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12 Early Undervalued Fantasy Football Players (2019)

Jun 20, 2019
Marlon Mack

Marlon Mack should see workhorse attempts in 2019

Often times, as fantasy players, when we see the topic “undervalued”, we immediately think potential sleepers. While it’s not wrong to do so, any player outside of the No. 1 pick could technically be considered undervalued. Don’t believe me? Ask Calvin Johnson if he thinks he should have been the top pick in the 2007 draft over JaMarcus Russell. You could even ask Joe Thomas who went No. 3 that year. The point is, when looking for value, it’s simply a matter of talent and not getting overly caught up on the hype trains that inevitably come through during the preseason.

We reached out to a group of experts who are featured below to name which players at the RB, WR, and QB positions they believe are currently the most undervalued based on Half-PPR ADPs. They used our consensus Average Draft Positions which is comprised of draft data from multiple sites to provide the best well-rounded rankings to base their answers on. See who they picked below.

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Q1. Name the RB you believe is the most undervalued according to our early RB ADP Rankings and tell us why you feel that way.

Marlon Mack (RB – IND): ADP – RB15
“One guy that I have my eye on at RB is Marlon Mack. He quietly had a very impressive season in 2018, despite getting derailed by injuries once or twice. I think the Colts have fully endorsed Mack as the workhorse heading into 2019. In 2018, Mack actually had the 8th-most rushing attempts per game with 16.25, in front of guys like David Johnson, Melvin Gordon, Christian McCaffrey, and Alvin Kamara. If Mack gets the work that he should, the sky’s the limit.”
– Donald Gibson (Fantasy Fusion)

Leonard Fournette (RB – JAC): ADP – RB14
“Did you know that since 2014, there has been an average of just 12 running backs who’ve hit 250 touches per season? That amounts to just 15.6 touches per game, which highlights just how rare workhorse running backs are. Leonard Fournette has averaged 21.9 touches per game since he entered the league and has performed better than Melvin Gordon has throughout his career (when on the field). Sure, health is a concern, but it’s that way with most workhorse running backs. Fournette is an RB1 being drafted as an RB2. ”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Aaron Jones (RB – GB): ADP – RB16
“If Jones remains this affordable all season, I’m going to win a lot of leagues. I don’t need to go over his stats from the last two years compared against those of Jamaal Williams. The difference speaks for itself. We can’t be totally sure that Matt LaFleur will make Jones a workhorse, but the bet here is that the chasm between Jones and Williams will be obvious for the new coach to see in training camp. A workhorse season from Jones will result in a top-five RB finish.”
– Michael Beller (Sports Illustrated)

David Montgomery (RB – CHI): ADP – RB27
Jordan Howard was a top-20 fantasy back in 2018 despite the fact Chicago didn’t trust him as a receiver and seemed happy to unload for a late-round pick. David Montgomery has a history of being able to carry the load and is a player his coach (Iowa State’s Matt Campbell) said was his best slot receiver. RB27 puts Montgomery squarely into flex territory when he’s almost certain to be a mid-range RB2 at worst. Grab him at his current price now, because his stock figures to rise to the point where he is coming off the board in the late third or early fourth round in a month or two.”
– Doug Orth (FFToday)

Q2. Name the WR you believe is the most undervalued according to our early WR ADP Rankings and tell us why you feel that way.

A.J. Green (WR – CIN): ADP – WR13
“It may not seem like he’s undervalued very much, but it’s rare to find a top-five type wide receiver at the end of the third round, and that’s where A.J. Green currently is. Many consider 2018 as a bust for him, but did you know he was the No. 6 wide receiver prior to hurting his foot? This decade, there are just four wide receivers who have posted WR2 or better numbers in a higher percentage of games than Green. Those players are Odell Beckham Jr., Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, and Michael Thomas.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Keenan Allen (WR – LAC): ADP – WR11
“Allen finds himself buried behind guys like T.Y. Hilton and Adam Thielen, but I think he should be right behind the elite guys. In 2018, Allen only had one game with less than 10 PPR points (7.4) and eight games above 17 PPR points. He’s a target machine, and he’s always good for one eruption game (last year it was 14 receptions on 19 targets for 148 yards and a TD). I think fantasy managers should be pouncing on the slight discount that Allen has right now.”
– Donald Gibson (Fantasy Fusion)

Tyler Boyd (WR – CIN): ADP – WR30
“How is Tyler Boyd the WR30 by ADP? Do people not understand that he did his best work last year alongside a healthy A.J. Green, not when Green was out? In the nine games Green played, Boyd averaged 6.1 catches, 79.7 yards, and 0.56 touchdowns. That plays to a 16-game pace of 97.6 receptions, 1,275.2 yards, and nine touchdowns. He’s a top-20 receiver at a WR3 price.”
– Michael Beller (Sports Illustrated)

Donte Moncrief (WR – PIT): ADP – WR61
“Of the three players I’ve selected as undervalued, I am – by far – the least sold on Donte Moncrief. With that said, WR61 feels like stealing for a player who may end being the second receiver in an offense that usually puts at least two receivers into the top 30-40 in fantasy at season’s end. The presence of James Washington will likely keep Moncrief from being an every-week fantasy WR3, but I see Washington in more of a field-stretcher role in 2019. On the other hand, I think Moncrief will see more of the intermediate looks and do a lot of damage near the goal line.”
– Doug Orth (FFToday)

Q3. Name the QB you believe is the most undervalued according to our early QB ADP Rankings and tell us why you feel that way.

Mitch Trubisky (QB – CHI): ADP – QB18 | Dak Prescott (QB – DAL): ADP – QB20
“There’s a bunch of value in the later rounds, but the best values include both Mitch Trubisky and Dak Prescott. We saw both of them reach top-five potential in 2018 once they got some talent around them. Trubisky will be in year two of the Matt Nagy offense and should have a healthy receiver corps, something he didn’t throughout last year. Prescott has been a top-12 quarterback in every season, and then flashed top-five potential once they acquired Amari Cooper. He’ll also be getting Travis Frederick back on the offensive line, which will bring down the sack totals. I’d be okay with either of these quarterbacks as my starter heading into the fantasy season.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Jameis Winston is a candidate here, but we’ve seen enough from him to know that he can screw up what looks like a great situation. Instead, I’ll go with Mitch Trubisky. He was essentially a first-year quarterback last year, playing for a first-year head coach. The foundation in Chicago is set for the offense to take off this season, and Trubisky can add a ton of fantasy production with what he does on the ground.”
– Michael Beller (Sports Illustrated)

Drew Brees (QB – NO): ADP – QB8
“I feel like for the last few years, Drew Brees just keeps creeping his way down draft boards, and he’s currently sitting at QB8. Last year, he had a 6.4:1 TD:INT ratio, which was second only to Aaron Rodgers, so he definitely provides security. He did fall back a bit in yardage compared to what we usually see, but I’ll be all over Brees this year regardless. On a more anecdotal note, I feel like the departure of Mark Ingram is going to signal a pass-crazy offense for New Orleans, which obviously benefits Brees.”
– Donald Gibson (Fantasy Fusion)

Derek Carr (QB – OAK): ADP – QB25
“I see a handful of quarterback values (Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott and Josh Allen among them), but Derek Carr at No. 25 is just disrespectful. Carr was a top-20 fantasy QB last season in his first year in Jon Gruden’s offense with Jordy Nelson, Seth Roberts, and Marcell Ateman serving as his top wideouts for half a season. Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams are serious upgrades, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Hunter Renfrow immediately becomes a long-term fixture in the slot. Throw in running backs (Josh Jacobs and Jalen Richard) who are adept receivers and a better offensive line, and Carr could easily be a top-15 quarterback.”
– Doug Orth (FFToday)

Thank you to the experts for naming their top undervalued players. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter and check out our latest podcast below for more advice.

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