New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Giants Players & Weekly Rankings
| Jaxson Dart | QB | QB1/2 |
| Cam Skattebo | RB | RB1 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | RB3 |
| Devin Singletary | RB | RB4 |
| Darius Slayton | WR | WR3/4 |
| Wan’Dale Robinson | WR | WR3 |
| Lil’Jordan Humphrey | WR | WR4 |
| Theo Johnson | TE | TE2 |
Eagles Players & Weekly Rankings
| Jalen Hurts | QB | QB1 |
| Saquon Barkley | RB | RB1 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | Out |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | WR1/2 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | WR5 |
| Dallas Goedert | TE | TE1 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Jaxson Dart…franchise changer. The aura farming rookie swag machine has been the QB4 in fantasy points per game since Week 4. The last time he faced this defense, he was the QB3 in fantasy for the week. After what we all witnessed last week against Denver (QB3 for the week), no one should be counting him out in any matchup. He has averaged 8.8 rushing attempts and 44.5 rushing yards per game with three scores on the ground. Since Week 4, among 38 qualifying passers, Dart ranks 28th in highly accurate throw rate, 14th in catchable target rate, 20th in hero throw rate, and fifth in fantasy points per dropback. He still has a lot of growth as a passer that needs to occur because during this stretch, he also has the sixth-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. Dart can excel again this week, but it won’t be an easy road to travel. Philly has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per attempt and the second-lowest adjusted completion rate while also ranking 17th in success rate per dropback and passing yards per game allowed.
After last week’s monster game, Smith is the WR20 in fantasy points per game, ranking 21st among wide receivers in red zone targets. Smith has a 24.1% target share with a 33.6% air-yard share, 72 receiving yards per game (2.27 yards per route run), and a 30.6% first-read share. This week, he faces a Giants’ secondary that allowed him to secure four of his five targets for 49 yards in Week 6 (WR37 for the week). In Week 6, the Giants utilized two high with 52.6% of their defensive snaps against the Eagles. They have utilized two high with 52.6-65.6% of their snaps in two of their last three games. Against two high, Smith has a team-leading 26.4% target share with 2.75 yards per route run and a 33.8% first-read share. With A.J. Brown out this week, I expect the Eagles to move Smith to the perimeter opposite Jahan Dotson. The Giants have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Smith should have a strong outing in Week 8.
Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider
Let’s fill out those flex spots.
The last time these two teams squared off, Wan’Dale Robinson secured six of his seven targets for 84 yards and a score as the WR9 for the week. Since Week 4, with Jaxson Dart under center, Robinson has been the WR34 in fantasy points per game with a 24.2% target share, 55.8 receiving yards per game (1.69 yards per route run), and a 25% first-read share. He has four red zone targets across his last four games. The Eagles have been tough against slot receivers this season, allowing the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game and eighth-fewest receiving yards per game to the position, but Robinson overcame the tough matchup in their last meeting. I won’t rule out that he can do it again this week as a decent flex option.
Darius Slayton will be back this week (hamstring). He practiced on a limited basis all week and doesn’t carry an injury designation into this game. In the last game that Slayton played, he left with a hamstring issue. Before he was knocked out of the game, in the first half, he had a 31.3% target share, a 94.1% air-yard share, and a 36.4% first-read share. Slayton was essentially operating as Malik Nabers for the Giants. He could command a similar volume this week from Jaxson Dart. The problem for Slayton is that he could draw shadow coverage from Quinyon Mitchell this week. Mitchell has followed Emeka Egbuka, Courtland Sutton, and Davante Adams this season on 65-79.4% of their routes. Only Sutton surpassed 12 receiving yards in Mitchell’s primary coverage. If Mitchell doesn’t follow him, Slayton could have a nice day against a secondary that has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game and the tenth-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Since Week 4, Theo Johnson has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game. He’s had a 73.3% route share, a 19.2% target share with 35.8 receiving yards per game (1.34 yards per route run) and a 22.5% first-read share. Johnson has five red zone targets and four touchdowns across his last four games. Johnson is a low-end tight end streaming option this week against a defense that has allowed the third-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Concerning Starts & Players to Fade
Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.
N/A
MIN vs. LAC | NYJ vs. CIN | BUF vs. CAR | SF vs. HOU | NYG vs. PHI | CLE vs. NE | CHI vs. BAL | MIA vs. ATL | TB vs. NO | DAL vs. DEN | TEN vs. IND | GB vs. PIT | WAS vs. KC
Cleveland Browns v. New England Patriots
- NE -7, O/U 40.5
- Cleveland Browns v. New England Patriots Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Browns Players & Weekly Rankings
| Dillon Gabriel | QB | QB2 |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | RB1 |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | RB4 |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | WR4 |
| Isaiah Bond | WR | WR5 |
| Jamari Thrash | WR | WR6 |
| David Njoku | TE | TE2 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | TE2 |
Patriots Players & Weekly Rankings
| Drake Maye | QB | QB1 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | RB2 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | RB4 |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | WR1/2 |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR | WR3 |
| DeMario Douglas | WR | WR4/5 |
| Hunter Henry | TE | TE1/2 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Stefon Diggs has finished as a top 24 wide receiver in weekly scoring in three of his last four games (WR18, WR4, WR23). Since Week 4, he has had a 68% route share, a 29.6% target share, 86 receiving yards per game (4.05 yards per route run), and a 33.3% first-read share. In his last four games, he has five red zone targets and two deep targets. This week, he faces a Cleveland pass defense that has the third-highest rate of single high (61.2%). Since Week 4, against single high, Diggs has had a 28.8% target share with an insane 5.88 yards per route run and a 30.8% first-read share. Diggs should crush this week against a secondary allowing the tenth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider
Let’s fill out those flex spots.
Kayshon Boutte is the WR36 in fantasy points per game, but he’s been a volatile flex play this season. He has three weeks as a top-24 wide receiver (WR17, WR4, WR24), but he also has four games this season where he finished outside the top 50 wide receivers in scoring. Boutte has an 11.8% target share (17.2 aDOT) with 2.03 yards per route run and a 14% first-read share. He leads the team with eight deep targets while only seeing one red zone target. This week, he faces a Cleveland pass defense that has the third-highest rate of single high (61.2%). Against single high, Boutte has seen his target share increase to 15.5% with 2.30 yards per route run and a 15.5% first-read share. Boutte’s downfield role might not hit this week, though, against a Cleveland secondary that ranks 18th in deep completion rate and has limited offenses to the fourth-fewest deep passing yards per game. Boutte is a dice roll flex play that offers a nice ceiling, but he has an equally low floor. The Browns have allowed the tenth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
With Dillon Gabriel under center, Jerry Jeudy has had a 19.4% target share, a 35.2% air-yard share, 25 receiving yards per game (0.74 yards per route run), and a 25.7% first-read share. In those three games, he has had four red zone targets and two deep targets. Jeudy hasn’t finished with more than 43 receiving yards in any of those contests and outside the top 70 wide receivers in weekly scoring twice. The matchup is good for Jeudy this week, but that has been the case for plenty of weeks this season, and he’s done little to nothing. If you’re stuck flexing Jeudy, I get it, but I’ll sit him in most leagues. The Patriots have allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season.
Hunter Henry is the TE13 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weeks (TE1, TE10) in weekly scoring. Henry has a 16.7% target share, 44.3 receiving yards per game (1.73 yards per route run), and an 18.9% first-read share. Henry leads the team with seven red zone targets and is second with four deep targets. This week, he faces a Cleveland pass defense that has the third-highest rate of single high (61.2%). Against single high, Henry has had a 17.3% target share, 1.99 yards per route run, and a 21.4% first-read share. Henry is a fringe TE1 this week with a bad matchup. Cleveland has allowed the ninth-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends.
With Dillon Gabriel under center, Fannin Jr. has had a 67.5% route share, an 18.4% target share, 43.3 receiving yards per game (1.65 yards per route run), and a 20% first-read share. In those three games, he has two red zone targets and weekly scoring finishes as the TE15, TE7, and TE23. Fannin Jr. is on the streaming radar this week. The Patriots have allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
David Njoku opened this week with a limited practice (knee). He practiced in a limited fashion for the rest of the week and has been listed as questionable. Njoku is the TE21 in fantasy points per game with four red zone targets and two deep targets. He has a 13.3% target share, 37.2 receiving yards per game (1.25 yards per route run), and a 16.4% first-read share. Njoku is a viable streaming candidate this week. New England has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to tight ends.
Concerning Starts & Players to Fade
Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.
Dillon Gabriel isn’t fantasy relevant. Last week was the last straw if you were holding out any hope. If you can only put up 116 passing yards, 6.4 yards per attempt, and zero passing touchdowns against Miami, then all hope is lost. Yes, I know weather played a factor. I’ll change my mind if anyone can point to a strong outing this season for Gabriel? (Crickets) Ok, don’t play Gabriel.
Last week, Rhamondre Stevenson played a season-high 75.4% of the snaps finishing with 20 touches and 88 total yards. He looks locked in as New England’s workhorse back with snap shares north of 70% in back-to-back games. Among 57 qualifying backs, Stevenson ranks 11th in missed tackle rate and 34th in yards after contact per attempt. Stevenson needs a touchdown and a ton of volume to pay off for fantasy this week. Cleveland has limited rushers to the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game, the tenth-lowest explosive run rate, and the lowest yards after contact per attempt.
TreVeyon Henderson isn’t playable in fantasy right now. Partially because Mike Vrabel refuses to play him, but also because when he has been on the field, he hasn’t done much. Last week, he played a season-low 13.8% of the snaps with only two touches and five total yards. Henderson is borderline droppable at this point.
MIN vs. LAC | NYJ vs. CIN | BUF vs. CAR | SF vs. HOU | NYG vs. PHI | CLE vs. NE | CHI vs. BAL | MIA vs. ATL | TB vs. NO | DAL vs. DEN | TEN vs. IND | GB vs. PIT | WAS vs. KC
Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens
- BAL -2, O/U 44.5
- Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Bears Players & Weekly Rankings
| Caleb Williams | QB | QB2 |
| D’Andre Swift | RB | RB2 |
| Kyle Monangai | RB | RB3 |
| Rome Odunze | WR | WR1 |
| DJ Moore | WR | WR4 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | WR4/5 |
| Luther Burden | WR | WR4 |
| Cole Kmet | TE | Out |
| Colston Loveland | TE | TE1/2 |
Ravens Players & Weekly Rankings
| Tyler Huntley | QB | QB2 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | RB1 |
| Justice Hill | RB | RB4 |
| Zay Flowers | WR | WR2 |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | WR4 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | WR5 |
| Mark Andrews | TE | TE2 |
| Isaiah Likely | TE | TE3 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
D’Andre Swift opened this week with a DNP (groin). He practiced on a limited basis on Thursday and Friday and has been listed as questionable. Swift is the RB11 in fantasy points per game after two big games in the last two weeks. He has averaged 17.5 touches and 97.5 total yards. Swift’s per-touch metrics have improved this season with a 6.7% explosive run rate and a 15% missed tackle rate. Swift should have another solid game this week against a Baltimore run defense that has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the fourth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and had the sixth-lowest stuff rate.
Last week, Kyle Monangai played 46.3% of the snaps with three of ten running back red zone rushing attempts. He had 13 of 33 running back carries and a 29.6% route share (7.7% target share). He finished with 15 touches and 94 total yards (one score) as the RB12 for the week. Monangai has a solid 17% missed tackle rate with 2.20 yards after contact per attempt this season. This week, he faces a Baltimore run defense that has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the fourth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest success rate to zone runs (Monangai 65.7% zone). He is a strong flex that could finish as an RB2 this week.
Zay Flowers is the WR23 in fantasy points per game with a 27.6% target share with 70.5 receiving yards per game (2.35 yards per route run), and a 32.4% first-read share. Flowers has two red zone targets and seven deep targets this season. Since Week 6, Chicago has utilized single high at the third-highest rate (66.7%). Against single high, Flowers has an insane 32.2% target share, 2.91 yards per route run, and a 35.6% first-read share. Chicago ranks 18th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers. Flowers could be headed for a big Week 8.
Cole Kmet sustained a back injury last week and has been ruled out for Week 8. Colston Loveland will be the Bears’ full-time tight end this week. In the second half of last week’s game, Loveland had a 70% route share, a 22.2% target share, and a 33.3% first-read share. Overall, this season, he has an 18% target per route run rate, 1.07 yards per route run, two red zone targets, and a 12.2% first-read share. Baltimore has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 13th-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends. Loveland is a wonderful streaming option this week at tight end.
Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider
Let’s fill out those flex spots.
Caleb Williams is the QB13 in fantasy points per game, but his fantasy season is being propped up by two huge games in the opening three weeks of the season and some rushing production, which has fallen off as we moved through the season. He hasn’t rushed for more than 27 yards in a game since Week 1. Williams has three QB1 weekly finishes this season (QB9, QB1, QB10), but has finished as the QB20 or lower in his three other games (QB20, QB24, QB27). Among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 16th in yards per attempt, 35th in adjusted completion rate, 34th in highly accurate throw rate, and he has the third-highest off-target rate. Williams couldn’t take advantage of a plus matchup last week against the Saints. Before their bye, the Ravens held Matthew Stafford to 181 passing yards, 6.9 yards per attempt, and 0.6% CPOE. I know it’s a one-game sample, but if Baltimore has figured out some of their defensive struggles, Williams is in trouble. At best, he has another plus matchup this week, but as last week showed, I don’t know if he can take advantage of a plus matchup at this point.
Last year, in his five starts for Miami, Huntley finished above QB20 in weekly scoring only once (QB11). He averaged 5.2 rushing attempts and 27 rushing yards. Last season, among 47 passers, Huntley ranked 38th in yards per attempt, 37th in passing yards per game, 20th in highly accurate throw rate, and 30th in catchable target rate. Huntley does have a nice matchup this week that should allow for at least solid QB2 production. Chicago has allowed the sixth-most yards per attempt, the fifth-highest CPOE, and the seventh-highest success rate per dropback.
If you need a dice roll flex that could pay off handsomely this week…Luther Burden could be it. Burden has only a 26.3% route share, but he has made the most of it with 3.07 yards per route run and 0.64 fantasy points per route run. This would be a great week for Ben Johnson to crank up his snaps. Baltimore has the fourth-highest rate of single high (61%) and has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game and second-most PPR points per target to slot receivers (Burden 46.7-66.7% slot over the last two games). Against single high, Burden has a 21% target per route run rate while leading the team with 4.86 yards per route run and 0.91 fantasy points per route run. This could be the Burden breakout game.
Mark Andrews is the TE22 in fantasy points per game. Outside of his monster game in Week 3, he hasn’t cleared 30 receiving yards in any other game and has only two red zone targets. He has finished as the TE27 or lower in four games this season. Since Isaiah Likely‘s return, Andrews has had a 61.4% route share, a 19.5% target share, 25.3 receiving yards per game (1.23 yards per route run), and a 27.1% first-read share. This could be the bounce-back spot for Andrews, but there’s definite risk here. Chicago has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards and the ninth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Concerning Starts & Players to Fade
Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.
D.J. Moore opened this week with a DNP (hip). He practiced on a limited basis on Thursday before upgrading to a full session on Friday. He doesn’t have an injury designation entering this week’s game. Moore is the WR48 in fantasy points per game with three red zone and three deep targets this season. He has only one top-36 finish this season in weekly scoring. This isn’t the week to flex Moore. This week, he faces a Baltimore secondary that has utilized single high at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL (61%). Against single high, Moore has disappeared with an 11.2% target share, 0.79 yards per route run, and an 11.8% first-read share. Baltimore has allowed the ninth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
MIN vs. LAC | NYJ vs. CIN | BUF vs. CAR | SF vs. HOU | NYG vs. PHI | CLE vs. NE | CHI vs. BAL | MIA vs. ATL | TB vs. NO | DAL vs. DEN | TEN vs. IND | GB vs. PIT | WAS vs. KC
Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons
- ATL -7, O/U 44.5
- Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Dolphins Players & Weekly Rankings
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB | QB2 |
| De’Von Achane | RB | RB1 |
| Ollie Gordon | RB | RB4 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | WR1/2 |
| Malik Washington | WR | WR4/5 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | WR5 |
| Tanner Conner | TE | TE2/3 |
Falcons Players & Weekly Rankings
| Kirk Cousins | QB | QB1/2 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | Out |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | RB1 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | RB3 |
| Drake London | WR | Out |
| Darnell Mooney | WR | WR2/3 |
| David Sills | WR | WR5 |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | TE1 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Kirk Cousins draws the start for Atlanta this week, with Michael Penix dealing with an injury. Cousins is an interesting streaming option this week at quarterback. Last year, in his 14 games, he had three QB1 outings (QB8, QB1, QB3). Last season, among 47 qualifying quarterbacks, Cousins ranked eighth in yards per attempt, fifth in highly accurate throw rate, and tenth in catchable target rate, but he also had the eighth-highest turnover-worthy throw rate and was 32nd in fantasy points per dropback. Cousins could flirt with QB1 production this week if Atlanta leans on the passing game in a good matchup. The Dolphins have allowed the fourth-highest yards per attempt, the highest passer rating and success rate per dropback, and the 11th-highest CPOE.
Darnell Mooney has only played in three full games this season and hasn’t had more than 9.8 PPR points in any game. He has two red zone targets and three deep targets this season. This could be the week to get Mooney in as a flex play. He has a 15.6% target share (14.8 aDOT), 1.39 yards per route run, and a 20% first-read share. The Miami secondary has been a turnstile, though, allowing the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Mooney gets bumped up as a strong start this week with Drake London out. Mooney should compete with Kyle Pitts for the team lead in targets this week.
After the entire fantasy community finally gave up on Kyle Pitts, he is producing at a nice rate this season. He’s the TE12 in fantasy points per game, drawing an 18.8% target share with 47.5 receiving yards per game (1.49 yards per route run), and a 17.1% target share. He has three red zone targets and a deep target. Miami has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game, the tenth-highest yards per reception, and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. With Drake London out, the passing attack will be even more condensed. Pitts should return TE1 value this week.
Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider
Let’s fill out those flex spots.
Atlanta is favored this week, which is huge for Allgeier’s outlook. I keep bringing it up weekly, but the trend has held. In Atlanta’s three wins this season, Allgeier has averaged 14.6 touches and 56.3 total yards with three scores. In their three losses, he hasn’t managed a touchdown or more than 24 total yards in any contest. This week could be another nice opportunity to flex Allgeier. Miami has allowed the most rushing yards per game, the highest explosive run rate, and the highest yards after contact per attempt. Allgeier has been listed as questionable (hip/knee). He practiced on a limited basis all week.
Concerning Starts & Players to Fade
Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.
Tua Tagovailoa is expected to be under center this week for Miami. It has been a rough season for Tagovailoa as the QB30 in fantasy points per game. He has one weekly finish above QB17 this season and hasn’t managed at least double-digit fantasy points in a game since Week 5. Among 41 qualifying passers, he ranks 28th in yards per attempt, 35th in aDOT, 30th in fantasy points per dropback, and he has the 14th-highest off-target rate. I don’t even know if Tagovailoa will finish this week’s game without getting benched again. Sit him. Atlanta has allowed the second-fewest yards per attempt, the fewest passing yards per game, and the 11th-lowest success rate per dropback.
Since Week 5, Jaylen Waddle has been the WR24 in fantasy points per game with a 21% target share, a 48% air-yard share, 73.3 receiving yards per game (2.75 yards per route run), and a 29.2% first-read share. Across the last three games, he has had two red zone targets and five deep targets. This week, he faces an Atlanta secondary that has utilized single high at the highest rate in the NFL (72.6%). Since Week 5, against single high, Waddle has had a 25.5% target share, 2.75 yards per route run, and a 38.2% first-read share. Waddle should see plenty of volume this week, but Atlanta has allowed the seventh-fewest PPR points per target and the second-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Waddle overcoming a tough matchup is one thing, but I worry if he can overcome a tough matchup and Tua Tagovailoa‘s struggles this week.
MIN vs. LAC | NYJ vs. CIN | BUF vs. CAR | SF vs. HOU | NYG vs. PHI | CLE vs. NE | CHI vs. BAL | MIA vs. ATL | TB vs. NO | DAL vs. DEN | TEN vs. IND | GB vs. PIT | WAS vs. KC
