Fantasy Football Player Notes

Garrett Wilson should be back this week (concussion). In his two games with Adonai Mitchell and Omar Cooper Jr. in the huddle, Garrett Wilson has had a 24.2% target share with 1.79 YPRR, three red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 26.5% first-read share. I expect him to lead the Jets' passing attack this week. Christian Benford has shadowed only twice this season and none since Week 2, so I'm not expecting that to happen this week. Wilson should eat this week as the Jets attempt to keep pace with the Bills' high-octane offense. Over their last five games, Buffalo has struggled with perimeter wide receivers, giving up the seventh-most receiving fantasy points per game and the ninth-most fantasy points per opportunity to the position.

In his last two games, with Garrett Wilson and Adonai Mitchell on the field, Omar Cooper has had an 8.1% target share with 2.40 YPRR, one red zone target, two deep targets, and a 10.2% first-read share. Those are sleepy numbers for the talented rookie. Unfortunately, it looks like he's headed for a quiet week. Over their last five games, Buffalo has held slot receivers to the third-fewest yards per target and the eighth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity.

In the last two games with Garrett Wilson available and Omar Cooper Jr. assimilated into the offense, Adonai Mitchell has had a 19.4% target share with 3.38 YPRR, two red zone targets, six deep targets, and a 24.5% first-read share. During those games, Mitchell has remained the team's field stretcher with a 20.6 aDOT and 50% of his target volume coming via deep targets. The Bills have been vulnerable to perimeter wide receivers in recent weeks, but they have done an excellent job defending downfield passing. This dichotomy creates a wide range of outcomes for Mitchell's Week 10 outlook. Over their last five games, Buffalo has struggled with perimeter wide receivers, giving up the seventh-most receiving fantasy points per game and the ninth-most fantasy points per opportunity to the position. During that span, they have also limited opposing offenses to the tenth-lowest passing success rate and the seventh-fewest deep passing yards. If Mitchell can connect on one or two deep targets this week, it could make his fantasy day, but the chances of that happening look slim. He's a very risky but high-upside flex.