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2024 NFL Mock Draft: Erickson’s First-Round Picks With Trades (5.0)

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Erickson’s First-Round Picks With Trades (5.0)

With the NFL Draft just days away, my 2024 NFL Mock Draft 5.0 is LIVE. My second-to-last mock.

Teams’ needs have changed drastically with all the transactions in free agency, impacting how they approach the top prospects in the draft. Some teams that looked to be in the market for certain positions among the 2024 NFL rookie class may be going in a different direction than a few weeks back.

Hence, I’ve created the 2024 NFL Draft Needs For All 32 NFL Teams Post-Free Agency – as my guide to align this latest mock draft with what NFL teams will do when they are on the clock. I’ve also conducted a deep dive into the historical trends of each team’s major decision-makers to project how they will approach Round 1 of the NFL Draft.

Note that I will also be using my remaining mock drafts following the “Huddle Reports” mock draft contest. The rules are simple: One point for a player selected in Round 1. A player matched to a team is worth two points. Ergo, it’s more important to me in this exercise to focus on player-to-team and players selected in Round 1 generally, not so much on where a player is selected (numerically).

As a bonus (we love extra content), I took a look back at how past mock drafts have fared since 2018. Just some food for thought as you put the final touches on your personal mock draft. You can find it at the end of the mock draft 5.0.

I used that information – along with the data I found in my team’s needs and historical trends articles – to construct this mock.

But for now, let’s dive into the mock draft.

2024 NFL Draft Guide

2024 NFL Mock Draft

1) Chicago Bears: Caleb Williams (QB – USC)

How high is too high to draft Caleb Williams in fantasy?

2) Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels (QB – LSU)

The buzz for Jayden Daniels to Washington has been building. I am praying my +120 bet for Daniels to go second overall comes through. Find more of my 2024 NFL Draft bets in my BettingPros Prop Bet Card.

3) New England Patriots: Drake Maye (QB – North Carolina)

New Pats GM Eliot Wolf claims he wants to draft for upside. Hello Drake Maye.

4) Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – Ohio State)

Despite no testing, Marvin Harrison Jr. STILL goes fourth overall.

5) Los Angeles Chargers: Brock Bowers (TE – Georgia)

The Chargers selection at No.5 overall is where mock drafts go to die. Embrace it. Jim Harbaugh loves tight ends.

6) New York Giants: Malik Nabers (WR – LSU)

I have zero belief New York wants to draft a QB. Get Daniel Jones an actual WR.

7) Tennessee Titans: Joe Alt (OT – Notre Dame)

WHEN THE CHALK HITS.

8) Denver Broncos (via Atlanta Falcons): J.J. McCarthy (QB – Michigan)

I’ve been so fixated on projecting who the Vikings will trade up with to get a QB. So, I have overlooked Denver as a trade-up team, given they don’t have any second-round picks. But I have been severely underestimating Sean Payton’s ability to not give a care in the world at 2025 picks, or current players on his roster that he could trade (Courtland Sutton, Patrick Surtain). He hits up his old buddy from New Orleans and current Falcons GM, Terry Fontenot, to get to pick No. 8 and get his guy.

9) Chicago Bears: Rome Odunze (WR – Washington)

Again…how high is too high to draft Caleb Williams in fantasy?

10) New York Jets: Taliese Fuaga (OT – Oregon State)

My fifth straight mock with Taliese Fuaga as my Jets pick at 10. No point in stopping now.

11) Minnesota Vikings: Laiatu Latu (EDGE – UCLA)

It’s only been sunshine and rainbows with Latu’s medicals. He’s rising and might push Dallas Turner as EDGE1. And if there’s anyone who will take a risk on a talented player who falls due to medicals, it’s Vikings GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah

12) Atlanta Falcons (via Denver Broncos): Dallas Turner (EDGE – Alabama)

The Falcons trade back and still get the defensive player they would have taken at 8.

13) Las Vegas Raiders: Olumuyiwa Fashanu (OT – Penn State)

Tom Telesco loves to draft offensive linemen.

14) New Orleans Saints: Troy Fautanu (OT – Washington)

New Orleans should get back to the basics with an offensive tackle at the top of the draft.

15) Indianapolis Colts: Quinyon Mitchell (CB – Toledo)

Quinyon Mitchell has finished as PFF’s highest-graded cornerback in back-to-back seasons.

16) Seattle Seahawks: Byron Murphy II (DT – Texas)

Mike Macdonald is IN as the new head coach for the Seattle Seahawks, and there’s certainly credence to his defensive background influencing the first pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.

17) Jacksonville Jaguars: Terrion Arnold (CB – Alabama)

GM Trent Baalke loves targeting defensive backs. Terrion Arnold‘s 62nd-percentile wingspan and 59th-percentile arm length are good enough.

18) Cincinnati Bengals: JC Latham (OT – Alabama)

Trent Brown isn’t the long-term answer at RT.

19) Los Angeles Rams: Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – LSU)

Sean McVay’s first 1st-round pick isn’t going to be on defense. Just imagine the look on Les Snead’s face when McVay reminds him that Brian Thomas Jr. ran a faster 40-yard dash than Tavon Austin (selected 8th overall by Snead in 2013) while weighing 35 more pounds.

20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Graham Barton (IOL – Duke)

Graham Barton‘s been connected to Mike Tomlin’s Steelers throughout the process. He can play all five spots across the OL.

21) Miami Dolphins: Jared Verse (EDGE – Florida State)

Chris Grier has shown a willingness to draft EDGE/DL high. In the last five drafts, when Miami had a first-round pick, they drafted a DL/EDGE piece in three of those drafts. Four of those drafts included a DL/EDGE in Rounds 1 or 2.

22) Philadelphia Eagles: Tyler Guyton (OT – Oklahoma)

This team loves to invest high-end draft picks into their OL more than any other position. Since 2019, Roseman has drafted an offensive lineman in the first four rounds in every single draft. Three of which have been a second-round selection or higher.

They re-invest in the OL with Tyler Guyton. The Oklahoma product posted the second-lowest blown block percentage in the OT class in 2023. And he is Lane Johnson‘s protege.

23) Minnesota Vikings: Nate Wiggins (CB – Clemson)

Analytics strike again with KAM drafting one of the youngest players in the NFL Draft at a position of need. Nate Wiggins will just turn 21 by the start of the 2024 season.

24) Dallas Cowboys: Adonai Mitchell (WR – Texas)

Jerry Jones just can’t resist. ALL-IN ON AD MITCHELL.

25) Green Bay Packers: Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB – Alabama)

Cornerback is a big issue, given that all the ones that played last year besides Jaire Alexander weren’t very good or were injured. CB Kool-Aid McKinstry finished as PFF’s 4th-highest graded CB in the 2024 class in 2023, ahead of teammate Terrion Arnold. He allowed a sub-50% completion rate in coverage (49%) and the highest coverage snaps per target (11.7) – a strong indicator that teams were not throwing his way.

26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jackson Powers-Johnson (IOL – Oregon)

On offense, the Buccaneers could not run block for a lick in 2023. They need to get better play from the interior of their offensive line.

27) Arizona Cardinals): Chop Robinson (EDGE – Penn State)

Arizona wins the draft if they get both MHJ and Chop Robinson.

28) Buffalo Bills: Xavier Worthy (WR – Texas)

Brandon Beane doesn’t want typical “No.1 WRs.” Well, Xavier Worthy doesn’t look like an “X,” and he fits a role that could be nice with Josh Allen.

29) Detroit Lions: Darius Robinson (DE – Missouri)

I remember when Darius Robinson was listed at +140 to be a 1st-round pick. Now, -400 are the updated odds.

30) Baltimore Ravens: Jordan Morgan (OT – Arizona State)

Death, taxes, and the Ravens going OT in Round 1. The smoke from the Jordan Morgan fire is HOT.

31) San Francisco 49ers: Amarius Mims (OT – Georgia)

Honestly, I have no clue where to put Mims. He’s inexperienced and just viewed by most teams as an RT, but the tantalizing upside is enough to put him in Round 1.

32) Kansas City Chiefs: Patrick Paul (OT – Houston)

Conversely, Patrick Paul is ready to go for a team needing a starting tackle. My favorite longshot to be a 1st-round pick at +1000 on DraftKings Sportsbook. He’s met with the 49ers, Bills, Chiefs, Panthers and Ravens. Picks 28-33.

Just Missed the Cut

Past Mock Drafts Track Record Thread

By leveraging Grindingthemocks.com‘s historical mock draft data (along with NFLMockdraftdatabase.com), I was able to compare how accurate mock drafts were by position, team, etc., leading up to the real-life NFL Draft.

Here are my major findings, which you should consider as you finalize your mock drafts before draft night.

  • Safeties and cornerbacks represent the positions that NFL mock drafters have undervalued the most with the largest negative difference in mocked ADP versus real-life. Scheme disparities across the board mean teams value safeties and cornerbacks much differently than the public. Therefore, they often get drafted in a different order versus the pre-draft consensus.
  • Case in point: In 2022, Derek Stingley was drafted over Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner-one of the few correct calls I made in 2022 despite the latter being viewed as the CB1 throughout the draft process until much closer to the draft.
  • The consensus was correct about Trent McDuffie being CB3, but Andrew Booth Jr. was not the CB4 and fell out of the first round altogether. He had injury concerns, which likely caused the slip. Instead, Kaiir Elam was selected as the CB4-the last one in the first round.
  • In 2023, among the fringe 1st-2nd round cornerbacks – Emmanuel Forbes, Kelee Ringo, Cam Smith – only Forbes went in Round 1 (pre-draft EDP at 25) as the second CB drafted.
  • None of them were invited to the 2023 NFL Draft, either. The mocks had five CBs being drafted in Round 1 in 2023, when only four were selected. And the order was completely different after Devon Witherspoon went fifth overall to the Seahawks.
  • Deonte Banks also overtook Joey Porter Jr. as the CB4, with Porter falling to pick 32 (second round in 2023).
  • In 2023’s entire CB draft class, Witherspoon/Forbes went ahead of their EDP (as the top 2 CBs selected). Gonzalez, Banks, and Porter all went below their EDP among the top 5 CBs projecting to go in Round 1.
  • In 2021, Patrick Surtain II was viewed as a consensus CB1 throughout the entire pre-draft process but ended up going one spot behind Jaycee Horn.
  • Therefore, the current Quinyon Mitchell/Terrion Arnold situation should be viewed in a similar light to past drafts between the top two CBs. Mitchell is the betting favorite at -125, but it’s by razor-thin margins, with Arnold listed at +105. It could go either way. Mitchell’s been the pre-draft rise by constantly checking all the boxes. But Arnold has a decorated college pedigree, coming from Alabama.
  • In my mock drafts, Arnold was the first CB drafted until my latest at 4.0, when Mitchell overtook him. Both guys have EDPs at 16, but the data suggests one, if not both, will easily break that number. Or perhaps a third CB will enter the conversation as the second one selected.
  • The current betting odds have the top three cornerbacks as Mitchell (-125), Arnold (+150), and Cooper DeJean (+550). These are much tighter odds than last year’s CB class.
  • Then it’s Nate Wiggins (+2000), Kool-Aid McKinstry (+5000) and T.J. Tampa (+7500).
  • In 2022, safety Kyle Hamilton was the pre-draft S1 (12.7 EDP), and he was selected 14th overall. But two late safeties, Daxton Hill and Lewis Cine, snuck into the first round at 31 and 32, respectively. Both players did have pre-draft EDPs inside the top 32.
  • So, although safeties are no longer valued at the same rate they were in years past, Branch’s status as a safety/slot cornerback (very similar to Daxton Hill) seemed to project he would be selected in Round 1. He was also one of the 17 players to receive an invite to the 2023 NFL Draft in Kansas City.
  • However, that turned out not to be the case, given that he fell completely into Day 2.
  • There are not any safety-listed prospects that project to be drafted in the first round in 2024, but DeJean’s status as more of a safety than actual CB could make him less valuable – akin to what happened to Branch in 2023.
  • Therefore, we could see DeJean drop out of the CB3 discussion or Round 1 altogether. Given that he’s the favorite to go as the CB3, there’s value in betting on Wiggins (+225) to be the third CB selected and/or the second CB selected (+750). Only five CBs are projected to be selected in Round 1 per EDP.
  • Wiggins has his “backers” in the drafting industrial complex, given his speed of 4.28. He’s underweight at 173 pounds, which could keep him off certain team boards, but it just takes one to have him picked highly. Note that Forbes-166 pounds soaking wet-was the second CB drafted last season.
  • If I had to project any team to draft a CB well ahead of consensus, it would be the Jaguars. Trent Baalke needs his long-armed CBs.
  • The next three positions that differ most from pre-draft mocks are running back, defensive end (edge), and offensive tackle.
  • In 2022 the following differentials for running backs were Breece Hall (0), Kenneth Walker (+17), James Cook (+36), Rachaad White (+49), Brian Robinson (+15), Dameon Pierce (+21), Zamir White (+9) and Isaiah Spiller (-42).
  • Of the eight highest pre-drafted 2022 rookie running backs, seven were drafted much earlier than mocks projected.
  • In 2023, Bijan Robinson boasted a current EDP of 20.4. He HAMMERED the under as the eighth-overall pick by the Falcons.
  • I hit on Bijan Robinson as a top-10 pick bet last season after considering how high NFL.com’s Daniel Jeremiah (and other NFL draft personnel) had Robinson ranked in his overall draft rankings.
  • Historically speaking, DJ has just slightly overvalued RBs in his top 150 rankings based on where they are drafted.
  • In 2023, Jeremiah ranked Robinson third (went 8th), Gibbs 29th (went 12th), Zach Charbonnet 50th (went 52nd), Kendre Miller 78th (went 71st), Israel Abanikanda 84th (went 143rd), Roschon Johnson 85th (went 115th), De’Von Achane 87th(went 84th), Tyjae Spears 105th (went 81st) and Tank Bigsby 121st (went 88th).
  • He ranked players, on average, five spots above their actual draft spot.
  • USC’s MarShawn Lloyd is Daniel Jeremiah’s highest-ranked RB in 2024.
  • In terms of the mock drafters evaluating the RB position, three of the top four were drafted much earlier than mocks projected in 2023. 9 of the top 13 went earlier than mocks predicted.
  • I still don’t expect an RB to be drafted in Round 1. But I don’t think it’s a lock that we don’t see at least one inside the top 50.
  • Among the edge rushers in 2022, it was a clean sweep, with Travon Walker, Aidan Hutchinson, and Kayvon Thibodeaux going as the first three pass rushers.
  • However, after the top 3, there was a stark fall-off for Jermaine Johnson. Going into the draft, he was being mocked inside the top 10. He fell to 26th overall as the fourth edge rusher. DT Jordan Davis was also drafted ahead of him.
  • Devonte Wyatt ended up being selected extremely close to his EDP (26 vs. 28), but No. 5 edge rusher George Karlaftis fell to 30th overall (EDP 23 overall).
  • In the 2023 class, the top-3 edge rushers pre-draft were pretty dialed in between Will Anderson, Tyree Wilson, and Lukas Van Ness, but there was a chance of a mix-up based on historical tracking. DT Jalen Carter‘s off-the-field issues added another layer into the mix.
  • In the actual draft, Anderson, Wilson, Carter, and then Van Ness were selected, exactly as the mocks mostly predicted, similar to the 2022 edge class.
  • But we got a massive shake-up in the second tier of edge rushers/defensive tackles between Myles Murphy, Nolan Smith, Bryan Bresee, Calijah Kancey, and Will McDonald.
  • Same with Mazi Smith, Adetomiwa Adebawore, Felix Anudike-Uzomah, and Keion White.
  • The official order went to McDonald (EDP 30), Kancey (EDP 25), Mazi Smith (EDP 33), Myles Murphy (EDP 22), Bryan Bresee (EDP 29), Nolan Smith (EDP 14) and Felix Anudike-Uzomah (EDP 52.4). Adebawore went in Round 4, while White fell to Round 2.
  • Clemson’s Bryan Bresee was knocked in 2023 mocks due to his injuries the last few years, but his lack of top-30 visits suggested teams felt comfortable with their evaluations of him as a first-rounder. He went exactly where his EDP projected him for at 29th overall to the Saints.
  • Keion White was invited to the NFL Draft, but every year, the NFL invites one, if not multiple, players who do not get selected in Round 1. As a result, the NFL is inviting fewer prospects to avoid this happening in the future.
  • As it stands right now, the 2024 edge rush/DT class features Dallas Turner, Jared Verse, Byron Murphy, Laiatu Latu, Chop Robinson, Jer’Zhan Newton and Darius Robinson as the projected Round 1 crop.
  • Turner, Verse, and Latu have been the consensus top-3 all mock draft season, so I’d expect them to be the first off the board. But Murphy at DT could be the wildcard of the bunch as the top interior disruptor.
  • I’d also be more confident that Missouri’s Darius Robinson will go higher than most expect versus Newton, who could fall out of Round 1.
  • Chop Robinson could also go much closer to the top 3 than the end of Round 1.
  • Also, I wouldn’t rule out any of the next tier of edge rushers/DTs, such as Marshawn Kneeland, Braden Fiske, Chris Braswell, or Braelen Trice, sneaking into the end of Round 1. Braswell is +2000 to be drafted in Round 1. Trice (+1500) is a bit shorter, while Kneeland/Fiske are the shortest plus odds at +350 each. Although you want to lean toward EDGE over DT, with the former harder to project versus pre-draft projections. However, this wasn’t much the case in 2023, with many DTs beating their EDPs. Somewhat contradicting.
  • Among the 2022 offensive tackle class, the mock drafters were correct, going five-for-five in the projected order of the top offensive tackles. However, the top tackles were over-projected by specific draft positions.
  • And at the same time, the mock drafters were severely under-drafting guards and centers by 5-10 draft slots on average between Kenyon Green, Zion Johnson, Tyler Linderbaum, and Cole Strange (lol).
  • That suggests that OL with “guard/center” profiles at the next level, such as Peter Skoronsoki, O’Cyrus Torrence, Joe Tippman (center), and John Michael Schmitz (center), may go much earlier than anticipated. The G/C profiles in 2023 went much later than in 2022.
  • In 2023, the top four tackles mocked were the top four drafted. The only error was Darnell Wright‘s going second when he was projected as the fourth OT. The mock drafters were not high enough on the tackles.
  • The 2024 class features Joe Alt, Olumuyiwa Fashanu, Taliese Fuaga, JC Latham and Troy Fautanu as the top-5 consensus.
  • There’s a strong chance they don’t go in this actual order, which tends to be rhetoric in this strong OL class. But at the top, mock drafters have been correct in pegging the first OT drafted in four of the last five drafts.
  • However, there’s a good chance that they are the top OL players drafted.
  • The media’s most overvalued position is quarterback. Shook, I know. The narrative that teams fall in love with a QB is stronger in public perception than in actual reality.
  • So, in a 2022 quarterback draft class that was particularly poor, it was not too shocking to see the QBs fall.
  • Recall that Malik Willis was -145 going over pick 12.5.
  • Kenny Pickett was -115 on both sides of pick 16.5. I recommended the overs on both of these props last season. Winner winner chicken dinner.
  • 2023 was slightly different from a much better QB class. In yet, Will Levis had an EDP at eighth overall – ahead of Anthony Richardson. Levis fell to the second round. Woof.
  • Also, can’t forget Hendon Hooker‘s EDP at 29 overall in 2023. He was drafted in the third round.
  • Recall even in a stacked 2021 class where five quarterbacks were projected to go top-10, only three did so.
  • The 2020 class was pretty chalk – besides the media being much lower on Justin Herbert than NFL teams. Same thing in 2019, but with Daniel Jones.
  • Can’t help but get Drake Maye vibes here – as the quarterback the media is not hyping up is the one that actually goes earlier than expected.
  • C.J. Stroud fell slightly from being the No. 1 favorite to sometimes being the third or fourth QB selected last year. I doubted that he wouldn’t be one of the top-2 quarterbacks selected, and I was proven correct.
  • This brings us to J.J. McCarthy. The offseason hype piece. Gun to my head, I’d bet he goes later than expected with his draft position set at 5.5 (EDP at 5). Likely won’t make it past 12 where Denver selects, given their desperation for a QB.
  • And if it wasn’t obvious, I am hammering the under on 4.5 QBs drafted in Round 1. Bo Nix (EDP 25) and Michael Penix Jr. (EDP 26) are just classic examples of media driving up QBs in mock drafts. That’s not based.
  • Interior linebacker used to be the second-most overvalued position by the public. They just aren’t as valuable as they have been in years past, but the market has somewhat adjusted.
  • In 2023, no linebacker was projected to go in the first round. Some viewed Drew Sanders as more of a pass rusher than a traditional middle linebacker. Jack Campbell was the first LB selected by the Lions at 18th overall, well ahead of his EDP (44th overall).
  • In 2022, two linebackers were drafted in the first round: Quay Walker (22nd by Green Bay) and Devin Lloyd (27th by Jacksonville). Lloyd fell seven spots behind EDP, while Walker beat his by 11 spots (31 EDP). The next LB was not selected until 58th overall.
  • It’s been back-to-back seasons where a traditional LB has drastically beaten their EDP. And both times it was not even the consensus LB1 in the class.
  • This year, Edgerrin Cooper is the LB1 by consensus (46th overall). Daniel Jeremiah said on a recent conference call that he wouldn’t be surprised if Michigan LB Junior Colson gets drafted in Round 1.
  • The positions where there’s the least amount of variance between mock drafts and real selections include defensive tackle, tight end, outside linebacker, and guard. The public and the NFL are more in lockstep with these positions. So, if you are looking to follow the field with certain picks, these tend to be the positions to gravitate toward.
  • The IOL was a bit wild in 2022, but the defensive tackle and tight end positions were spot-on based on the expected draft position.
  • In 2023, we got zero IOL draft picks in Round 1, but that was to be expected. DT seemed to be valued higher than mocks, which could be significant as defenses look away from edge rushers.
  • Therefore, you should expect Brock Bowers to be a top-10 selection (11.5 EDP). NFL Draft insider Tony Pauline notes that the Jets at 10 seem like his ‘absolute floor.’
  • Betting odds have Bowers listed at +120 to be a top-10 pick.
  • And DTs to potentially go higher than their EDPs.
  • As for the IOL class, I’d keep it simple. Graham Barton, Jackson Powers-Johnson and Jordan Morgan should all go pretty close to their projection draft capital. Maybe Zack Frazier sneaks into Day 1, but IOL sneaking into Rd 1 has not how past drafts have played out.
  • From a specific team perspective, the Steelers, Seahawks, Lions, Packers, Saints, and Texans have had the largest difference in players going much earlier than mocks predicted pre-draft. If you plan on going “off-the-rails” and getting away from chalk in a particular selection, these are the teams to do it with.
  • In 2022, the Packers overvalued a linebacker 22nd overall. Houston took a guard 15th overall, nearly ten spots ahead of EDP.
  • In 2023, the Lions drafted an LB/RB in the first round. Seattle drafted CB Devon Witherspoon when everybody thought they would go for DL.
  • Pittsburgh’s numbers are heavily skewed due to their outlandish selection of safety Terrel Edmunds in 2018. Their more recent first-round picks – Devin Bush, Najee Harris, Kenny Pickett, Broderick Jones – have been easier to predict.
  • Simply put, Mike Tomlin and company aren’t afraid to show their love for particular prospects, and it’s worth chasing.
  • The Saints went surprisingly chalky the last two seasons, which is a different approach. I wouldn’t be shocked if they do something more off-the-wall with the 14th overall pick (QB?) or by taking a different offensive lineman that most would project.
  • The NFL teams that have been most aligned with pre-draft projections include Denver, New York (Jets), Arizona, Chicago, Dallas, Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Minnesota, Baltimore, Indianapolis, and the Raiders (GM Tom Telesco was very predictable with the Chargers). Don’t anticipate many of those teams to go way off the board with their Round 1 pick(s).
  • Anticipate they also don’t pass up on the best player available if the value falls to them.
  • As for specific college teams, there are a few that stand out in terms of the mock drafts not being high enough on their players. The football factories that lead the way include Ohio State, Georgia, TCU, San Diego State, and Houston.
  • Schools like San Diego State and Houston can be linked back to specific wild first-round picks (Rashaad Penny, Payton Turner), but it’s interesting nevertheless that these less polarizing schools produced first-rounders.
  • The top prospects from the listed schools include Marvin Harrison Jr., Patrick Paul, Brock Bowers, Amarius Mims, and Ladd McConkey.
  • Ohio State and Georgia have plenty of players who project to go high in this year’s draft, so you might want to be higher on prospects that mock drafts have going later and vice versa.
  • Because Georgia players are often under-mocked by the consensus, don’t be afraid to fill your mock draft with them to your heart’s desire. By my account, I’d say there are three or four Bulldogs who easily could be Round 1 players.
  • While scraping Grindingthemocks.com, I discovered that since 2018, nine players with an EDP of 50 or more were drafted in the first round.
  • Other than Cole Strange, the highest EDP (55th) for a first-round player was Kansas State edge rusher Felix Anudike-Uzomah.
  • EDGE Darius Robinson, OL Jordan Morgan, WR Ladd McConkey, WR Keon Coleman, OT Kingsley Suamataia, CB Ennis Rakestraw, EDGE Marshawn Kneeland, WR Troy Franklin, IOL Zach Frazier, DT Kris Jenkins, WR Xavier Legette, LB Edgerrin Cooper, IOL Cooper Beebe, CB Kamari Lassiter, WR Roman Wilson and WR Ricky Pearsall are the next closest in consideration as Round 1 pick with EDPs outside the top-32.
  • Given that, on average, we get at least one player with an EDP outside the top 50 in Round 1, my best bets include CB T.J. Tampa, CB Max Melton, LB Junior Colson, OT Patrick Paul, and EDGE Braelen Trice.

More 2024 NFL Mock Drafts

Here are a few early predictions for the 2024 NFL Draft. We’ll continue to add our 2024 NFL Mock Drafts leading up to the start of Round 1.

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