Fantasy Football Player Notes

Welcome to WR1 territory, Mr. Watson. It's been a journey, but the second-round selection in the 2022 draft has finally reached his potential. After his career was derailed due to injuries, the hyper-athletic WR started to gain ground last season. Since then, he has kept getting better and isn't looking back. Sitting as the WR2 on the season so far, Watson has two games over 140 receiving yards, and six touchdowns in five games. The Packers are leaning into their two speedy receivers and are a big play factory. If given time to throw, Jordan Love has been launching bombs this year. This provides a decent floor for a hyper-efficient receiver like Watson. This week, they face the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. The Cowboys are allowing the fourth most explosive plays per game this season. Buckle up; there should be plenty of fireworks in this matchup on Sunday Night.

Last week. MarShawn Lloyd played 44.1% of the snaps (led the team) among the backs with 38.5% of the rushing share and a 26.5% route share. The blowout nature of that game probably tilts some of the usage stats more in the direction of Pierre Strong. Lloyd also led the team with two red zone rushing attempts (Strong, one). As a rusher, Lloyd has only 1.32 yards after contact per attempt (WOOF), but he has managed a 17% missed tackle rate. Last week, with his two scores, Lloyd was the RB14 for the week while finishing with 11 touches and 37 total yards. Lloyd could have another strong RB2/flex week against Dallas. The Cowboys have allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the 10th-highest rushing success rate, and the third-most yards before contact per attempt.

Matthew Golden has been absolutely fantastic this season as the WR16 in fantasy points per game. Golden has a 22.7% target share with 2.48 YPRR, eight red zone targets, ten deep targets, and a 26.1% first-read share. He has been crushing. Golden should feast again this week. Over the last two weeks, Dallas has utilized single high at the second-highest rate (68.2%). Against single high, Golden leads the team with a 26% target-per-route run rate with 1.78 YPRR. Dallas has allowed the sixth-most yards per target and the sixth-most fantasy points per opportunity to wide receivers.

Tucker Kraft is warming up. Over the last two weeks, he has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game. In those games, Kraft has had a 68.8% route share with a 19.7% target share, 2.41 YPRR, four red zone targets, one deep target, and a 25.5% first-read share. Kraft is due for a big week. This could be it. Dallas has allowed the sixth-most yards per target and fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.