Fantasy Football Player Notes

Since Week 5, Nico Collins' stranglehold on the top chair in the receiving room has slipped. In his last four games, he has had a 14.3% target share with 1.69 YPRR, two red zone targets, three deep targets, and only a 20.7% first-read share. Collins has been the WR45 in fantasy points per game during this span. He's no longer a weekly must-start option. This week, he'll face a Browns' secondary that has the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.6%). Since Week 5, against single-high, Collins has had only an 18% TPRR against single high but he has also produced 2.13 YPRR. Collins could be in trouble this week. Over their last five games, Cleveland has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per attempt and the second-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers.

Last week, Tank Dell blew up as the WR8 for the week. Dell had a 47% snap rate and 55% route share while seeing a wonderful 24.3% target share and 39.1% first-read share. Dell produced 105 receiving yards (4.77 YPRR) while seeing one red zone target and four deep targets. This week, I expect his snap count to grow some, but he has a tough matchup incoming. This week, he'll face a Browns' secondary that has the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.6%). In his two games of action against single-high, he has had a 55% TPRR and 3.55 YPRR, but it's only an 11-route sample, so take it with a grain of salt. Dell could produce this week, but it's not an easy matchup. Over their last five games, Cleveland has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per attempt and the second-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers. He's a dice-roll flex play this week.

Last week, Xavier Hutchinson became Houston's starting slot receiver, running 65.6% of his routes from the slot. Hutchinson had an 80% route share (led the team) with a 13.5% target share, 0.91 YPRR, 29 receiving yards, one red zone target, a deep target, and a 21.7% first-read share (second on the team). Hutchinson is a sit this week. Over their last five games, Cleveland has allowed the 12th-fewest yards per target and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to slot receivers.