Fantasy Football Player Notes

Jefferson has been the model of consistency. He has never finished lower than WR9 in fantasy points per game since his rookie season, and he's been inside the top five in this category in each of the last four seasons. With Sam Darnold at the helm last year, Jefferson was the WR3 in fantasy points per game as he ranked third in target share, fourth in raw target volume, fifth in red zone targets, and second in receiving yards per game. Jefferson also excelled on a per-route basis, ranking sixth in yards per route run and 18th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Jefferson still has WR1 overall upside this season if J.J. McCarthy can prove to be an upgrade over Sam Darnold for the Vikings in 2025.

Jordan Addison finished 2024 as the WR20 overall (WR21 per game) with 875 yards and 9 TDs in 15 games, but much of his value was TD-driven. His target share never surpassed 20% even with T.J. Hockenson sidelined for the first half of the season, and he averaged under 9 points per game to start the year. With Justin Jefferson and Hockenson commanding targets - and first-time starting QB J.J. McCarthy now under center - Addison's 2025 outlook carries more risk than upside. A potential 1-3 game suspension from a 2024 DUI incident adds further uncertainty.