Recommended Dynasty Trade Proposals: Running Backs (2020 Fantasy Football)
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Each month, the wonderful Mike Tagliere posts an updated dynasty trade value chart. It’s an excellent resource for both dynasty players and commissioners, as you can use it to gauge trade balance successfully. It’s often difficult to discuss a trade when you and other members of your league see a player very differently, so Tags’ chart functions as a helpful third party.
If you’re looking to acquire a new running back in dynasty, here are some potential offers to consider.
Try to take advantage of any owner who is low on Kamara. He’s a great asset to buy now if you’re trying to win this year, as his contract with the Saints expires at season’s end. He may get re-signed, but don’t assume Kamara will remain in Sean Payton’s offense moving forward.
As a result, it makes sense to sell some high-upside sophomores for Kamara’s proven RB1 talent. Offseason hype is swirling around Miles Sanders following the departure of Jordan Howard, and he’s already the RB11 in dynasty rankings. That said, I fully expect the Eagles to add help to their running back room that will reduce his value, and Brandon Brooks’ injury may limit him in 2020. Either Marquise Brown or Christian Kirk (25) would make excellent deal-sealers in this trade.
I have mixed feelings about Drake. On the one hand, his one-year transition tag means that Arizona should try to get the most out of him. On the other, Kliff Kingsbury hasn’t featured workhorse backs before, and the hype around Drake has made him the RB17, above guys like Leonard Fournette (RB18) and Cam Akers (RB19).
So if you want a one-year, high-end RB2, then Drake is your guy — you might just have to overpay for him a bit. That shouldn’t be a big deal for teams in win-now mode, however, and a pair of young assets could help you land Drake and push for a championship.
I recommend that you sell high on A.J. Brown. His 2019 performance just isn’t sustainable without wholesale changes to Tennessee’s offensive scheme, and his value should decrease during the regular season. Pairing Brown with one of Drake’s backups, Eno Benjamin, would be especially helpful if the Drake owner is in rebuild mode. You can sell them on the fact that they’ll have a shot at Arizona’s starter in 2021.
I don’t know whether to believe the Sanders hype. If you do, I would recommend waiting to trade for him until the Eagles sign another running back. Experts anticipate that they will add a veteran like LeSean McCoy or Devonta Freeman, and such a move could frighten the Sanders owner enough to help you land him. Oh, and the news about Brandon Brooks’ injury may also push his owner to sell.
While Sanders is a good target for either competing or rebuilding dynasty rosters, it’ll be easier to get him from a team in win-now mode. As such, a deal where you overpay with depreciating assets that will retain value in 2020 makes the most sense.
Both A.J. Green and Sony Michel have probably seen their best fantasy days. That said, both should continue to see enough volume to remain relevant in 2020. Green could easily be anyone’s WR2, and Michel makes a serviceable RB2/Flex option. A competitive owner may want the two rotational starters instead of an unproven RB2 — especially if Philly lands another back.
I’m going to wrap up this article with two guys who can put you over the top in 2020. Mostert blew up in 2019, finishing as the PPR RB10 between Weeks 12 and 16. He scored seven touchdowns over the last six weeks of the season, and he followed this up by scoring five more times in the playoffs!
The 49ers attempted the second-most running plays in the NFL, and there’s no doubt that Kyle Shanahan will continue to emphasize the run next season. Matt Breida’s departure frees up 123 attempts, giving Mostert and Tevin Coleman the opportunity for even more volume. While always-injured Jerick McKinnon is also on the roster, I’m still unsure if he’ll ever see the field for San Francisco.
That said, Mostert is 28 years old, and his late-career breakout is more reminiscent of Damien Williams than anyone else. While I doubt that the 49ers see him as their back of the future, his 2020 upside makes him a good target. If the Mostert owner is in rebuild mode, you can probably secure him for a young, developing receiver like Kirk, Brown, or Pittman.
The same logic applies to Johnson. He lands in Houston, where his only real competition for snaps will be Duke Johnson. Duke earned roughly half of the snaps for Houston last year, so they know he’s not a featured back, and Carlos Hyde’s departure frees up 245 carries for David.
That said, Johnson didn’t look like himself after an injury last year. Even if he can’t regain his RB1 form, he has enough upside to be a sure-thing RB2 in 2020. Houston is a perennial contender with Deshaun Watson under center, and someone has to get the short-yardage work in the red zone.
Johnson will turn 29 during the 2020 season, however, so don’t count on him past this year. He’s a great addition if you need running back depth next year, and you should be able to land him by selling a young receiver.