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FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Wednesday (8/12)

by Vaughn Dalzell | @VaughnDalzell | Featured Writer
Aug 12, 2020

Monte Morris has posted six-straight games scoring double-digits in the bubble

The NBA has a small four-game slate for Wednesday’s action in Orlando. FanDuel has plenty of contests to enter for the league’s double slate tonight, so let’s take a look at some lineup possibilities with value plays, studs, fades, and more!

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Value Plays

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Monte Morris (DEN) LAC $4,100 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Shake Milton (PHI) TOR $4,700 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Austin Rivers (HOU) IND $5,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 
Monte Morris has posted six-straight games scoring double-digits in the bubble, and he’s played enough minutes to make a difference in DFS. He’s played at least 23 minutes in each game, and with Jamal Murray back, Morris provides an excellent scoring option off the bench, something the Nuggets need as they still get healthy.

Shake Milton is the starting point guard of the Sixers without Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. That’s a tough task to ask, but his usage and production are about to skyrocket as the third to fourth scoring option in this offense. Alongside a few other Sixers, Milton could be a must-play depending on opponent’s lineups and injuries.

Austin Rivers put on a show in the Rockets and Kings game. He outscored James Harden, and how many players on the Rockets can say that? Rivers dropped 41 points on 14-of-20 from the field (70%) and nailed 6-of-11 three-pointers (54.5%). He was on fire and added six rebounds and four assists and looked good in his matchup with the Spurs. He’s worth a stab when Harden or Westbrook is out, but that won’t be much longer with the postseason starting next week.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Norman Powell (TOR) PHI $5,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Josh Richardson (PHI) TOR $5,200 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Luguentz Dort (OKC) MIA $4,000 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Norman Powell was heating up in his last game versus the Bucks. He went for a bubble-high 21 points and added eight rebounds on his 7-of-13 shooting (53.8%). Powell could see some extended minutes letting Kyle Lowry rest while the Raptors are locked into the two seed.

Josh Richardson had a season-high 34 points in his first game without Joel Embiid and rested in the second. Ideally, versus the Raptors isn’t a great matchup, but depending on how much Toronto’s guards are limited, Richardson could have another solid game.

Luguentz Dort has played six-straight games over 20 minutes and has been a valuable asset with all the missing pieces. He’s scored in double-digit three out of six games and recorded nine points and 10 rebounds versus the Wizards on Sunday.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Pascal Siakam (TOR) PHI $7,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jae Crowder (MIA) OKC $4,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High
Danilo Gallinari (OKC) MIA $5,400 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Spicy P had a breakout game versus the Grizzlies putting up 26 points after only surpassing 20 in one of four games before that. He hasn’t had the most success in the bubble over six games, but he can put together consecutive strong performances with an Embiid-less 76ers frontcourt. Siakam played only 28 minutes and recorded 31.4 fantasy points versus the Bucks.

Jae Crowder continues to rebound, play defense, and hit three-pointers for Miami. He’s one of those role players who can step up any game, and he’s worth mentioning as a sleeper versus a weakened Thunder lineup. Without Steven Adams, a guy like Crowder could rack up the rebounds, and he’s had 26 fantasy points or more in three of six games.

Danilo Gallinari has a tough matchup with Miami, but he’d counted on as a primary scorer with Chris Paul. The Thunder are still without two starters and a few bench players, leaving Gallinari to carry the load. Versus Miami this season, he’s averaging 27 points, six rebounds, and four assists in his only meeting.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Michael Porter Jr. (DEN) LAC $7,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Serge Ibaka (TOR) PHI $5,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Al Horford (PHI) TOR $6,200 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Michael Porter Jr. has been one of the most surprising players of the bubble, but he’s had the minutes to blossom into what you’ve seen the past few games. In six games, he’s averaging 34.3 minutes to go along with 23.8 points and 9.1 rebounds. The Clippers could rest or restrict the minutes of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, benefiting MPJ, and he’s worth a play even as the highest-priced power forward.

Serge Ibaka and the Raptors frontcourt could own the paint in this matchup versus the 76ers. Ibaka and Siakam are two quality plays, and depending on their minutes, they both post-double-double potential. Ibaka’s averaged 21 minutes and 8.8 points and 7.6 rebounds in the bubble.

Al Horford slid into the lineup the night Embiid was injured, and now, Horford takes on a more significant load. The responsibility increase he has on both sides of the ball and all-around stat line performances make him an intriguing prospect in DFS. With Embiid out, he’s worth a play on most nights.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Myles Turner (IND) HOU $6,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Kelly Olynyk (MIA) OKC $4,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Bol Bol (DEN) LAC $3,800 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 
Myles Turner hasn’t had the strongest showings in the bubble, but centers and power forwards have found success versus the Rockets small-ball lineup. Turner has a shot at earning a double-double here, something that’s avoided him in his last seven games dating back to March. His ability to hit three-pointers also positively impacts his upside in this matchup versus P.J. Tucker.

Kelly Olynk has played six-straight games of over 20 minutes and over 20 fantasy points. He’s scored in double-digits in three of six games, and he’s had two games of 34 and 42 fantasy points. If the Heat rest anyone, Olynyk could step up in the scoring and rebounding department

This is a deep dive, but if the Nuggets and Clippers are happy with their postseason position, they could have their starters out by the fourth quarter. Bol Bol played 21 minutes versus the Lakers and had 19 fantasy points. He’s not a must-play, but he could be someone to watch or throw in a lineup or two for the last two games.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) $8,500: Jokic has been one of the catalysts for the Nuggets success in the bubble, and he’s scored 25 or more in three of six games. If he plays his standard minutes, he’s the most valuable center on the slate tonight.
  • Jimmy Butler (MIA) $7,900: Butler returned from a three-game absence and recorded 19 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists versus the Pacers. If he plays 30-plus minutes, he’s a threat for another all-around performance. 
  • Kawhi Leonard (LAC) $8,700: Leonard has scored at least 24 points in five-straight games, and in his last performance without Paul George, he scored 39 points and had six assists.
  • Bam Adebayo (MIA) $7,800: Adebayo is a stable stream versus the Thunder, and he’s played 30 or fewer minutes in five of his six games. Against OKC, he could put up a productive outing in 20-29 minutes. 
  • Kyle Lowry (TOR) $6,900: Lowry has had five rebounds or assists in his five bubble games, but he’s struggled from the field. Versus his hometown team 76ers, he could find a rhythm just in time for the postseason. 

5 Notable Players to Fade

  •  Chris Paul (OKC) $7,700: Paul hasn’t fared well versus the Heat this season. He recorded 14 points, six assists, and three rebounds.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) $7,200: SAG has returned to the bubble and whether or not he plays versus Miami us unknown. The Thunder could use him, but with a few games off, he’s not worth selecting in DFS against the Heat.
  • Robert Covington (HOU) $6,800: Covington has only scored double-digits in his last four games and has hit 1-of-11 threes in his previous two games.
  • Jamal Murray (DEN) $6,500: Murray played 25 and 39 minutes in his first two games back from injury, and the Nuggets may restrict his minutes headed into the postseason. I would be surprised to see him play 30-plus minutes.
  • Steven Adams (OKC) $6,000: Adams missed the Thunder’s game on Monday versus the Suns and is questionable for Wednesday’s matchup. Even if he does play, he will probably be ineffective and will share time with Mike Muscala.

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Vaughn Dalzell is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Vaughn, check out his archive or follow him @VaughnDalzell.

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