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Fantasy Football Player Notes

2023 Draft Rankings

Justin Jefferson Note
Justin Jefferson photo 1. Justin Jefferson MIN
Justin Jefferson was a fantasy monster this season. He was the WR2 in fantasy points per game, ranking first in targets, first in red zone targets, and ninth in deep targets. Jefferson was a top-five-scoring fantasy wideout in 52.9% of his games. He was also eighth in open rate (per FiveThirtyEight). Jefferson will be a top-three fantasy pick in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Ja'Marr Chase Note
Ja'Marr Chase photo 2. Ja'Marr Chase CIN
Chase followed up a stellar rookie campaign with a banner sophomore season. He was sixth in target share (29.3%), ninth in air yard share (36.6%), and the WR4 in fantasy points per game. Despite only playing 12 regular season games, he finished third in red zone targets and fourth in total touchdowns. Chase is a top-three fantasy receiver in 2023 and a locked-in first-round pick.
6 weeks ago
Davante Adams Note
Davante Adams photo 3. Davante Adams LV
Davante Adams might be getting long in the tooth, but he showed no signs of slowing down last year. He finished with at least 100 receptions, 1,300 receiving yards, and 11 receiving touchdowns for the fourth time in the last five seasons. He led all wide receivers in target share (32.6%) while also ranking fifth in air-yard share (39.4%) and eighth in fantasy points per route run. While the Raiders look unsettled at the quarterback position with the team moving on from Derek Carr, Adams should be perfectly fine in 2023 as a volume-based WR1.
6 weeks ago
Cooper Kupp Note
Cooper Kupp photo 4. Cooper Kupp LAR
Despite the entire Rams' offense cratering around him last season, Cooper Kupp was on his way to another fantastic season before being shut down with a high ankle sprain. With the Rams out of the playoff picture and the team in shambles, Los Angeles put Kupp on the shelf. Kupp ranked third in target share (31.0%), fourth in target per route run rate (31.5%), and 12th in air yard share (34.5%). All of this culminated in another WR1 finish in fantasy points per game. With Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford returning for 2023, Kupp should be a top-three fantasy wideout again.
6 weeks ago
Tyreek Hill Note
Tyreek Hill photo 5. Tyreek Hill MIA
Tyreek Hill showed no decline with the move from Kansas City to South Beach. Hill was the WR3 in fantasy points per game as he accumulated five weeks with 140 or more receiving yards. He led the league in deep targets while scoring nine total touchdowns (fourth). He amassed a ridiculous 31.6% target share (second-best) while ranking first in yards per route run. If the Dolphins scheme him up more targets in the red zone next season (40th among wide receivers), he could finish as the WR1 overall.
6 weeks ago
A.J. Brown Note
A.J. Brown photo 6. A.J. Brown PHI
A.J. Brown was everything the Eagles could have hoped for after making the trade in the offseason. Brown finished as the WR8 in fantasy with career highs across the board. The concerns about Jalen Hurts supporting an elite wide receiver in fantasy quickly dissipated. He was eighth in raw target volume (146), seventh in deep targets, and 12th in red zone looks. Brown is entering his prime (age 26 season) with an ascending elite quarterback in one of the best offenses in football. Brown is a locked-in WR1 in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Stefon Diggs Note
Stefon Diggs photo 7. Stefon Diggs BUF
Diggs remains among the elite wide receivers in the NFL. He has now stacked three consecutive seasons with at least 100 receptions, 1,225 receiving yards, and eight receiving scores. Diggs was the WR6 in fantasy points per game while also ranking sixth in open rate (per ESPN analytics). He also finished top-ten in target share (tenth), red zone targets (fourth), and yards per route run (third). Diggs could begin to slow down as he's entering his age 30 season, but I fully believe he has at least 1-2 more electric seasons as a top 5-10 fantasy wide receiver before the cliff arrives.
6 weeks ago
CeeDee Lamb Note
CeeDee Lamb photo 8. CeeDee Lamb DAL
Lamb finished with one of the quietest 100 reception (107) and 1,300 receiving yard (1,359) seasons in recent memory as the WR7 in fantasy. The "CeeDee Lamb alpha season" that we have been waiting for finally came to fruition. He was seventh in target per route run rate and sixth in yards per route run as he broke out as one of the league's elite talents. Even with Mike McCarthy calling plays in 2023, Lamb remains primed for another WR1 campaign.
6 weeks ago
Jaylen Waddle Note
Jaylen Waddle photo 9. Jaylen Waddle MIA
Jaylen Waddle enjoyed an explosive sophomore season as the underneath complement to Tyreek Hill in the Dolphins' high-flying aerial attack. Waddle was the WR12 in fantasy, ranking tenth in YAC, seventh in receiving yards, and 11th in total touchdowns. Waddle was also fourth in yards per route run and third in fantasy points per target. He's an ascending alpha wide receiver who could easily lead the Dolphins in receiving in 2023 if Tyreek Hill shows any signs of slowing down.
6 weeks ago
Tee Higgins Note
Tee Higgins photo 10. Tee Higgins CIN
Tee Higgins saw declines across the board last season as he fell from WR12 in fantasy points per game to WR26. His final stat lines look eerily similar, but we must remember he accomplished his 2021 accolades in only 14 games. Higgins saw declines in his PFF receiving grade (82.8 vs. 78.8), target share (23.9% vs. 18.6%), and yards per route run (2.18 vs. 1.80 per PFF). In 2021 Higgins competed with Ja'Marr Chase as the complimentary co-lead of the Bengals' passing attack, but we saw that change in 2022. After Chase returned in Week 13, he saw a 29.6% target share and 38.3% air yard share, while Higgins lagged at 20.2% and 31.1%. With Chase distancing himself more from Higgins in the pecking order, Higgins is best valued as a WR2 in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Amon-Ra St. Brown Note
Amon-Ra St. Brown photo 11. Amon-Ra St. Brown DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown proved that his sensational rookie season stretch run was no fluke as he stepped up as one of the best young wide receivers in the game. St. Brown finished as the WR10 ranking 11th in target share, third in target per route run rate, eighth in red zone targets, and fourth in YAC. With only six total touchdowns, St. Brown could be even better in 2023 if the volume remains stable. After starting with seven red zone targets over his first four games, he only saw one red zone target over the next four weeks. Over his final nine games, he amassed 15 red zone targets. If that usage remains stable inside the 20 for the entire 2023 campaign, St. Brown could easily be staring at a double-digit touchdown season and a top-five fantast wideout finish.
6 weeks ago
Garrett Wilson Note
Garrett Wilson photo 12. Garrett Wilson NYJ
Garrett Wilson had a fantastic rookie season, underscored by his WR30 finish in fantasy points per game. Wilson was ninth in PFF receiving grade, 23rd in YAC per reception, and 25th in yards per route run (per PFF minimum 50 targets). Wilson was also 14th in receiving yards (1,103), 16th in receptions (83), and ninth in red zone targets. If his quarterback play improves in 2023, the sky is the limit. Wilson had to suffer through the sixth-most unrealized air yards, 93rd-ranked target quality, and 92nd-ranked catchable target rate. Wilson should be viewed as a WR2 with WR1 upside in 2023.
6 weeks ago
DeVonta Smith Note
DeVonta Smith photo 13. DeVonta Smith PHI
The Eagles utilized DeVonta Smith in a different role in 2022 than during his rookie season, and the results were beautiful. In 2021 Smith was ninth in deep targets and sixth in aDOT among wide receivers as Philly rolled him out a field stretcher. While Smith was solid in this role, his upside as a zone-destroying intermediate-level threat was seized in 2022. Smith still finished 19th in deep targets among wideouts, but his aDOT dropped to 9.9 (65th) as he began to gobble up targets. Smith was 13th in targets (136), 14th in target share (27.0%), and 19th in target per route run rate (26.2%). He finished with 95 receptions (ninth-best), 1,196 receiving yards (eighth), and seven total touchdowns (14th) as the WR14 in fantasy. Smith was 18th in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run (minimum 50 targets, per PFF). With a consolidated target tree and an ascending quarterback talent in Philly, Smith is poised to be a solid WR2 again in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Calvin Ridley Note
Calvin Ridley photo 14. Calvin Ridley JAC
The last time we saw Calvin Ridley, he was still among the best receivers in the league. In 2021, Ridley was seventh in target share (27.4%), fourth in air yard share (40.0%), and fifth in route win rate. Ridley and Ryan couldn't find their old chemistry as Ryan's skills were profoundly diminishing. Ridley was subjected to backup quarterback-level target quality that ranked 63rd. His catchable target rate was only 71.2% (73rd). While it's worth pondering what version of Ridley we'll see returning from hiatus, don't for a second think he was playing poorly in 2021 despite the fantasy results not being there. With Trevor Lawrence taking a huge step forward in 2022, Ridley will be a WR2 next season.
6 weeks ago
Deebo Samuel Note
Deebo Samuel photo 15. Deebo Samuel SF
Without his "wide back" role and with the 49ers bottling him up as a check-down specialist again, Deebo Samuel struggled to a WR28 finish in 2022. He still drew a strong share of the 49ers' passing offense with a 25.4% target share (19th), but his aDOT was 4.2 (102nd), and he only saw five deep targets (108th) and 12 red zone looks (36th). Without the rushing equity and high-leverage roles to help pad his fantasy production, Samuel dissolved into a WR3. With the quarterback situation remaining unsettled in San Francisco in 2023 and the onus remaining on running the ball, Samuel will remain a WR3.
6 weeks ago
Chris Olave Note
Chris Olave photo 16. Chris Olave NO
Chris Olave had a magnificent rookie season as a target vacuuming wide receiver with future alpha potential. Olave finished as the WR25 in fantasy points per game, which doesn't do any justice to his sparkling efficiency metrics. Olave was 15th in target share (26.7%), third in air yard share (40.8%), and tenth in target per route run rate (29.3%). He was seventh in open rate (ESPN analytics), immediately behind Stefon Diggs, while also ranking tenth in yards per route run. With Michael Thomas likely gone and Jarvis Landry out the door, Olave will walk into 2023 as the clear number one target in the passing attack. If he can improve on his 11 red zone targets (40th) and four total touchdowns (37th), he could easily finish as a WR1 in 2023.
6 weeks ago
DK Metcalf Note
DK Metcalf photo 17. DK Metcalf SEA
Metcalf has seen his fantasy production decline in three straight seasons after opening his first two seasons as the WR10 and WR20 in fantasy points per game, he found himself sitting at WR24 after the 2022 season. Metcalf's finish was fueled by three massive games in which he finished with at least 127 receiving yards as the WR7 or higher in weekly scoring. He was a rollercoaster wide receiver who also had six weeks as a WR55 or lower in weekly scoring. Metcalf's overall metrics in 2022 still put him in the WR2 bucket when projecting forward to 2023. He was 18th in target share (25.5%), tenth in air yard share (36.3%), and 34th in yards per route run. Metcalf was also 12th in deep target and second in red zone targets among receivers.
6 weeks ago
Amari Cooper Note
Amari Cooper photo 18. Amari Cooper CLE
Amari Cooper finally turned into the high-volume receiver we have wanted for years as he finished as the WR17. Cooper amassed a 26.1% target share (16th), a 26.1% target per route run rate (20th), and a 38.3% air yard share (seventh). Cooper will be entering his age 30 season, so there's some concern if his production could begin to taper off. Cooper turned back the hands of time with his highest yards per route run last season since 2019. Cooper was also 12th in red zone and deep targets. As long as Deshaun Watson can return to some shade of his former self at quarterback, Cooper should be able to turn in another WR2 campaign.
6 weeks ago
Christian Watson Note
Christian Watson photo 19. Christian Watson GB
Christian Watson was the talk of the town after blowing up the Senior Bowl and combine last year. Worries about Watson began to mount for many in camp and during the early part of the season as he dealt with nagging injuries. Once healthy, Watson proved that the cream does rise to the top. He emerged as the Packers' clear number-one wideout. Watson ranked 14th in open rate (per ESPN analytics), 12th in yards per route run, and third in fantasy points per route run. He was fourth in YAC per reception behind only Deebo Samuel, Rondale Moore, and Jaylen Waddle (minimum 50 targets, per PFF). Even with Green Bay's quarterback situation unsettled for 2023, Watson can still emerge as a strong WR2 that has huge WR1 upside.
6 weeks ago
DJ Moore Note
DJ Moore photo 20. DJ Moore CHI
The 2022 season was another sad year of D.J. Moore suffering through the "Allen Robinson" experience as one of the league's most talented receivers that's being held back by mediocre quarterback play. Moore was the WR33 in fantasy as he dealt with a target quality rating and catchable target rate outside of 90th among receivers. Moore still managed to rank 27th in PFF receiving grade and 32nd in yards per route run (minimum 50 targets per PFF). We essentially witnessed his floor last season. The volume remains to expect better days ahead for him if Carolina can get the signal caller situation figured out. He was 12th in target share (27.7%), 17th in target per route run rate (26.8%), and fourth in deep targets. Moore is a low-end WR2/high-end WR3 in 2023 if the quarterback situation remains a dumpster fire, but he could easily finish as a top-15 receiver if that gets sorted out.
6 weeks ago
Jameson Williams Note
Jameson Williams photo 21. Jameson Williams DET
Don't give up the faith. Jameson Williams is an extremely talented wide receiver entering his sophomore season with a mountain of upside. Williams was placed in bubble wrap in 2022 by the Detroit Lions, who valued being careful with their blazing-fast rookie coming off a major injury (ACL tear). Assuming Williams is good to go for 2023, he's still the same player that ranked 13th in yards per route run among all FBS wide receivers in 2021 (minimum 50 targets). With D.J. Chark only on a one-year deal and T.J. Hockenson gone, Williams has a clear path to immediate volume alongside Amon-Ra St. Brown in the Lions' passing attack. Williams is a WR3/4 that could crush his ADP in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Keenan Allen Note
Keenan Allen photo 22. Keenan Allen LAC
When Keenan Allen was healthy, he looked like the player we have loved for many seasons in fantasy. He was limited to ten games played. In Weeks 11-18, Allen was the WR4 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 26.5% target share (15th) and a 34.9% air yard share (19th) with 2.24 yards per route run (18th, minimum 25 targets). Overall Allen posted his highest yards per route run since 2018 (2.32), so there are reasons to be optimistic despite his advancing age (30) that he still has 1-2 more top 24 seasons left in him. Allen is tentatively a WR2 if he remains with the Chargers. There's been some speculation that he could be cut this offseason, but I'll wait until something like that transpires before readjusting his 2023 outlook.
6 weeks ago
Mike Williams Note
Mike Williams photo 23. Mike Williams LAC
At this juncture of his career, we should finally conclude that Mike Williams cannot play a full season of games healthy. He was limited to 13 games played this past season, with some being less than full health. With Williams entering his age 29 season, those health worries aren't likely to resolve. He was still immensely productive as the WR20 in fantasy points per game when he was on the field. Williams was 42nd in target share (18.2%), 21st in air-yard share (31.1%), and 25th in receiving yards (895). He was also 20th in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run (minimum 50 targets per PFF). Williams should not be counted on as your WR2 in team builds, but as a WR3, he possesses weekly difference-maker potential when he's on the field.
6 weeks ago
Terry McLaurin Note
Terry McLaurin photo 24. Terry McLaurin WAS
Terry McLaurin's 2022 season was a tale of two halves. With Carson Wentz under center, McLaurin's role withered, as he had a 16.3% target share, a 26.4% air yard share, and 1.52 yards per route run. McLaurin's season would have been sunk if Wentz had kept ignoring him all season. Once Wentz was sidelined by injury, McLaurin exploded with Taylor Heinicke under center. With Heinicke, McLaurin had a 29.8% target share, a 44% air yard share, and 2.73 yards per route run (28% target per route run rate). McLaurin's skills haven't diminished one bit. The problem has been the quarterbacks tossing him the ball. At the moment, Washington is entertaining the Sam Howell experience under center in 2023. In Week 18, McLaurin saw a 33% target share from Howell, so if we are to take anything away from that one game sample, it's that Howell knows where his bread is buttered. McLaurin is a volume-based WR2.
6 weeks ago
Jerry Jeudy Note
Jerry Jeudy photo 25. Jerry Jeudy DEN
Jerry Jeudy was able to weather the Russell Wilson stink better than Courtland Sutton in 2022. Sutton dealt with a hamstring strain down the stretch and a grossly ineffective Wilson when he decided to chuck it deep. Jeudy parlayed his 20.8% target share (35th) into a WR19 finish and a 16th ranking in yards per route run. Jeudy's lower aDOT (11.8, 40th) helped shield Jeudy from the atrocious Wilson deep ball. Jeudy was 11th in open rate (per ESPN analytics). Jeudy is a talented player who still has untapped potential in the NFL. He's best viewed as an upside WR3 for 2023.
6 weeks ago
Drake London Note
Drake London photo 26. Drake London ATL
Drake London excelled in his rookie season, although fantasy gamers were not elated with his WR43 finish. If we look deeper than the raw counting stats, London's future is incredibly bright. If earning targets is a skill (it is), then London proved to be among the league's elite. He ranked 22nd in raw target volume last year (117) with the fifth-highest target share (29.4%) and second-highest target per route run rate (32.4%) among wide receivers. London also blazed in efficiency stats ranking 16th in open rate (per ESPN analytics), tenth in PFF receiving grade, and 14th in yards per route run (minimum 50 targets). London gave a glimpse into his 2023 upside down the stretch last season. In Weeks 13-18, he was the WR20 in fantasy, even though he failed to score a touchdown in this span. London is a target vacuuming WR2 with WR1 upside in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Tyler Lockett Note
Tyler Lockett photo 27. Tyler Lockett SEA
Tyler Lockett kept trucking along in his age-30 season last year, finishing with another stellar stat line. He was the WR16 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 22.8% target share (26th) and 30.5% air yard share (24th). Lockett showed little signs of slowing down, ranking 25th in PFF receiving grade and 24th in yards per route run (minimum 50 targets per PFF). He was also second in open rate behind only Diontae Johnson (per ESPN analytics). Lockett should have at least one more WR2 season left in the tank for 2023.
6 weeks ago
Mike Evans Note
Mike Evans photo 28. Mike Evans TB
Did Mike Evans fall off the age cliff last year or, at the very least, begin his descent? It does appear that way on paper. Evans finished 17th in raw target volume but 37th in target share (19.7%). He was 11th in air yard share (35.4%), third in deep targets, and 22nd in red zone targets. All these volume metrics are nice, but they will all take a hit with Tom Brady gone. His efficiency metrics are the real tale of the tape, as he was 33rd in yards per route run, 35th in route win rate, and 47th in open rate (per ESPN analytics). With declining metrics and an uncertain quarterback situation in Tampa Bay, Evans is a WR3.
6 weeks ago
DeAndre Hopkins Note
DeAndre Hopkins photo 29. DeAndre Hopkins ARI
DeAndre Hopkins missed the first six games of the season due to suspension and the final two weeks with a knee sprain, but when he was on the field, he proved he hadn't hit the age cliff yet. Hopkins is entering his age-31 season and could be playing for a new team in 2023, but there's reason to think he still has at least one top-flight season left. Hopkins was the WR9 in fantasy points per game last season, drawing a 29.4% target share (fourth-best) and 43.5% air-yard share (second-best). Hopkins can still draw volume with the best of them, but his efficiency did tick down a bit as he was 17th in yards per route run and 35th in open rate (tied with Christian Kirk, per ESPN analytics). Hopkins' 2023 prospects are muddied until we know his home for the upcoming season, but expecting WR2 production out of him isn't insane.
6 weeks ago
Brandon Aiyuk Note
Brandon Aiyuk photo 30. Brandon Aiyuk SF
Brandon Aiyuk set career highs across the board in 2022 in targets (113), receiving yards (1,015), and receiving touchdowns (eight) as the WR23 in fantasy. Aiyuk was 19th in PFF receiving grade, 27th in yards per route run, and 23rd in YAC per reception (minimum 50 targets per PFF). Aiyuk was also eighth in open rate, tied with Davante Adams (per ESPN analytics). Aiyuk ran hot with touchdowns (11th among wide receivers) despite ranking only 36th in deep targets and 30th in red zone targets. While it's tough to project him to eclipse last season's target mark in the 49ers' run-first offense, if Aiyuk's high-value usage creeps up in 2023, he will improve upon last year's fantasy finish. Aiyuk is a WR2.
6 weeks ago
Christian Kirk Note
Christian Kirk photo 31. Christian Kirk JAC
Christian Kirk set career highs across the board in 2022 as the WR18 in fantasy points per game. He gobbled up a 23.2% target share (24th) with the 15th-best raw target volume among wide receivers. Kirk also ranked 12th in deep targets, fifth in red-zone looks, and 22nd in yards per route run. Kirk was 21st in PFF slot receiving grade with 76.7% of his target volume coming via the slot (minimum 15 slot targets). With Calvin Ridley entering the target pecking order conversation in Jacksonville, Kirk profiles as a low-end WR2/high-end WR3.
6 weeks ago
Chris Godwin Note
Chris Godwin photo 32. Chris Godwin TB
Chris Godwin had a productive 2022 in the shadow of his late-season 2021 ACL/MCL tear. Godwin was the WR15 in fantasy points per game as the Buccaneers' insane passing volume elevated him. Godwin was 31st in target share (21.8%) and tenth in raw target volume (142) while only playing 15 games. The volume covered up his efficiency ugliness in 2022. He was neutered into being a low aDOT (5.6, 99th) receiver who also ranked 38th in yards per route run. Godwin was 96th in deep targets and 18th in red zone targets. He was 68th among 82 qualifying wide receivers in open rate (per ESPN analytics). Entering his age 27 season with uncertainty at quarterback and in the passing volume department, Godwin is a WR3.
6 weeks ago
George Pickens Note
George Pickens photo 33. George Pickens PIT
Michael Pittman Jr. Note
Michael Pittman Jr. photo 34. Michael Pittman Jr. IND
Michael Pittman failed to build upon his breakout 2021 season last year as he finished as the WR21 in fantasy points per game (2021 WR22), but there's still reason to be optimistic about Pittman. Pittman was 17th in target share (25.6%) and nearly logged one of the quietest 100 reception seasons (99 receptions) in recent memory. He was 18th in red zone targets, first in total route wins, and third in route win rate, so the talent is still there for Pittman to finish with an even better 2023 season. The worry remains, though, regarding the quarterback situation for next season. If the Colts can find improved quarterback play, Pittman could easily be a WR2 next season, but for now, he's a WR3 with upside.
6 weeks ago
Jahan Dotson Note
Jahan Dotson photo 35. Jahan Dotson WAS
Rashod Bateman Note
Rashod Bateman photo 36. Rashod Bateman BAL
Rashod Bateman looked like a receiver on his way to a breakout campaign before his season was derailed by a foot sprain in Week 4 and ultimately ended in Week 8 with a LisFranc injury. In Weeks 1-3, he was the WR34 in fantasy points per game with an 18.8% target share, a 30.3% air yard share, and 3.14 yards per route run. Bateman was also only a 72.7% route per dropback player in that stretch. Expect his raw target volume to climb next year if he is a full-time receiver. Bateman's talent is real, but he needs his health to comply and for Baltimore to figure out their quarterback situation for 2023. Bateman is a WR3 that could explode in 2023 if the stars align.
6 weeks ago
Gabe Davis Note
Gabe Davis photo 37. Gabe Davis BUF
Treylon Burks Note
Treylon Burks photo 38. Treylon Burks TEN
Treylon Burks is staring down a sophomore season with tons of opportunities at his disposal to put his disappointing rookie season in the past. Burks saw a 17.6% target share last season while ranking 35th in air-yard share and 32nd in yards per route run. While none of these numbers will inspire confidence in Burks entering year two, his 17th-ranked route win rate and 24th-ranked open rate (tied with Marquise Brown, per ESPN analytics) should. Burks enters the offseason with only 32-year-old Robert Woods, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, and Chigoziem Okonkwo to compete for targets in 2023. Burks falls in the WR3/4 bucket, but he could easily crush that expectation.
6 weeks ago
Marquise Brown Note
Marquise Brown photo 39. Marquise Brown ARI
DeAndre Hopkins could be on the move this offseason which means Marquise Brown could revisit his 2022 early-season usage. In Weeks 1-6, he was the WR7 in fantasy as he saw elite alpha-level love. He had a 26% target share, a 40.5% air yard share, and 2.00 yards per route run. Brown proved up to the task of operating as Arizona's number one receiving option. He was 24th in open rate last year, immediately behind Jakobi Meyers (per ESPN analytics). Brown is a WR2 currently that could rise more once Hopkins is moved. Consider him a high-end number two option with the possibility of more in 2023.
6 weeks ago
Kadarius Toney Note
Kadarius Toney photo 40. Kadarius Toney KC
Courtland Sutton Note
Courtland Sutton photo 41. Courtland Sutton DEN
Courtland Sutton is coming off a disappointing season, but when we peer at deeper efficiency metrics, it's easy to see the problem wasn't him. Sutton dipped to 50th in yards per route run and 65th in fantasy points per route run, while he saw a 23.1% target share (25th). This paints the picture that the blame rests upon Sutton's shoulders until we also see that he was 16th in total route wins and 12th in open rate (per ESPN analytics). Only 72.5% (71st) of his targets were catchable, and he ranked 42nd in target quality rating. With a new head wizard in Sean Payton directing this passing attack, there are reasons to buy in on a big Sutton bounceback in 2023. Sutton was 11th in deep targets and 22nd in red zone targets last year. Sutton is an upside WR3.
6 weeks ago
Diontae Johnson Note
Diontae Johnson photo 42. Diontae Johnson PIT
Jakobi Meyers Note
Jakobi Meyers photo 43. Jakobi Meyers LV
Josh McDaniels took another step today in making the Raiders "Patriots west" as they inked Jakobi Meyers to a three-year deal. This is a welcome addition to a Raiders' wide receiver room that was looking thin outside of Davante Adams and Hunter Renfrow (Mack Hollins is a FA). The dominoes might not be done falling, though, as this could also signal a Renfrow departure. Renfrow can be cut, and the Raiders can save 1.5 million against the cap. The likeliest outcome is that Renfrow remains in Vegas this year and is cut bait next year when the team can save 8.2 million against the cap next year by kicking him to the curb. The Raiders are surrounding their new starting quarterback with underneath weapons. Meyers will rotate slot work with Renfrow. Meyers played 69.5% from the slot last year (Renfrow 86.0%), drawing a 22.0% target share (29th), a 25.8% target per route run rate (22nd), and a 27.4% air yard share as the Patriots' number one option. He was 29th in PFF receiving grade and 23rd in yards per route run (minimum 50 targets per PFF). Meyers has been the WR29 and WR35 in fantasy points per game over the last two seasons. Meyers' signing could signal the Raiders' plan to deploy more 11 personnel this season after ranking 18th in the use of three-plus wide receiver sets last year and Foster Moreau's likely free agency departure. Meyers will compete with Hunter Renfrow for second in line at the target water fountain. Meyers is a low-ceiling WR3/4 that gets a small boost in PPR formats.
1 week ago
Brandin Cooks Note
Brandin Cooks photo 44. Brandin Cooks DAL
Darnell Mooney Note
Darnell Mooney photo 45. Darnell Mooney CHI
JuJu Smith-Schuster Note
JuJu Smith-Schuster photo 46. JuJu Smith-Schuster NE
Michael Thomas Note
Michael Thomas photo 47. Michael Thomas NO
Donovan Peoples-Jones Note
Donovan Peoples-Jones photo 48. Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE
Zay Jones Note
Zay Jones photo 49. Zay Jones JAC
Elijah Moore Note
Elijah Moore photo 50. Elijah Moore CLE
Tyler Boyd Note
Tyler Boyd photo 51. Tyler Boyd CIN
Allen Lazard Note
Allen Lazard photo 52. Allen Lazard NYJ
Nico Collins Note
Nico Collins photo 53. Nico Collins HOU
Michael Gallup Note
Michael Gallup photo 54. Michael Gallup DAL
Rondale Moore Note
Rondale Moore photo 55. Rondale Moore ARI
John Metchie III Note
John Metchie III photo 56. John Metchie III HOU
Quentin Johnston Note
Quentin Johnston photo 57. Quentin Johnston FA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Note
Jaxon Smith-Njigba photo 58. Jaxon Smith-Njigba FA
Smith-Njiba won't burn you in the open field with his raw speed, but that isn't necessary for him to succeed. He's a route tactician with the route-running chops of an NFL veteran. Smith-Njiba's snap at the top of his stem is excellent, which allows him to create easy separation. Any team investing high draft capital in him knows what they are getting: a high-volume wide receiver that can work both inside and on the perimeter. Yes, Smith-Njiba was a slot receiver in college, but that doesn't mean he doesn't have the intangibles to get loose on the boundary. He wins with excellent, quick footwork at the line and in space. He's more quick than fast. Also, in saying that, it has to be mentioned that he is plenty quick to win in the NFL. While it's not a huge part of his game (only 16.1% of his 2021 target volume), he can win on vertical routes. He flashes the ability to stack corners on verticals from the slot easily. Smith-Njiba was ninth in yards per route run on deep targets, tied for first In PFF deep receiving grade, and second in passer rating when targeted on routes 20-plus yards in 2021 (minimum 15 deep targets). Smith-Njigba could be an immediate target hog in the NFL. He will be an immediate asset to the run game. He's a tenacious blocker who engages well with defenders and anchors them. He won't blow defenders out of their cleats, but he has the functional strength to hold running lanes or clear a path.
5 weeks ago
DJ Chark Jr. Note
DJ Chark Jr. photo 59. DJ Chark Jr. FA
Romeo Doubs Note
Romeo Doubs photo 60. Romeo Doubs GB
Wan'Dale Robinson Note
Wan'Dale Robinson photo 61. Wan'Dale Robinson NYG
Jordan Addison Note
Jordan Addison photo 62. Jordan Addison FA
Addison is fluid and silky smooth through his routes. He's quick in and out of his breaks. He displays nuance in his routes with pacing, subtle head fakes, and his understanding of leverage. His change of direction ability is effortless. He can gear down easily and jab step during a route without losing speed. Addison has a decent burst after the catch, but it's not likely to ever be a calling card. He dealt with drops early in his collegiate career, with 14.3% and 9.9% drop rates before 2022. He displayed growth here in 2022, decreasing that mark to 3.3%. He has strong hands, though, with contested catch rates of 53.8% and 55.6% before 2022. Addison will never be confused as a body catcher as he routinely plucks the ball from the air away from this body. Addison is a versatile wide receiver that played from the slot in 2020-2021 (68.0-82.6%) before transitioning to the boundary (75.5% out wide) in 2022. His superb route running and short area separation skills allow him to play multiple roles fluidly. Addison's varied release package at this stage of his career is impressive. Addison reminds me of watching DeVonta Smith with a difference in play strength. Smith played above his weight class, but Addison played at his weight.
5 weeks ago
Hunter Renfrow Note
Hunter Renfrow photo 63. Hunter Renfrow LV
Adam Thielen Note
Adam Thielen photo 64. Adam Thielen CAR
Rashid Shaheed Note
Rashid Shaheed photo 65. Rashid Shaheed NO
Joshua Palmer Note
Joshua Palmer photo 66. Joshua Palmer LAC
Alec Pierce Note
Alec Pierce photo 67. Alec Pierce IND
Chase Claypool Note
Chase Claypool photo 68. Chase Claypool CHI
Curtis Samuel Note
Curtis Samuel photo 69. Curtis Samuel WAS
K.J. Osborn Note
K.J. Osborn photo 70. K.J. Osborn MIN
Mecole Hardman Note
Mecole Hardman photo 71. Mecole Hardman NYJ
DeVante Parker Note
DeVante Parker photo 72. DeVante Parker NE
Allen Robinson II Note
Allen Robinson II photo 73. Allen Robinson II LAR
Darius Slayton Note
Darius Slayton photo 74. Darius Slayton NYG
Skyy Moore Note
Skyy Moore photo 75. Skyy Moore KC
Isaiah Hodgins Note
Isaiah Hodgins photo 76. Isaiah Hodgins NYG
Terrace Marshall Jr. Note
Terrace Marshall Jr. photo 77. Terrace Marshall Jr. CAR
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Note
Marquez Valdes-Scantling photo 78. Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC
Zay Flowers Note
Zay Flowers photo 79. Zay Flowers FA
Tyquan Thornton Note
Tyquan Thornton photo 80. Tyquan Thornton NE
Van Jefferson Note
Van Jefferson photo 81. Van Jefferson LAR
Russell Gage Note
Russell Gage photo 82. Russell Gage TB
Corey Davis Note
Corey Davis photo 83. Corey Davis NYJ
Parris Campbell Note
Parris Campbell photo 84. Parris Campbell NYG
Isaiah McKenzie Note
Isaiah McKenzie photo 85. Isaiah McKenzie IND
Robert Woods Note
Robert Woods photo 86. Robert Woods HOU
Tim Patrick Note
Tim Patrick photo 87. Tim Patrick DEN
Odell Beckham Jr. Note
Odell Beckham Jr. photo 88. Odell Beckham Jr. FA
Jalin Hyatt Note
Jalin Hyatt photo 89. Jalin Hyatt FA
David Bell Note
David Bell photo 90. David Bell CLE
Julio Jones Note
Julio Jones photo 91. Julio Jones FA
KJ Hamler Note
KJ Hamler photo 92. KJ Hamler DEN
Sterling Shepard Note
Sterling Shepard photo 93. Sterling Shepard NYG
Josh Reynolds Note
Josh Reynolds photo 94. Josh Reynolds DET
Josh Downs Note
Josh Downs photo 95. Josh Downs FA
Kendrick Bourne Note
Kendrick Bourne photo 96. Kendrick Bourne NE
Laviska Shenault Jr. Note
Laviska Shenault Jr. photo 97. Laviska Shenault Jr. CAR
Marvin Jones Jr. Note
Marvin Jones Jr. photo 98. Marvin Jones Jr. FA
Quez Watkins Note
Quez Watkins photo 99. Quez Watkins PHI
Mack Hollins Note
Mack Hollins photo 100. Mack Hollins ATL
Devin Duvernay Note
Devin Duvernay photo 101. Devin Duvernay BAL
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Note
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine photo 102. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN
Braxton Berrios Note
Braxton Berrios photo 103. Braxton Berrios MIA
Kayshon Boutte Note
Kayshon Boutte photo 104. Kayshon Boutte FA
Richie James Jr. Note
Richie James Jr. photo 105. Richie James Jr. FA
Jarvis Landry Note
Jarvis Landry photo 106. Jarvis Landry FA
Nelson Agholor Note
Nelson Agholor photo 107. Nelson Agholor FA
Chosen Anderson Note
Chosen Anderson photo 108. Chosen Anderson FA
Khalil Shakir Note
Khalil Shakir photo 109. Khalil Shakir BUF
Kenny Golladay Note
Kenny Golladay photo 110. Kenny Golladay FA
Jamison Crowder Note
Jamison Crowder photo 111. Jamison Crowder FA
Rashee Rice Note
Rashee Rice photo 112. Rashee Rice FA
Noah Brown Note
Noah Brown photo 113. Noah Brown HOU
Cedric Tillman Note
Cedric Tillman photo 114. Cedric Tillman FA
Marquez Callaway Note
Marquez Callaway photo 115. Marquez Callaway NO
Marvin Mims Note
Marvin Mims photo 116. Marvin Mims FA
Cedrick Wilson Jr. Note
Cedrick Wilson Jr. photo 117. Cedrick Wilson Jr. MIA
Velus Jones Jr. Note
Velus Jones Jr. photo 118. Velus Jones Jr. CHI
Greg Dortch Note
Greg Dortch photo 119. Greg Dortch ARI
Jalen Tolbert Note
Jalen Tolbert photo 120. Jalen Tolbert DAL
Parker Washington Note
Parker Washington photo 121. Parker Washington FA
Xavier Hutchinson Note
Xavier Hutchinson photo 122. Xavier Hutchinson FA
Kyle Philips Note
Kyle Philips photo 123. Kyle Philips TEN
Tutu Atwell Note
Tutu Atwell photo 124. Tutu Atwell LAR
Jauan Jennings Note
Jauan Jennings photo 125. Jauan Jennings SF
Olamide Zaccheaus Note
Olamide Zaccheaus photo 126. Olamide Zaccheaus FA
Tre'Quan Smith Note
Tre'Quan Smith photo 127. Tre'Quan Smith NO
Sammy Watkins Note
Sammy Watkins photo 128. Sammy Watkins FA
A.T. Perry Note
A.T. Perry photo 129. A.T. Perry FA
Dyami Brown Note
Dyami Brown photo 130. Dyami Brown WAS
DeAndre Carter Note
DeAndre Carter photo 131. DeAndre Carter FA
Trent Sherfield Note
Trent Sherfield photo 132. Trent Sherfield BUF
Chris Moore Note
Chris Moore photo 133. Chris Moore FA
T.Y. Hilton Note
T.Y. Hilton photo 134. T.Y. Hilton FA
Ben Skowronek Note
Ben Skowronek photo 135. Ben Skowronek LAR
Demarcus Robinson Note
Demarcus Robinson photo 136. Demarcus Robinson FA
Puka Nacua Note
Puka Nacua photo 137. Puka Nacua FA
Calvin Austin III Note
Calvin Austin III photo 138. Calvin Austin III PIT
Marquise Goodwin Note
Marquise Goodwin photo 139. Marquise Goodwin FA
Kalif Raymond Note
Kalif Raymond photo 140. Kalif Raymond DET
Equanimeous St. Brown Note
Equanimeous St. Brown photo 141. Equanimeous St. Brown CHI
Danny Gray Note
Danny Gray photo 142. Danny Gray SF
Justin Watson Note
Justin Watson photo 143. Justin Watson FA
Jalen Reagor Note
Jalen Reagor photo 144. Jalen Reagor MIN
Byron Pringle Note
Byron Pringle photo 145. Byron Pringle FA
Shi Smith Note
Shi Smith photo 146. Shi Smith CAR
Randall Cobb Note
Randall Cobb photo 147. Randall Cobb FA
Deonte Harty Note
Deonte Harty photo 148. Deonte Harty BUF
Ashton Dulin Note
Ashton Dulin photo 149. Ashton Dulin IND
Quintez Cephus Note
Quintez Cephus photo 150. Quintez Cephus DET
Amari Rodgers Note
Amari Rodgers photo 151. Amari Rodgers HOU
Dante Pettis Note
Dante Pettis photo 152. Dante Pettis FA
Justyn Ross Note
Justyn Ross photo 153. Justyn Ross KC
Jonathan Mingo Note
Jonathan Mingo photo 154. Jonathan Mingo FA
Anthony Schwartz Note
Anthony Schwartz photo 155. Anthony Schwartz CLE
Dee Eskridge Note
Dee Eskridge photo 156. Dee Eskridge SEA
Denzel Mims Note
Denzel Mims photo 157. Denzel Mims NYJ
Dontayvion Wicks Note
Dontayvion Wicks photo 158. Dontayvion Wicks FA
Samori Toure Note
Samori Toure photo 159. Samori Toure GB
Collin Johnson Note
Collin Johnson photo 160. Collin Johnson NYG
N'Keal Harry Note
N'Keal Harry photo 161. N'Keal Harry FA
Jamal Agnew Note
Jamal Agnew photo 162. Jamal Agnew JAC
Tylan Wallace Note
Tylan Wallace photo 163. Tylan Wallace BAL
Zakhari Franklin Note
Zakhari Franklin photo 164. Zakhari Franklin FA
Jalen Nailor Note
Jalen Nailor photo 165. Jalen Nailor MIN
Cam Sims Note
Cam Sims photo 166. Cam Sims LV
James Proche II Note
James Proche II photo 167. James Proche II BAL
James Washington Note
James Washington photo 168. James Washington FA
Zach Pascal Note
Zach Pascal photo 169. Zach Pascal ARI
Rashard Higgins Note
Rashard Higgins photo 170. Rashard Higgins FA
Bryan Edwards Note
Bryan Edwards photo 171. Bryan Edwards FA
Jaelon Darden Note
Jaelon Darden photo 172. Jaelon Darden CLE
Marcus Johnson Note
Marcus Johnson photo 173. Marcus Johnson FA
Phillip Dorsett II Note
Phillip Dorsett II photo 174. Phillip Dorsett II LV
Tyler Johnson Note
Tyler Johnson photo 175. Tyler Johnson LV
Lawrence Cager Note
Lawrence Cager photo 176. Lawrence Cager NYG
Bo Melton Note
Bo Melton photo 177. Bo Melton GB
KaVontae Turpin Note
KaVontae Turpin photo 178. KaVontae Turpin DAL
Steven Sims Jr. Note
Steven Sims Jr. photo 179. Steven Sims Jr. PIT
Lance McCutcheon Note
Lance McCutcheon photo 180. Lance McCutcheon LAR
KhaDarel Hodge Note
KhaDarel Hodge photo 181. KhaDarel Hodge FA
Jalen Guyton Note
Jalen Guyton photo 182. Jalen Guyton FA
Ray-Ray McCloud III Note
Ray-Ray McCloud III photo 183. Ray-Ray McCloud III SF
Laquon Treadwell Note
Laquon Treadwell photo 184. Laquon Treadwell SEA
Scotty Miller Note
Scotty Miller photo 185. Scotty Miller FA
Erik Ezukanma Note
Erik Ezukanma photo 186. Erik Ezukanma MIA
Trey Palmer Note
Trey Palmer photo 187. Trey Palmer FA
Ihmir Smith-Marsette Note
Ihmir Smith-Marsette photo 188. Ihmir Smith-Marsette KC
Breshad Perriman Note
Breshad Perriman photo 189. Breshad Perriman FA
Charlie Jones Note
Charlie Jones photo 190. Charlie Jones FA
Preston Williams Note
Preston Williams photo 191. Preston Williams CAR
David Sills V Note
David Sills V photo 192. David Sills V NYG
Mike Strachan Note
Mike Strachan photo 193. Mike Strachan IND
William Fuller V Note
William Fuller V photo 194. William Fuller V FA
Juwann Winfree Note
Juwann Winfree photo 195. Juwann Winfree FA
Dareke Young Note
Dareke Young photo 196. Dareke Young SEA
Damiere Byrd Note
Damiere Byrd photo 197. Damiere Byrd FA
River Cracraft Note
River Cracraft photo 198. River Cracraft MIA
Montrell Washington Note
Montrell Washington photo 199. Montrell Washington DEN
Simi Fehoko Note
Simi Fehoko photo 200. Simi Fehoko DAL
Tom Kennedy Note
Tom Kennedy photo 201. Tom Kennedy DET
Brandon Powell Note
Brandon Powell photo 202. Brandon Powell MIN
Kendall Hinton Note
Kendall Hinton photo 203. Kendall Hinton DEN
Jason Moore Jr. Note
Jason Moore Jr. photo 204. Jason Moore Jr. FA
Blake Proehl Note
Blake Proehl photo 205. Blake Proehl MIN
Anthony Miller Note
Anthony Miller photo 206. Anthony Miller PIT
Marquez Stevenson Note
Marquez Stevenson photo 207. Marquez Stevenson CLE
Dax Milne Note
Dax Milne photo 208. Dax Milne WAS
Lynn Bowden Jr. Note
Lynn Bowden Jr. photo 209. Lynn Bowden Jr. NE
Dez Fitzpatrick Note
Dez Fitzpatrick photo 210. Dez Fitzpatrick PIT
Michael Bandy Note
Michael Bandy photo 211. Michael Bandy FA
Seth Williams Note
Seth Williams photo 212. Seth Williams JAC
Cody Hollister Note
Cody Hollister photo 213. Cody Hollister TEN
Keelan Cole Sr. Note
Keelan Cole Sr. photo 214. Keelan Cole Sr. LV
Jeff Smith Note
Jeff Smith photo 215. Jeff Smith NYJ
Kendric Pryor Note
Kendric Pryor photo 216. Kendric Pryor JAC
Kevin Austin Jr. Note
Kevin Austin Jr. photo 217. Kevin Austin Jr. JAC
Tim Jones Note
Tim Jones photo 218. Tim Jones JAC
Miles Boykin Note
Miles Boykin photo 219. Miles Boykin FA
Tyrie Cleveland Note
Tyrie Cleveland photo 220. Tyrie Cleveland PHI
Dazz Newsome Note
Dazz Newsome photo 221. Dazz Newsome SF
Brandon Zylstra Note
Brandon Zylstra photo 222. Brandon Zylstra FA
Andy Isabella Note
Andy Isabella photo 223. Andy Isabella BAL
Demetric Felton Jr. Note
Demetric Felton Jr. photo 224. Demetric Felton Jr. CLE
DeSean Jackson Note
DeSean Jackson photo 225. DeSean Jackson FA
Dezmon Patmon Note
Dezmon Patmon photo 226. Dezmon Patmon BUF
Tyron Johnson Note
Tyron Johnson photo 227. Tyron Johnson SF
Gunner Olszewski Note
Gunner Olszewski photo 228. Gunner Olszewski PIT
Freddie Swain Note
Freddie Swain photo 229. Freddie Swain MIA
Travis Fulgham Note
Travis Fulgham photo 230. Travis Fulgham FA
Cornell Powell Note
Cornell Powell photo 231. Cornell Powell KC
Willie Snead IV Note
Willie Snead IV photo 232. Willie Snead IV FA
Joseph Ngata Note
Joseph Ngata photo 233. Joseph Ngata FA