Team-By-Team Dynasty Roundup: NFC South (2021 Fantasy Football)
The NFC South could be one of the most exciting divisions in the NFL from a fantasy football perspective. However, there are also plenty of questions within the division.
Can the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers really run it back with the same success? How much does the immortal Tom Brady have in the tank? How will the Saints look without Drew Brees? Will Atlanta trade Julio Jones? And what will Carolina look like with Sam Darnold under center?
Let’s discuss these and many other topics in this NFC South dynasty roundup.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Matt Ryan | Stock: Neutral
Ryan isn’t someone I’m outright targeting in dynasty leagues, but the Falcons saved his long-term value by passing on a quarterback in this year’s draft. With presumably Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and rookie tight end Kyle Pitts, Ryan could be in store for a big year.
RB Mike Davis | Stock: Up
Things can change between now and training camp, but it looks as if the journeyman Davis will serve as Atlanta’s starting tailback. This could end up being an ugly committee that we don’t see coming. However, Davis is a solid player who did a nice job filling in for Christian McCaffrey this season. He has RB2 upside in 2021, but his value beyond that is questionable.
WR Julio Jones: Stock | Down
Maybe it’s time to sell Julio Jones. He could get dealt this offseason, and we’ve seen plenty of receivers struggle when changing teams. Jones is still a beast, but he is 32 and has durability issues. Given his uncertainty in Atlanta, now may be the time to get something for him.
WR Calvin Ridley | Stock: Up
Ridley has proven that he is a top-tier wide receiver and is just entering his prime at age 26.
TE Kyle Pitts: Stock | Neutral
I’ve been in dynasty rookie drafts where I’ve seen Pitts go second overall behind either Najee Harris or Trevor Lawrence. He is a transcendent prospect, but tight end is one of the toughest positions to acclimate to for rookies.
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Pitts starts slow, causing panic across fantasy circles, but ultimately finishes as a top-1o tight end.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Sam Darnold | Stock: Up
A change of scenery could be exactly what Darnold needs. He goes from the incompetent Adam Gase to one of the brightest offensive minds in the league in Joe Brady. The weapons are there for Darnold to save his career in Carolina. I’m not exactly bullish, but I’d be willing to acquire Darnold for cheap and see how it goes.
RB Christian McCaffrey | Stock: Neutral
McCaffrey struggled to stay healthy in 2020, so you could argue his stock should go down. However, if he’s healthy, he is a top-three running back in dynasty formats.
RB Chuba Hubbard | Stock: Neutral
A highly productive player in college, Hubbard is worth drafting later on in rookie drafts as a highly valuable handcuff.
WR D.J. Moore | Stock: Neutral
Moore needs to find the end zone more if he is going to vault into WR1 status.
WR Robby Anderson | Stock: Up
Anderson reunites with Darnold and is a high-end WR3 in dynasty leagues.
WR Terrace Marshall Jr. | Stock: Neutral
Marshall has the size and talent to be a real threat in this passing game, but scouts question his work ethic.
TE Dan Arnold | Stock: Neutral
TE Ian Thomas | Stock: Down
TE Tommy Tremble | Stock: Neutral
There’s nobody I really covet in this group. If I had to pick one, I’d take a flyer on Tremble late in rookie drafts.
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Darnold is the latest who thrives after escaping Gase’s clutches, and is a solid QB2 in dynasty leagues heading into next year.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Jameis Winston | Stock: Up
I’m assuming Winston will start here. By now, we all know the Winston experience. He’ll put up big numbers, but his reckless play will cost you more than it helps you. Winston’s a QB2 with a wide range of outcomes. If you don’t want to take the ride, I don’t blame you, especially when factoring in Sean Payton’s fascination with Taysom Hill.
QB Taysom Hill | Stock: Neutral
Hill is a gadget player who has never impressed me when he’s forced to actually play quarterback. His head coach loves him, which helps. Right now, it’s hard to make a definitive call on the Saints’ quarterback situation.
RB Alvin Kamara | Stock: Neutral
Will he get the same volume in the passing game as he did with Brees? The answer to that will define Kamara’s fantasy value. Right now, he’s still a top-six back.
WR Michael Thomas | Stock: Neutral
Thomas is a bounce-back candidate for me, especially if Winston starts under center. My opinion on Thomas as a player hasn’t changed — he just had an unlucky year with injuries. Buy low on him while you can.
WR Tre’Quan Smith | Stock: Down
TE Adam Trautman |Stock: Neutral
TE Nick Vannett | Stock: Neutral
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Thomas rebounds and finishes as a top-five wideout.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Tom Brady | Stock: Neutral
Brady’s dynasty value is all but gone, as you have to take him on a year-to-year basis. At some point, you’d think age would catch up with him. Maybe it never will. Keep riding him as a starter.
RB Ronald Jones II | Stock: Down
RB Leonard Fournette | Stock: Down
RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn | Stock: Down
I have a really hard time getting excited about any running back on Tampa’s roster. Coach Bruce Arians seems to be too fickle to really give us a true starter. Jones is worth having as an RB2, as he finished 15th in fantasy points last season, but I’d pass on this situation.
WR Mike Evans | Stock: Up
WR Chris Godwin | Stock: Up
As long as Brady is throwing them the rock, Evans and Godwin have WR1 potential any given week.
WR Scotty Miller | Stock: Neutral
WR Tyler Johnson | Stock: Neutral
WR Jaelon Darden | Stock: Neutral
The Bucs have some intriguing depth options at receiver. Johnson is the one I’d want the most in dynasty formats.
TE Rob Gronkowski | Stock: Neutral
Gronkowski is more intriguing in redraft than dynasty formats. Given his durability concerns, I’d steer clear.
TE O.J. Howard | Stock: Down
Howard is only 26 years old, but he is coming off a torn Achilles suffered in Week 4. It feels like his career is slipping away.
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: No Tampa Bay tailback finishes among the top-20 at the position.
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