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The Primer: Week 17 Edition (2022 Fantasy Football)

The Primer: Week 17 Edition (2022 Fantasy Football)

Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders

Pace and playcalling notes

  • With Watson back, the Browns are 18th in neutral pace and eighth in neutral rushing rate.
  • In Weeks 1-6, with Wentz as the starter, Washington was 21st in neutral pace and 17th in neutral passing rate.

Quarterbacks

Deshaun Watson: Watson has been putrid since his return. He ranks 37th in PFF passing grade, 42nd in yards per attempt, and 32nd in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). In fantasy, Watson has only one game where he finished higher than QB20 (QB14). He still hasn’t thrown for multiple passing touchdowns or surpassed 7.0 yards per attempt in any game. Those landmarks won’t likely happen this week, either. Washington has stepped it up in pass defense. Since Week 11, they are fourth in success rate per dropback, fourth in EPA per drop back, and fourth in explosive pass rate allowed. Watson is a low-end QB2.

Carson Wentz: Wentz might stink as a real-life NFL quarterback, but he’s had some nice games this season for fantasy purposes. Wentz is 35th in PFF passing grade, 23rd in adjusted completion rate, and tenth in big-time throw rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). In his six starts, he’s finished as the QB6 or higher three times (QB3, QB5, QB6). Wentz is a QB2 returning to a rough matchup with a Browns’ pass defense that’s cooking. Since Week 11, Cleveland is first in pass defense DVOA, seventh in success rate per dropback, third in passing yards per game and third in explosive pass rate allowed.

Running Backs

Nick Chubb: Chubb has been crushed with Watson back. Since Week 13, he’s averaged 20 touches and 83.8 total yards. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 12 and has only one RB2 finish (Week 16, RB23). His metrics haven’t been up to his elite standards during this stretch, but they haven’t been terrible, either. Over his last four games, Chubb is 22nd in yards after contact per attempt, eighth in missed tackles forced, and 30th in PFF elusive rating (minimum 20 carries). Since Week 11, the once mighty Washington run defense has begun to falter. Since that week, they are 18th in run defense DVOA, 17th in rushing yards per game, and 24th in explosive run rate allowed. Chubb is an RB2.

Kareem Hunt: Over the last four games, Hunt has averaged eight touches and 33.8 total yards. He has four red zone carries and one RB3 finish. The ineptitude of this offense has knocked every skill player down a peg. Hunt is 14th in juke rate and 26th in evaded tackles as an RB4.

Brian Robinson: With Gibson out, Robinson should operate as the workhorse this week with Jonathan Williams spelling him at times. Since Week 10, Robinson has averaged 19.8 touches and 90.6 total yards. Over his last six games, Robinson ranks 26th in yards after contact per attempt, 12th in missed tackles forced, and third in runs of ten-plus yards. Robinson is an RB2 with RB1 upside. Since Week 11, Cleveland has been 25th in rushing yards per game, 24th in EPA per rush, and 29th in explosive run rate allowed to running backs.

Antonio Gibson: Gibson has been ruled out.

Wide Receivers

Amari Cooper: With Watson, Cooper has a 28.3% target share (eight targets per game) while averaging 53 receiving yards. He has a 57.1% end zone target share and 1.72 yards per route run with Cleveland’s new franchise quarterback. Despite the hefty target volume, Cooper hadn’t even finished as a WR3 until last week (WR30). Cooper has five red zone targets over his last three games. He is the WR19 in fantasy, ranking 13th in deep targets and tenth in red zone targets for the season. Cooper is a WR3 that will run about 75% of his routes against Kendall Fuller (61.3% catch rate, 91.9 passer rating) and Benjamin St.-Juste (53.8% catch rate, 97.9 passer rating).

Donovan Peoples-Jones: Since Week 13, Peoples-Jones has had a 21.2% target share, 35.4% air yard share, and 1.52 yards per route run. He has seen seven of Watson’s ten deep targets (Cooper, three). Peoples-Jones has continued without losing a step since Watson started calling plays with WR28, WR13, WR30, and WR104 finishes. He has three red zone targets over his last three games. Peoples-Jones is a WR4 that will run about 70% of his routes against Fuller and St.-Juste.

Weeks 1-6

Player Target % EZ target % Air yard % Yprr
Terry McLaurin 16.1% 27.3% 27.7% 1.59
Curtis Samuel 22.2% 9.1% 14.3% 1.33
Jahan Dotson 14% 44.4% 24.8% 1.01

 

Terry McLaurin: With Wentz under center, McLaurin wasn’t utilized as the clear alpha of the passing attack. Wentz looked at him as another cog in the passing machine. McLaurin only had two games with eight or more targets and one WR2 or higher week (WR24). Wentz did look for him near the goal line as he saw five red zone targets. McLaurin already had a tough road this week against a secondary that, since Week 11, has allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. McLaurin is the WR22 overall with the third-most deep targets. He’s a WR3 this week that will run about 78% of his routes against Denzel Ward (60.7% catch rate, 93.7 passer rating) and Martin Emerson (55.7% catch rate, 88.5 passer rating).

Jahan Dotson: With Wentz earlier this season, Dotson was a definite third in line for targets, but he was the preferred end-zone target. Since Week 13, Dotson has been asserting himself with a 25% target share, 50% end zone target share, and 2.83 yards per route run. He’s been a top-20 fantasy wideout in each of the last three weeks (WR18, WR9, WR12). Dotson is a WR4 that will run about 73% of his routes against Emerson and Ward.

Curtis Samuel: Samuel was a Wentz favorite earlier this season, leading the group in target share. He had five games with at least seven targets while logging three weeks as a WR3 or better (WR13, WR12, WR30). Samuel has reemerged in the last three games with two top-24 finishes and three red zone targets. Samuel is a WR4/5 that will run about 70% of his routes against Greg Newsome (64.4% catch rate, 94.2 passer rating). Cleveland has given up the 11th-fewest YAC in the NFL, but they have allowed the 12th-most missed tackles. There’s an avenue for Samuel to walk away with a productive week if Wentz returns to previous habits and Samuel can break some arm tackles.

Tight Ends

David Njoku: Njoku has had a 21.7% target share, 20% end zone target share, and 81.2% route run rate since Week 13. Njoku is the TE8 in fantasy with the tenth-most deep targets and second-most red zone targets (eight in three games with Watson) among tight ends. Since Week 11, Washington has been 11th in catch rate, 19th in yards per reception, and 20th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends. Njoku is a TE1.

DAL vs. TEN | ARI vs. ATL | CHI vs. DET | DEN vs. KC | MIA vs. NE | IND vs. NYG | NO vs. PHI | CAR vs. TB | CLE vs. WAS | JAC vs. HOU | SF vs. LV | NYJ vs. SEA | MIN vs. GB | LAR vs. LAC | PIT vs. BAL | BUF vs. CIN

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

Pace and playcalling notes

  • Since Week 11, Jacksonville has been fourth in neutral pace and ninth in neutral passing rate.
  • Over that same span, Houston has been 18th in neutral pace while deploying an offense that’s been 50/50 pass/run balanced in close games.

Quarterbacks

Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence has been excellent. Since Week 9, he’s second to only Joe Burrow in PFF passing grade, tenth in yards per attempt, sixth in passing touchdowns, second in big-time throw rate, and third in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). Since Week 9, he has been the QB6 in fantasy points per game. The Texans remain a pass defense that no one should fear. Since Week 11, they have been 26th in success rate per dropback, 14th in yards per attempt, and 13th in passing yards per game. Lawrence has dismantled better pass defenses than this in recent weeks. Lawrence remains a top-shelf QB1.

Davis Mills: Mills is a QB2 that you can likely bench for better options at the skill position level in Superflex leagues. Since Week 8, Mills has had one game with more than 200 passing yards and one finish above QB17. With 50%, 83%, and 78% of snaps over the last three games as Jeff Driskel works in. Mills is a volatile option not worth rolling the dice on.

Running Backs

Travis Etienne: Etienne is the RB24 in fantasy averaging 23 touches and 119.5 total yards over his last two games. Etienne is lighting in a bottle, ranking first in yards per reception, 13th in yards per touch, and fifth in breakaway runs. Last time against Houston, he was the RB22 with 114 total yards while playing 51.4% of the snaps with 13 touches. He should see at least 20 opportunities this week while he destroys the Texans’ run defense. Since Week 11, Houston has been 19th in rushing success rate, 25th in fantasy points per game, 27th in rushing yards per game, and 30th in explosive run rate allowed. Etienne is an RB1.

Royce Freeman: Last week, Freeman saw his snap count bump to 55% with 17 opportunities that he turned into only 38 total yards. Freeman has been woeful in the efficiency department with his limited sample over the last two weeks. Among 80 running backs with at least 25 carries, he is 72nd in yards after contact per attempt, 48th in PFF’s elusive rating, and has zero breakaway runs. Freeman enters the RB3/4 conversation because of his volume projection and a matchup with the soft Jaguars’ run defense. Since Week 11, they have been 27th in rushing success rate, 13th in EPA per rush, 20th in rushing yards per game, and 17th in explosive run rate allowed.

Wide Receivers

Christian Kirk: Kirk is the WR18 in fantasy with a 23.6% target share (22nd) and 27.6% air yard share (35th). He has commanded the 13th-most deep targets and sixth-most red zone looks among receivers. Kirk is ranked 25th in yards per route run and 15th in YAC. Kirk is a WR2 that will run about 73% of his routes against Tavierre Thomas (55.6% catch rate, 66.2 passer rating). Since Week 11, the Texans have allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game to slot receivers. Houston’s starting corner trio has operated in zone coverage on 65-71% of their coverage snaps this season. Since Week 10, Kirk has seen 57.4% of his target volume against zone with 1.60 yards per route run (16th, minimum ten zone targets).

Zay Jones: Since Week 10, Jones has been the team’s number one receiver with a 24.9% target share, 31.2% end zone target share, 32.8% air yard share, and 1.93 yards per route run. All of those marks lead the team. Jones is the WR26 in fantasy with WR2 or higher finishes in four of his last six games (WR24, WR4, WR8, WR1). Since Week 10, Jones has seen 67% of his target volume against zone, ranking 15th in PFF receiving grade and ninth in yards per route run (minimum ten zone targets, 42 WRs) against the coverage. Jones is a WR2 that will run about 68% of his routes against Desmond King (since Week 10: 71.4% catch rate, 105.7 passer rating) and Steven Nelson (since Week 10: 50% catch rate, 76.6 passer rating).

Chris Moore: Since Week 14, Moore has had a 27.5% target share, 26.9% air yard share, 1.87 yards per route run, and has been targeted on 27% of his routes. Moore’s massive game against Dallas was a flash in the pan, as he’s been the WR51 and WR70 in fantasy over the last two weeks. Moore has a red zone target in each of his last three games. Moore transitioned back to the slot last week, which means he’ll run about 68% of his routes against Tre Herndon (70.6% catch rate, 127.1 passer rating). Since Week 11, Jacksonville has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers. They have also given up the eighth-most YAC and fourth-most missed tackles. Moore is a WR3/4.

Brandin Cooks: Over their last five games, Jacksonville has shut down opposing perimeter wide receivers giving up the third fewest-fantasy points per game. Cooks returned to the lineup last week, seeing a 30% target share (nine targets) and 41.2% air yard share with a 12.4 aDOT. Jacksonville has struggled to defend underneath, not deep. They are 14th in DVOA against deep passing as opposed to 31st against short throws. The target share should flow back in the direction of Moore this week. Cooks is a WR5.

Tight Ends

Evan Engram: Engram has hit his stride in this offensive system and is now an elite tight end play weekly. Since Week 13, he has finished as the TE4, TE1, TE6, and TE5 in weekly scoring. Over that four-game span, Engram has had a 27% target share, 18.2% end zone target share, and 78.8% route run rate. Since Week 13, Engram has been third in PFF receiving grade, fourth in YAC per reception, and third in yards per route run (minimum five targets). Houston is 20th in catch rate, 22nd in yards per reception, and 21st in receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends.

DAL vs. TEN | ARI vs. ATL | CHI vs. DET | DEN vs. KC | MIA vs. NE | IND vs. NYG | NO vs. PHI | CAR vs. TB | CLE vs. WAS | JAC vs. HOU | SF vs. LV | NYJ vs. SEA | MIN vs. GB | LAR vs. LAC | PIT vs. BAL | BUF vs. CIN

San Francisco 49ers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Pace and playcalling notes

  • With Purdy under center, the 49ers have been 27th in neutral pace and seventh in neutral rushing rate.
  • Las Vegas has been seventh in red zone passing rate this season. With Stidham under center, we’ll see if that continues or if they lean on Jacobs near pay dirt.

Quarterbacks

Brock Purdy: In Purdy’s four NFL starts, he’s been a serviceable QB2 with QB18, QB8, QB14, and QB13 fantasy finishes. He’s 22nd in PFF passing grade, fifth in yards per attempt, 40th in aDOT, and ninth in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). He’s played the point guard position well in the 49ers’ offense. Purdy is a QB2 again this week with borderline QB1 upside. Since Week 11, the Raiders have been 15th in success rate per dropback, 12th in EPA per drop back, and 12th in yards per attempt.

Jarrett Stidham: If you’re contemplating starting Stidham in a 2QB or Superflex league, please don’t. Stidham has attempted 61 passes in the NFL, completing only 52.5% with 5.6 yards per attempt and a 2:4 passing touchdown to interception ratio. Since Week 11, the 49ers have been third in success rate per dropback, first in EPA per drop back, and fourth in fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks. Don’t play Stidham.

Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey: Since Week 13, McCaffrey has played at least 70% of the snaps in each game, averaging 22.5 touches and 123.8 total yards. Since Week 13, McCaffrey has only one week lower than RB4 (RB17) in fantasy. He is 16th in evaded tackles, 12th in fantasy points per opportunity, fifth in yards per route run, and eighth in breakaway runs. His receiving skills should be on display this week against a team that’s 32nd in DVOA against receiving backs allowing the most receiving yard per game and fifth-highest yards per reception. Since Week 11, the Raiders have been 17th in rushing success rate and eighth in EPA per rush. McCaffrey remains a top-five running back.

Josh Jacobs: Jacobs is the RB3 in fantasy, ranking third in snap share, first in opportunity share, second in carries, and 12th in targets. He has the 14th-most red zone touches and the 14th-highest target share (11.7%). Jacobs has been an efficient rusher this season, ranking second in evaded tackles, tenth in juke rate, and fourth in breakaway runs. The quarterback change hurts him this week because the offense overall is likely to see fewer trips to the red zone and a downtick in overall effectiveness with Stidham. Jacobs is a low-end RB1 based on volume. Since Week 11, the 49ers have been third in rushing success rate, first in EPA per rush, third in yards per carry, and second in fantasy points per game allowed to running backs.

Wide Receivers

Deebo Samuel: Samuel has been ruled out.

Brandon Aiyuk: Aiyuk is the WR29 in fantasy with a 22.4% target share and 30.4% air yard share (23rd). He has been excellent this season, ranking 22nd in PFF receiving grade and 33rd in yards per route run (minimum 25 targets). With Purdy under center, he’s finished as a WR3 in two of his last three games (WR28, WR31). Aiyuk is a WR2 this week that will run about 74% of his routes against Amik Robertson (58% catch rate, 101.7 passer rating) and Nate Hobbs (71.4% catch rate, 103.4 passer rating). Since Week 12, Hobbs and Robertson have operated in man coverage on 42-44% of their snaps. Aiyuk has been the team’s go-to against man coverage leading the team in targets (28) against man. Aiyuk ranks 22nd in PFF receiving grade, 28th in yards per route run, and 20th in passer rating against man coverage (minimum 15 man coverage targets).

Davante Adams: Adams is the WR6 in fantasy with a 32.9% target share (second-best), a 39.4% air yard share (sixth-best), and the seventh best open rate. He is second in deep targets and sixth in red zone targets. Adams needs to be seen in the same light as Hopkins since his quarterback downgrade. He’s a volume dependent low-end WR1/high-end WR2. Since Week 7, the 49ers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing perimeter wide receivers.

Hunter Renfrow: Last week Renfrow played 49% of the snaps while running about 78% of his routes from the slot. Renfrow was the WR25 with 1.83 yards per route run and a 23.3% target share. His limited snap usage is nothing new, as Renfrow only has three games this season with 70% or higher snaps played. With Stidham starting and Renfrow’s snap cap, he’s a WR5 with a juicy matchup. Since Week 11, the 49ers have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers. This has been because Jimmie Ward (83.3% catch rate, 94.9 passer rating) can’t stop anyone in slot coverage.

Mack Hollins: Since Waller’s return, Hollins has averaged five targets and 23.5 receiving yards per game. He saw only two targets last week as the WR93 in fantasy. With the Raiders’ quarterback play in shambles, the likelihood of Stidham supporting the fifth option in the Raiders’ passing attack with a good fantasy day is slim. Hollins is a dart throw flex/WR6.

Tight Ends

George Kittle: Kittle has come roaring back as the TE3 in fantasy with an 18.9% target share (ninth), nine red zone targets (13th), and top-three tight ends weeks (TE3, TE1) since Week 15. If you have Kittle, you’re starting him. Since Week 11, Las Vegas has allowed the ninth-highest catch rate and 11th-highest receiving yards per game to tight ends.

Darren Waller: Since his return to the lineup, Waller has seen a 12.9% target share, a 15.8% air yard share, and finished as the TE8 and TE12 in fantasy. In his seven games played, he has eight deep targets and six red zone targets (zero since his return). Waller is a low-end TE1 facing a 49ers’ defense that, since Week 11, has been 16th in catch rate, fourth in receiving yards, and ninth in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends.

DAL vs. TEN | ARI vs. ATL | CHI vs. DET | DEN vs. KC | MIA vs. NE | IND vs. NYG | NO vs. PHI | CAR vs. TB | CLE vs. WAS | JAC vs. HOU | SF vs. LV | NYJ vs. SEA | MIN vs. GB | LAR vs. LAC | PIT vs. BAL | BUF vs. CIN

New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks

Pace and playcalling notes

  • With Mike White starting, the Jets were 11th in neutral pace and seventh in neutral passing rate.
  • Since Week 12, Seattle has been 14th in neutral pace and third in neutral passing rate.

Quarterbacks

Mike White: The legend is back. White will be under center this week for New York. This season he’s excelled when called upon. He’s 18th in PFF passing grade, 15th in yards per attempt, and eighth in big-time throw rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). He was the QB6, QB7, and QB22 in fantasy in his three starts, with two 300-yard passing games. He’s a borderline QB1 against a Seattle secondary that, since Week 11, has ranked 24th in success rate per dropback and 25th in EPA per dropback.

Geno Smith: The Chef is the QB9 in fantasy. Since Week 9, he has kept producing, ranking tenth in yards per attempt, 11th in big-time throw rate, and seventh in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). This week he has a daunting task wrestling with the Jets’ stout pass defense. Since Week 11, they have held quarterbacks to the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game, the 14th-lowest success rate per dropback, the sixth-fewest passing yards per game, and the sixth-lowest explosive pass rate.

Running Backs

Weeks 14-16

Player Rushing attempts Targets Routes Red zone opportunities
Zonovan Knight 36 3 21 4
Michael Carter 11 12 60 3

 

Zonovan Knight: Since Week 14, Knight has played 41-47% of the snaps averaging 13 touches and 37.7 total yards. He has conceded the passing downs to Carter and nearly split the red zone work evenly with him. Knight is 34th in yards after contact per attempt, 30th in breakaway rate, and first in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 50 carries). Knight is a script-dependent RB3. If the Jets can control the score, Knight could sniff close to 20 touches, but if they fall behind early, we could see more Carter. Since Week 11, Seattle has been 32nd in fantasy points per game, 28th in rushing success rate, 32nd in rushing yards per game, and 25th in explosive run rate allowed. Knight could post a massive fantasy day if the Jets can stay competitive.

Michael Carter: Since Week 14, Carter has played 39-52% of snaps averaging 6.7 touches and 33.7 total yards. Over the last three games, he has an 11.2% target share and 1.25 yards per route run. Carter is an RB4 whose value resides in the passing game. Seattle has been a haven for receiving backs. Since Week 11, they have been 29th in receptions per game, 29th in receiving yards per game, and 30th in yards per reception allowed to running backs.

Kenneth Walker: Over the last two weeks, Walker has played 75% and 53% of the snaps averaging 22 touches and 92 total yards. Seattle gave him a breather last week with DeeJay Dallas operating more on passing downs as Walker’s target share fell to 5.3%, and his route run rate sat at 25%. At less than 100%, Walker has ranked 33rd in yards after contact per attempt and 12th in breakaway rate (minimum 12 carries) since Week 15. Walker is an RB2 with a tough road ahead in Week 17. Since Week 11, the Jets are first in rushing success rate, tenth in EPA per rush, 14th in rushing yards per game, and 20th in explosive run rate allowed.

Wide Receivers

Garrett Wilson: With White starting, Wilson enjoyed a 23% target share, 107.3 receiving yards per game, a 50% end zone target share, a 37% air yard share, and 2.56 yards per route run. Wilson was the WR5, WR9, and WR26 in fantasy, with six red zone targets across those three weeks. Wilson is eighth in red zone targets and 17th in YAC among receivers. Wilson is a borderline WR1 that will run about 76% of his routes against Tariq Woolen (56.4% catch rate, 74.6 passer rating) and Michael Jackson (64.4% catch rate, 99.1 passer rating). Wilson should eat up a secondary that’s allowed the third-most YAC and seventh-most missed tackles.

Elijah Moore: With White starting, Moore had a 14.3% target share, 20.6% air yard share, and 1.31 yards per route run. Moore saw two red zone looks with two WR3 weeks (WR29, WR33). Moore is a WR4 that will run about 75% of his routes against Coby Bryant (72.6% catch rate, 105.0 passer rating).

Corey Davis: Davis was at full strength with White calling the shots in Week 13, where he garnered an 18.2% target share (ten targets) to finish with five receptions and 85 receiving yards. He had a 22.3% air-yard share (second among wide receivers) with 2.02 yards per route run. White peppered him with three red zone targets in that game. Davis will run about 83% of his routes against Woolen and Jackson as a dart throw flex (WR4/5).

D.K. Metcalf: Metcalf is the WR17 this season. He’s 18th in target share, tenth in air-yard share, 18th in deep targets, and third in red zone looks among wide receivers. Metcalf has been crushing it, ranking ninth in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and 29th in yards per route run. Since Week 11, the Jets have given up the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Metcalf is a WR2 that will run about 83% of his routes against Sauce Gardner (44.3% catch rate, 73.9 passer rating) and D.J. Reed (55.1% catch rate, 73.9 passer rating). Since Week 12, Gardner and Reed have operated in zone on 58% of his snaps. Metcalf has seen 53.2% of his target volume against zone coverage ranking 23rd in PFF receiving grade and 34th in yards per route run (minimum 15 zone targets).

Tyler Lockett: Lockett is hopeful to suit up this week. Lockett was limited in practice on Thursday and was credited with a full practice on Friday. Lockett remains the Seahawks’ zone coverage beater. He has seen 64.4% of his targets against zone, ranking 11th in PFF receiving grade and 13th in yards per route run against the coverage (minimum 15 zone targets). Lockett is the WR12 in fantasy with a 23.6% target share (23rd), a 32.1% air yard share (17th), and 18 deep targets (22nd). Lockett will run about 56% of his routes if active against Reed and Gardner. Lockett is a WR2.

Tight Ends

Tyler Conklin: With White tossing passes, Conklin had a 14.3% target share averaging 29 receiving yards per game. He had a 59% route run rate and 1.05 yards per route run. Conklin is a matchup-based streaming TE2. Seattle is 31st in fantasy points per game and 32nd in yards per reception allowed to tight ends. Conklin ranks tenth in YAC among tight ends.

Noah Fant:  Fant was limited in practice on Thursday and Friday (knee). He doesn’t carry an injury designation into this game. Fant has an 11.3% target share and 56.5% route participation mark this season. While Will Dissly is out, I think Fant likely stays in a part-time role, splitting reps with Colby Parkinson. While the snap reaction would be to hope or project Fant for a full-time role, I don’t see that happening. Fant is a TE2. He’s 13th among tight ends in red zone targets and 15th in YAC. New York ranks 21st in catch rate, 24th in receiving yards, and 24th in yards per reception allowed to tight ends. While all of those numbers are positive, the Jets have only allowed two receiving touchdowns (third-lowest) to tight ends this season. 

DAL vs. TEN | ARI vs. ATL | CHI vs. DET | DEN vs. KC | MIA vs. NE | IND vs. NYG | NO vs. PHI | CAR vs. TB | CLE vs. WAS | JAC vs. HOU | SF vs. LV | NYJ vs. SEA | MIN vs. GB | LAR vs. LAC | PIT vs. BAL | BUF vs. CIN

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