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The Primer: Week 9 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

The Primer: Week 9 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders

Seahawks Players & Weekly Rankings

Commanders Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Sam Darnold (QB)

Sam Darnold might be the QB20 in fantasy points per game, but he has been a QB1 in weekly scoring in three of his last five games (QB10, QB2, QB9). The problem for Darnold hasn’t been his play, but the passing volume of the Seattle offense. He ranks 26th in dropbacks this season despite ranking second in yards per attempt, tenth in passing yards per game, second in hero throw rate, and ninth in fantasy points per dropback. Darnold could be a QB1 again this week. Since Week 4, Washington has allowed the second-most yards per attempt, the tenth-highest success rate per dropback, the third-most passing touchdowns (tied), and the sixth-most passing yards per game.

Deebo Samuel (WR)

Deebo Samuel is the WR20 in fantasy points per game, leading the Commanders with six red zone targets and deep targets. Samuel has a 24.3% target share with 46.6 receiving yards per game (1.70 yards per route run) and a 28% first-read share. He and Zach Ertz should lead the way for Washington’s passing attack this week. Seattle has the second-highest two high rate (62%). Against two high, Samuel is second on the team with a 29% target per route run rate with 2.07 yards per route run and a 27.1% first-read share (second on the team to only Ertz). Since Week 4, Seattle has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points per game and the seventh-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.

AJ Barner (TE)

Since Week 4, AJ Barner has been the TE9 in fantasy points per game with a 12.6% target share, averaging 40.8 receiving yards per game (2.12 yards per route run) with a 12% first-read share. In these four games, he has four red zone targets (three scores) and a deep target. Barner is a solid streamer this week as Washington has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Zach Ertz (TE)

Zach Ertz is the TE15 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 outings this season. Ertz and Deebo Samuel should lead the way for Washington this week against Seattle’s two-high coverage. Ertz has three red zone targets and two scores in his last five games. Seattle has the second-highest two high rate (62%). Against two high, Ertz is second on the team with a 24.7% target share with 2.03 yards per route run and a 34.7% first-read share (leads the team). Seattle has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game and the fourth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Kenneth Walker III (RB)

Since Week 4, Kenneth Walker has been the RB42 in fantasy points per game. The lack of a red zone role and touchdowns is crushing him. Since Week 4, he has averaged 14.8 touches and 74.8 total yards with a 43.1% snap rate, a 28.1% route share, and a 3.4% target share. He has only eight of 23 red zone running back rushing attempts in that span and zero touchdowns. Walker is fourth in explosive run rate and seventh in missed tackle rate, and it hasn’t mattered because Seattle has utilized him as the back in between the 20s. Walker will have to rip a long run to get in the end zone, but that could happen this week. Since Week 4, Washington has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the eighth-highest success rate, and the third-highest yards after contact per attempt.

Zach Charbonnet (RB)

Since Week 4, Zach Charbonnet has been the RB25 in fantasy points per game, which has been driven by four touchdowns in that span. During that stretch, he has averaged 12.8 touches and 46 total yards with 15 of 23 red zone running back rushing attempts. Since Week 4, he has had a 53.1% snap rate, a 43% route share, and a 5.9% target share. Charbonnet has a 14% missed tackle rate and 2.15 yards after contact per attempt. He is a borderline RB2 and, at the very least, a strong flex play with his red zone role. Since Week 4, Washington has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the eighth-highest success rate, and the third-highest yards after contact per attempt.

Cooper Kupp (WR)

Cooper Kupp is the WR55 in fantasy points per game with three top-36 weekly finishes (WR21, WR32, WR24). He has three red zone targets and a score in his last five games. Kupp has only a 15.8% target share with 41.9 receiving yards per game (1.79 yards per route run) and a 19.3% first-read share. Kupp is a strong flex play this week against a secondary that, since Week 4, has allowed the third-most PPR points per target and the most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. Kupp has been listed as questionable (heel, hamstring). He was limited in practice on Thursday and didn’t practice on Friday after sustaining a hamstring injury in practice this week.

Tory Horton (WR)

If Cooper Kupp misses this week’s game, Tory Horton becomes a strong flex play. Seattle will already be shorthanded at receiver with Jake Bobo and Dareke Young out this week. Horton has two top-36 wide receiver finishes already this season (WR14, WR27) despite having a 50.7% route share. When he has been on the field, he has had a 17% target per route run rate and 1.07 yards per route run. Horton has three red zone targets and five deep targets this season. Since Week 4, Washington has allowed the 12th-highest passer rating when targeted to perimeter wide receivers while ranking 16th in PPR points per target.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB)

Since Week 5, Bill has been the RB32 in fantasy points per game as negative game scripts have crushed him. He has averaged 14.3 touches and 68.8 total yards playing 56.3% of the snaps with a 33.8% route share and only a 4.4% target share. Washington’s regression as a team, especially with their defense, has hurt him a ton. Among 60 qualifying backs, he has still been efficient with his work overall, ranking 12th in explosive run rate and 11th in yards after contact per attempt. It will be another long day for Bill this week against Seattle’s elite run defense. Since Week 4, Seattle has limited the opposition to the fewest rushing yards per game and yards after contact per attempt, the seventh-lowest explosive run rate, and the fourth-lowest success rate.

BAL vs. MIA | CAR vs. GB | MIN vs. DET | CHI vs. CIN | DEN vs. HOU | SF vs. NYG | IND vs. PIT | LAC vs. TEN | ATL vs. NE | JAC vs. LV | NO vs. LAR | KC vs. BUF | SEA vs. WAS | ARI vs. DAL

Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys

Cardinals Players & Weekly Rankings

Cowboys Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Jacoby Brissett (QB)

Jacoby Brissett will get another start for Arizona this week. He has been a QB1 for fantasy in both of his starts this season (QB7, QB12). Among 45 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 13th in yards per attempt, 33rd in highly accurate throw rate, third in hero throw rate, and 25th in fantasy points per dropback. I’m surprised by some of those metrics and his back-to-back QB finishes. He has a pristine matchup this week to keep the QB1 train rolling in Week 9. Since Week 4, Dallas has allowed the 13th-highest yards per attempt, the 11th-most passing yards per game, the highest CPOE, and the most passing touchdowns.

Zonovan Knight (RB)

Zonovan Knight should lead the backfield this week, especially on early downs, but it could turn into a mess considering the news that dropped Saturday. Arizona could still use a rotation of backs this week. In his last two games, he has averaged 47.7% of the snaps with 14.5 touches and 59 total yards. Knight has not been efficient with his work, with zero explosive runs, a 7% missed tackle rate, and only 1.31 yards after contact per attempt. That might not matter in Week 9. That’s how bad the Dallas run defense has been. The best trick the Green Bay Packers ever pulled was convincing Jerry Jones that Kenny Clark would solve their run defense problems. Dallas has allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game, the second-highest explosive run rate, the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and they have the lowest stuff rate. Knight should flirt with low-end RB2 production this week with a strong flex floor.

Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR)

Marvin Harrison Jr. has had a disappointing sophomore season to this point as the WR41 in fantasy points per game. He has a 16.5% target share with a 33.5% air-yard share, 56.6 receiving yards per game (1.78 yards per route run), and an 18.6% first-read share. He has four red zone targets and leads the team with 11 deep targets. Harrison will face a secondary that, across the last two games, has utilized man coverage at the second-highest rate (42%) and single high at the third-highest rate (71%). Against man, Harrison Jr. leads the team with a 24% target per route run rate and has 1.39 yards per route run. Against single high, he is second on the team with a 19% target per route run rate while leading the squad with 2.33 yards per route run. Harrison Jr.’s downfield role will come in handy this week against a secondary that, since Week 4, has allowed the ninth-most deep passing yards per game and the third-highest deep passer rating. Harrison Jr. should eat this week. Since Week 4, Dallas has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

N/A

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

N/A

BAL vs. MIA | CAR vs. GB | MIN vs. DET | CHI vs. CIN | DEN vs. HOU | SF vs. NYG | IND vs. PIT | LAC vs. TEN | ATL vs. NE | JAC vs. LV | NO vs. LAR | KC vs. BUF | SEA vs. WAS | ARI vs. DAL

Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins

  • BAL -7.5, O/U 51
  • Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Ravens Players & Weekly Rankings

Lamar Jackson QB QB1
Derrick Henry RB RB1
Justice Hill RB RB4
Zay Flowers WR WR2
Rashod Bateman WR WR4
DeAndre Hopkins WR WR5
Mark Andrews TE TE1/2
Isaiah Likely TE TE2/3

Dolphins Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Tua Tagovailoa (QB)

Tua Tagovailoa is the QB27 in fantasy points per game and has two QB1 outings this season (QB9, QB8). It has been a tough season for Tagovailoa, but he is coming off arguably his best game of the season. Among 45 qualifying passers, he ranks 30th in yards per attempt, 29th in passing yards per game, 19th in catchable target rate, and 25th in fantasy points per dropback. Tagovailoa could easily have another strong game this week against a Baltimore secondary that, since Week 4, has allowed the seventh-most yards per attempt, the fourth-highest CPOE and passer rating, and the third-highest success rate per dropback. Another huge factor for Tagovailoa is that since Week 4, Baltimore has the second-lowest pressure rate, so Tagovailoa should see plenty of clean pockets this week.

Jaylen Waddle (WR)

Since Week 5, Jaylen Waddle has been the WR16 in fantasy points per game with three red zone targets and five deep targets. Across the last four games, Waddle has had a 21.3% target share, 79.8 receiving yards per game (3.16 yards per route run), and a 28.7% first-read share. This week, he’ll face a Baltimore secondary that has the fourth-highest single high rate (61.4%). Since Week 5, against single high, Waddle has had a 25.7% target share with 3.59 yards per route run and a 36.7% first-read share. Waddle should smash against a secondary that, since Week 4, has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Malik Washington (WR)

Since Week 5, Washington has had a 17.3% target share with 22 receiving yards per game (1.04 yards per route run), and an 18.4% first-read share. In those four games, he has had six red zone targets and one deep target. He’s essentially transitioned into Jaylen Waddle‘s old role (4.0 aDOT). This week, he’ll face a Baltimore secondary that has the fourth-highest single high rate (61.4%). Since Week 5, against single high, Washington has had a 15.7% target share with 1.00 yards per route run and a 16.3% first-read share. These aren’t sparkling numbers for Washington, but he is still flex-worthy this week against a secondary that, since Week 4, has allowed the second-most PPR points per target to slot receivers (since Week 5, Washington has a 51.8% slot rate).

Mark Andrews (TE)

Outside of his Week 3 blow-up game, Mark Andrews has eclipsed 6.6 PPR points only once. Excluding the blowup performance, Andrews has had a 63% route share, a 15.3% target share, 19.5 receiving yards per game (1.03 yards per route run), and a 19% first-read share. In those six games, he has only three red zone targets and zero deep targets. Andrews could bounce back this week, but the farther we get away from his Week 3 boxscore it feels less and less likely to happen. Miami has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game to tight ends while ranking 14th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Zay Flowers (WR)

Zay Flowers has been having a strong season and should get a sizable boost this week from Lamar Jackson returning to the huddle. Flowers is the WR24 in fantasy points per game, ranking second on the team in red zone targets and leading the way with eight deep targets. Flowers has a 29.2% target share with a 34.6% air-yard share with 2.41 yards per route run and a 34.2% first-read share. The Miami secondary has been playing much better recently. Since Week 4, they have limited perimeter wide receivers to the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest PPR points per target. Flowers should still see plenty of volume, but I don’t think this is a blow-up spot.

BAL vs. MIA | CAR vs. GB | MIN vs. DET | CHI vs. CIN | DEN vs. HOU | SF vs. NYG | IND vs. PIT | LAC vs. TEN | ATL vs. NE | JAC vs. LV | NO vs. LAR | KC vs. BUF | SEA vs. WAS | ARI vs. DAL

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*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, PFF, FTN, rbsdm.com, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*


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