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The Primer: Week 11 Edition (2022 Fantasy Football)

The Primer: Week 11 Edition (2022 Fantasy Football)

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots

Pace and playcalling notes

  • Since Week 7, the Jets are 16th in neutral pace while ranking 20th in neutral passing rate.
  • The Patriots are set in their ways, moving a sloth’s speed, ranking 26th in neutral pace while running the ball at the eighth-highest rate when the score is tight.

Quarterbacks

Zach Wilson: Since Week 5, Wilson has had one top-12 finish, which happened to come against the Patriots, but this was an ugly outing by Wilson. He completed 48.8% of his passes, with 7.0% of his passes classified as turnover-worthy plays. Wilson is a volatile QB2. This season he has remained a weekly passenger on the struggle bus, ranking 36th in PFF passing grade and 30th in adjusted completion rate with the second-highest turnover-worthy play rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). New England has held opposing passers to the lowest success rate and EPA per dropback. The Patriots are also 12th in explosive pass rate allowed.

Mac Jones: Jones has been unstartable in fantasy this season. Jones has only mustered one week this season above QB19. He has yet to throw for multiple touchdown passes in a game and has only one week where he’s finished with higher than 7.3 yards per attempt. The Jets don’t offer any hope that a turnaround will occur in Week 11. New York has blanketed passing attacks limiting them to the sixth-lowest success rate per dropback and seventh-lowest EPA per dropback. This secondary has held quarterbacks to the tenth-fewest fantasy points per game. Don’t play Jones.

Running Backs

Week 10

Player % of Rushing attempts Target share Routes per game Red zone opportunities
Michael Carter 38.3% 13.8% 13.5 6
James Robinson 38.3% 5.2% 4 2

 

Michael Carter: Since the arrival of Robinson, Carter has averaged 12 touches and 73.5 total yards (54% snaps). He finished as the RB30 and RB10 in fantasy. Carter has split the early down work with Robinson while hogging all the pass-game routes. Carter has seen his efficiency bounce back to last year’s levels. He’s 20th in juke rate, tenth in breakaway run rate, and 15th in yards created per touch. Carter is left to deal with a Patriots’ run defense that’s tightened up. Since Week 5, they are seventh in rushing yards per game, third in EPA per rush, and eighth in explosive run rate allowed. Carter has a 10.6% Target share (18th) this season, ranking 11th in yards per route run. His best hope for a productive week is adding to his fantasy score via the passing game. Since Week 5, the Patriots have allowed the second-highest yards per reception to running backs. Carter is a low-end RB2/high-end RB3.

James Robinson: Robinson is a touchdown-or-bust RB4. Since arriving in New York, he’s averaged 31% of snaps played with ten touches and 35 total yards. With only a minimal red zone role and a non-existent pass game role (three total targets), if you’re playing Robinson, you’re praying for a goalline dive against a team that’s allowed only two touchdowns to running backs all season.

Weeks 7-8

Player Rushing attempts Targets Routes per game Red zone opportunities
Rhamondre Stevenson 27 15 21 4
Damien Harris 14 4 9.5 1

 

Rhamondre Stevenson: In their last two games together, Stevenson has averaged 70% of the snaps played with 21 touches and 120.5 total yards per game. Stevenson saw a monstrous 25% Target share and a 55% route run rate. Even if Harris is healthier this week, Stevenson should retain the passing downs and the majority of snaps. Stevenson is tenth in yards after contact per attempt, 16th in breakaway rate, and 17th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 25 carries). He faces a tough Jets run defense, ranking ninth in rushing yards per game and explosive run rate allowed since Week 5. In their first meeting, Stevenson churned out 71 yards on the ground (4.4 yards per carry) while adding another 72 yards in the passing game. New York is fourth in DVOA against receiving backs. They have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs. Stevenson is an RB2.

Damien Harris: In his last two games working in tandem with Stevenson, Harris has averaged 8.5 touches and 31 total yards (two targets per game). He’s only handled one opportunity inside the 20-yard line across those weeks. Harris has been effective when healthy this season, ranking second in juke rate and 16th in evaded tackles. Harris is a touchdown or bust flex/RB4.

Wide Receivers

Garrett Wilson: Wilson has seen a revival over the last two games averaging eight targets, seven receptions, and 103.5 receiving yards (WR15, WR11). Overall, Wilson has a 22.5% Target share with ten red zone targets (12th). He’s 14th in PFF receiving grade and 27th in yards per route run. Wilson is a WR3 that will run about 71% of his routes against Jonathan Jones (45.8% catch rate, 49.7 passer rating) and Jack Jones (51.7% catch rate, 49.4 passer rating).

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers remains quietly balling out this year as the WR15 in fantasy. Meyers has a 24.8% Target share (22nd) and 31.6% air yard share (21st). He’s seen eight deep targets (35th) with four red zone targets in his last two games. Meyers is 29th in PFF receiving grade and 18th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He saw 12 targets turning them into nine receptions and 60 receiving yards (one touchdown) in their last meeting (WR10). Meyers will run about 71% of his routes against Michael Carter (74.4% catch rate, 84.6 passer rating) in the slot as a WR2/3.

Tyquan Thornton: Thornton is a fine season-long stash or matchup-based flex for deeper leagues, but this isn’t the week to look to him. Thornton hasn’t seen more than five targets or produced more than 40 receiving yards in any game this season. He’ll run about 84% of his routes against D.J. Reed (52.2% catch rate, 58.6 passer rating) and Sauce Gardner (43.5% catch rate, 44.6 passer rating).

Tight Ends

Hunter Henry: In Weeks 8-9, the Patriots have returned to cutting Henry’s routes (47.4% route run rate) which takes him out of the fantasy streaming pool at tight end.

Tyler Conklin: Conklin returns to the matchup-based tight-end streaming option Rolodex. Since Week 7, he’s seen a 22.2% Target share (six targets per game) with a 60% route run rate. This season, Conklin has four deep targets (tenth) and three red zone targets (32nd). He saw two red zone targets against the Patriots in Week 8 when he erupted for ten targets, six receptions, 79 receiving yards, and two touchdowns (TE1). The Patriots are tied for the most receiving touchdowns allowed to tight ends (seven). New England is 13th in fantasy points allowed to inline tight ends (Conklin 62% inline).

CHI vs. ATL | CLE vs. BUF | PHI vs. IND | NYJ vs. NE | LAR vs. NO | DET vs. NYG | CAR vs. BAL | WAS vs. HOU | LV vs. DEN | DAL vs. MIN | CIN vs. PIT | KC vs. LAC | SF vs. ARI | TEN vs. GB

Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints

Pace and playcalling notes

  • The Rams have slowed to a crawl, ranking 29th in neutral pace while remaining pass-heavy (seventh in neutral passing rate).
  • The Saints are 19th in neutral pace with the 12th-highest neutral rushing rate.

Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford: Stafford is practicing in full and should be back under center this week. Unless you’re in a Superflex league and out of decent positional options with tangible upside, there’s no reason to look to Stafford. The Rams’ offense is a broken mess with a patchwork offensive line, a non-function run game, and now without their alpha wideout. Stafford is left surrounded by ruin and dusty receivers that can’t get open. New Orleans will stonewall his best-receiving option (Higbee). Stafford has five as the QB22 or lower in fantasy. This week will make six.

Andy Dalton: Dennis Allen has stated that Dalton will start this week. Dalton has finished higher than QB18 in fantasy only once this season. The Saints have capped his volume, as he hasn’t surpassed 30 pass attempts since Week 7. Dalton is a basement-level QB2 that shouldn’t come close to your lineups (even in Superflex). Since Week 5, the Rams are eighth in passing yards per game, 11th in EPA per drop back, and allowing the lowest explosive pass rate in the NFL.

Running Backs

Week 10

Player Rushing attempts Target share Routes Run Red zone opportunities
Darrell Henderson 6 2.7% 21 1
Cam Akers 6 2.7% 3 0
Kyren Williams 1 8.1% 10 0

 

Darrell Henderson: The Rams’ backfield has become a car crash. Henderson is the only player from this backfield that, if you squint hard enough with 2 am beer goggles, you can possibly understand playing in a dynasty or deep (I mean DEEP) league. Henderson played 57% of the snaps last week with seven touches that he turned into 32 total yards. Henderson hasn’t managed more than 60 total yards in any game since Week 1. He’s splitting the early downs with Akers, and Kyren Williams is cutting into his routes. The Saints are a plus matchup for running backs. Since Week 5, they are 22nd in rushing yards per game, 27th in EPA per rush, and 20th in explosive run rate. Henderson is a deep league (or dynasty) flex.

Alvin Kamara: Kamara is the RB8 in fantasy averaging 18.9 touches and 100.9 total yards per game. Kamara is second in snap share, fifth in opportunity share, and eighth in weighted opportunities. The only problem is his remaining lacking usage in the red zone, where he’s 36th in touches. Since Week 8, he’s only seen two red zone opportunities. Kamara is a safe bet for volume weekly, although his explosiveness has been mediocre outside of the passing game. He’s sixth in yards per route run, but he’s 45th in juke rate, 28th in evaded tackles, and 36th in breakaway run rate. The Rams remain a difficult matchup for running backs ranking fifth in rushing yards per game, sixth in EPA per rush, and second in explosive run rate. His prospects in the passing game aren’t great either, as Los Angeles is tenth in DVOA with only one receiving touchdown allowed. Kamara is a weekly volume-based RB1.

Wide Receivers

Allen Robinson: Robinson is the WR67 in fantasy points per game with his 14.9% Target share (61st) and 21.7% air yard share (52nd). Robinson has finished as a WR3 or better only twice this season. Yes, Cooper Kupp‘s injury means that Robinson will likely see a few extra looks weekly, but that doesn’t ensure he does anything with them. Robinson’s 0.88 yards per route run and two touchdowns despite 13 red zone targets (seventh) illustrate that he’s cooked. Robinson is a low-ceiling WR5.

Van Jefferson: Jefferson hasn’t played more than 57% of the snaps in any game. He’s drawn only eight targets across his three active weeks. He’s not worth a roster spot in fantasy until he shows he can at least handle a full snap load.

Chris Olave: Olave is the WR20 in fantasy with a 26.1% Target share (17th) and 40% air yard share (fifth). He’s hit a rough patch with WR43 and WR59 finishes in two of his last three games. Let’s call this a bump in the road, as Olave’s usage remains strong. He’s second among wideouts in deep targets and 20th in red zone targets (four over the last three games). Olave is 11th in PFF receiving grade and 14th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He’s a WR2 that will run about 72% of his routes against Jalen Ramsey (69.4% catch rate, 101.2 passer rating) and David Long (63.6% catch rate, 104.9 passer rating).

Jarvis Landry: Landry is a WR4. He has a 16.3% Target share and a 14.7% air yard share. He’s only seen one red zone target in his five games played. He’s 56th in PFF receiving grade and 50th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He’ll run about 76% of his routes against Troy Hill (66.7% catch rate, 95.3 passer rating). The Rams have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to slot wide receivers.

Tight Ends

Tyler Higbee: Higbee is the TE10 in fantasy points per game, commanding a mountainous 20.6% Target share (fourth) and 10.6% air yard share. Higbee is third in raw target volume among tight ends. Stafford has looked his way five times (17th) inside the 20. Higbee is ranked 16th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He’s a low-end TE1 staring down one of the league’s best defenses against the position. New Orleans is first in DVOA, allowing the lowest catch rate, eighth-lowest yards per reception, and only one receiving touchdown.

Juwan Johnson: Johnson is on a more slippery slope after his route run rate dropped to 64.5% last week, with Adam Trautman working more. Trautman may be utilized more this week which would crush Johnson. Johnson is the TE14 in fantasy points per game with a 13.2% Target share (21st), four deep targets (tenth), and six red zone looks (11th). Johnson is a TE2. Los Angeles has been brutal for tight ends giving up the fifth-lowest catch rate, second-fewest receiving yards, and only two receiving touchdowns.

CHI vs. ATL | CLE vs. BUF | PHI vs. IND | NYJ vs. NE | LAR vs. NO | DET vs. NYG | CAR vs. BAL | WAS vs. HOU | LV vs. DEN | DAL vs. MIN | CIN vs. PIT | KC vs. LAC | SF vs. ARI | TEN vs. GB

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Pace and playcalling notes

  • This game will disappoint in terms of play volume as both offenses are mediocre in the pace department and love their run games. Detroit and New York are 20th and 22nd in neutral pace. They both sit inside the top ten in neutral rushing rate (NYG third, DET ninth).

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff: Goff started the season on fire, but his ceiling has recently been nerfed. Since Week 5, Goff has one week where he’s finished higher than the QB15 (QB14) in fantasy. Goff hasn’t played lights out this season, but this can be attributed to a few factors out of his control. Among them are Amon-Ra St. Brown‘s health, the trade of T.J. Hockenson, D’Andre Swift‘s limited snaps, and D.J. Chark being lost to injury. Goff has always been an “Andy Dalton-Esque” sum-of-the-parts type of quarterback. Well, most of the shiny cogs of this offense have blown out, been traded in, or have rusted. Goff should deliver solid QB2 numbers against a Giants secondary that’s 18th in passing yards per game, 17th in EPA per drop back, and 28th in explosive pass rate allowed.

Daniel Jones: Jones is the QB14 in fantasy points per game with two top ten weeks on his resume. Jones’ weekly ceiling comes from his rushing ability as the Giants remain steadfast in their run-heavy game plan. Jones is 22nd in pass attempts, 23rd in passing yards, and 23rd in passing touchdowns. He has been efficient with this volume, ranking ninth in fantasy points per dropback, ninth in accuracy rating, and eighth in true passer rating. Jones is fourth in rushing yards, fourth in red zone carries, and fifth in rushing touchdowns among quarterbacks. The Lions offer a spot for another QB1 week. They are 27th in passing yards per game, 30th in EPA per drop back, and 31st in explosive pass rate allowed. Detroit has allowed the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Jones is a borderline QB1.

Running Backs

Weeks 9-10

Player Rushing attempt % Target share Routes Run Red zone opportunities
Jamaal Williams 67.2% 8 11
D’Andre Swift 13.1% 14.3% 16 4

Jamaal Williams: Williams (illness) and Swift (ankle/shoulder) each practiced in full on Thursday & Friday. Both enter this game without injury designations. Williams remains the lead back in this offense. Over the last two games, he’s averaged 50% of snaps, 20 carries (zero targets), and 70 rushing yards. Williams is also still dominating the red zone work. He’s second in red zone touches and 23rd in weighted opportunity. Williams is a low-end RB2 based on volume and his touchdown equity in this offense. He has not been an efficient rusher, ranking 39th in evaded tackles, 28th in breakaway runs, and 56th in yards created per touch. His weekly ceiling is capped, and the floor remains low with minimal pass-game involvement. The Giants have been terrible at defending the run, ranking 24th in rushing yards per game, 24th in EPA per rush, and 26th in explosive run rate allowed.

D’Andre Swift: This story is getting old. We should know we can’t trust the Lions’ practice reports by now. Swift is listed as a full participant. He has stated he is still dealing with injuries. Swift is not fully healthy. Sadly looking at his usage, I would venture to guess he’s not close to healthy and is gutting it out at this point. Since Week 9, he’s averaged six touches and 31 total yards per game (23% of snaps). Swift has averaged only 14.5 snaps over the last two games. That’s eye-opening. Over his last five games, Swift has forced two missed tackles (both in Week 8). He hasn’t registered a run of at least ten yards since Week 2. Despite the good matchup, Swift is an extremely risky RB3/4.

Saquon Barkley: A healthy Saquon Barkley has been one of the highlights of this season. Barkley is the RB3 in fantasy averaging 25.2 touches and 125.3 total yards. He’s top-three in nearly every usage metric, ranking first in snap share, first in opportunity share, and second in weighted opportunity. Barkley has at least four targets in six games and currently rocks a 16.3% Target share (sixth). He’s in line for another 25-30 touches this week. Barkley is 11th in missed tackles forced, first in breakaway runs, and third in yards created. Detroit has given up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. Since Week 5, they are 30th in rushing yards per game and 27th in explosive run rate allowed. Barkley is the RB1 overall this week.

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown: In St. Brown’s six healthy games, he’s been a target vacuum with a 32.3% Target share (10.3 targets per game), averaging 82.7 receiving yards with 2.67 yards per route run. Despite his ridiculous volume, he has only three touchdowns this season which can be traced to his seven red zone targets (31st). He’s only been targeted downfield three times as well. St. Brown is a volume-based WR1 weekly. With the Lions’ injury-depleted depth chart St. Brown has run about 51% of his routes on the perimeter since Week 8. He’ll see Adoree Jackson (53.7% catch rate, 85.3 passer rating) and Fabian Moreau (54.5% catch rate, 90.2 passer rating) in coverage for a little over half of his routes.

Josh Reynolds: Reynolds has been ruled out. 

Darius Slayton: Since Week 5, Slayton has a 20.3% Target share with a 37.1% air-yard share as the WR32 in fantasy. During this five-game span, he’s 11th in PFF receiving grade and sixth in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). One of the underrated accomplishments of Brian Daboll is playing a talented player like Slayton, whom previous regimes foolishly buried. Slayton only has three deep targets and three red zone targets this season. He hasn’t sniffed a red zone target since Week 6. If he gets into the endzone this week, it’s likely going to have come on a long play. Slayton is a WR3 that will run about 70% of his routes against Jeffrey Okudah (70% catch rate, 100.1 passer rating), Jerry Jacobs (career: 64.3% catch rate, 87.8 passer rating), and Mike Hughes (74.1% catch rate, 118.3 passer rating). Since Week 8, the Lions have deployed their corners in zone on 59-60% of their snaps. Slayton has seen 71.4% of his target volume against zone coverage this season. He ranks 24th in PFF receiving grade against zone and 19th in yards per route run (minimum ten zone targets).

Wan’Dale Robinson: Robinson was limited on Wednesday (hamstring) and didn’t practice on Thursday before returning to a limited session on Friday. We have seen the Giants utilize him on a limited snap basis in Week 6. I won’t rule that out this week, but it’s also equally possible he plays his usual (69-75%) allotment of snaps this week. Since Week 7, Robinson has had a 16.9% Target share (4.3 targets per game) with his extremely low aDOT (3.3). This simply isn’t enough volume in a run-heavy offense to consider him as anything more than a WR4. Add in the injury risk, and it’s probably safer to bump him to WR5 status. The matchup is good, as Detroit has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game to slot wide receivers, but it’s difficult to craft a scenario where Robinson gets enough work to take advantage of it. A big reason for the Lions’ struggles against slot receivers also resides with Mike Hughes, who has been bumped to the perimeter as Will Harris (73.9% catch rate, 97.0 passer rating) has taken over nickel duties. Harris isn’t great either, but his stink level is less than Hughes.

Tight Ends

N/A: There’s no fantasy viable tight end worth considering from this game.

CHI vs. ATL | CLE vs. BUF | PHI vs. IND | NYJ vs. NE | LAR vs. NO | DET vs. NYG | CAR vs. BAL | WAS vs. HOU | LV vs. DEN | DAL vs. MIN | CIN vs. PIT | KC vs. LAC | SF vs. ARI | TEN vs. GB

Carolina Panthers vs. Baltimore Ravens

Pace and playcalling notes

  • Ben McAdoo has the team operating at the seventh-highest neutral pace while remaining focused on their rushing attack (11th in neutral rushing rate).
  • There are no surprises with the Ravens, as they are 32nd in neutral pace and seventh in neutral rushing rate. Wash. Rinse. Repeat for Greg Roman.

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield: Mayfield is a bottom-of-the-barrel QB2. In his six games played, he’s completed at least 60% of his passes and eclipsed 7.0 yards per attempt only twice. Mayfield is 34th in PFF passing grade, 31st in yards per attempt, and 37th in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). Baltimore has picked it up with pass-defense. Since Week 5, they are 17th in passing yards per game, 16th in EPA per drop back, and have held quarterbacks to the eighth-lowest fantasy points per game.

Lamar Jackson: Even with decimated receiving weapons Jackson remains a weekly QB1. He’s finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in three of his last four games. His passing numbers have taken a hit without a doubt, as he’s surpassed 250 passing yards only once. In Week 8, he threw for multiple touchdowns, which is the only time he’s done that since Week 4. His rushing remains the trump card, as he’s second in rushing yards, third in carries per game, and sixth in red zone carries. Since Week 5, the Panthers are more pliable through the air, ranking 21st in passing yards per game, 24th in EPA per drop back, and 23rd in explosive pass rate allowed.

Running Backs

D’Onta Foreman: Since Week 7, Foreman has averaged 20.8 touches and 103.6 total yards. He’s crushed in three of four games with RB17, RB5, RB40, and RB9 finishes. In Week 9, he was scripted out, which is a possibility here with the Ravens as heavy favorites. Over the last four weeks, Foreman has had a 1.8% Target share with a 35.2% route run rate. Foreman is 22nd in yards after contact per attempt, 22nd in breakaway rate, and 32nd in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 25 carries). Baltimore has been a rough assignment for rushers ranking second in rushing yards per game and first in explosive run rate since Week 5. Over their last five games, they have allowed the tenth-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs. Foreman is a volatile RB2 that has a wide range of outcomes. If the Panthers can keep the score close, he could easily see 20-25 touches, but if they get buried early, Foreman could end up closer to 10-12 touches.

Chuba Hubbard: Hubbard is a stash only. Last week he returned to the lineup, but he only managed five touches and 14 yards while playing 18% of the snaps.

Gus Edwards: Edwards has been ruled out.

Kenyan Drake: Drake has been explosive when given the ball this season, ranking 11th in breakaway run rate and 17th in breakaway runs. He’s 25th in true yards per carry. Carolina is 26th in rushing yards per game and 25th in explosive run rate allowed. The Panthers have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. Drake should flirt with 20 carries in a game where Baltimore is a heavy favorite. Drake is a strong RB2. 

Wide Receivers

D.J. Moore: After bouncing back in Weeks 7-8 with 10.5 targets, 6.5 receptions, and 110.5 receiving yards per game, Moore has returned to the doldrums. Over the last two games, he’s averaged six targets, three receptions, and 26.5 receiving yards as his quarterback play has been atrocious, and the team has attempted to grind out wins. Moore has a 27.9% Target share (12th) and 44.1% air yard share (second), as he’s proven that he is not the problem. He’s seventh in deep targets. The quarterback play is. If the matchup is right and he can get catchable targets, Moore can produce weekly with the best wide receivers in the league. Unfortunately, Mayfield’s pop gun arm and the Ravens’ secondary don’t look friendly this week. The hope for Moore is the team falls behind early, and the Panthers are forced to throw. Moore is a WR3 that will run about 60% of his routes against Marlon Humphrey (69.2% catch rate, 67.4 passer rating) and Marcus Peters (65.9% catch rate, 110.2 passer rating).

Terrace Marshall: Carolina’s rollercoaster quarterback play is perfectly illustrated in Marshall’s fantasy finishes since Week 7. Over the last four weeks, he’s been the WR69, WR29, WR19, and WR69. Since Week 7, Marshall has had a 19.6% Target share (2.3 yards per route run) with a 41.7% end zone Target share and 27.6% air yard share. Marshall has three red zone targets over his last three games. Marshall is a WR4/5 that will run about 93% of his routes against Humphrey and Peters.

Devin Duvernay: In the three games without Rashod Bateman, Duvernay has a 16.2% Target share (4.3 targets per game), averaging 24.3 receiving yards. He’s finished as the WR26, WR78, and WR84. Which one of these weeks looks like the outlier? Duvernay is a replacement-level talent that isn’t a target earner. He’s too volatile to trust this late in the season on a low-volume passing offense. Sit Duvernay.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews: Andrews was limited in practice on Wednesday and Thursday but upgraded to full on Friday. Andrews is the TE2 in fantasy points per game with a 29.9% Target share (first) and 33.6% air yard share (first). He’s top-five in deep targets and red zone targets. If Andrews is active, you play him. Carolina is 24th in DVOA, giving up the 12th-highest catch rate to tight ends.

Isaiah Likely: Likely is a TE2. In Weeks 1-8, with Andrews on the field, he has a 13% Target share (3.6 targets per game). Likely is 26th in PFF receiving grade and 20th in yards per route run (minimum ten targets). Likely has three deep targets and five red zone looks this season.

CHI vs. ATL | CLE vs. BUF | PHI vs. IND | NYJ vs. NE | LAR vs. NO | DET vs. NYG | CAR vs. BAL | WAS vs. HOU | LV vs. DEN | DAL vs. MIN | CIN vs. PIT | KC vs. LAC | SF vs. ARI | TEN vs. GB

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