NFL GPP Lineup Advice: Week 11 (Full Slate)

There are some fun game environments to consider for GPP lineups on the NFL’s full Week 11 slate. The island games don’t offer too much excitement or shootout potential, but there are still a few players to consider especially as an end-of-the-week hammer.

If looking to stack some games with a high Vegas total, such as the Cowboys/Chiefs tilt, try to take a different angle so you have a unique lineup from the masses while still enjoying exposure to a great game environment. I’m looking at the following players for large-field tournaments.

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Quarterbacks

DraftKings

Tom Brady (TB): $7,300 vs. NYG
Brady and the Buccaneers surprisingly struggled against Washington coming off a bye last week. That letdown could keep his rostered rate low in full-slate GPPs when Brady faces the Giants on Monday night.

The Giants are league-average in most metrics against the pass this season, which should be enough for a bounce-back performance from Brady on primetime. Brady has delivered GPP-winning numbers by throwing for four or more touchdown passes in five games this season.

Dak Prescott (DAL): $7,200 vs. KC
The Dallas-Kansas City showdown will get a lot of attention (rightfully so) in GPP as a marquee matchup with the highest Vegas total of the week. We aren’t going against the grain by using Prescott in a favorable matchup, but we can differentiate from the pack with his pass-catchers, as you will see later.

According to Football Outsiders, Kansas City’s pass defense ranks 27th in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) and has allowed 258.6 passing yards (23rd and 1.8 touchdown passes (20th) per game this season. Meanwhile, Prescott has thrown at least two touchdown passes in six straight starts.

Other notables: Joe Burrow (CIN): $6,600 vs. LV; Tua Tagovailoa (MIA): $5,500 vs. NYJ

FanDuel

Aaron Rodgers (GB): $7,700 vs. MIN
Since AJ Dillon is likely a chalk option this week without Aaron Jones, Rodgers and the passing game could be a leverage pivot. Rodgers had no touchdown passes last week against the Seahawks, his first game with less than two scores since Week 1.

Rodgers should bounce back this week against a Vikings defense he torched for seven touchdown passes and 655 passing yards in two meetings last season. Minnesota has allowed 262 passing yards and two scores per game in the last three weeks.

Joe Burrow (CIN): $7,400 vs. LV
Burrow put up his first dud of the season against the Browns before the Bengals’ Week 10 bye. With an extra week to prepare, Burrow should be ready for a bounce-back performance against the Raiders in a game that has one of the week’s higher Vegas totals.

Touchdowns are the key to a GPP-winning lineup, and Burrow is in a great spot to toss multiple scores against a pass defense that has allowed an NFL-high 14 touchdown passes over the last five weeks. Meanwhile, Burrow has tossed at least two in all but one game this season and has thrown three touchdown passes four times.

Other notables: Josh Allen (BUF): $8,800 vs. IND; Tom Brady (TB): $8,000 vs. NYG

Running Backs

DraftKings

Najee Harris (PIT): $8,400 vs. LAC
Harris could be a one-man show for the Steelers on Sunday night against the Chargers. With all of the injuries to Pittsburgh’s skill players, Harris has been the most consistent producer with a high volume of touches that has topped 25 in each of the last five games.

He draws a favorable matchup against a run defense that ranks last in DVOA and has allowed 127.8 rushing yards (32nd) and 1.3 touchdowns (31st) per game to running backs this season on 4.75 YPC (30th).

James Conner (ARI): $6,100 vs. SEA
Conner will continue to lead the Cardinals’ backfield with Chase Edmonds sidelined. After receiving 13 touches in last week’s blowout loss, he should rise above 20 touches in a big divisional matchup against the Seahawks.

The Seahawks have struggled to defend running back on the ground and through the air this season, allowing 104.9 rushing yards (26th) and 0.8 rushing scores (21st) per game to backs. They have also given up 7.1 receptions (31st) for 76.0 yards (32nd) per game to pass-catching backs. It could be a huge day for Conner.

Other notables: Dalvin Cook (MIN): $8,200 vs. GB; Nick Chubb (CLE): $7,800 vs. DET; David Montgomery (CHI): $5,500 vs. BAL

FanDuel

Dalvin Cook (MIN): $8,400 vs. GB
Instead of going with a more conventional bring-back with one of Minnesota’s wide receivers for your Rodgers stacks, consider Cook instead. Following two solid games, he’s right on the brink of a spike performance.

That game could come this week at home against the Packers, whose run defense ranks 24th in DVOA. Cook has, well, cooked the division rival to six total touchdowns and 274 total yards in their last two meetings.

Leonard Fournette (TB): $7,300 vs. NYG
Fournette has morphed into a bell-cow back for the Buccaneers this season, garnering at least 16 touches in five of his last six games. While Brady and the Buccaneers’ passing game will get the attention Monday night, Fournette could steal the show.

The Giants rank 30th in DVOA against the run and have allowed 110.1 rushing yards (27th) per game on 4.67 YPC (28th) this season to running backs. Add in some catches against a Giants defense that has allowed 7.0 receptions (24th) for 64 yards (28th) per game over the last five weeks, and it could be a big night for Fournette.

Other notables: Najee Harris (PIT): $8,700 vs. LAC; Joe Mixon (CIN): $7,600 vs. LV; Adrian Peterson (TEN): $5,700 vs. HOU

Wide Receivers

DraftKings

Tyreek Hill (KC): $8,200 vs. DAL
While there are ways to get creative on the Cowboys side of a Dallas/Kansas City game stack, the Chiefs’ side is pretty straightforward with rostering either Hill or Travis Kelce, who soak up almost all of the target share and production.

I prefer pivoting off Kelce for Hill, who has a higher ceiling. While Kansas City has struggled to find big plays this season, Dallas has allowed 14.7 yards per reception (31st) to wide receivers. Also, consider using Michael Gallup ($4,200) in your Prescott stack to balance out the high salary of Hill and provide some leverage off of the other higher-rostered Cowboys receivers.

Chris Godwin (TB): $6,700 vs. NYG
Last week, Godwin played through some injury concerns and still netted seven catches on eight targets for a modest 57 yards. He has seen double-digit looks in three of the previous five games and should see plenty of targets Monday against the Giants.

The Giants’ secondary has been most vulnerable to slot receivers, where Godwin lines up on about 67% of his routes. They have allowed 14.1 receptions (25th) per game to wide receivers this season, and Godwin should see many of those without Antonio Brown.

Other notables: Ja’Marr Chase (CIN): $7,200 vs. LV; Kenny Golladay (NYG): $5,100 vs. TB; Michael Gallup (DAL): $4,200 vs. KC

FanDuel

Davante Adams (GB): $8,400 vs. MIN
It’s no surprise whom you want to pair with Rodgers in a Packers stack. Adams has double-digit targets in five of his last seven games. The Vikings’ secondary has allowed 16 receptions (30th) for 204 yards (30th) per game to wide receivers over the last five weeks.

Adams has gone two straight games without a touchdown, which should correct itself this week. Adams scored five touchdowns against the Vikings last season, and it should be a big day for Green Bay’s passing game, with most of the production going through Adams.

Tee Higgins (CIN): $6,500 vs. LV
Ja’Marr Chase ($7,700) will be the more popular wideout to pair with Burrow, but Higgins gives us a strong pivot who is cheaper and has outproduced Chase over the last two games with 10 receptions for 175 scoreless yards.

The touchdowns will come for Higgins, who has four red-zone targets over the last three games. He faces a Raiders secondary that has allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers over their last four games.

Other notables: Mike Evans (TB): $7,400 vs. NYG; Kenny Golladay (NYG): $5,800 vs. TB; Emmanuel Sanders(BUF): $5,800 vs. IND

Tight Ends

DraftKings

Dalton Schultz (DAL): $4,600 vs. KC
The Cowboys will be a popular GPP stack this week, but we can hopefully get a little distinctive by passing up CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper for Gallup and Schultz.

Using Schultz also provides leverage away from Kelce, likely a popular bring-back option. The Chiefs have allowed 64.1 yards (26th) per game and six touchdowns to tight ends this season. Schultz only saw two targets last week, but Prescott should need to pass more than the 31 times he threw in last week’s blowout win.

Other notables: Mike Gesicki (MIA): $5,200 vs. NYJ; Cj Uzomah (CIN): $3,500 vs. LV

FanDuel

Darren Waller (LV): $6,700 vs. CIN
Waller, who continues to get a lot of targets every week, is the Raiders’ top bring-back with Bengals stacks. He has at least seven targets in seven out of eight games this season and has reeled in at least four receptions in every game this year.

The Bengals have been below league-average against tight ends over the last five weeks, allowing 5.3 receptions (18th) for 59 yards (24th) and 0.5 touchdowns (20th) per game. A touchdown will be essential for Waller paying off for GPP lineups.

Other notables: Dalton Schultz (DAL): $6,000 vs. KC; Cole Kmet (CHI): $5,100 vs. BAL

Defense/Special Teams

DraftKings

Washington (WAS): $2,400 vs. CAR
Washington’s defense has been a consistently solid fantasy option with a low price all season, scoring at least five DraftKings points in six straight games. Washington faces the Panthers this week, which should yield some sacks and turnovers.

Other notables: Panthers (CAR): $2,700 vs. WAS; Lions (DET): $2,100 vs. CLE

FanDuel

Colts (IND): $3,200 vs. BUF
The Colts’ defense has registered multiple sacks in seven straight games and will get plenty of opportunities to continue that streak against a pass-heavy Bills offense. Indianapolis has posted at least five FanDuel points in five consecutive games and seven of its last eight. Not bad for a near min-priced option.

Other notables: Seahawks (SEA): $3,700 vs. ARI; Washington (WAS): $3,500 vs. CAR

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