Fantasy Football Player Notes

Marvin Harrison Jr. had a troubled 2025 season as he dealt with a concussion, an appendectomy, and a heel injury that cost him five games. In the eight games he played last year before dealing with appendicitis and a heel injury, he garnered a 21.9% target share, producing 61.6 receiving yards per game with 1.68 yards per route run, a 27.1% first-read share, and 0.082 first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). During that stretch, he averaged 13.4 PPR points per game. It's a BIG if, but if he had kept up that type of production, he would have been the WR17 in fantasy points per game. Last year, if you put up that sample for Harrison Jr. against all wide receivers with at least 200 routes, he would have ranked 19th in target share, 16th in receiving yards per game, 44th in yards per route run, 23rd in first-read share, and 46th in first downs per route run. The passing volume for the Cards was propping up some shoddy per-route efficiency, but there are some slivers of hope to take away from this too. If he can overcome the quarterback play and a talented running mate in Michael Wilson, Harrison Jr. can be a volume-based WR3/flex for 2026.

Michael Wilson had Grand Canyon-sized splits last year when Marvin Harrison Jr. was out of the lineup versus when he was healthy. In the eight games Harrison Jr. was active before his heel injury and was healthy, Wilson had only an 11.7% target share, 23.4 receiving yards per game, 0.72 yards per route run, and a 14.1% first-read share (per Fantasy Points Data). That isn't remotely close to fantasy-viable production. In the games Harrison Jr. missed and during Weeks 16 & 17 (after Harrison Jr returned post heel injury), Wilson was absolutely fantastic with a 27.5% target share, 105.6 receiving yards per game, 2.79 yards per route run, and a 38.8% first-read share (23.3 PPR points per game). That is elite WR1-level production and efficiency. Wilson is a decent late-round receiver option, but I don't know if that level of production happens again, even in a watered-down fashion, if Harrison Jr. is healthy and the Cardinals get replacement-level quarterback play in 2026.