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2021 Fantasy Baseball Rankings (NL)

Expert Consensus Ranking (56 of 57 Experts) -

Rank Player (Team, Position) Notes
1 Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL - LF,CF,RF) 1.0
Acuna missed some time last year and batted a mere .250. And thus ends the negative things you can say about him. He walked at an absurd 18.8% clip, which led him to a .406 OBP despite the poor average. He was one of the league leaders in quality of contact, wOBA, and xWOBA, and we now know after the last two years that he will run often on the bases so long as he continues to bat leadoff, which he should. In other words, from a fantasy perspective, Acuna is an absolute monster. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old.
2 Mookie Betts (LAD - 2B,CF,RF) 3.0 +1.0
Betts's first year with the Dodgers was basically exactly what fantasy managers expected - that is to say it was pretty much in line with what he did with the Red Sox. If you want to quibble, his walk rate dropped a few percentage points and he struck out at a career-worst 15.4% clip. But at this point, there are few safer players than Betts - you know he'll give you strong production in all five categories and he bats atop one of the best lineups in all of baseball. Betts should be a top-three pick and there's every reason to consider him number one overall. The downside is borderline non-existent.
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD - CF,RF,SS) 2.0 -1.0
Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
4 Juan Soto (WSH - LF,RF) 4.0
There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
5 Jacob deGrom (NYM - SP) 5.0
deGrom barely missed out on winning his third straight Cy Young Award last year, but it was yet another dominant season. For the third straight year, he came in with a WHIP under 1.00, an ERA under 2.50, and a strikeout percentage above 31%. deGrom is getting up there in age, but it's worth remembering that he has fewer miles on his arm than most pitcher entering their age-33 season, given that he didn't transition to pitching until late in his college career and missed significant time with injuries during his time in the minors. deGrom has shown no decline in his game, and should hopefully (finally) begin to pile on more wins this year pitching for a better team in front of an improved bullpen. He should be the first or second starting pitcher taken and is an obvious first-round pick.
6 Trea Turner (LAD - 2B,SS) 6.0
Turner was the best version of himself in 2020, slashing his strikeout rate to below 14% and setting career bests in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, wOBA, and wRC+. Above all, Turner locks down two incredibly scarce categories for fantasy managers, stolen bases and batting average, while offering production in the other three hitting categories. Still just entering his age-28 season, Turner is in the prime of his career, and should continue to put up stellar numbers. He's a top-eight pick in rotisserie leagues.
7 Christian Yelich (MIL - LF,RF) 7.0
Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
8 Bryce Harper (PHI - RF,DH) 12.0 +4.0
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
9 Cody Bellinger (LAD - 1B,CF,RF) 9.0
Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
10 Francisco Lindor (NYM - SS) 10.0
Lindor's season wasn't particularly impressive, as his surface numbers regressed fairly significantly from his previous three seasons. But, under the hood, not much changed. His walk rate and strikeout rate were largely steady, and his statcast data remained on par with his career marks. He also got much better to close the year, batting .285 with a 122 wRC+ over his final 39 games. Just 27 years old and now with a stronger lineup with the Mets, Lindor should put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 levels, especially since he'll be playing for a new contract after this season. He'll come at a bit of a discount in the second round this year, and he's well worth your investment at that price.
11 Manny Machado (SD - 3B,SS) 13.0 +2.0
Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
12 Yu Darvish (SD - SP) 11.0 -1.0
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
13 Trevor Bauer (LAD - SP) 8.0 -5.0
Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
14 Walker Buehler (LAD - SP) 14.0
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
15 Aaron Nola (PHI - SP) 15.0
Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
16 Max Scherzer (NYM - SP) 16.0
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
17 Ozzie Albies (ATL - 2B) 20.0 +3.0
A wrist injury limited Albies to just 29 games last season, and affected his performance early in the year before he went on the IL. In other words, there's little reason to draw conclusions from anything he did last year, including his drop in walk rate and increase in strikeout rate. Albies had established a rough 24-15 baseline from 2018-2019, and at 24 years old, there's no reason to expect that floor to decrease. With his power and speed combination, and his locked in strong RBI and runs scored numbers batting near the top of the Braves' lineup, Albies should be either the first second baseman drafted or the second behind DJ LeMahieu, depending on how you want to build your team.
18 Jack Flaherty (STL - SP) 18.0
Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
19 Luis Castillo (CIN - SP) 17.0 -2.0
Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
20 Marcell Ozuna (ATL - LF,DH) 22.0 +2.0
Ozuna had a career year with the Braves last year, slashing .338/.431/.636, a career best in each category. His 18 home runs and 56 RBI led the National League, while his barrel rate, average exit velocity, and hard hit rate were all among the best in baseball. Given that he had shoulder surgery before the 2018 season, it's fair to assume that he needed two full years to recover. And although perhaps we can't expect him to again lead the league in power categories, you should expect roughly a 35-homer, 100-RBI season with a plus batting average. That makes him capable of being your first outfielder in mixed leagues and an asset to any fantasy team.
21 Brandon Woodruff (MIL - SP) 21.0
There were some skeptics after Woodruff succeeded in 2019 based largely on one pitch - his devastating fastball - but he put those concerns to rest in 2020. His ERA (3.05) and WHIP (0.99) were incredibly strong, particularly when you consider that he struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Woodruff's fastball hits rests at 96 MPH and is one of the better pitches in baseball, but his slider and changeup both made strides last year. The Brewers are reportedly planning to add about 100 innings to their starter's workloads last season, so pencil Woodruff in for roughly 175 extremely strong frames. You can survive with him as your fantasy ace, though he's best as an incredibly strong number 2.
22 Starling Marte (NYM - CF) 26.0 +4.0
Marte's getting a little old for a player to rely on for stolen bases, and although fantasy managers need to start lowering their expectations as he enters his age-32 season, there should be enough left in the tank for him to be productive. He ranked in the top 11% in sprint speed last year and was caught stealing just twice in 10 attempts. The quality of his contact declined fairly significantly, however, and considering he now plays in Miami, anything more than 15 home runs should be considered gravy. But he'll likely continue to chip in for all five rotisserie categories and be an asset in both stolen bases and batting average, two difficult categories to fill. Again, temper expectations a bit against his historical production, but fantasy managers can still draft him with confidence.
23 Nolan Arenado (STL - 3B) 19.0 -4.0
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
24 Blake Snell (SD - SP) 23.0 -1.0
Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
25 Pete Alonso (NYM - 1B,DH) 24.0 -1.0
Alonso didn't quite follow up his incredible 2019 season last year, but he certainly wasn't terrible. The vast majority of his underlying statcast data and metrics looked similar, and he mostly just didn't make quite as consistently hard contact as he did the previous year. Alonso is never going to help you in batting average, but you should expect 40 home runs and 100 RBI this year and for the foreseeable future. With such a high floor, Alonso makes a more than adequate starting first baseman in mixed leagues.
26 J.T. Realmuto (PHI - 1B,C) 25.0 -1.0
Realmuto fractured the thumb on his throwing hand in mid-February, and is iffy for Opening Day. He is in a tier to himself among catchers when healthy, putting up consistently excellent numbers in what is the thinnest of positions. He had the highest barrel rate and hard hit percentage of his career in 2020, and also walked at a career-best pace. Realmuto is in his age-30 season, so that's getting near the point where catchers begin to decline. But given that he's shown no real slippage in his skills to this point, his numbers shouldn't fall off much in 2021, assuming he has no setbacks and returns on or around Opening Day. Back with Philadelphia now and for several years after signing a five-year contract, Realmuto is the only catcher worth drafting before the sixth or seventh round.
27 Eugenio Suarez (CIN - 3B,SS) 30.0 +3.0
Suarez's power numbers were again strong in last year's shortened season, but his batting average plummeted to just .202. He hit the ball as hard as ever, however, and ranked in the top 9% of the league in average exit velocity. Suarez's BABIP was just .214 (he has a .310 mark), and although he hit more fly balls than usual, there's nothing to suggest that his batting average should have fallen off a cliff. In other words, there's plenty of reason to expect Suarez to hit closer to his .261 career batting average this year. Add to that his potential for 40 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI, and he'll likely be a value in this year's draft.
28 Josh Hader (MIL - RP) 27.0 -1.0
Hader wasn't quite as dominant as he had been the previous two years, largely due to a spike in walk rate and the slightest of declines in strikeout rate. But he still tallied 13 saves, third-best in baseball, and had a miniscule 0.95 WHIP. If you parse it closely, it was just a bizarre season for Hader, who didn't give up a run through his first nine appearances, but subsequently allowed four runs in an inning. He walked five batters in a game, but didn't allow a single walk in any game after that, a span of 11 appearances. In other words, there seems to be a lot of noise in Hader's "decline," which likely would have been ironed out over the course of a full season. Draft him as the top closer off the board with few concerns.
29 Paul Goldschmidt (STL - 1B) 33.0 +4.0
Goldschmidt had an interesting 2020 season, during which he brought his batting average back up to .304 and his walk rate to 16%, while simultaneously dropping his strikeout rate to a career best 18.6%. After swinging more than he ever had in his first season with the Cardinals, Goldschmidt returned to the patient approach he had developed throughout his career, swinging at just 40.5% of pitches (after a 46.4% swinging strike rate the year before). But while his average went up, his power waned, as he hit just six home runs and had a career-worst .466 slugging percentage. Nolan Arenado batting behind him this year should help, and he had bone chips removed from his elbow this offseason. There could be another big-time power season left in Goldschmidt's bat, but the more likely scenario is that he will put up solid but unspectacular production at the first base position.
30 Corbin Burnes (MIL - SP,RP) 28.0 -2.0
Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
31 Ketel Marte (ARI - 2B,SS,CF) 32.0 +1.0
Most fantasy managers expected regression from Marte after his breakout 2019 season, but few saw last year coming. Marte hit two homeruns in his 45 games, and contributed minimally elsewhere other than batting average. His walk rate dropped to a miniscule 3.6%, and although he struck out less than ever, the quality of his contact was overwhelmingly poor. Truth be told, both 2019 and 2020 are probably outliers for Marte, and the truth probably lies somewhere between his 2018 (.260/.332/.437) and 2019 (.329/.389/.592) seasons. Those numbers will play at second base, especially given Marte's draft cost, but give up dreams of him hitting 32 home runs ever again.
32 Keston Hiura (MIL - 1B,2B,DH) 34.0 +2.0
Hiura looked to be on the verge of superstardom heading into 2020, if he could just cut back on his bloated 30.7% strikeout rate. Instead, he struck out more than ever (34.6% of the time), en route to a league-leading 85 strikeouts. That led to a massive drop in production, notably in batting average, which fell from .303 in 2019 to .212 last year. Hiura was never a high-strikeout player in the minors. He never struck out more than 26.3% in any level and he had an overall strikeout rate of just 21%. If he can manage to cut down on the whiffs, he should be a top option at second base given his power and speed, but for now, drop him down your draft board a bit from where he was heading into 2020. He's still a borderline top-five option, especially since he will add first base eligibility after the Brewers signed Kolten Wong, but exercise more caution.
33 Charlie Blackmon (COL - RF) 35.0 +2.0
Blackmon hit just six home runs last year, and the quality of his contact was downright awful. His 86.9 MPH average exit velocity, 29.7% hard hit rate, and 4.9% barrel rate were all well below the MLB average and at or close to his career worst marks. And his sprint speed continued to decline to now what is essentially league average. The steals are likely gone for good, but even on his worst day, Blackmon will help you in batting average, runs, and RBI, and he was still on pace for 15 home runs last year. Blackmon may be on the downside of his career, but he won't cost you much and can still contribute solid or better numbers in four of five categories. With his draft price fairly modest, there's plenty of value there.
34 Stephen Strasburg (WSH - SP) 29.0 -5.0
Strasburg was limited to just five innings in 2020, with an injury that eventually required carpal tunnel syndrome. Although that's a minor surgery, the truth is that fantasy managers have very little data as to the impact and/or successful recovery rate after that surgery for pitchers. Strasburg's a tricky draft pick in any given year - he always provides strong value when he's on the mound, but has only topped 200 innings pitched twice in his career. Now entering his age-33 season, Strasburg will likely again provide excellent overall numbers assuming he is healthy. He looks great in the spring, though he's currently battling a minor calf injury, though it shouldn't keep him out for long. Draft him as an SP2, but anything more than 160 innings is gravy.
35 Kyle Hendricks (CHC - SP) 36.0 +1.0
Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
36 Trent Grisham (SD - LF,CF,RF) 37.0 +1.0
Grisham had an excellent debut season with San Diego, reaching double digits in both home runs and steals in his 59 games. He improved on his already strong walk rate from 2019, and improved his quality of contact significantly. Whether or not you buy the bat, we know he has plenty of speed to do damage on the basepaths, as he ranks in the 96th percentile in sprint speed. Slated to lead off again for a strong Padres lineup, Grisham should provide plenty of runs scored to go along with his potential for a 20-20 season. Monitor his hamstring strain he suffered in the spring, but unless he looks like he'll miss significant time, draft him with confidence.
37 Edwin Diaz (NYM - RP) 38.0 +1.0
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
38 Max Fried (ATL - SP) 31.0 -7.0
In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
39 Sonny Gray (CIN - SP) 42.0 +3.0
Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
40 Zack Wheeler (PHI - SP) 40.0
Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
41 Jeff McNeil (NYM - 2B,3B,LF,RF) 45.0 +4.0
Much of McNeil's 2020 season looked similar to his year in 2019. He hit over .300, rarely struck out, and got on base plenty. But the power gains that we saw in 2019 vanished, as he hit just four home runs over 52 games. His barrel rate (2.5%) and hard-hit percentage (26.5%) were some of the worst in the league, and he didn't even offer the token stolen base that he had chipped in during previous seasons. This is a scenario where McNeil's value to any particular fantasy manager will depend on the weight he or she gives to the shortened 2020 season. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. With his strong average and multi-position eligibility, that makes McNeil an asset in the middle rounds.
42 Max Muncy (LAD - 1B,2B,3B) 43.0 +1.0
Muncy's batting average dropped to a ridiculously low .192 last year, and there were two culprits. The first is that his line drive rate plummeted from 23.5% to just 13.8%, leading to far more ground balls. The second was that he simply didn't hit the ball as hard. His hard hit rate and average exit velocity fell, and his HR/FB rate dropped seven points. Muncy dealt with finger and elbow injuries, so those may account for his poor season, but even then he was on pace to reach the 30-homer plateau for a third straight year. Muncy has position eligibility galore, and at the weak second base position, so continue to draft him in the middle rounds as a cheap source of power who adds value thanks to his ability to play all around the infield for your fantasy team.
43 Charlie Morton (ATL - SP) 50.0 +7.0
Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
44 Dansby Swanson (ATL - SS) 48.0 +4.0
Swanson's four-year trend in OPS is .636, .699, .748, and finally .809 last season. There's little to dislike about his profile at this stage in his career. He makes consistently good contact, has improved his launch angle enough to where that contact translates into home runs, and his walk and strikeout rates are strong enough so that his batting average should remain a benefit to fantasy managers. He also ranked in the 90th percentile in sprint speed last season, so he should reach double digits in stolen bases this year, as he had done in the two years prior to 2020's shortened season. In short, Swanson's skill level and output should no longer be in doubt, and he makes a strong starting option at the shortstop position.
45 Jesus Luzardo (MIA - SP,RP) 47.0 +2.0
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
46 Alec Bohm (PHI - 1B,3B) 51.0 +5.0
Bohm's major league debut was a success, in that he batted a robust .338 with an .881 OPS. But despite hitting the ball hard consistently (his 10.3% barrel rate and 46.8% hard hit percentage was well above the major league average), he hit just four home runs, and his xBA was just .286. The problem is he simply pounded the ball into the ground, putting up a 53.2% ground ball rate and just 4.8 degrees of launch angle. Bohm never showed a ton of power in the minors, but he's just entering his age-25 season, so there's always room for growth. But for redraft leagues, buy him as a high-average bat with unexceptional power.
47 Chris Paddack (SD - SP) 44.0 -3.0
Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
48 Mike Moustakas (CIN - 1B,2B,3B) 53.0 +5.0
Because Moustakas was a hitter who played for the Reds, he had a poor 2020 season (seriously, look at their collective numbers). He walked more, struck out more, and lost some points on his batting average, but overall, there was little different in Moustakas's profile. He continued to hit for power and make quality contact. He may not score many runs given his lack of speed and surrounding cast, and the batting average isn't going to help you. But he's got plenty of power for a second-base eligible player, and there's no sign that his production is ready to fall off a cliff.
49 Wil Myers (SD - 1B,LF,CF,RF) 57.0 +8.0
Myers talked openly about making a swing change last year, and it paid off in a big way. He raised his average by nearly 50 points over the previous year while cutting his strikeout rate, and ranked in the top seven percent in barrel rate. Myers didn't run as much as previous years in the shortened season, but he still ranked in the top 85% of the league in sprint speed. His average will likely come down to closer to its career .254 mark. But he has earned a bit of a leash at least with his strong 2020 campaign, and should be a fine power-speed combination who will put up solid overall counting numbers.
50 Ian Anderson (ATL - SP) 41.0 -9.0
After rising through the minor leagues, Anderson had an excellent debut season with the Braves in 2020, pitching to a 1.95 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with a 29.7% strikeout rate. He was even better in four postseason starts, allowing just two runs over 18 2/3 innings while striking out 24. Anderson led all starters in barrel rate (just 1.2%), and has an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. His control isn't elite, but his raw stuff and prospect pedigree suggest that his 2020 season was no fluke. Draft him with confidence as a No. 2 starter.
51 Dinelson Lamet (SD - RP,SP) 49.0 -2.0
Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
52 Mike Yastrzemski (SF - LF,CF,RF) 52.0
Yastrzemski followed up his impressive 2019 season with an even better one last year, during which he slashed .297/.400/.568. His breakout has come extremely late - he'll be 31 years old by the end of the season - but he makes fairly solid contact and walks a ton. He's not going to hit .297 again - his xBA was just .254 and he had a .370 BABIP. But with the changes in Oracle Park leading to more power, he should be in line for at least a 20-homer season with decent counting stats. That's not sexy, but it's someone you can plug in as your fourth or fifth outfielder.
53 Joe Musgrove (SD - SP) 60.0 +7.0
Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
54 Zac Gallen (ARI - SP) 39.0 -15.0
Gallen has a hairline stress fracture of his right forearm at the radial head. He's reportedly going to be able to continue playing catch at a "low stress level" while recovering, though there's no indication of how much time he'll miss. When healthy, he's a solid SP2. He built on his excellent 2019 season with an even more impressive 2020 campaign. Not only did he drop his ERA slightly to 2.75, but he cut way down on his walks (10.8% to 8.6%), which led to a much-improved 1.11 WHIP. Gallen has a 28.5% strikeout rate in 152 MLB innings, and an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. There's just not much negative you can say about him when he's healthy other than he might again struggle for wins playing for a mediocre team in a good division. Because of the injury and surrounding uncertainty, you shouldn't draft him as anything higher than an SP4, but he should perform extremely well when he does recover.
55 Josh Bell (WSH - 1B,DH,LF) 63.0 +8.0
Bell looked like a superstar in the making in the first half of 2019, but struggled for much of the second half of the season and then fell off a cliff in 2020. He slashed a mere .226/.305/.364 and hit only eight home runs. His strikeout and ground ball rates took massive jumps, while his walk rate and launch angle plummeted. Bell blamed his struggles on his swing getting long, and you could tell by how often he changed his stance and swing last year that he simply could not figure things out. Now with the Nationals, the 29-year-old Bell will have a chance to revive his career. We've seen the upside, so he's certainly worth drafting at a discount, but he's much more of a borderline corner infielder than a starting-caliber first baseman.
56 Rhys Hoskins (PHI - 1B) 66.0 +10.0
Hoskins' stock was down heading into the 2020 season, after he batted just .229 and continued his three-year trend of declining in almost every noticeable category. But he was slashing .241/.381/.485 before he was hit by a pitch on his hand and struggled to finish the year. Last year, Hoskins slashed .245/.384/.503 and was on a 40-homer, 100-RBI pace, similar numbers to those he put up prior to his 2019 injury. Unfortunately, an elbow injury ended Hoskins' 2020 season early, and he had surgery in early October with a 4-6 month recovery timeframe. Everything looks good for Hoskins as of now, and assuming he has no setbacks as spring training ramps up, he should make a fine starting first baseman in mixed leagues.
57 Dominic Smith (NYM - 1B,LF) 58.0 +1.0
Smith showed he had the bat to hit in the majors in 2019, but he took an extra step forward in last year's shortened season. His .316/.377/.616 slash line effectively forced the Mets to find a way to get his bat into the lineup, even if his defense tried to prevent it. His Statcast data was excellent, as he put up a barrel percentage of 13.3% and a hard hit percentage of 46.7%, all with a .405 wOBA, which was in the top four percent of the league. The issue for Smith is his fielding and with the National League surprisingly not adopting the designated hitter, that means he'll need to play out in left field most days. Although the Mets can surely live with the tradeoff, Smith will likely lose plenty of at-bats late in games as he gets switched out for defensive purposes. He'll still have plenty of value, but without the DH, be cautious with your projections for his counting stats.
58 Patrick Corbin (WSH - SP) 59.0 +1.0
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
59 Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT - 3B) 62.0 +3.0
Hayes had an outstanding 24-game run with the Pirates last year, hitting five home runs with an 1.124 OPS and a 55.4% hard-hit rate, which would have ranked seventh best in the majors had he had enough plate appearances. But that was far more offensve production than he had shown in the minors, where he totaled just a .752 OPS with 25 home runs in 461 career games. Hayes makes a ton of contact and should bat near the top of the Pirates order this year, so even if he regresses some offensively, he should still find enough counting stats to be useful. But don't expect 2020's power levels.
60 Pablo Lopez (MIA - SP) 65.0 +5.0
Despite his 5.09 ERA and mediocre strikeout rate in 2019, there was some buzz about Lopez heading into last season because of his outstanding changeup and his ability to keep his WHIP in check. He justified the expectations, cutting his ERA to 3.61 and striking out about a batter and a half more per nine innings than he had previously. He's still volatile, as he has seemingly random games where he lacks command with his changeup and gets hit hard. And he needs another pitch to complement his fastball and changeup. But if he can continue to develop either his curveball or cutter, he could be a true breakout candidate. Draft him as an SP4 with upside for more if his other pitches continue to improve.
61 Julio Urias (LAD - SP,RP) 56.0 -5.0
Urias had an interesting season (other than his postseason, which was dominant). His numbers overall were very solid, with a 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. But his strikeout rate dipped dramatically as a full-time starter, and his SIERA (4.88) and xFIP (5.06) suggest he got lucky. But the bottom line is that Urias is excellent at limiting hard contact, and he's allowed just a .257 BABIP over the last two seasons, which should keep his ERA in check. The Dodgers' rotation is overflowing, so it's possible they continue to limit Urias's innings. But for now, he should be considered an SP3, and as his playoffs showed, there's plenty of room for growth with his strikeout numbers.
62 Victor Robles (WSH - CF,RF) 69.0 +7.0
There were plenty of warning signs with Robles' batted-ball data heading into 2020, and they're only greater now after an abysmal season during which he slashed .220/.293/.315. The MLB average in barrel rate and average exit velocity are 6.4% and 88.3 MPH, respectively. Robles clocked in at 4.8% and 83.3 MPH in 2019, and then fell to a ridiculous 1.7% and 82.2 MPH in 2020. His continously poor contact limits any upside, but it's worth noting that he still hit 17 homers and stole 28 bases in 2019 despite it all. Robles is still just entering his age-24 season, so massive long-term growth is still certainly on the table. But for now, it's impossible to justify drafting him as anything more than a fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.
63 Eric Hosmer (SD - 1B) 70.0 +7.0
Hosmer made no secret of his effort to attempt to (finally) stop pounding the ball into the ground so much last year, and it worked to perfection. His ground ball rate fell from roughly 57% the previous three seasons to just 46.2%, and his flyball rate rose from about 21% in the same span to 34.2%. The result was an impressive nine home runs in just 38 games in an injury-shortened season. Hosmer still hits the ball hard and if he can maintain the changes to his profile into 2021, he'll make an incredibly cheap corner infielder who can chip in pretty much everywhere.
64 Willson Contreras (CHC - C,DH) 55.0 -9.0
Contreras has established a pretty decent baseline for what fantasy managers can expect over the course of a full season. He'll likely give you a floor of 15 home runs and 110 combined runs and RBI, with upside for more. Those numbers don't sound impressive, but they're enough to make Contreras a top-five catcher easily. Given his safety, there's an argument to be made to take him as high as second overall at the position. But, even so, there's no need to select him before the eighth round or so, as there's not an appreciable difference in the production of the next seven or eight catchers beyond J.T. Realmuto.
65 Didi Gregorius (PHI - SS) 72.0 +7.0
From a fantasy standpoint, Gregorius isn't special. He doesn't walk much, he's injury prone, and his Statcast data from 2020 was downright awful. But there is no denying that Gregorius knows how to take advantage of his home parks, first Yankee Stadium, and now Citizens Bank Park. With Gregorius back with the Phillies, you should again bank on his typical 25-homer power, good counting stats, and a handful of steals. Considering that he's rarely someone who fantasy managers target, his ADP will likely remain discounted, and he's a fine fallback option if you miss out on most of the early- or mid-round options.
66 Will Smith (LAD - C) 46.0 -20.0
Smith had an outstanding 2020 season, walking a ton, striking out little, and getting on base at higher than a .400 clip. The power he showed in his 54-game stretch in 2019 remained, and he ranked in the top 10% of the league in wOBA, expected wOBA, and expected slugging percentage. Given how the Dodgers play the entire season with an eye toward the playoffs, as well as the presence of Keibert Ruiz, it's possible that Smith may get more rest than other catchers this year. But that's a minor point against someone who should be one of the top options at his position. He's no worse than a top-five catcher, and there's a good argument that he should be the second player selected at his position.
67 Sandy Alcantara (MIA - SP) 61.0 -6.0
Alcantara continued to build on what was a pretty strong foundation heading into 2020. He lowered his ERA to 3.00 and his WHIP to 1.19, and improved in both his strikeout and walk rate while adding velocity. He pitched only 42 innings last year because of COVID-19 issues, but he dominated over the latter three-quarters of the season, pitching to a 2.30 ERA with 30 strikeouts over his final 31 1/3 innings. There's not a ton to dislike about Alcantara, and there's room for continued growth. Draft him as a fourth starter with upside for more.
68 Ian Happ (CHC - 2B,3B,CF,LF,RF) 71.0 +3.0
Happ has always made consistently hard contact, but his strikeout rate was simply untenable, hovering around 34% in his first two seasons. But he has cut that down to a more manageable 26% over the last two years, and he's batted .260 with 23 home runs and 58 RBI over 115 games in that span. Happ has some speed even if he hasn't shown it recently, and he'll likely bat leadoff for the Cubs, who may need to manufacture runs more than in previous years. The average probably won't help you much, but he should contribute in four categories at a relatively inexpensive price.
69 Sixto Sanchez (MIA - SP) 64.0 -5.0
Sanchez built on his strong 2019 season in Double-A with an excellent seven-start stretch in the majors, during which he put up a 3.46 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Sanchez throws really hard (his fastball velocity is in the 98th percentile), but he doesn't put up a ton of strikeouts, either in the minors or during his stint in the majors last year. But his outstanding changeup (.148 BAA, .148 slugging against, .158 wOBA against) keeps hitters off balance, and allows him to avoid giving up too much hard contact. Combine that with his well above-average control and his almost comical ability to avoid giving up home runs, and you have a quality pitcher who can slide into the middle of your staff.
70 Justin Turner (LAD - 3B,DH) 84.0 +14.0
Turner signed a two-year deal with the Dodgers, and it's a bit of a mixed bag. On the one hand, he remains a key cog in an incredibly strong lineup where he's had plenty of success for several years. On the other, he's almost certainly going to see a downtick in his playing time given his age and the presence of Edwin Rios. Turner is still a batting average asset, has shown little decline in his batted ball data, and almost always produces when he's in the lineup. But he's much more valuable in daily transaction leagues where you can swap him in and out of the lineup.
71 Tommy Edman (STL - 2B,3B,SS,LF,RF) 68.0 -3.0
After a highly successful 2019 season in which he hit 11 home runs and stole 15 bases in 92 games, Edman's numbers regressed in nearly every meaningful way last year. His batting average slipped from .304 to just .250, he hit just five home runs, and he went 2-for-6 in stolen base attempts. Edman was a bit unlucky last year, as his xBA and xSLG outperformed his actual numbers. And despite his down year on the basepaths, he was in the 95th percentile in sprint speed. He's likely to lead off for the Cardinals this year, and should be good for double digits in both home runs and steals, with plenty of runs scored. Considering he has multi-position eligibility, he should be drafted before the double-digit rounds.
72 Carlos Carrasco (NYM - SP,RP) 54.0 -18.0
Carrasco suffered a serious hamstring strain in mid-March which is likely to keep him out 6-8 weeks. It's a devastating blow to the veteran who returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. There was plenty to like about Carrasco in New York, including that the Mets will provide him with a better chance at wins, their infield defense should be above average, and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. But at this point, he's nothing more than a bench starter for your fantasy team given his injury.
73 Dylan Carlson (STL - LF,CF,RF) 74.0 +1.0
Carlson caught major buzz heading into the season last year as he looked likely to earn an everyday role in the outfield, but he sputtered for much of the season even when he did play, slashing just .200/.252/.364 with three home runs in 119 plate appearances. But he had a successful, albeit brief, post-season, and now again looks ready to claim a starting outfield spot for the Cardinals. Carlson is just 22 years old and has a strong minor-league track record. If he can hold down his spot, he has 25-15 potential, and should hit for a solid average. Given his age and his poor 2020 season, there's some obvious risk, but the draft capital necessary to get him on your team is not prohibitive, and his upside should make him a target in all formats.
74 Travis d'Arnaud (ATL - C,1B) 67.0 -7.0
It took a long time but d'Arnaud has finally developed into one of the best hitting catchers in the game, as he was projected to be. It's difficult to quite buy what we saw last year, considering d'Arnaud's batting average (.321) and slugging percentage (.533) were miles ahead of his career marks, and even the numbers that he had put up in recent seasons. With that said, he'll bat in the middle of a strong Braves lineup and be presented with plenty of RBI opportunities, so 15 home runs with 55 RBI should be considered the floor for a healthy d'Arnaud. Those numbers aren't just passable, they're extremely strong for a catcher in fantasy, and he should be drafted as a relatively strong first catcher in mixed leagues.
75 AJ Pollock (LAD - LF,CF,DH) 80.0 +5.0
Pollock's production when healthy is rarely in doubt. In 141 games over the last two seasons, he's hit 31 home runs, scored 79 runs, drove in 81, and stolen seven bases while batting .270. But it's the "when healthy" part that is the key to Pollock's value, as he hasn't topped 113 games played since 2015. He's a better pick in shallow leagues where you can replace him if and when he misses time due to injury. But the performance is that of a solid OF3 or OF4 when he's in the lineup.
76 German Marquez (COL - SP) 79.0 +3.0
If Marquez ever extricates himself from Colorado, you'd probably have a bona fide superstar on your hands. As it is, you have a very solid overall pitcher who won't really help you out tremendously in any category, but won't hurt you badly either. Marquez's control is above average, and although his strikeout rate has dipped in two consecutive seasons, he has the ability to miss bats regularly. His value rises in leagues with daily lineup changes as you can avoid him at home (career 5.10 ERA) and start him on the road (career 3.51 ERA). But, absent that, consider him a back-end of the rotation starter in deeper leagues.
77 Tyler Mahle (CIN - SP) 78.0 +1.0
Mahle's solid 2020 season (3.59 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) will probably slip under the radar, but there are a lot of reasons to be optimistic about him with a guaranteed spot in the Reds rotation. His strikeout rate jumped to 30% on the back of a 4.4% increase in his swinging strike rate, and he had just a .188 expected batting average against, top 10% in the league. The biggest change for Mahle was that he brought back a slider that he had shelved entirely in 2019, and batters hit just .180 against the pitch with a .249 wOBA. He could do well to cut down on his walks a bit, but still, as a fifth starter for your fantasy team, there's plenty of potential for profit.
78 Christian Walker (ARI - 1B,DH) 93.0 +15.0
Walker's power waned last season and his barrel rate dropped precipitously, but there were still plenty of things to like about his 2020 campaign. Notably, he cut his strikeout rate to a career-best 20.6% while raising his average to a strong .271. Walker is not, and is probably never going to be, a superstar fantasy asset. But he is a quiet producer who should help in four of the five rotisserie categories and is often overlooked. He's an ideal corner infielder for a team that needs steady production.
79 Mike Soroka (ATL - SP) 76.0 -3.0
Soroka pitched in just three games last year before rupturing his Achilles tendon. He's progressing well but the best case scenario for him appears to be a late-April return. When healthy, he's someone who fantasy managers can rely on as an ERA and WHIP stabilizer, who should contribute plenty of wins. The strikeouts won't be there, however, and given that he's coming off a significant injury, the Braves will likely be extra cautious with him when he does start. All that to say, don't draft Soroka expecting much more than 100-120 innings out of him. If you do that, you'll likely be happy with your return on investment.
80 C.J. Cron (COL - 1B) 96.0 +16.0
Cron fits the Rockies' narrative perfectly, as he's a veteran hitter on a short-term deal who will block a younger player from playing. Nevertheless, Cron offers plenty of fantasy goodness if he does indeed win the first base job for Colorado as expected. He missed almost all of last year with a knee injury, but he had a 15% barrel rate and a .544 expected slugging percentage in 2019. He's practically free in drafts and could easily hit 30 home runs with a plus average. Draft him late everywhere you can.
81 Will Smith (ATL - RP) 75.0 -6.0
Smith had a rough 2020 season, losing several weeks to a bout with COVID-19 and being far less effective than usual when he did pitch. His dominant slider just wasn't the same, as batters hit .263 (after never hitting better than .193) and tallied a .398 wOBA (after never totaling higher than .282) against it. But Brian Snitker appears to be willing to throw out Smith's poor season almost entirely. Although he hasn't named Smith the closer, he has professed his confidence in him, and there's been speculation from beat writers that Smith will ultimately win the role after a battle with Chris Martin and A.J. Minter. Draft Smith as the presumptive closer unless you hear otherwise from Braves camp.
82 Devin Williams (MIL - RP) 73.0 -9.0
You have to hand it to the Brewers - they produce relievers who put up historically great seasons. Williams wasn't just good in 2020 - he was truly beyond belief. A 0.33 ERA. One run and eight hits allowed in 27 innings. A 44% K-BB%. Williams has battled injuries for much of his career, but given what he did last year, he should be drafted among the elite fantasy relievers in the game. Even if he never gets a save chance with Josh Hader in front of him, his ratios make him more than worth it.
83 Clint Frazier (CHC - LF,RF) 77.0 -6.0
There's little reason to doubt Frazier's ability to contribute from a fantasy perspective at this point. Over the last two seasons, he has a 162-game pace of a .267 average, 30 home runs, 83 runs scored, 96 RBI, and 6 steals. He upped his walk rate significantly in 2020 (15.6%, top seven percent in the league) and hits the ball hard consistently. The only issue for Frazier is his playing time with Giancarlo Stanton healthy and Brett Gardner back in the fold. But Frazier has done enough to hold the left field job and, regardless, Stanton, Aaron Judge, and Aaron Hicks are not the product of health. Draft Frazier as a starting outfielder and don't worry about the playing time.
84 Nick Madrigal (CHC - 2B) 85.0 +1.0
Madrigal had a successful 2020 debut season with the White Sox, doing what he has done best throughout his minor league career: hitting for a high average with no power and never striking out. His main assets are his speed and and ability to hit for a high batting average, and though the power may eventually come, considering he hit four home runs total in the minor leagues, it's a good bet that it won't be this year. He's slated to bat at the bottom of Chicago's order, so downgrade his plate appearances a bit, but he will be a plus contributor in the two most difficult to fill rotisserie categories.
85 Jesse Winker (CIN - LF,CF,RF,DH) 100.0 +15.0
Winker had a quietly strong 2020 season, getting on base at a .388 clip and hitting 12 home runs in 54 games. He hit the ball hard consistently and walked an impressive 15.3% of the time, which help to offset his rise in strikeout rate (25.1%, well above his career mark). He'll likely bat leadoff for the Reds, and should be an asset in both home runs and runs scored. That's not a profile that blows you away, but it's enough for you to use as a fifth outfielder.
86 Jean Segura (PHI - 2B,3B,SS) 87.0 +1.0
Segura's strikeout rate ballooned last season to above 20%, though his walk rate also took a corresponding jump. But other than that, there wasn't much notable or exciting about his season. He ran a bit less than usual in the shortened year, but he still ranked in the 87th percentile in sprint speed, suggesting that the stolen base potential is still there if he wants to take it. The bigger issue with Segura as he enters his age-31 season is that there's almost no upside, as he'll bat near the bottom of the order and has established a fairly firm ceiling in his career. He's a borderline startable middle infielder in mixed leagues, but nothing more.
87 Andrew Heaney (LAD - RP,SP) 88.0 +1.0
Heaney is a fine pitcher, but it feels like he has a lot more to him than his career 4.44 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. His fastball is hittable and he throws it often, and his curveball isn't quite good enough to offset the damage. He was outspoken about working this offseason to become less predictable, so hopefully that manifests itself in his 2021 performance. But there's no reason to draft him as anything but a pitcher who will give you decent strikeouts and mediocre ratios, hopefully as someone you can use on your bench and stream in the right matchup.
88 Paul DeJong (STL - SS) 102.0 +14.0
 
89 Austin Riley (ATL - 1B,3B,LF) 94.0 +5.0
Riley made some notable gains last year after he looked like he might fall out of fantasy-relevance entirely with the way he closed his 2019 season. He essentially traded off some power for contact, as his swing percentage dropped, his contact rate increased, and he improved on both his walk and strikeout rates. Although there was some question as to whether the Braves would add another third baseman in free agency, it appears they're content to roll with Riley to begin the year. That should make him a cheap source of power for fantasy, one whose batting average (.262 xBA last year) won't hurt you too badly.
90 Zach Eflin (PHI - SP) 82.0 -8.0
 
91 Nick Senzel (CIN - 2B,CF) 101.0 +10.0
 
92 David Price (LAD - RP,SP) 81.0 -11.0
Price was traded to the Dodgers along with Mookie Betts, but hasn't yet made a start with the team after opting out of the 2020 season. He'll be back for 2021, but his role isn't yet solidified according to reports, especially considering the extreme depth of the Dodgers' rotation. When healthy, even at his advanced age, Price is still a quality major league starter, with above-average strikeout and walk rates. The issue for Price is really health, as he's averaged only about 120 innings per season over his previous three years. His average draft position reflects the risk, and assuming he does end up in the rotation, he offers as much upside as anyone going in his range. There's still juice left for Price when he's healthy, so monitor reports out of the spring.
93 Dustin May (LAD - SP,RP) 89.0 -4.0
May has been named the Dodgers' fifth starter by Dave Roberts, a surprising twist given the presence of David Price and Tony Gonsolin. Given the Dodgers' depth and their history, it's unlikely that he'll remain in the rotation from start to finish, but if you haven't drafted yet, move him significantly higher on your board.
94 Jake Cronenworth (SD - 1B,2B,SS) 86.0 -8.0
Cronenworth wound up being one of the best waiver pickups of the 2020 season. He provided a great batting average (.285) with multi-position eligibility. The counting stats - mainly the four homers and three steals - left a lot to be desired, however. Cronenworth ultimately profiles as a better "real life" player than he does as a fantasy option. Still, in deeper roto leagues that use batting average, his contact skills and defensive versatility give him a fantastic floor. I just don't expect him to be a fantasy difference-maker in most 10-12 team leagues.
95 Gavin Lux (LAD - 2B,CF,LF,SS) 99.0 +4.0
 
96 Amir Garrett (CIN - RP) 95.0 -1.0
Garrett cut way down on his walks in 2020 and had the best season of his career, striking out 37.7% of the batters he faced. He also retired the first batter he faced in every inning, and completely dominated against left-handed hitters. He's in the mix to be the Reds' closer with Lucas Sims and Sean Doolittle, and he's been vocal about wanting the job. He's probably the first reliever to draft out of Cincinnati until there's some clarity, but it's far from a sure thing that he'll be the everyday closer.
97 Jordan Hicks (STL - RP) 90.0 -7.0
Hicks is likely to serve as the Cardinals' closer this year if he can show that he has fully recovered from Tommy John surgery. He totaled 20 saves from 2018-2019 before hurting his elbow, and then opted out of last season, in part because of setbacks in his recovery. Early reports from the spring are promising, and it seems that the Cardinals want him and his 100+ MPH fastball to lead the way in the ninth inning. Monitor his health in the spring, but draft him late for now and expect saves so long as he is healthy.
98 Raimel Tapia (COL - LF,CF,DH) 97.0 -1.0
Tapia doesn't make a ton of hard contact, but he slashed .321/.369/.402 last year and led off for the Rockies for the majority of the season. He's slated to do so again this year, which means he should be a cheap source of runs, batting average, and steals. Tapia's been around for awhile and never held a starting job all season, but he's in an excellent position this year and can be drafted late in all mixed leagues as a fifth outfielder or bench player.
99 Mark Canha (NYM - 1B,LF,CF,RF,DH) 106.0 +7.0
Fantasy managers seem to have declared Canha's 2019 season as a fluke after he hit just five home run last year, but much of his 2020 seems to suggest 2019 was fairly legitimate. Canha built on his massive gains in walk rate in 2019 (13.5%) and increased it to 15.2%, and his quality of contact largely remained the same. He's got 20-homer power still, and he'll likely lead off or bat second for the A's. You won't need to pay much for him and given his average draft position, there's a high probability of a profit.
100 J.D. Davis (NYM - 3B,LF,DH) 115.0 +15.0
 
101 James McCann (NYM - 1B,C) 83.0 -18.0
McCann will be the everyday catcher for the Mets after putting up his second consecutive successful season for the White Sox. After putting up a .789 OPS in 2019, he jumped up to an .896 mark in 2020, setting a career-high in walk rate. McCann was a part-timer last year, so his rate stats will likely dip as he takes over a heavy workload with the Mets (Wilson Ramos ranked fourth among catchers in plate appearances the last two seasons). But counting stats should be there in spades in a strong Mets lineup. He should be drafted as a starting catcher in 12-team formats.
102 Eduardo Escobar (NYM - 1B,2B,3B) 119.0 +17.0
 
103 Brian Anderson (MIA - 3B,RF) 113.0 +10.0
 
104 Elieser Hernandez (MIA - SP,RP) 114.0 +10.0
Hernandez was excellent in his six starts last season, tallying a 3.16 ERA, a 1.01 WHIP, and a 32.1% strikeout rate. But he allowed a lot of hard contact along the way, including a 91.8 MPH average exit velocity (bottom three percent in the league). He worked on his changeup this offseason in an effort to add a reliable third pitch (he threw his fastball and slider 94% of the time last year), and it has gotten rave reviews in camp. He's fourth in the pecking order of the Marlins starters, but if his changeup can be an effective pitch, he might be the one to provide the most value given his extremely modest ADP.
105 Freddy Peralta (MIL - SP,RP) 116.0 +11.0
 
106 Kolten Wong (MIL - 2B) 107.0 +1.0
Wong lands in a great situation with the Brewers, where he's expected to lead off in front of a strong lineup. His quality of contact is incredibly poor, but in Miller Park, he should be a good bet for 10-15 homers, and he'll throw in 15-20 steals despite having a fairly average sprint speed. There's not a ton of upside for Wong, but absent injury, there's not a whole lot of downside for him in Milwaukee either. He's not a startable second baseman in mixed leagues, but he's a fine middle infielder or bench option.
107 Joey Votto (CIN - 1B) 134.0 +27.0
A quick look at Votto's surface stats shows a player in decline. For the first half of 2020 hit was true, as the former MVP hit just three homers with a .647 OPS in his first 25 games. By late-August Votto was benched for a few days to clear his head and wound up posting a .941 OPS with eight homers over his final 29 games. The change? Votto stood taller in the box and became less obsessed with controlling the strike zone, which meant he was more willing to sell out for power. I'm willing to invest a late-round pick in Votto, particularly in points/OBP leagues, to see if this new approach carries over to 2021.
108 Chris Taylor (2B,3B,CF,LF,RF,SS) 91.0 -17.0
 
109 Lorenzo Cain (MIL - CF) 122.0 +13.0
Cain opted out of the season last year after just five games, but he'll play and bat near the top of the Brewers' lineup this year. His steals total dropped to just 18 in 2019, and his sprint speed has been declining in recent years. But he talked openly about wanting to try to steal more bases before he opted out last year, and he's still a safe bet for batting average and double-digit homers. He's been forgotten a bit in drafts this year, but he's a fine fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.
110 Emilio Pagan (SD - RP) 108.0 -2.0
 
111 David Peralta (ARI - LF) 120.0 +9.0
Peralta is entering his age-34 season and coming off a season during which he hit just five home runs, but he still makes a fairly reliable late-round selection. His career batting average is .291 (and he hit .300 last year), and his 162-game pace is roughly 20 home runs and 160 combined runs and RBI. Even if his steals are gone, there's still plenty of production left in the bat for someone who will be drafted well beyond the top 200 picks, and who had shoulder surgery prior to the 2020 season which likely affected his production. The upside isn't there anymore, but safe and boring can sometimes be the right move.
112 Austin Nola (SD - C,1B,2B) 98.0 -14.0
Nola has proven to be a quality bat for a catcher over the last two seasons, batting .271 with 17 home runs in 127 games over that span. He's in a great situation with the Padres, even if he will be batting at the bottom of the lineup, but a fractured finger will likely lead him to begin the season on the IL. Depending on how much time he'll miss, that could create a buying opportunity, as his ADP should drop a bit. As long he isn't projected to miss more than a couple of weeks, take the discount and enjoy premium production from the catcher position for the rest of the season.
113 Tony Gonsolin (LAD - SP,RP) 112.0 -1.0
Gonsolin doesn't have a guaranteed spot in the Dodgers' rotation to start the season, and with the team signing Trevor Bauer, it's unclear just how much he'll start this season. His stuff doesn't blow you away, but he's got a 2.60 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 86.2 big league innings. And there were gains last year, as he cut his walk rate down and upped his strikeout rate. Gonsolin is an ideal candidate to have on your bench, because if he does get a spot in the rotation, he'll be a popular waiver wire add, and he can add value as a reliever in the meantime. So draft him late, and likely reap the rewards.
114 Jake McGee (SF - RP) 117.0 +3.0
 
115 Brandon Nimmo (NYM - LF,CF,RF) 109.0 -6.0
Nimmo has a career .390 OBP and will be batting atop the Mets lineup this year, and that's really all you need to know for his fantasy value. He'll likely be a steady contributor in the runs scored category, while chipping in some homers and steals with a batting average that won't hurt you much. He might see a bit of a platoon against left-handers, but he's a player who will cost you nothing in drafts and who can fill in for your team if you need him. He's worth a bench spot in all 10-team or deeper leagues.
116 Garrett Hampson (COL - 2B,SS,LF,CF) 121.0 +5.0
 
117 Bryan Reynolds (PIT - LF,CF,RF) 139.0 +22.0
 
118 Anthony Bass (MIA - RP) 125.0 +7.0
Bass will likely be in the mix for saves with Yimi Garcia (and possibly Dylan Floro) after he signed a two-year deal with the Marlins. He lacks the typical strikeout stuff of most closers, but he's totaled 12 saves, a 3.54 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP over the past two years. Bass is an extreme ground ball pitcher (62.3% ground ball rate last year), which is how he's able to survive without big time stuff. But Don Mattingly likely won't name a closer until the end of spring training, so draft Bass late for now, but have plenty of other bullpen options.
119 Drew Pomeranz (SD - SP,RP) 92.0 -27.0
Pomeranz likely would have, at the very least, factored into the closer's mix for San Diego prior to the Mark Melancon and Keone Kela signings. After finally switching into a full-time reliever role last year, Pomeranz shined, with a 1.45 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and a 39.7% strikeout rate. Although he may still be in line for save opportunities, the presence of Melancon, Kela, and Emilio Pagan muddy the waters. That's especially true given that Pomeranz is currently the only healthy and reliable left-hander in the bullpen. Pomeranz is worth a late selection until and unless Jayce Tingler declares that he's not an option for the ninth inning.
120 Rowdy Tellez (MIL - 1B,DH) 150.0 +30.0
 
121 Jesus Aguilar (MIA - 1B,DH) 174.0 +53.0
 
122 Ryan McMahon (COL - 1B,2B,3B) 105.0 -17.0
 
123 Giovanny Gallegos (STL - RP) 127.0 +4.0
Gallegos pitched well last year with the Cardinals despite seeing limited innings because of his difficulty in getting to the states in the middle of a pandemic. But he was effective when he pithed, and owns a career 3.06 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 31.6% strikeout rate. The Cardinals want Jordan Hicks to be their closer, but Gallegos will undoubtedly be in the mix should Hick prove ineffective or suffer a setback in his return from Tommy John surgery.
124 Ha-Seong Kim (SD - 2B,3B,SS) 104.0 -20.0
Kim joins a loaded Padres team after a successful career in the KBO. He had a particularly strong 2020 season, slashing .306/.397/.523 with 30 home runs and 23 steals. Although he split time between shortstop and third base in the KBO, he should likely man second for the Padres, which is better for his fantasy value given the relative lack of strength of the position (though the signing of Jurickson Profar does add a few question marks). Kim is younger than most hitters coming over from the KBO - only 25 - and he has the speed and power to reach double digits in steals and homers pretty easily. But he's more of a 15-15 type of player, rather than the potential 30-25 he was last year, and he'll likely bat near the bottom of the order, limiting his plate appearance and runs and RBI opportunities. Draft him as a middle infield option, but with upside.
125 David Dahl (MIL - CF,DH,LF,RF) MiLB 153.0 +28.0
 
126 Mark Melancon (RP) 118.0 -8.0
Melancon had another fine year as the Braves' closer, and now joins the back end of the Padres bullpen. It's unclear if he'll serve as the closer, a Drew Pomeranz and Emilio Pagan also may have a claim to the role. Melancon is entering his age-36 season and his strikeout rate is mediocre at best. Although he is still performing well, his lack of pure stuff suggests that the wheels could come off at any moment. That said, he'll have plenty of value if he can earn the ninth-inning role, so monitor the reports out of spring, and draft him late until and unless he's officially ruled out for the role.
127 Daulton Varsho (ARI - C,CF,LF,RF) 103.0 -24.0
Varsho was optioned to Triple-A, which was mildly surprising, though not entirely unexpected. He saw plenty of action between catcher and the outfield last year for the Diamondbacks, and although he batted just .188, he hit three home runs and stole three bases. That may not sound like much but for a catcher-eligible player in 37 games, it's plenty. Varsho was optioned less because of his talent level and more because the Diamondbacks' roster is pretty full, especially with the signing of Asdrubal Cabrera,. There's a ton of potential for Varsho, given that he was a high-average hitter during his minor-league career, but fantasy managers will need to wait a bit longer for him to become someone to start in fantasy leagues.
128 Madison Bumgarner (ARI - SP) 131.0 +3.0
 
129 Tejay Antone (CIN - SP,RP) 154.0 +25.0
Antone's role wasn't entirely clear at the outset of spring training, but he now looks destined for a starter's job, if he can stay healthy. With Sonny Gray and Wade Miley likely to begin the year on the IL, Antone should begin the year in the rotation, assuming he is healthy enough to do so. He's currently battling a groin strain, and his status is uncertain. When healthy, he's got a wipeout slider, enough to pile on the strikeouts, and has enough upside to be worth a late-round dart throw. Monitor his, Gray's, and Miley's health status closely heading into your drafts.
130 Willy Adames (MIL - SS) 161.0 +31.0
 
131 Daniel Bard (COL - RP) 111.0 -20.0
Bard comes into 2021 as the Rockies' presumptive closer, after he came out of a two-year retirement to pitch in the majors for the first time since 2013. Bard's control problems, which derailed his career, were largely solved, and his 3.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP were more than passable for a Colorado closer. Mychal Givens remains, and Scott Oberg will try to pitch effectively after undergoing thoracic outlet surgery, but if Bard can maintain his control, he'll likely earn and hold the closer's job.
132 Tommy La Stella (SF - 1B,2B,3B) 129.0 -3.0
 
133 Taijuan Walker (NYM - SP) 123.0 -10.0
 
134 Nick Ahmed (ARI - SS) 176.0 +42.0
 
135 Avisail Garcia (MIA - CF,RF) 170.0 +35.0
 
136 Sam Hilliard (COL - 3B,CF,LF,RF) 158.0 +22.0
 
137 Jurickson Profar (SD - 1B,2B,CF,LF,RF) 145.0 +8.0
 
138 Colin Moran (PIT - 1B,2B,3B,DH) DFA 196.0 +58.0
 
139 Trevor Rogers (MIA - SP) 138.0 -1.0
 
140 Yadier Molina (STL - C) 110.0 -30.0
The ageless wonder is back for another year in St. Louis as he enters his age-39 season. Molina isn't what he once was - the token stolen bases are gone and his runs scored continue to decline. But he has yet to fall off a cliff in either batting average of power, and his numbers there are still mildly enticing for a catcher. The run is going to end some day, perhaps this year, but the cost is that of a middling second catcher, and his track record suggests he'll again be worth that price.
141 Jackie Bradley Jr. (MIL - CF,LF,RF) 141.0
 
142 Trevor May (NYM - RP) 152.0 +10.0
 
143 Jon Berti (MIA - 2B,3B,CF,RF,SS) 140.0 -3.0
 
144 Lucas Sims (CIN - SP,RP) 188.0 +44.0
Sims had a fine 2020, going 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA a 0.94 WHIP, and plenty of strikeouts. He'll be in the mix for the Reds' closer job with Amir Garrett and Sean Doolittle, though his early bout with elbow soreness this spring doesn't help him. Monitor the reports out of spring training, but he's a late-round speculative draft pick at best at the moment.
145 Carson Kelly (ARI - C) 126.0 -19.0
After an impressive 2019 season during which he hit 18 home runs in just 111 games, Kelly had a down 2020, batting just .221 with five long balls. Kelly's walk rate regressed significantly to just 4.7%, and he showed little of the patience that brought him success in 2019. Daulton Varsho is a threat to his playing time, but it seems like Kelly will have the lead role behind the plate, with Varsho filling in and getting time at outfield. That should make Kelly a borderline startable catcher in most mixed leagues, assuming he can bounce back from his down 2020 campaign.
146 Miguel Rojas (MIA - SS) 184.0 +38.0
 
147 Alex Reyes (STL - RP) 173.0 +26.0
 
148 Caleb Smith (ARI - RP,SP) 143.0 -5.0
 
149 Seth Lugo (NYM - SP,RP) 136.0 -13.0
 
150 Josh Lindblom (MIL - RP,SP) MiLB 171.0 +21.0
 
151 Tyler O'Neill (STL - LF) 168.0 +17.0
 
152 Wilmer Flores (SF - 1B,2B,3B,DH) 162.0 +10.0
 
153 Tyler Matzek (ATL - RP) 157.0 +4.0
 
154 Jason Heyward (CHC - CF,RF) 130.0 -24.0
 
155 Harrison Bader (STL - CF) 222.0 +67.0
 
156 Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA - 2B,SS) 199.0 +43.0
 
157 Mauricio Dubon (SF - 2B,3B,CF,SS) 137.0 -20.0
 
158 Adam Duvall (ATL - CF,LF,RF) 167.0 +9.0
 
159 Luke Weaver (ARI - SP) 190.0 +31.0
 
160 Jorge Alfaro (SD - C,LF) 124.0 -36.0
Alfaro batted just .226 in 2020, but he hit .262 from 2018-2019, along with 28 home runs in 238 games. He has been criticized for his defense, but he reportedly worked on it during the offseason and has received some praise this spring. After flirting with trade talk, the Marlins look like they'll stick with Alfaro, and his bat plays well enough to make him a high-end second catcher in mixed leagues. The stardom that some projected may never come, but he'll likely be fantasy-relevant in 2020.
161 Jose Alvarado (PHI - RP) 212.0 +51.0
 
162 Mitch Keller (PIT - SP) 160.0 -2.0
In his brief MLB career, Keller is the author of one of the unluckiest (2019) and luckiest (2020) seasons in recent memory. So, the best course of action is to essentially ignore his 69 major league innings and focus on his stuff and minor league career. If you do that, there's a lot to like. Keller has a mid-90s fastball to go along with an above average slider and curveball. Over more than 500 minor league innings, he had a 25.5% strikeout rate, a 3.12 ERA, and a 1.15 WHIP. He will likely struggle for wins on the Pirates, but he'll also get a long leash given the dearth of reliable options, and he should face mostly weak offenses in the NL Central. Keller likely won't be a star, but he'll probably outperform where you need to draft him.
163 Brusdar Graterol (LAD - RP) 133.0 -30.0
 
164 MacKenzie Gore (SD - SP) 146.0 -18.0
 
165 Stefan Crichton (ARI - RP) MiLB 135.0 -30.0
Crichton filled in admirably for Archie Bradley after Bradley was traded last season. His strikeout numbers weren't particularly impressive, but he had a 2.42 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP, and tallied five saves. He doesn't have prototypical "closer's stuff," but he's more than capable of getting major league hitters out. The Diamondbacks signed Joakim Soria to a one-year deal (and added Tyler Clippard, too), so Crichton seems unlikely to begin the year as the closer, even though it's an open competition at the moment. He's not worth anything other than an extremely late-round pick as a speculative ninth-inning option.
166 Logan Webb (SF - SP) 213.0 +47.0
 
167 Jose Quintana (PIT - SP,RP) 169.0 +2.0
 
168 Josh Rojas (ARI - 2B,3B,LF,RF,SS) 185.0 +17.0
 
169 Evan Longoria (SF - 3B) 219.0 +50.0
 
170 Brent Suter (MIL - SP,RP) 163.0 -7.0
 
171 Victor Gonzalez (LAD - RP) 128.0 -43.0
 
172 Jonathan India (CIN - 2B,3B) 189.0 +17.0
 
173 Adbert Alzolay (CHC - RP,SP) 175.0 +2.0
 
174 Anthony DeSclafani (SF - SP) 195.0 +21.0
 
175 Merrill Kelly (ARI - SP) 198.0 +23.0
 
176 Cristian Pache (ATL - CF,LF) 149.0 -27.0
 
177 Tanner Rainey (WSH - RP) 208.0 +31.0
 
178 Garrett Cooper (MIA - 1B,RF,DH) 197.0 +19.0
 
179 JT Brubaker (PIT - SP) 220.0 +41.0
 
180 Miles Mikolas (STL - SP) 202.0 +22.0
 
181 Kevin Newman (PIT - 2B,SS) 164.0 -17.0
 
182 Brendan Rodgers (COL - 2B,SS) 193.0 +11.0
Rodgers was the favorite for the second base job in Colorado and was having a blistering spring, slashing .348/.400/.652 in 10 games. But he suffered a hamstring strain and now is expected to miss a month. Rodgers is still a post-hype sleeper and he will be free in drafts at this point. As an upside bench piece with speed, he's worth a shot, but not as anything more.
183 Pedro Severino (MIL - C,DH) 148.0 -35.0
 
184 Kyle Gibson (PHI - SP,RP) 147.0 -37.0
 
185 Elias Diaz (COL - C) 177.0 -8.0
 
186 Yan Gomes (CHC - C) 151.0 -35.0
 
187 Joey Wendle (MIA - 2B,3B,SS) 156.0 -31.0
 
188 Omar Narvaez (MIL - C) 155.0 -33.0
 
189 Joey Lucchesi (NYM - SP) 252.0 +63.0
 
190 Dakota Hudson (STL - SP) 297.0 +107.0
 
191 A.J. Minter (ATL - RP) 235.0 +44.0
 
192 Dom Nunez (COL - C) 266.0 +74.0
 
193 Austin Slater (SF - 1B,CF,DH,LF,RF) 172.0 -21.0
 
194 Adrian Houser (MIL - SP,RP) 221.0 +27.0
 
195 Hunter Harvey (SF - RP) 178.0 -17.0
Harvey strained his oblique in spring training and was placed on the 60-day IL, meaning he's unlikely to contribute as the Orioles' designated closer, which was unlikely anyway with Brandon Hyde as the manager. Harvey had a ton of buzz heading into last season, but a strained forearm ultimately limited him to just 8 2/3 innings. He's got a dominant fastball that can reach triple digits, but his injury history has been a roadblock to him becoming a regular and reliable reliever. Hyde likes to go by committee anyway, and Harvey's injury should give him the chance to do just that again. Perhaps spend a last-round pick on Harvey, but better yet, leave him undrafted.
196 Adam Wainwright (STL - SP) 132.0 -64.0
 
197 Scott Kingery (PHI - 2B,3B,CF,LF,RF,SS) MiLB 192.0 -5.0
 
198 Blake Treinen (LAD - RP) 159.0 -39.0
 
199 Edwin Rios (LAD - 1B,3B) 183.0 -16.0
 
200 Kyle Wright (ATL - SP) 228.0 +28.0
 
201 Adrian Morejon (SD - SP,RP) 231.0 +30.0
 
202 Alex Wood (SF - SP,RP) 238.0 +36.0
 
203 Jacob Stallings (MIA - C) 201.0 -2.0
 
204 J.B. Wendelken (ARI - RP) 166.0 -38.0
 
205 Luis Urias (MIL - 2B,3B,SS) 203.0 -2.0
 
206 Daniel Hudson (LAD - RP) 165.0 -41.0
 
207 Joey Bart (SF - C) 187.0 -20.0
 
208 Corey Knebel (RP,SP) 255.0 +47.0
 
209 Nico Hoerner (CHC - 2B,3B,SS) 181.0 -28.0
 
210 David Bote (CHC - 2B,3B) 227.0 +17.0
 
211 Carter Kieboom (WSH - 3B,SS) 194.0 -17.0
 
212 David Peterson (NYM - SP) 200.0 -12.0
 
213 Duane Underwood Jr. (PIT - RP) 312.0 +99.0
 
214 Roberto Perez (PIT - C) 207.0 -7.0
 
215 Rowan Wick (CHC - RP) 248.0 +33.0
 
216 Will Harris (WSH - RP)    
 
217 Brandon Crawford (SF - SS) 144.0 -73.0
 
218 Orlando Arcia (ATL - LF,SS) 246.0 +28.0
 
219 Shogo Akiyama (CIN - LF,CF) 225.0 +6.0
 
220 Genesis Cabrera (STL - RP) 285.0 +65.0
 
221 Alec Mills (CHC - SP,RP) 142.0 -79.0
 
222 Steven Matz (STL - SP) 179.0 -43.0
 
223 Victor Caratini (SD - C,1B,DH) 214.0 -9.0
 
224 Darren O'Day (ATL - RP) MiLB 205.0 -19.0
 
225 Dylan Floro (MIA - RP) 300.0 +75.0
 
226 Codi Heuer (CHC - RP) 281.0 +55.0
 
227 Jeff Hoffman (CIN - SP,RP) 288.0 +61.0
 
228 Pierce Johnson (SD - RP) 287.0 +59.0
 
229 Connor Brogdon (PHI - RP) 280.0 +51.0
 
230 Luis Garcia (WSH - 2B,SS) 241.0 +11.0
 
231 Kevin Ginkel (ARI - RP) MiLB 278.0 +47.0
 
232 Matt Strahm (SD - SP,RP) 303.0 +71.0
 
233 Miguel Castro (NYM - RP) 324.0 +91.0
 
234 Jason Adam (CHC - RP)    
 
235 Aristides Aquino (CIN - CF,LF,RF) 260.0 +25.0
 
236 Tyler Rogers (SF - RP) 261.0 +25.0
 
237 Yoshi Tsutsugo (PIT - 1B,3B,DH,LF,RF) 232.0 -5.0
 
238 Jordan Luplow (ARI - 1B,CF,LF,RF) 313.0 +75.0
 
239 Chris Stratton (PIT - SP,RP) 289.0 +50.0
 
240 Austin Barnes (LAD - C) 182.0 -58.0
 
241 Justin Topa (MIL - RP)    
 
242 Michael Chavis (PIT - 1B,2B,LF) 218.0 -24.0
 
243 David Bednar (PIT - RP) 282.0 +39.0
 
244 Tyler Stephenson (CIN - 1B,C) 180.0 -64.0
 
245 Craig Stammen (SD - RP,SP)    
 
246 William Contreras (ATL - C) 191.0 -55.0
 
247 Tommy Kahnle (LAD - RP)    
 
248 Lane Thomas (WSH - CF,LF,RF) 272.0 +24.0
 
249 Manny Pina (ATL - C) 284.0 +35.0
 
250 Luis Campusano (SD - C) 243.0 -7.0
 
251 Andrew Knizner (STL - C) 251.0
 
252 Tim Hill (SD - RP)    
 
253 Mike Brosseau (MIL - 1B,2B,3B) 186.0 -67.0
 
254 Antonio Senzatela (COL - SP) 223.0 -31.0
 
255 Isan Diaz (MIA - 2B,3B) 271.0 +16.0
 
256 Curt Casali (SF - C) 267.0 +11.0
 
257 Ryan Helsley (STL - RP) 299.0 +42.0
 
258 Nick Nelson (PHI - RP) MiLB 295.0 +37.0
 
259 Scott Oberg (COL - RP) 257.0 -2.0
 
260 Ray Black (MIL - RP) MiLB    
 
261 Kyle Finnegan (WSH - RP)    
 
262 Kyle Freeland (COL - SP) 216.0 -46.0
 
263 Wander Suero (WSH - RP)    
 
264 Tomas Nido (NYM - C) 230.0 -34.0
 
265 Austin Adams (SD - RP)    
 
266 Cole Tucker (PIT - 2B,CF,RF,SS) 276.0 +10.0
 
267 Justin Wilson (CIN - RP)    
 
268 Darin Ruf (SF - 1B,LF) 292.0 +24.0
 
269 Jared Oliva (PIT - LF,RF) 249.0 -20.0
 
270 Jarlin Garcia (SF - RP)    
 
271 Robert Stephenson (COL - RP)    
 
272 Jacob Webb (ATL - RP)    
 
273 Richard Bleier (MIA - RP)    
 
274 Michael Perez (PIT - C) MiLB    
 
275 Lewin Diaz (MIA - 1B) 274.0 -1.0
 
276 Steven Brault (PIT - SP,RP) DFA 237.0 -39.0
 
277 Luke Jackson (ATL - RP) 242.0 -35.0
 
278 Andrew Stevenson (WSH - CF,LF,RF) 250.0 -28.0
 
279 Austin Voth (WSH - RP,SP) 275.0 -4.0
 
280 Sam Howard (PIT - RP)    
 
281 Noe Ramirez (ARI - SP,RP)    
 
282 Austin Gomber (COL - SP,RP) 217.0 -65.0
 
283 Edward Cabrera (MIA - SP,RP) 254.0 -29.0
 
284 Sean Newcomb (ATL - SP,RP)    
 
285 Mitch White (LAD - RP,SP)    
 
286 Harold Ramirez (CHC - LF,CF,RF)    
 
287 Chris Devenski (ARI - RP) MiLB    
 
288 Corbin Martin (ARI - SP) 262.0 -26.0
 
289 Lewis Brinson (MIA - LF,CF,RF) 264.0 -25.0
 
290 Ranger Suarez (PHI - RP,SP)    
 
291 Ljay Newsome (STL - RP,SP) MiLB    
 
292 Huascar Ynoa (ATL - SP)    
 
293 Matt Beaty (LAD - 1B,3B,LF,RF)    
 
294 Josiah Gray (WSH - SP) 279.0 -15.0
 
295 Luis Cessa (CIN - RP)    
 
296 Carlos Estevez (COL - RP)    
 
297 Jose Barrero (CIN - CF,SS) 269.0 -28.0
 
298 Anderson Tejeda (STL - 3B,SS) NRI 259.0 -39.0
 
299 Trevor Williams (NYM - RP,SP) 263.0 -36.0
 
300 Ryan Sherriff (PHI - RP)    
 
301 Seranthony Dominguez (PHI - RP)    
 
302 Wade Miley (CHC - SP) 256.0 -46.0
 
303 Aramis Garcia (CIN - C) NRI    
 
304 Monte Harrison (MIA - CF,RF) 270.0 -34.0
 
305 Luis Guillorme (NYM - 2B,3B,SS) 210.0 -95.0
 
306 J.B. Bukauskas (ARI - RP,SP)    
 
307 Pavin Smith (ARI - 1B,CF,LF,RF) 244.0 -63.0
 
308 Adam Haseley (PHI - LF,CF,RF) 268.0 -40.0
 
309 Anthony Alford (PIT - LF,CF) 253.0 -56.0
 
310 Kodi Whitley (STL - RP)    
 
311 Yoan Lopez (PHI - RP)    
 
312 Jaylin Davis (SF - LF,RF)    
 
313 Erick Fedde (WSH - SP,RP) 322.0 +9.0
 
314 Eric Lauer (MIL - SP) 290.0 -24.0
 
315 Tyler Kinley (COL - 2B,RP)    
 
316 Heliot Ramos (SF - CF) 298.0 -18.0
 
317 Heath Fillmyer (SD - SP,RP) MiLB    
 
318 Bryse Wilson (PIT - SP) 258.0 -60.0
 
319 Miguel Yajure (PIT - RP,SP) 314.0 -5.0
 
320 Mark Mathias (MIL - RF) MiLB    
 
321 Todd Frazier (PIT - 1B,3B) MiLB 204.0 -117.0
 
322 Mike Ford (WSH - 1B) 206.0 -116.0
 
323 Joe Ross (WSH - SP,RP) 247.0 -76.0
 
324 Jordan Yamamoto (NYM - SP) 234.0 -90.0
 
325 Riley Smith (ARI - RP,SP) MiLB    
 
326 Braxton Garrett (MIA - SP) 315.0 -11.0
 
327 Alex Jackson (MIA - C)    
 
328 Jhoulys Chacin (COL - SP,RP)    
 
329 Taylor Widener (ARI - SP,RP)    
 
330 Kyle Ryan (STL - RP) NRI    
 
331 Tyler Beede (SF - RP,SP) 302.0 -29.0
 
332 Sam Coonrod (PHI - RP)    
 
333 Drew Waters (ATL - LF,CF) 209.0 -124.0
 
334 Kyle Farmer (CIN - C,1B,2B,3B,SS) 277.0 -57.0
 
335 Oneil Cruz (PIT - SS) 236.0 -99.0
 
336 Keibert Ruiz (WSH - C) 273.0 -63.0
 
337 Josh VanMeter (ARI - 1B,2B,3B,LF) 306.0 -31.0
 
338 Welington Castillo (WSH - C) MiLB    
 
339 Kevan Smith (ATL - C) MiLB    
 
340 Anthony Banda (PIT - RP)    
 
341 Yadiel Hernandez (WSH - DH,LF,RF)    
 
342 Tyler Naquin (CIN - CF,LF,RF) 301.0 -41.0
 
343 Ben Gamel (PIT - LF,CF,RF) 318.0 -25.0
 
344 Nick Neidert (MIA - RP,SP)    
 
345 Thairo Estrada (SF - 2B,SS)    
 
346 Evan Phillips (LAD - RP)    
 
347 Johan Oviedo (STL - SP) MiLB    
 
348 Steven Duggar (SF - LF,CF,RF)    
 
349 Greg Allen (PIT - LF,CF,RF)    
 
350 Phillip Ervin (ATL - LF,CF,RF) MiLB    
 
351 Yonathan Daza (COL - CF,LF,RF) 317.0 -34.0
 
352 Travis Demeritte (ATL - RF)    
 
353 Wil Crowe (PIT - SP)    
 
354 Ka'ai Tom (SF - CF,LF,RF) MiLB 309.0 -45.0
 
355 Zach McKinstry (LAD - 2B,3B,LF,RF) 311.0 -44.0
 
356 Austin Dean (SF - LF,RF)    
 
357 Logan Forsythe (MIL - 1B,2B,3B,SS) MiLB    
 
358 Mickey Moniak (PHI - CF,LF) 245.0 -113.0
 
359 Edmundo Sosa (STL - 2B,SS) 226.0 -133.0
 
360 Colton Welker (COL - 3B) 293.0 -67.0
 
361 Andrew Young (ARI - 2B) MiLB    
 
362 Scott Heineman (CIN - CF) MiLB    
 
363 Rodolfo Castro (PIT - 2B,SS)    
 
364 Bret Boswell (COL - 2B,3B,SS) MiLB    
 
365 Jace Peterson (MIL - 1B,2B,3B,LF,RF)    
 
366 Michael Reed (SF - LF,RF) MiLB    
 
367 Wyatt Mathisen (SF - 1B,3B) MiLB    
 
368 Stuart Fairchild (ARI - LF,CF)    
 
369 Lucius Fox (WSH - SS)    
 
370 Jonathan Davis (MIL - CF,RF) NRI    
 
371 John Nogowski (SF - 1B) MiLB 240.0 -131.0