Fantasy Football Player Notes

Olave is the WR10 on the season. Considering he has been working with Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough, his resurgent season hasn't been getting enough credit. Sitting in second in the league with 115 targets, Olave has been one of the most consistent fantasy producers. Despite the rest of this offense being held together with Duct Tape, Olave has only had one game since Week 6 with fewer than 10 fantasy points. With only one game over 20 fantasy points, his highs aren't week-winning, but his lows are never detrimental to your fantasy week. As a result, keep playing Olave as a top-end WR2.

Devin Neal will reprise his do-it-all role again in Week 14 with Alvin Kamara out. Last week, Neal played 81.2% of the snaps with 14 of 19 running back rushing attempts, a 68.9% route share, and a 7.9% target share. Last week, while he still didn't break any explosive runs and had only 1.86 yards after contact per attempt, Neal did have a 29% missed tackle rate while logging the most substantial workload of his NFL career. Neal finished with 17 touches and 69 total yards as the RB36 for the week. If he can get into the end zone with a similar stat line in Week 14, he should be a strong RB2. Just for context, if you added just one touchdown to his fantasy production last week, he would have been the RB13 in PPR scoring. The Bucs' run defense has been very hot and cold since Week 9. They have been quite volatile in a number of metrics, which likely adds up to this being a neutral matchup for Neal this week. Since Week 9, the Bucs have allowed the 11th-fewest rushing yards per game, the second-lowest rushing success rate, and the second-fewest yards after contact per attempt, but during that span, they have also given up the 14th-highest explosive run rate, the ninth-highest missed tackle rate, and the third-most yards before contact per attempt.

Since Week 10, with Tyler Shough under center, Johnson has had a 17.1% target share with 59 receiving yards per game, 1.88 yards per route run, and a 20.3% first-read share as the TE5 in fantasy points per game. In those three games, he has only one red zone target and one deep target. Johnson is a solid TE1 again this week. Tampa Bay has allowed the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends, but they have given up the seventh-most receiving touchdowns per game to the position.

Since Week 12, Devaughn Vele has had an 18.1% target share with 65 receiving yards per game, 1.55 yards per route run, and a 16.7% first-read share. In those two games, Vele had two red zone targets and two deep targets. Last week, he was the WR7 in weekly scoring, securing all eight of his targets with 93 receiving yards and a score. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has utilized single high at the third-highest rate (63.1%). Since Week 12, against single high, Vele has been a distant third in the target pecking order against single high with a 17.9% target share, 1.29 yards per route run, and an 11.1% first-read share. Vele is a decent flex play this week, but I wouldn't expect a repeat of last week's stat line in Week 14. Since Week 9, Tampa Bay has allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.