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Week 3 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (2019)

Week 3 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (2019)

The best way to sum up Week 2 is that it was a humdinger, a word used only by grandmothers and Nuke LaLoosh in Bull Durham. We learned that a few things are for real, like every piece of the Ravens’ passing game. We learned that injuries to quarterbacks can drastically impact skill players’ values (see Steelers, Pittsburgh and Saints, New Orleans). And we learned that Patrick Mahomes is probably critically undervalued no matter what we do with him.

As with every week, there’s movement in the trade values as we continue to gain more and more information. Using our trade chart to weigh a proposed deal, you can easily evaluate the merits of any trade in any format. Just add the values on both sides of the deal to see which fantasy owner comes out ahead.

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Quarterbacks

Player 1-QB 2-QB
Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/-
Patrick Mahomes 19 14 +5 36 28 +8
Deshaun Watson 14 14 28 28
Lamar Jackson 14 6 +8 28 11 +17
Dak Prescott 10 6 +4 20 12 +8
Tom Brady 10 6 +4 20 11 +9
Aaron Rodgers 10 9 +1 20 17 +3
Matt Ryan 7 6 +1 14 13 +1
Carson Wentz 7 7 14 14
Jared Goff 7 6 +1 14 11 +3
Russell Wilson 7 6 +1 14 11 +3
Josh Allen 6 N/A +6 12 N/A +12
Baker Mayfield 5 6 -1 10 13 -3

 
First, the injuries to Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees (not to mention Cam Newton’s questionable status) mean there are simply fewer reliable options left, even in a one-quarterback league. That generally leads to an increase in quarterback values across the board.

Of course, that doesn’t entirely account for the big jumps in value for Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. There’s no playbook for someone with Mahomes’ arm playing in an Andy Reid offense. He could easily continue to climb with each passing week, despite the optimal strategy of keeping in check the values of quarterbacks in a one-quarterback league.

As for Jackson, fantasy owners should obviously keep in mind that he has faced the Dolphins and the Cardinals, two of the worst defenses in the league. It’s reasonable to expect his numbers to regress some. But the Ravens had all offseason to design their offense around his strengths, he’s shown a better passing ability than expected in the early going, and he has decent weapons around him. Like Mahomes, his value could easily continue to grow.

Running Backs

Player STANDARD 1/2 PPR FULL PPR
Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/-
Saquon Barkley 43 43 44 44 45 45
Christian McCaffrey 43 43 44 44 45 44 +1
Ezekiel Elliott 43 43 43 43 43 43
Dalvin Cook 40 32 +8 41 34 +7 42 35 +7
Alvin Kamara 36 43 -7 38 44 -6 39 44 -5
Nick Chubb 32 32 33 33 34 34
Le’Veon Bell 32 30 +2 34 33 +1 36 35 +1
David Johnson 31 34 -3 33 36 -3 34 38 -4
Chris Carson 28 29 -1 30 31 -1 31 32 -1
Aaron Jones 27 16 +11 28 17 +11 29 18 +11
James Conner 27 31 -4 28 33 -5 29 34 -5
Derrick Henry 27 20 +7 28 21 +7 28 21 +7
Todd Gurley 27 29 -2 29 31 -2 29 32 -3
Leonard Fournette 21 23 -2 23 25 -2 25 27 -2
Austin Ekeler 20 15 +5 23 18 +5 25 20 +5
Josh Jacobs 20 22 -2 21 23 -2 21 24 -3
Joe Mixon 19 19 21 21 22 22
Marlon Mack 18 19 -1 19 20 -1 20 21 -1
Kerryon Johnson 17 15 +2 18 16 +2 19 17 +2
Mark Ingram 16 20 -4 17 21 -4 17 21 -4
Damien Williams 15 17 -2 17 19 -2 19 20 -1
Devonta Freeman 15 15 16 16 17 17
Sony Michel 14 14 14 14 14 14
David Montgomery 12 8 +4 13 9 +4 13 10 +3
Devin Singletary 10 6 +4 12 8 +4 13 9 +4
Matt Breida 9 8 +1 10 10 11 11
Carlos Hyde 8 N/A +8 8 N/A +8 8 N/A +8
Miles Sanders 7 8 -1 8 9 -1 9 10 -1
Phillip Lindsay 7 10 -3 8 12 -4 9 13 -4
Royce Freeman 7 6 +1 8 7 +1 9 7 +2
James White 6 6 10 11 -1 14 15 -1
Duke Johnson 6 10 -4 7 12 -5 8 14 -6
Latavius Murray 6 6 7 7 7 7
Malcolm Brown 4 4 4 5 -1 4 6 -2
Rashaad Penny 4 N/A +4 5 N/A +5 5 N/A +5
LeSean McCoy 4 7 -3 5 8 -3 6 9 -3
Kenyan Drake 4 5 -1 5 6 -1 6 7 -1
Tarik Cohen 4 4 7 7 9 9
Chris Thompson 4 N/A +4 6 N/A +6 8 N/A +8
Adrian Peterson 4 4 4 4 4 4
Tevin Coleman 4 N/A +4 5 N/A +5 5 N/A +5
Melvin Gordon 4 5 -1 5 6 -1 6 7 -1

 
Where to begin, where to begin? Well, Alvin Kamara should still be valued as the fifth-best running back in all formats (in my opinion), but his value drops significantly without Brees for at least the next six weeks. He’ll surely still produce outstanding numbers, but with defenses likely to respect the pass far less with Teddy Bridgewater under center, Kamara is going to have fewer chances for big plays. He’s an elite talent and will be a rock-solid starter, but he’s obviously not where he was in value just a few days ago.

Neither are Dalvin Cook, Aaron Jones, or Derrick Henry, as all three move up heavily in value. Cook is an elite runner in an offensive system that wants to lean on the run and utilizes a blocking system perfectly designed to his talents. If he stays healthy (always the big “if” with Cook), he has a legitimate chance to finish as the top back in fantasy.

Matt LaFleur stated today that he wants even reps for Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams. Despite the absurdity of that statement, even assuming that’s true, I’m sure there’s one thing LaFleur wants more — to win football games. His chances of doing that are obviously much greater the more work Jones gets, as anyone in their right mind could see on Sunday against the Vikings (or if they watched any Packers game in which both backs played last season).

If those comments create a buy-low window for you on Jones, I’d sneak right through. Jones is a powerful runner who is far more explosive than Williams and, more times than not, cream rises to the top. Value Jones as a low-end RB1 in trades and try not to let the Williams talk distract you.

As for Henry, there’s just no denying what’s going on here. He’s running well, he’s getting work, and he plays for a team that, because of their defense, will likely rarely have a negative game script. Ding him just a tad in PPR leagues, but other than that, there should be few questions.

As of this writing, there isn’t all that much information about Devin Singletary’s hamstring or the Chiefs’ running backs’ injuries. Deal for any of them with caution, but I’m assuming for now that none will miss more than perhaps a game or two.

And Carlos Hyde is the more valuable Texans running back at the moment. Running extremely well in Week 1 against the Saints was impressive, but 20 carries for 90 yards against the Jaguars speaks volumes about where he is in the pecking order with Duke Johnson. We’ve seen enough of Hyde to know he isn’t an elite running back at this point, and the Texans gave up significant draft capital for Johnson and none for Hyde. But fantasy owners derided Lamar Miller all the way to their playoffs for the past few seasons. They can do the same with Hyde now.

Wide Receivers

Player STANDARD 1/2 PPR FULL PPR
Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/-
DeAndre Hopkins 34 34 36 36 38 38
Julio Jones 33 31 +2 35 33 +2 37 35 +2
Odell Beckham Jr. 33 31 +2 35 33 +2 37 35 +2
Davante Adams 33 33 35 35 37 37
Keenan Allen 29 25 +4 32 28 +4 34 30 +4
Amari Cooper 29 28 +1 31 30 +1 33 32 +1
Michael Thomas 28 31 -3 30 33 -3 32 35 -3
JuJu Smith-Schuster 23 28 -5 25 30 -5 26 32 -6
Mike Evans 23 25 -2 25 27 -2 26 29 -3
Chris Godwin 20 17 +3 22 19 +3 24 20 +4
T.Y. Hilton 18 18 20 20 21 21
Robert Woods 18 18 20 20 21 21
Adam Thielen 18 20 -2 20 23 -3 21 25 -4
Kenny Golladay 18 17 +1 20 18 +2 21 19 +2
Sammy Watkins 17 18 -1 19 20 -1 20 21 -1
D.J. Moore 17 16 +1 19 18 +1 21 19 +2
Larry Fitzgerald 17 10 +7 19 11 +8 20 12 +8
Brandin Cooks 17 17 19 19 20 20
Antonio Brown 16 N/A +16 18 N/A +18 19 N/A +19
Tyler Boyd 16 14 +2 18 15 +3 19 16 +3
Tyler Lockett 16 14 +2 17 15 +2 18 15 +3
Cooper Kupp 16 16 18 18 19 19
Allen Robinson 15 16 -1 17 18 -1 18 19 -1
Calvin Ridley 15 13 +2 17 14 +3 18 15 +3
Tyrell Williams 15 12 +3 17 14 +3 18 15 +3
Julian Edelman 15 17 -2 18 20 -2 20 22 -2
Stefon Diggs 14 16 -2 15 18 -3 16 19 -3
John Brown 12 8 +4 13 9 +4 13 9 +4
Tyreek Hill 11 7 +4 12 8 +4 13 8 +5
Emmanuel Sanders 11 6 +5 13 7 +6 14 7 +7
Josh Gordon 10 11 -1 11 12 -1 12 13 -1
Alshon Jeffery 8 13 -5 9 14 -5 10 15 -5
Curtis Samuel 8 8 9 9 10 9 +1
Christian Kirk 7 4 +3 8 5 +3 9 6 +3
Mike Williams 7 N/A +7 8 N/A +8 9 N/A +9
Will Fuller 7 7 8 8 8 8
Marquise Brown 7 N/A +7 9 N/A +9 10 N/A +10
D.K. Metcalf 7 4 +3 8 5 +3 9 5 +4
Terry McLaurin 6 N/A +6 8 N/A +8 9 N/A +9
John Ross 6 N/A +6 7 N/A +7 8 N/A +8
DeSean Jackson 6 13 -7 7 14 -7 7 14 -7
D.J. Chark 6 N/A +6 7 N/A +7 8 N/A +8
A.J. Green 6 7 -1 7 8 -1 7 8 -1
Jarvis Landry 5 9 -4 6 11 -5 7 12 -5
Jamison Crowder 5 6 -1 7 8 -1 8 9 -1
Courtland Sutton 5 6 -1 6 7 -1 6 7 -1
Robby Anderson 4 6 -2 5 7 -2 6 7 -1
Michael Gallup 4 6 -2 5 7 -2 6 8 -2

 
I don’t know how you should properly analyze the Patriots’ wide receivers. Last week, I left Antonio Brown off the trade chart entirely because it was unclear whether he’d even play on Sunday, let alone the rest of the season. But he did play, and played well. It’s unclear whether there will be any discipline at all or, if so, how many games Brown will miss. It’s an educated guess at this point, and whether you trade for Brown is mainly about your risk tolerance. But I’m assuming for now that he plays the majority (but not all) of the season, which slightly weakens both Julian Edelman’s and Josh Gordon’s value.

Both Michael Thomas and JuJu Smith-Schuster see downgrades in trade values with the loss of their quarterbacks, but Smith-Schuster takes a bit more of a hit. While Thomas saw (and will likely continue to see) an incredible target share with Bridgewater under center, early returns on Mason Rudolph suggest that he’ll spread the ball around a bit more than Ben Roethlisberger likely would have. Both are still WR1s, however, and to the extent their fantasy owners are overly concerned, don’t hesitate to swoop in and make a move.

Veterans Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown, and Emmanuel Sanders look like they’re for real, and all three have both looked impressive and appear to be in favorable situations. Buy the resurgence.

Marquise Brown, Terry McLaurin, and John Ross may all continue to move up in value, the former in particular. Opinions can’t be totally transformed in just two games, but all three appear likely to have long-term value.

Finally, nobody freak out about Mike Williams having been off the trade chart last week. At the time of the writing, concerns about his knee sounded serious. He not only played last week, but he also contributed significantly. He should be good to go from here on out, absent health concerns, and he no longer has Hunter Henry to steal his targets.

Tight Ends

Player STANDARD 1/2 PPR FULL PPR
Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/- Current Value Previous Value +/-
Travis Kelce 27 24 +3 29 25 +4 30 27 +3
George Kittle 20 19 +1 22 20 +2 23 22 +1
Zach Ertz 19 18 +1 21 19 +2 22 21 +1
Mark Andrews 12 4 +8 14 5 +9 15 6 +9
Evan Engram 12 13 -1 13 14 -1 14 15 -1
Darren Waller 8 5 +3 9 6 +3 9 6 +3
Delanie Walker 8 7 +1 9 8 +1 9 8 +1
Vance McDonald 5 N/A +5 6 N/A +6 6 N/A +6
Greg Olsen 5 N/A +5 6 N/A +6 6 N/A +6
T.J. Hockenson 4 7 -3 5 8 -3 5 8 -3

 
Maybe the hype on T.J. Hockenson was a bit overblown, but that shouldn’t stop us from pushing all our chips in on Mark Andrews, right? 16 receptions and, perhaps more importantly, 17 targets through the first two weeks is simply not something that can be ignored, regardless of the matchup. For now, all signs point to you wanting any piece of this Ravens offense that you can get. With the severe lack of reliable tight ends, Andrews makes as good a target as any.

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Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter @danharris80.

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