Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rizzo or Cody Bellinger (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
53 of 56 experts
5%
Recommended by
3 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 30
Best Rank# 17# 16
Worst Rank# 34# 49
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 34# 39
Best Rank# 29# 38
Worst Rank# 37# 50
   
Projections 
   
Runs8888
Home Runs2932
RBI10095
Stolen Bases712
Batting Average.281.262
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 21# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 48
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 23# 25
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 29# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 24# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 33
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 49
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 26
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 30
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 32
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 22# 32
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 34
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 19# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 40
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 27# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 34# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 23# 26
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 30
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 27
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 22# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 22# 33
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 33
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 31
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 23# 31
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 17# 32
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 32
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 23# 28
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 26# 33
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 27
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 39
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 29
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 23# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 25# 28
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 19# 31
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 22# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 16
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 24
   
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats566557
   
Runs7484
   
Hits160145
   
Singles10585
   
Doubles2928
   
Triples17
   
Home Runs2525
   
RBI10176
   
Stolen Bases614
   
Caught Stealing41
   
Walks7069
   
Strikeouts80151
   
Batting Average.283.260
   
On Base Pct.376.343
   
Slugging Pct.470.470
   
On-base Plus Slugging.846.814
   
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats557548
   
Runs8888
   
Hits157143
   
Singles9379
   
Doubles3228
   
Triples25
   
Home Runs2932
   
RBI10095
   
Stolen Bases712
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks7569
   
Strikeouts87149
   
Batting Average.281.262
   
On Base Pct.367.345
   
Slugging Pct.501.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.867.851
   
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
News 
 Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in the Cubs' 5-3 loss to the Dodgers on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 15th
Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base as the Dodgers fell to the Cubs 2-1 on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Anthony Rizzo went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Rockies on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th
Cody Bellinger went 3-for-4 with two homers, two RBI, and two runs scored in Thursday's 7-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-2 with a single and two walks in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a single in Monday's 5-3 loss to the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
 Anthony Rizzo went 2-for-3 with a solo home run in the Cubs' 7-4 loss to the Cardinals on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Cody Bellinger extended his hit streak to 12 games as the Dodgers fell to Arizona in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Anthony Rizzo went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Astros on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, May 27th
Cody Bellinger went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Dodgers' 4-3 win over the Phillies on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 Rizzo took a major step backwards in the first half last year, but his final line of 25 homers, 101 RBIs and a .283 batting average ended up being about as good as his average season. We were drafting him in the 3rd round last year so don't hesitate to scoop him up for a discount this season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Rizzo's streak of four consecutive 30-HR seasons came to an end in 2018, but he's still working on a streak of four straight 100-RBI seasons, and his batted ball profile suggests he's still the same player he's always been. He's an asset in all five standard rotisserie categories, and has finished as a top-five fantasy first baseman in four of the last five seasons (he was eighth in 2016). With that level of high-end production and consistency, Rizzo belongs in the same breath as Freddie Freeman and Paul Goldschmidt as the top options at an increasingly-scarce position.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 For the first time since 2014, Rizzo fell short of 30 homers (25) and a .500 slugging percentage (.470). An atrocious April in which he batted .149 with one extra-base hit is entirely to blame. He hit his fewest fly balls (37.3%) since 2012, but the accompanying career bests in contact (85.1%), strikeout (12.0%) and line-drive (24.7%) rate did not show fully in his .283 average. Either he sustains these profile changes and inches closer to batting .300, or he regains enough of his power stroke to leap back to 30 long balls. Or both. Either way, Rizzo, who batted .303/.393/.512 after an atrocious April, is a sturdy foundational piece worth grabbing in the third or fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros