Fantasy Football Player Notes

Olave has been disappointing this season (WR43) as he has been operating as the team's WR2 behind Rashid Shaheed. This is definitely not how we thought Olave's 2024 season would unfold, but this is where we are currently. Olave has garnered a 19.9% target share with a 24.7% air-yard share, 2.15 YPRR, and a 25.3% first-read share. He remains tied for the team lead in end-zone targets and red-zone targets with two apiece. The Bucs have the third-highest rate of Cover 3 in the NFL (43.5%). Against Cover 3, Olave has seen his market share metric stay consistent with his overall numbers while his YPRR has jumped to 3.21. Olave will run about 69% of his routes against Zyon McCollum (48.1% catch rate and 92.1 passer rating) and Jamel Dean (66.7% catch rate and 92.7 passer rating). This is a decent bounce-back spot for Olave against a secondary that has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Shaheed has been operating as the team's WR1 this season (WR25 in fantasy points per game). If you take out his Week 3 performance, where he was blanked in the fantasy points column, his production stands at 17.8 PPR points per game, which would have him tied with Chris Godwin for WR8 for the season. Shaheed leads the team with a 25% target share, a ridiculous 50.2% air-yard share, 2.82 YPRR, and a 32.2% first-read share. He is tied for the team lead in end-zone targets and red-zone targets with two apiece. The Bucs have the third-highest rate of Cover 3 in the NFL (43.5%). Against Cover 3, Shaheed's team-leading market share metrics all look similar to his overall usage numbers while noting that his YPRR has increased to 3.26. Shaheed will run about 76% of his routes against Zyon McCollum (48.1% catch rate and 92.1 passer rating) and Jamel Dean (66.7% catch rate and 92.7 passer rating). Shaheed could keep the train rolling this week against a secondary that has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.