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The Primer: Week 5 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

After a week where our fantasy football teams suffered a ton of hits, Week 4 said, “Hold my beer.” Lamar Jackson, Trey Benson, Bucky Irving, Ricky Pearsall, Tyreek Hill, and Malik Nabers are all sidelined for Week 5. Some for the rest of the season. Some for maybe just Week 5 or a few weeks.

The injury bug is relentless.

Either way, this is horrible news just as bye weeks arrive to further crunch our fantasy football lineup options. I leave no stone unturned for your fantasy football lineups and flex positions as I pour through usage, matchups, coverage metrics, and more. Without any further rambling, welcome to the Week 5 Primer. Enjoy.

SF vs. LAR | MIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. BAL | LV vs. IND | MIA vs. CAR | DEN vs. PHI | NYG vs. NO | DAL vs. NYJ | TEN vs. ARI | TB vs. SEA | DET vs. CIN | WAS vs. LAC | NE vs. BUF | KC vs. JAC

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Fantasy Football Primer

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams

49ers Players & Weekly Rankings

Rams Players & Weekly Rankings

Matthew Stafford QB QB1/2
Kyren Williams RB RB1
Blake Corum RB RB3
Puka Nacua WR WR1
Davante Adams WR WR1
Jordan Whittington WR WR5
Tyler Higbee TE Doubtful
Colby Parkinson TE TE2/3
Davis Allen TE TE2/3

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

N/A

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Matthew Stafford (QB)

Matthew Stafford went legend mode last week as the QB2 in fantasy, which was his first QB1 outing of the season. Stafford is the QB17 in fantasy points per game. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, Stafford is crushing it, ranking fifth in yards per attempt, fourth in passing yards per game, third in passing touchdowns, and first in hero throw rate. Stafford should post strong QB2 numbers this week with the upside to sneak into the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks. The 49ers have allowed the 12th-highest passer rating while ranking 18th in CPOE and 16th in success rate per dropback.

Kendrick Bourne (WR)

Kendrick Bourne will assume a starting spot this week for the depleted 49ers. He has a 65.6% route share, an 11% target share, 1.06 yards per route run (29 receiving yards per game), and a 13.2% first-read share. In Week 3, with Jauan Jennings out, Bourne had a 14.6% target share, 38 receiving yards (1.23 yards per route run), and a 20% first-read share (second on the team). Since Week 3, the Rams have utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate (56.9%). Since Week 2, against two high, Bourne leads the team with a 17% target per route run rate and ranks second in first-read share (14%). Bourne is a deep-league or desperation flex play only. The Rams have allowed the 13th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Jake Tonges (TE)

Since Week 2, Jake Tonges has been the 49ers’ starting tight end, seeing a 65.8% route share with an 11% target share with 36.7 receiving yards per game (1.36 yards per route run) and an 11.8% first-read share. He has two red zone targets, but none since Week 1. He has scored twice this season and has one TE1 finish (last week, TE7). Tonges is a low-end streaming option at tight end this week. The Rams have allowed the 14th-most fantasy points per game and the tenth-most yards per reception to tight ends.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Mac Jones (QB)

Mac Jones will draw the start for the 49ers this week. In his two starts this season, he has finished as the QB9 and QB15 in weekly scoring. This week, he’ll have to make due without Jauan Jennings, Ricky Pearsall, and George Kittle, who are all out this week. Among 38 qualifying passers, he ranks 21st in yards per attempt, 14th in passer rating, 11th in CPOE, 32nd in highly accurate throw rate, and 21st in catchable target rate. Jones has the ninth-fastest time to throw, which should serve him well this week to attempt to neutralize a Rams’ pass rush that ranks fifth in pressure rate. Los Angeles is 18th in yards per attempt allowed while giving up the 14th-lowest passer rating, the 12th-lowest CPOE, and the eighth-lowest success rate per dropback. Jones isn’t someone I would count on outside of deep Superflex leagues this week.

Demarcus Robinson (WR)

Demarcus Robinson will be thrust into a starting spot this week after getting his feet wet last week in his 49ers’ debut. Last week, he had a 32.5% route share, a 5.3% target share, 20 receiving yards (1.54 yards per route run), and a 5% first-read share. Since Week 3, the Rams have utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate (56.9%). Last year, against two high, he had only a 12% target per route run rate, 1.03 yards per route run, and a 14.1% first-read share. I don’t project a big game for Robinson this week despite a solid matchup, but the schematic matchup isn’t great for him. The Rams have allowed the 13th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

SF vs. LAR | MIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. BAL | LV vs. IND | MIA vs. CAR | DEN vs. PHI | NYG vs. NO | DAL vs. NYJ | TEN vs. ARI | TB vs. SEA | DET vs. CIN | WAS vs. LAC | NE vs. BUF | KC vs. JAC

Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns

  • MIN -3.5, O/U 36
  • Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Vikings Players & Weekly Rankings

Browns Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Quinshon Judkins (RB)

Over the last two weeks, Quinshon Judkins has been the RB11 in both games in weekly scoring. He has averaged 22 touches and 105 total yards while playing 59% of the snaps. He has handled 85% of the rushing opportunities and had a 32.9% route share (8.5% target share). Among 43 qualifying backs, he ranks 14th in yards after contact per attempt and ninth in yards after contact per attempt. Judkins should have another strong outing this week against a Vikings defense that has allowed the ninth-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest explosive run rate, and the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt.

Jordan Mason (RB)

Over the last two weeks, as the Vikings’ workhorse, Jordan Mason has averaged 61.5% of the snaps with a 37.3% route share (4.3% target share). He has been the RB14 in fantasy points per game, averaging 17.5 touches and 94 total yards. Among 43 qualifying backs, he is seventh in explosive run rate and 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt. The Browns’ run defense is tough, but it’s not all doom and gloom. Yes, they have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game and yards before contact per attempt, and yes, they also have given up the sixth-lowest explosive run rate, BUT they also have tied for the highest missed tackle rate and rank 16th in yards after contact per attempt. Mason should flirt with 15-20 touches and get the goal line work. While it’s not a ceiling game opportunity, volume and touchdown equity should save him this week.

Jordan Addison (WR)

In his first game back from suspension, Jordan Addison was the WR21 in fantasy, turning in four receptions and 114 receiving yards. He didn’t have a red zone target, but he had three deep targets from Carson Wentz. Addison had a 90.7% route share, a 17.4% target share, a 31.3% air-yard share, 2.33 yards per route run, and a 25% first-read share. He’s a strong flex play this week against a secondary that has allowed the third-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Carson Wentz (QB)

It hasn’t been pretty, but Carson Wentz has been the QB13 and QB9 in weekly scoring in his two starts this season. Ok, here’s the good. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks ninth in yards per attempt and seventh in passing yards per game, but among the same sample, he also ranks 30th in catchable target rate, 12th-highest in off-target rate, and sixth-highest in turnover-worthy throw rate. The variability in his play from dropback to dropback has been wild. He should provide respectable QB2 numbers this week, but expect some turnovers and some head-scratching moments as well. Cleveland has allowed the fifth-most passing touchdowns, the eighth-highest passer rating, and ranks 17th in CPOE. Where things could go awry for Wentz is that his offensive line is currently Swiss cheese. Minnesota has allowed the fourth-highest pressure rate, and I don’t see that getting better this week with their offensive line situation. The Browns have the seventh-best pressure rate. Wentz is 11th in yards per attempt under pressure, but also has the second-highest turnover-worthy play rate. If Wentz fails this week, it’ll be because his line couldn’t hold up and/or he couldn’t navigate dirty pockets.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Dillon Gabriel (QB)

It’s about time. The Browns have benched Joe Flacco, who will serve as the QB2 this week for the team. Dillon Gabriel will draw the start. During his final collegiate season, Gabriel ranked third in adjusted completion rate and 14th in yards per attempt, but he was also 103rd in big-time throw rate. Much of his production in that final season was schemed. He was sixth in screen attempts and fourth in screen passing yards. 66% of his passes were within nine yards of the line of scrimmage. That’s not to say that he can’t throw the deep ball because he was third in deep ball completion rate, but he ranked 132nd in deep ball rate. Good luck, rookie. Brian Flores will test Gabriel early and often with blitzes and simulated pressures. Minnesota has allowed the 14th-fewest yards per attempt, the third-fewest passing yards per game, and the fourth-lowest CPOE. Minnesota blitzes at the fourth-highest rate and ranks second in pressure rate. Cleveland has allowed the seventh-highest pressure rate, so expect Gabriel to be running for his life at times this week.

Jerry Jeudy (WR)

Jerry Jeudy has been a nothingburger this season. He hasn’t finished higher than WR47 in weekly scoring since Week 2 and is the WR60 in fantasy points per game. Jeudy has an 18.3% target share, a 44% air-yard share, 1.21 yards per route run (45.5 receiving yards per game), and a 26.5% first-read share. He is fifth among wide receivers with nine deep targets, but he has seen only one red zone target. This week, he faces a Minnesota pass defense that has the highest rate of two high (75.5%) in the NFL. Against two high, Jeudy has seen his target share dip to 15.9% and his first-read share drop to 21.6%. Sit Jeudy against a secondary that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Isaiah Bond (WR)

Last week, with Cedric Tillman‘s injury, Isaiah Bond had a 71.1% route share, a 17.1% target share, 58 receiving yards (2.15 yards per route run), and a 20.8% first-read share. He has one red zone target this season. This isn’t the week to consider flexing Bond against a secondary that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

T.J. Hockenson (TE)

With Carson Wentz under center, T.J. Hockenson has had a 15.7% target share with 44 receiving yards per game (1.42 yards per route run) and a 15.9% first-read share. He has four red zone targets in his last two games with TE5 and TE22 weekly scoring finishes. I don’t expect a big game from Hockenson this week against a defense that has held tight ends to the fourth-fewest yards per reception and the tenth-fewest fantasy points per game.

David Njoku (TE)

David Njoku is borderline droppable at this point. He’s the TE24 in fantasy points per game and hasn’t finished higher than TE15 in any week. Njoku has only one red zone target. He has an 11.6% target share, 0.99 yards per route run, and a 13.7% first-read share. He hasn’t surpassed 40 receiving yards in any game this season. Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (75.5%). Against two high, Njoku has an 11.1% target share, 1.06 yards per route run, and a 16.2% first-read share. Sit Njoku this week. Minnesota has allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards and the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Harold Fannin Jr. (TE)

Harold Fannin Jr. has seen his fantasy value crater over the last two weeks as the TE30 and TE31 in weekly fantasy scoring. He has only two red zone targets this season. Fannin Jr. has a 56.6% route share, a 14% target share, 1.62 yards per route run (40 receiving yards per game), and a 17.6% first-read share. Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (75.5%). Against two high, Fannin Jr. has had a 12.7% target share, 1.24 yards per route run, and an 18.9% first-read share. Sit Fannin Jr. this week. Minnesota has allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards and the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.

SF vs. LAR | MIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. BAL | LV vs. IND | MIA vs. CAR | DEN vs. PHI | NYG vs. NO | DAL vs. NYJ | TEN vs. ARI | TB vs. SEA | DET vs. CIN | WAS vs. LAC | NE vs. BUF | KC vs. JAC

FantasyPros Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer

Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Texans Players & Weekly Rankings

C.J. Stroud QB QB1/2
Woody Marks RB RB2
Nick Chubb RB RB3
Nico Collins WR WR1
Christian Kirk WR WR3/4
Xavier Hutchinson WR WR6
Dalton Schultz TE TE1/2

Ravens Players & Weekly Rankings

Cooper Rush QB QB2
Derrick Henry RB RB1
Justice Hill RB RB4
Zay Flowers WR WR1/2
Rashod Bateman WR WR4
DeAndre Hopkins WR WR6
Mark Andrews TE TE1/2

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

C.J. Stroud (QB)

C.J. Stroud is having another difficult season as the QB28 in fantasy points per game. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 19th in yards per attempt, 33rd in CPOE, 16th in highly accurate throw rate, and 18th in catchable target rate. Stroud is still waiting for his first QB1 finish. His best weekly showing so far has been QB15 (last week). Stroud might get his first top 12 finish this week. Baltimore’s pass defense has been horrible this season. They have given up the fourth-most passing yards per game, the second-most passing touchdowns (tied), the seventh-highest passer rating, and the fifth-highest CPOE. The Ravens have had issues defending the deep ball, especially giving up the third-most deep passing yards per game and the 13th-highest deep completion rate. Stroud is 13th in deep ball rate while ranking middle of the pack in deep ball accuracy (17th out of 34 qualifying quarterbacks). Stroud and Nico Collins could hook up for a few explosive plays this week (Collins leads the team in deep targets).

Woody Marks (RB)

Last week, Woody Marks took over the Houston backfield as the RB6 for the week. He played 58.5% of the snaps with 21 touches and 119 total yards (two scores). Marks had 17 of 30 running back carries with a 43.8% route share (17.9% target share). Marks had the team’s only red zone carry last week. Among 43 qualifying backs, Marks ranks tenth in explosive run rate and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Marks should crush again this week. Baltimore hasn’t been able to stop opposing rushers. They have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game, the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the second-highest yards per carry and success rate to gap runs (Marks 58.6% gap).

Christian Kirk (WR)

Since his return in Week 3, Christian Kirk has had a 65.3% route share, an 18.2% target share, 0.92 yards per route run (22.5 receiving yards per game), and an 18.8% first-read share. Baltimore has been shredded by slot receivers this season (Kirk 67.3% slot). Baltimore has allowed the second-most PPR points per target and the most fantasy points per game to slot receivers. If C.J. Stroud attacks the Ravens’ deep, expect Kirk to be involved, as he is second on the team with three deep targets (25% of his target volume).

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Nick Chubb (RB)

Last week, Nick Chubb saw his playing time decrease with a 40% snap rate, 13 of the 30 running back carries, and a 21.9% route share (7.1% target share). He finished with 15 touches and 62 total yards. He has looked like a shell of his former self with a 13% missed tackle rate and 1.68 yards after contact per attempt this season. He’s a touchdown-dependent flex this week with a good matchup. Baltimore has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game, the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the second-highest yards per carry and success rate to gap runs (Chubb 53.2% gap).

Dalton Schultz (TE)

If you’re looking for a tight end streaming option this week, I present Dalton Schultz. Schultz has a 69.8% route share with a 17.1% target share, 1.30 yards per route run (31.5 receiving yards per game), and a 17.5% first-read share. He has a deep target and a red zone target. Baltimore has been vulnerable against tight ends this season, giving up the 11th-most fantasy points per game and the fourth-most receiving yards to the position.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Cooper Rush (QB)

Cooper Rush will be the Ravens’ starter this week. Last year, Rush was the QB31 in fantasy points per game. Among 47 qualifying quarterbacks, Rush ranked 41st in yards per attempt, 40th in highly accurate throw rate, 28th in catchable target rate, and 34th in CPOE. None of it was great. Baltimore should lean on Derrick Henry this week as Rush has a tough matchup. Houston has allowed the sixth-fewest yards per attempt and the third-lowest passer rating and CPOE.

Zay Flowers (WR)

Zay Flowers is the WR16 in fantasy points per game. He has seen the 13th-most deep targets among wide receivers, but hasn’t seen a red zone target yet. Flowers has a 27.5% target share, a 31.6% air-yard share, 2.50 yards per route run (76.3 receiving yards per game), and a 31.5% first-read share. Houston has utilized single-high with 52.7% of their defensive snaps. Against single high, Flowers has seen his target share increase to 32.8% with 2.82 yards per route run and a 34.1% first-read share. Cooper Rush should lean on Flowers this week. Derek Stingley could shadow Flowers, which would impact his outlook. Stingley has followed Mike Evans, Davante Adams, and Calvin Ridley on 50-75% of their routes this season. Stingley didn’t allow a touchdown in coverage to any of them, and none of them surpassed 60 receiving yards in his coverage. Flowers should see plenty of volume this week, which hopefully allows him to outkick the tough matchup. Houston has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Rashod Bateman (WR)

Rashod Bateman is a flex option better left on the bench this week. Houston has utilized single-high with 52.7% of their defensive snaps. Against single high, Bateman has a 14.8% target share with 0.81 yards per route run and a 14.6% first-read share. Houston has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Mark Andrews (TE)

Last week in Isaiah Likely‘s first game of the season, Mark Andrews saw his route share dip to 57.5%. He still had a 24.2% target share and 31.6% first-read share, but he only managed 30 receiving yards (1.30 yards per route run). Overall, this season, Andrews has a 16.5% target share, 1.45 yards per route run, and a 21.9% first-read share. Andrews is the TE12 in fantasy points per game, seeing three red zone targets. That fantasy standing as a top 12 option is really only because of his monster Week 3 game. In three other games this season, Andrews hasn’t scored a touchdown or surpassed 30 receiving yards. It’s been tough to trust him weekly. This week is no different. Houston has allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.

SF vs. LAR | MIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. BAL | LV vs. IND | MIA vs. CAR | DEN vs. PHI | NYG vs. NO | DAL vs. NYJ | TEN vs. ARI | TB vs. SEA | DET vs. CIN | WAS vs. LAC | NE vs. BUF | KC vs. JAC

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts

Raiders Players & Weekly Rankings

Colts Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Daniel Jones (QB)

Daniel Jones is the QB7 in fantasy points per game after cooling off some from his red hot start to the season. Over the last two games, he has finished as the QB11 and QB23 in weekly fantasy scoring. He is now averaging only 4.5 rushing attempts and 13.5 rushing yards per game. Jones hasn’t surpassed 30 rushing yards in any game and hasn’t scored on the ground since Week 2. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks third in yards per attempt, eighth in passer rating, tenth in highly accurate throw rate, and sixth in catchable target rate. He faces a Raiders’ pass defense that will offer him a strong bounceback opportunity. They have given up the 11th-highest yards per attempt, the 12th-most passing yards per game, and the third-highest CPOE.

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR)

Michael Pittman is the WR13 in fantasy points per game. He has garnered a 24% target share with 2.09 yards per route run (58.6 receiving yards per game) with a 27.6% first-read share. Pittman has two red zone targets and three scores this season. He continues to be an underrated fantasy producer this season. Pittman should have a resurgent day in Week 5 after the passing game got off track some last week. The Raiders have allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target and the second-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Jakobi Meyers (WR)

Jakobi Meyers is the WR33, seeing a 24.4% target share with 64.5 receiving yards per game (1.93 yards per route run) and a 27.8% first-read share. Meyers hasn’t eclipsed 12 PPR points since Week 2 with Geno Smith‘s rollercoastering weekly. Meyers has three deep targets and two red zone looks this season. Like Smith, Meyers should have a bounce-back game in Week 5 against a secondary that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to the slot (Meyers 63.4% slot).

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Geno Smith (QB)

Geno Smith has continued his high-wire act for fantasy as the QB20 in fantasy points per game. He has two outings with 18 or more fantasy points while also logging two games with less than 13 fantasy points. Smith ranks 12th in yards per attempt and 11th in passing yards per game, but he also leads the NFL in interceptions while having the second-highest off-target rate and turnover-worthy throw rate. Smith will continue to be volatile, but this should be one of his better weeks. Indy’s pass defense has been struggling, allowing the 13th-most passing yards per game, the fifth-most passing touchdowns, and the seventh-highest success rate per dropback. Indy has also allowed the sixth-most deep passing yards per game and the fourth-highest passer rating to deep passing. Smith could connect on a few deep balls this week to make his week. Smith is 16th in deep ball rate and 20th in deep ball completion rate (out of 34 qualifying quarterbacks).

Dont’e Thornton Jr. (WR)

If you are desperate for a dice roll/high upside flex play this week, Dont’e Thornton Jr. could be your guy. He has a 68.1% route share, an 11% target share, a 25.8% air-yard share, 0.96 yards per route run (23.5 receiving yards per game), and a 15.2% first-read share. None of those numbers are amazing or will jump off the page, but his role in the offense is what we covet here. Indy has hemorrhaged deep ball production this year, giving up the sixth-most deep passing yards per game, the fourth-highest deep passer rating, and the sixth-highest deep completion rate. Thornton Jr. leads the team in deep targets, which have comprised 35.7% of his target volume this season. Indy has also had issues defending perimeter wide receivers, allowing the fourth-most PPR points per target to the position. Thornton Jr. is a dice roll that could hit for big money this week.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Josh Downs (WR)

Since Week 2, Josh Downs has seen his route share bounce from 51.9-62.9%. He hasn’t pushed over the 62.9% mark this season (Week 4). It has been saddening usage for the talented receiver. Overall, he has a 25% target per route run rate, but with his limited snaps, that has equaled a 15.7% target share with 30.3 receiving yards per game (1.61) and a 16.3% first-read share. Downs has managed double-digit PPR points only once this season (Week 2), which also happens to be the only game in which he has seen red zone work (two targets). Downs is borderline droppable at this point and not worth considering for a flex spot this week. The Raiders are 16th in PPR points per target allowed to slot receivers.

Tre Tucker (WR)

If we take away Tre Tucker‘s career-best performance of Week 3, he has a 13.3% target share with 0.80 yards per route run, averaging 26.3 receiving yards with a 20% first-read share. He hasn’t had more than three receptions or 54 receiving yards outside of that outlier performance against the Commanders. Sit Tucker. Drop him if you need the bench space.

SF vs. LAR | MIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. BAL | LV vs. IND | MIA vs. CAR | DEN vs. PHI | NYG vs. NO | DAL vs. NYJ | TEN vs. ARI | TB vs. SEA | DET vs. CIN | WAS vs. LAC | NE vs. BUF | KC vs. JAC

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