Fantasy Football Player Notes

Olave leads the team with a 30% Target share and 41.2% air-yard share as the WR15 in fantasy. Olave is fifth in receiving grade and tenth in YPRR among receivers. He should lead the way in attacking the Packers deep this week. He leads the team with six deep targets. His prowess on go routes will also factor in heavily this week. Last season, Olave had a 34.8% Target share (20th), 39% TPRR (30th), and the 17th-highest YPRR on go routes (among 82 qualifying wide receivers). This matters a ton because the Packers have struggled against go routes in each of the last two seasons. Last year, Green Bay allowed the second-highest yards per attempt, third-highest adjusted completion rate, and the second-most passing touchdowns to go routes (per Fantasy Points Data). Olave has been running almost half of his routes from the slot, so he'll get plenty of reps against Keisean Nixon (88.9% catch rate and 135.6 passer rating) this week. Olave leads the team with a 31.1% first-read share (Thomas 26.7%, Shaheed 15.6%). The Packers have utilized zone coverage on 79-83% of their corner's snaps. Olave leads the team in nearly every category against zone. Week 3 Positional Value: WR1

If any wide receiver could get shadow coverage from Jaire Alexander, it's probably Thomas. Alexander followed D.J. Moore on 55% of his routes in Week 1. He held Moore to goose eggs across the board with zero targets or receiving yards. Thomas has a 22.9% Target share and 22.3% air-yard share with 1.76 YPRR as the WR41 in fantasy. Thomas has looked like the vintage Thomas. He's been second in command against zone coverage behind only Olave. If Alexander doesn't follow Thomas, he'll run about 72% of his routes against Alexander (75% catch rate and 156.3 passer rating) and Rasul Douglas (63.6% catch rate and 41.9 passer rating). Thomas has been the go to receiver in the red zone (tied for the sixth-most red zone targets in the NFL). Week 3 Positional Value: WR3

With every passing week, Shaheed continues to prove that his small sample rookie season efficiency majesty isn't a fluke. He has a 14.3% Target share and a 21.0% air yard share as the WR26 in fantasy. His output against zone coverage over the last two seasons has been incredible, with 3.73 and 3.44 YPRR. Shaheed and Olave are Carr's paths to a ceiling performance on the back of deep targets. Shaheed is second on the team with four deep targets. He's also a go-route savant. This season, he's been targeted on 57% of his go routes and leads the team with four go route targets. Shaheed will run about 63% of his routes against Alexander and Douglas. Week 3 Positional Value: WR3/4 with WR2 upside this week