total yards per game. He ranks 25th in carries, 21st in red zone touches, and 23rd in rushing yards. Among 64 qualifying backs, Montgomery ranks 43rd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Montgomery should have a solid game this week. Since Week 6, Philly has ranked 18th in rushing yards per game allowed while also having the eighth-lowest stuff rate and giving up the 13th-highest missed tackle rate and ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt.

DeVonta Smith (WR)

DeVonta Smith has been so incredibly good this season as the WR13 in fantasy points per game. He has a 26.1% target share, a 37.9% air-yard share, 73 receiving yards per game, 2.38 yards per route run, and a 32.5% first-read share. Smith has six red zone targets and leads the team with 13 deep targets. The Lions have the seventh-highest single high rate this season (57.1%). Against single high, Smith is second on the team with a 22% target per route run rate and 2.18 yards per route run. Smith could lead the way for Philly this week as Detroit has struggled to defend the slot. Since Week 6, the Lions have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most PPR points per target to slot receivers.

A.J. Brown (WR)

A.J. Brown has had a rollercoaster season as the WR30 in fantasy points per game, with three weeks as a top-20 wide receiver in weekly scoring and five games with less than ten fantasy points. Brown has a 24% target share with 51 receiving yards per game, 1.72 yards per route run, and a 30.7% first-read share. Brown has five red zone targets and 11 deep targets this season. This week’s matchup could swing the pendulum back in his direction after a down game against Green Bay. The Lions have the seventh-highest single high rate this season (57.1%). Brown’s splits against two high and single have been massive. Against single high, he leads the team with a 26% target per route run rate and 2.24 yards per route run. Against two high, those numbers drop off the map to 19% and 1.32. Brown will have to contend with a Detroit secondary that, since Week 6, has allowed the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers while ranking 15th in PPR points per target. Given his track record this season, Brown is a dice roll, but one that I feel pretty good about this week.

Dallas Goedert (TE)

Dallas Goedert has had an insane season with seven touchdowns already. He is the TE4 in fantasy points per game with a 20.1% target share, 41.5 receiving yards per game, 1.57 yards per route run, and a 21.7% first-read share. He leads the team with seven red zone targets and has chipped in six deep targets. The matchup is middle-of-the-road for Goedert this week. Detroit ranks 17th in receiving yards per game and schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game against tight ends. Goedert could turn in another TE1 performance in Week 11.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Jameson Williams (WR)

Jameson Williams has raised his season-long ranking to WR37 in fantasy points per game with WR19 and WR2 weekly finishes in his last two games. Over the last two weeks, he has had an 18.1% target share with a 30% air-yard share, 92.5 receiving yards per game, 2.89 yards per route run, and a 20.4% first-read share. Since Week 9, only two of his 13 targets have been downfield, which is a departure from the rest of the season when he’s been just a field stretcher for the offense. We’ll see if Williams can keep the hot streak going in Week 11, but it won’t be easy. Since Week 6, Philly has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

N/A

NYJ vs. NE | WAS vs. MIA | LAC vs. JAC | TB vs. BUF | CAR vs.ATL | CIN vs. PIT | HOU vs. TEN | GB vs. NYG | CHI vs. MIN | SF vs. ARI | SEA vs. LAR | KC vs. DEN | BAL vs. CLE | DET vs. PHI | DAL vs. LV

Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Cowboys Players & Weekly Rankings

Raiders Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Dak Prescott (QB)

Dak Prescott remains a strong weekly QB1 as the QB10 in fantasy points per game. Among 42 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks ninth in passing yards per game and hero throw rate, seventh in passing touchdowns, sixth in highly accurate throw rate, and first in catchable target rate. The Raiders’ pass defense stats are falsely strong as they faced a litany of mid quarterbacks since Week 6, with games against Cam Ward, Trevor Lawrence, and Bo Nix. Patrick Mahomes torched them for 286, three passing touchdowns, a 126.6 passer rating, and a 74.2% completion rate. That could be close to what Prescott drops on them this week.

Geno Smith (QB)

Geno Smith is a QB2 that could easily find his way to QB1 production this week. Smith has two QB1 outings this season (QB4, QB6). Among 42 qualifying passers, he ranks 26th in yards per attempt, 11th in highly accurate throw rate, 23rd in catchable target rate, and 34th in fantasy points per dropback. This week, he gets a cakewalk matchup against a Dallas secondary that, since Week 6, has allowed the sixth-highest yards per attempt, the eighth-highest CPOE, and the sixth-highest success rate per dropback.

Tyler Lockett (WR)

Last week, Tyler Lockett ranked third on the team with a 65.7% route share but he led the way with a 22.2% target share while having 44 receiving yards, 1.91 yards per route run, and a 21.1% first-read share. He immediately stepped up as the number two option in the passing attack behind Brock Bowers which is quite telling about Tre Tucker if Lockett could hop him in the target pecking order so quickly. Lockett is a surprisingly strong flex play this week against a Dallas secondary that since Week 6 has allowed the second-most PPR points per target and the second-highest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Tre Tucker (WR)

Last week, with Tyler Lockett becoming a full-time player, Tre Tucker took a step back. He still led the team with a 94.3% route share, but he had only an 11.1% target share, 28 receiving yards, 0.85 yards per route run, and a 15.8% first-read share. Excluding his monster Week 3 game, Tucker has had a 15.4% target share, 38.8 receiving yards per game, 1.25 yards per route run, and a 20.1% first-read share. In those eight games, he has had only three red zone targets and six deep targets. Tucker is a low-end flex play this week and only viable because the matchup with Dallas is that good. Since Week 6, Dallas has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target and the fourth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

N/A

NYJ vs. NE | WAS vs. MIA | LAC vs. JAC | TB vs. BUF | CAR vs.ATL | CIN vs. PIT | HOU vs. TEN | GB vs. NYG | CHI vs. MIN | SF vs. ARI | SEA vs. LAR | KC vs. DEN | BAL vs. CLE | DET vs. PHI | DAL vs. LV

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*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, PFF, FTN, rbsdm.com, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*


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