2018 Fantasy Baseball Rankings (NL)

Expert Consensus Ranking (47 of 51 Experts) -
Rank Player (Team, Position) Notes
1 Nolan Arenado (COL - 3B) 1.0
Arenado has become one of the most consistently elite performers in baseball, as 2017 marked his third straight season with at least 37 home runs and 130 RBI. Batting in Colorado certainly helps, but Arenado's numbers on the road (.283 batting average and a .531 slugging percentage) show that he's not merely a product of Coors Field. Even if he were, he'll remain in Colorado for the foreseeable future, and Arenado owners can put about 40 homers, 130 RBI, and outstanding production in the other fantasy categories in the bank for 2018, making him an easy top-five pick.
2 Trea Turner (WSH - SS) 2.0
Turner missed more than a third of the season after fracturing his wrist from a hit-by-pitch, but he did nothing to make fantasy owners doubt his status as a true fantasy stud. Turner stole an incredible 46 bases in just 98 games, making him the most elite base-stealer in the game. The fact that he also chipped in 11 home runs, 75 runs, and a decent batting average only makes him all the more desirable. Given the scarcity of steals in the game, Turner is a sure-fire first-round pick, and can easily be considered in the top-five.
3 Charlie Blackmon (COL - CF) 5.0 +2.0
Blackmon won the National League batting title last season, and also hit a whopping 37 home runs while totaling an impressive 137 runs scored. It's difficult to expect a repeat of those numbers, which far surpassed anything Blackmon had done in the past. On the downside, his stolen base output (and efficiency) continued to dip, as Blackmon stole just 14 bases in 24 attempts. Blackmon is a first-rounder, for sure, but betting on the soon-to-be 32-year-old to put up a repeat performance is a bit aggressive. Look for closer to his excellent 2016 numbers (.324 average, 29 home runs and 111 runs scored) and you'll probably be satisfied with his output in 2018.
4 Paul Goldschmidt (STL - 1B) 4.0
Goldschmidt had another truly elite season, bouncing back from his minor power outage in 2016 to hit 36 home runs and finish as the fifth-ranked player in fantasy. There's little to discuss with Goldschmidt at this point - he's just 30 years old, has been an elite fantasy producer for five years, and shows no signs of decline. In fact, he had his highest hard-contact rate of his career in 2017. The addition of a humidor puts a minor damper on Goldschmidt's outlook, but don't overthink it, as he remains an elite hitter on the road. He's a top-10 pick in all fantasy formats this year.
5 Clayton Kershaw (LAD - SP) 3.0 -2.0
Kershaw had his worst year since 2012, as he struggled mightily to the tune of a 2.31 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP, with just a 10.39 K/9 rate. Seriously. That is what a bad year from Kershaw looks like. But although his numbers were elite as usual, it's worth noting that Kershaw once again missed time with an injury and his walk-rate regressed, and if not for an incredible 18 wins in just 27 starts, his season could have been a major disappointment. Kershaw is still the top fantasy pitcher in the game, but his days of being in a tier unto himself may finally be over.
6 Max Scherzer (WSH - SP) 6.0
Scherzer just keeps on keepin' on, as he posted his fifth-straight season of at least 200 innings pitched and a strikeout-rate of greater than 10 K/9 in 2017. He also finished with a sub 3.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP for the fourth time in his last five seasons. Scherzer set career-bests in strikeout-rate and ERA in 2017, and simply has shown no decline whatsoever over the last several years. He's one of the few true guaranteed aces in the game, and should be drafted no worse than the second pitcher off the board.
7 Kris Bryant (CHC - 3B,RF) 7.0
Bryant had a bizarre year, in that he disappointed with just 29 homers and a shockingly low 73 RBI. But he showed plenty of signs of growth as a hitter, cutting his strikeout-rate and raising his walk-rate significantly. In the end, Bryant still bats near the top of an elite lineup, and he is just now entering his prime. Expect the home run and RBI totals to rise (even if he continues to bat second as he did most of last year), and for him to provide first-round production in 2018 and beyond.
8 Joey Votto (CIN - 1B) 8.0
Votto, who has been an elite fantasy option for several years, somehow took his game to another level last year in his age-33 season. He tied his career-high in runs scored, and came close to matching his career-highs in home runs, RBI, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and walk rate. He also had the lowest strikeout rate of his career (just 11.7 percent) by a wide margin. Simply put, he was as good as he's ever been last year, and there's no reason to doubt him this season. Even with the depth at the first base position, taking Votto with an early pick is an obviously safe and wise move.
9 Freddie Freeman (ATL - 1B,3B) 9.0
Absent his wrist injury that cost him more than six weeks of action, Freeman easily would have had his best season ever. Regardless, he showed that the power gains he made in 2016 were real, and he posted the lowest strikeout rate and highest ISO of his career. Playing in the bandbox that is SunTrust Park, there's little reason to doubt Freeman's ability to be an elite power hitter going forward. Especially if he has third-base eligibility in your league, Freeman should be a very early pick and can be relied on as one of the building blocks of your fantasy team.
10 Anthony Rizzo (CHC - 1B,2B) 10.0
Rizzo has been perhaps the most reliable fantasy player in the game over the past four seasons, hitting either 31 or 32 home runs in each season, tallying between 89 and 99 RBI, and throwing in a handful of steals. But although his fantasy numbers remained consistent, he showed plenty of gains last year, cutting his strikeout rate and increasing his walk rate significantly. In other words, there's still plenty of room for growth for the young slugger. He remains one of the top first-base options in the game right now, but to the extent he gained second-base eligibility thanks to Joe Maddon's quirky shifts, he should be considered a truly elite fantasy option this year.
11 Josh Donaldson (ATL - 3B,DH) 14.0 +3.0
Donaldson finally succumbed to the calf injury he seemed to have been battling for the last two seasons, and missed six weeks on the disabled list. Although he struggled mightily for a bit after his return, he found his form in the second half, hitting 24 home runs for a total of 33 in just 113 games. Donaldson's strikeout-rate jumped significantly last year, which is always a little worrisome as he likely begins the downside of his career. But playing in a hitter's park and in his walk year, Donaldson should at least have one more big season in the bag, and should return to being an elite hitter this year.
12 Cody Bellinger (LAD - 1B,LF,CF) 12.0
Absent Aaron Judge's season, the baseball community would have been talking about Cody Bellinger's rookie year as perhaps the greatest of all time. Despite beginning the year in the minors and missing time on the disabled list, Bellinger swatted 39 home runs, and added 10 steals to boot. He did struggle some in the playoffs, especially in the World Series, where he struck out 17 times in 28 at-bats. That could mean that there's a book out on Bellinger, which could result in more strikeouts and a bit of a sophomore slump. Still, there's plenty of room for regression with the youngster, and he should still be an excellent fantasy option this year, even if his numbers dip a bit.
13 Stephen Strasburg (WSH - SP) 11.0 -2.0
Strasburg had the best full season of his career in 2017, going 15-4 with a career-best 2.52 ERA. As usual, he missed time with injury (a nerve impingment in his elbow), though he was utterly dominant after he returned, showing that there are few lingering concerns. In the end, when you draft Strasburg, you can usually pencil in relatively elite numbers across the board, but probably can't bank on more than 175 innings pitched. That makes him still a top-10 fantasy starter, but a tick below the elite.
14 Noah Syndergaard (NYM - SP) 13.0 -1.0
Syndergaard foolishly bulked up prior to the 2017 season and then tried to pitch through a strain in his arm before tearing his lat muscle. He returned to throw a few innings at the end of the season and, although it was the smallest of sample sizes, both his velocity and the results were peak Syndergaard. Now leaner and with a manager who is essentially a top pitching coach, Syndergaard should be ready to return to form. Though he has battled several nagging injuries, he hadn't missed significant time prior to last season, as he threw at least 190 innings in both 2015 and 2016. If he can stay healthy, he has almost unlimited potential, and should be considered a top-10 starter heading into 2018 drafts.
15 Corey Seager (LAD - SS) 15.0
Seager is an outstanding real-life ballplayer, but his fantasy totals don't really stand out anywhere. He's not much of a basestealer and has yet to top either 26 home runs or 77 RBI. Still, it's obvious that there's potential for much, much more with the young shortstop, and your worst case scenario is a player who will contribute in four categories and provide elite production in one (batting average). That safety makes Seager a valuable asset with upside, worthy of an early-round selection.
16 Jacob deGrom (NYM - SP) 16.0
deGrom was one of the few (only?) bright spots for the Mets in 2017, as he surpassed 200 innings pitched for the first time in his career and set a career-high in strikeout rate. An increased HR/FB rate, as with most pitchers last year, inflated his ERA a bit, but there was no doubt that deGrom pitched like an ace in 2017. He also got better as the season went along, lowing his walk-rate significantly in the second half. If the Mets improve as expected, deGrom could be a dark horse Cy Young candidate and a potential fantasy ace.
17 Christian Yelich (MIL - LF,CF,RF) 19.0 +2.0
Yelich is coming off another fine season, which saw him hit 18 home runs, steal 16 bases, and finish as the 20th-ranked outfielder in fantasy. But with his trade to the Brewers, he should be drafted significantly higher this season. Marlins Park has greatly depressed Yelich's numbers over the past two seasons. He hit 24 of his 39 home runs in that span on the road, and had an OPS 126 points lower at home 2017 and 170 points lower at home in 2016. Not only does he move out of Miami, but he goes to a hitters' haven in Miller Park, to a team that had the second-most stolen bases last season. Simply put, Yelich could easily go 25-25 this year and is knocking on the door of the top-10 outfielders.
18 Starling Marte (PIT - LF,CF) 26.0 +8.0
Marte obviously had a disappointing year considering he missed half the season after a PED suspension, and his .275 batting average and .379 slugging percentage were career-lows. But had he simply reached his average plate appearances from 2013-2016, he would have wound up with a .275-80-12-52-35 line, which essentially puts his floor at Lorenzo Cain-like production. With speed and batting average difficult to fill, Marte should be considered a borderline top-10 outfielder, even with the lack of a supporting cast.
19 Marcell Ozuna (STL - LF) 22.0 +3.0
Ozuna may have been the breakout player of the year, driving in an extra 50 runs from the previous season, batting 45 points higher and hitting for substantially more power. Another bump could come this year now that he is out of the Marlins' pitcher-friendly park.
20 Anthony Rendon (WSH - 3B) 23.0 +3.0
Rendon simply had a fantastic year in 2017, batting over .300 with solid counting stats all around. Perhaps most impressively, Rendon upped his walk-rate and dropped his strikeout significantly, so much so that he was one of just a few players to have more walks than strikeouts last year. The only thing truly keeping him down was Dusty Baker's insistence on batting him sixth, which depressed his run scored total (just 81). That shouldn't be a problem this year under Dave Martinez and, health-willing, Rendon should continue his growth as a hitter and perhaps put up a career-best season.
21 Rhys Hoskins (PHI - 1B,LF) 18.0 -3.0
Hoskins had an incredible season between Triple-A and the majors, swatting 47 home runs and totaling 115 RBI between the two levels. His 48 RBI in his first 50 Major League games is the best mark ever by a rookie, and his incredibly high walk rate and manageable strikeout rate suggests that his performance was not a fluke. With an improving Phillies lineup and another year under his belt, the sky is the limit for Hoskins heading into this season, and he should have dual-eligibility at both first base and outfield.
22 Yu Darvish (CHC - SP) DL60 21.0 -1.0
Darvish may not have gotten quite the payday he was looking for, but fantasy owners can't complain with him landing with the Cubs. Much has been made of Darvish's terrible World Series, but he had a relatively down year before that, finishing with a 3.86 ERA. He did, however, improve significantly after going to the Dodgers, both because of the switch in leagues and because of a lower arm slot that gave him more bite on his breaking ball. Sticking in the National League, Darvish should return to being the low-end ace that he was considered prior to his Tommy John surgery.
23 Kenley Jansen (LAD - RP) 17.0 -6.0
If you are going to draft a closer early, of course it ought to be Jansen. He has been the best closer in baseball for years running. With that said, why not wait 100 picks and grab 85% of the production from Archie Bradley or Sean Doolittle?
24 Zack Greinke (ARI - SP) 20.0 -4.0
Greinke is never going to strike out 270 hitters like some of the other top pitchers in baseball, but with the humidor now in Chase Field, you should move him a good 20 spots up your rankings and expect him to compete for the NL Cy Young again like we saw in 2015.
25 Jonathan Schoop (MIL - 2B) 31.0 +6.0
While there may be much more depth at second base this year than in years past, the second tier is a bit bare. Schoop leads the pack thanks to elite power for the position and a reliable batting average from year to year.
26 Wil Myers (SD - 1B,LF,RF) 34.0 +8.0
Myers' batting average dropped and his strikeout rate rose in 2017, but those are really the only negatives you can point to. He went 30-20, increased his walk rate to a career high 10.8%, and set a career high in hard-contact rate by a large margin. Yes, his runs and RBI totals dropped significantly, but those declines are hardly his fault, as the Padres' abysmal offense prevented him from padding his totals in those categories. Although the Padres may not be strong offensively again, Myers' combination of power and speed makes him an outstanding fantasy option at first base in 2018.
27 Chris Archer (PIT - SP) 28.0 +1.0
You can say what you want about Archer's talent, and you may be right seeing that he has 230+ strikeouts in three straight seasons, but he also has never won more than 12 games and is coming off back to back seasons with an ERA north of 4.00 so make of that what you will.
28 Carlos Martinez (STL - SP) 27.0 -1.0
Martinez had his highest ERA since 2014 last year (3.64) and he won just 12 games, but that's about where the bad news ends. The good news is that he set career bests in innings pitched (205), K/9 rate (9.53), BB/9 rate (3.12) and strikeouts (217). In the end, Martinez's somewhat "down" year was largely due to bad luck in the wins department and a fluky low left-on-base percentage of just 74.9%. It's unlikely that he'll take the jump to the upper echelon of fantasy starters until he can get his walk rate a bit lower, but as is, Martinez makes a rock solid starter. Expect improvement on his ERA and for him to hold the gains he has made elsewhere over the last few seasons.
29 Robinson Cano (NYM - 2B) 35.0 +6.0
Cano might not be the .320 hitter he was for most of his career, but you can still bet on .280 with 20+ homers and a bunch of runs and RBI. That should be enough to tempt you into snatching him in the first 70 picks.
30 Robbie Ray (ARI - SP) 24.0 -6.0
Last season, Ray became one of the premier pitchers in baseball. Granted, he only threw 162 innings, but if he can bump that up to 200 with the new humidor in Phoenix, he may crack the top 5 fantasy arms.
31 Lorenzo Cain (MIL - CF) 41.0 +10.0
Fantasy owners should be salivating over Cain's move to the Brewers. Miller Park is one of the best hitter's parks in baseball, and the Brewers have led MLB in stolen base attempts since Craig Counsell took over as manager. There are some warning signs under the surface for Cain's power, so dreams of a 25-homer season may be a little optimistic. But batting near the top of an outstanding lineup and in a great park, he should be in line for one of the best seasons of his career.
32 Eric Hosmer (SD - 1B) 40.0 +8.0
Hosmer had a career-year at just the right time, hitting 25 home runs for the second consecutive season but raising his batting average to an impressive .318. That season garnered him a large contract from the Padres (after a lengthy wait), where he'll man first base for the next several seasons. Petco Park isn't nearly the pitcher's park it once was, and Hosmer shouldn't see too much of a dip in power with the move from Kauffman Stadium. The bigger issue for Hosmer is whether he can keep his average gains despite an extremely high ground ball-rate (fourth-highest in the league among qualified hitters last season). If he does, expect him to be a low-end starting first baseman in mixed leagues or a strong corner infielder.
33 Yoenis Cespedes (NYM - LF) 39.0 +6.0
A bulked-up Cespedes could not stay healthy last year, missing significant time with hamstring issues. Even when he played, he was essentially battling through on one leg all season, which makes his production all the more remarkable. Despite playing hurt and in a depleted lineup, if you gave Cespedes his average plate appearances throughout his career, he would have wound up with a line of .292-85-31-78, which is more than respectable. Now healthy and with a better supporting cast, Cespedes should once again be a solid four-category producer and a valuable fantasy asset.
34 Aaron Nola (PHI - SP) 32.0 -2.0
Nola may be the games most underrated pitcher in the public opinion. He is an elite groundball pitcher and whiffs hitters at a rate that suggests he may be primed to jump into the top 10 pitchers in baseball this season.
35 Jean Segura (PHI - SS) 38.0 +3.0
Segura seems to be a steady .300 hitter all of a sudden the past few years. If he had stayed healthy all year, he likely would have hit 15 homers with near 30 steals. That is a quality middle infielder in a time where offensive shortstops don't grow on trees.
36 Jose Quintana (CHC - SP) MiLB 33.0 -3.0
While Quintana saw his ERA finally rise a full run to where his underlying stats indicated they should be, his K/9 jumped nearly two batters per game. The ERA may stay the same, but at least you are getting 200 Ks now with 12 to 15 wins for the Cubs.
37 Willson Contreras (CHC - C) 30.0 -7.0
If not for a strained hamstring that limited him to just 117 games last season, Contreras likely would have been a top-three catcher. As it is, he still finished ranked sixth at the position, swatting 21 home runs, knocking in 74 RBI, and throwing in five steals. All the underlying numbers support his breakout, as he boasted a 10.5% walk rate with a .223 ISO and a passable 22.9% strikeout rate. Batting in the middle of a strong Cubs lineup, expect Contreras to be one of the top catchers in fantasy again in 2018.
38 Ryan Braun (MIL - 1B,LF) 54.0 +16.0
It seemed as though it would never happen, but Braun seems to have finally hit a wall. He finished last year with just 17 homers, 52 RBI and a .268 batting average because of multiple lingering injuries. If he can stay healthy, he may bounce back, but your expectations ought to be closer to what we saw last season.
39 Travis Shaw (MIL - 3B) 42.0 +3.0
Shaw had a true breakout season with the Brewers, swatting 31 home runs, totaling 101 RBI, and throwing in 10 steals. His ability to hold his own against lefties led to him keeping the everyday job at third base, and though he struggled a bit down the stretch as he fought through injuries, there are few warning signs heading into this season. Shaw set career-bests in walk percentage and strikeout rate, and he should be a fine fantasy option at the hot corner this season.
40 Billy Hamilton (CIN - CF) 36.0 -4.0
If we knew Billy Hamilton would have a job all year, it might make sense to add his 60 steals and just deal with the crummy batting average and power numbers, but he has been so bad that 400+ at bats is nowhere close to a guarantee.
41 Buster Posey (SF - C,1B) 29.0 -12.0
From a fantasy standpoint, Posey had perhaps the worst full season of his career last year, hitting just 12 home runs and knocking in just 67 RBI, though he still finished as the third-best catcher in fantasy baseball. But his dip in performance was largely based on his lack of supporting cast, as he had the second-highest batting average and on-base percentage of his career. That supporting cast should look much better this year with Andrew McCutchen and Evan Longoria on board. Posey will be just 31 years old on Opening Day, and should still have another year or two before the inevitable "catcher decline." Though he may have been surpassed by Gary Sanchez, he's still an easy second choice at the position.
42 Yasiel Puig (LAD - RF) 53.0 +11.0
Puig had the best fantasy campaign of his career in 2017 and it wasn't even close with 28 HR and 1 SB. In fact, batted ball numbers indicate his BA may further climb in 2018.
43 Corey Knebel (MIL - RP) 37.0 -6.0
It is rare for a reliever to have such a dominant season (1.78 ERA, 126 Ks in 76 IP) and fall apart the next year outside of an injury. Expect more of the same from the Brewers' star closer in 2018.
44 Trevor Story (COL - SS) 51.0 +7.0
Story had a disappointing 2017. hitting just 24 home runs with a .239 batting average. He improved significantly in the second half, coming in with an .834 OPS, but even those gains can't make up for his nearly 35% strikeout rate. Story's production - even if he repeats his 2017 numbers - isn't awful, but with Brendan Rodgers waiting in the wings, it's unclear if it will be enough for him to hold his job all year. In the end, Story is a high-risk, high-reward player, who could easily hit 35 home runs or be out of a job by July. Whether you draft him depends on your risk tolerance and how desperate you are for power.
45 Jake Arrieta (PHI - SP) 43.0 -2.0
Arrieta's slide from his apex in the second half of 2015 continued last season, as he clocked in with his highest ERA (3.53) since 2013. But on the positive side, Arrieta clearly made adjustments in the second half, and looked much more like the old version of himself, improving in both ERA (4.35 in the first half, 2.25 in the second half) and WHIP (1.30 in the first half, 1.09 in the second half). The improvement came largely on his seemingly intentional effort to throw more strikes and strike out fewer hitters, as both his K/9 rate and BB/9 rate dropped significantly in the second half. That's a tradeoff that fantasy owners would likely take going forward, and it would make Arrieta a very solid, though not elite option. Citizens Bank Park won't do him any favors, and if his big jump in HR rate (1.23/9, highest since 2012) continues, he could be in for some trouble. But for now, after a second-half turnaround and with him staying in the National League, Arrieta remains a desirable commodity.
46 Domingo Santana (MIL - RF) 45.0 -1.0
If you draft Santana, just know that the Brewers may trade him to a team like the Rays, who's ballpark would be a big blow to Santana's production. If he stays in Milwaukee, we are looking at a potential repeat of 30 HR and 15 SB with plenty of R and RBI.
47 Ozzie Albies (ATL - 2B) 66.0 +19.0
Albies has a historically good season for a 20 year old in the majors, but that came without many homers or RBI. Repeating that efficiency as a sophomore will be a challenge, but he does possess 20 HR/40 SB upside and may end up the breakout of the season.
48 Ender Inciarte (ATL - CF) 62.0 +14.0
While Ender won't exactly provide power or RBIs, you can expect a .290 BA with 20+ SB and seeing that he was one of only nine players who did that last year, it's fair to say he is a solid 10th or 11th round pick.
49 Chris Taylor (LAD - 2B,SS,LF,CF) 55.0 +6.0
The first 250 at-bats of Taylor's career were uninspiring, but he had always been a solid hitter in the minors. A repeat of his 21/17 season seems unlikely, however, so don't draft him as the top 50 hitter he was in 2017.
50 Jon Lester (CHC - SP) 48.0 -2.0
Last year, Lester went from being the most consistent pitcher in baseball not named Kershaw to being a disappointment who might just be over the hill. While we might not see him compete for a Cy Young again, his floor is higher than most in the middle of drafts.
51 Felipe Vazquez (PIT - RP) 44.0 -7.0
Don't expect the Pirates to offer Rivero 40+ save opportunities this season, but Rivero is a safe investment if you want 25 saves and killer ratios from a mid-round closer.
52 Alex Wood (LAD - SP) 49.0 -3.0
Wood is an interesting case study because everyone was screaming for regression after his 10-0 start with a 1.67 ERA, .173 BAA and 10.9 K/9 in the first-half. When the regression came (3.89 ERA, .262 BAA and 6.8 K/9), no one seemed to notice because the final numbers were those of an ace. The second half ought to concern you enough that you don't even consider taking him within the first 10 rounds.
53 Ian Desmond (COL - 1B,LF) 64.0 +11.0
Weighed down by a league-leading 62.7% ground-ball rate, Desmond failed to take advantage of playing in Coors Field, hitting just seven home runs in 95 games last season. He missed significant time with a fractured hand early and a strained calf in the middle of the season, and just never seemed to get in a groove. Despite his troubles, he still managed to steal 15 bases in limited time, and his .274 batting average certainly didn't hurt you in today's landscape. With dual-eligibility at both first base and outfield, Desmond should be able to bounce back to being a reliable fantasy option if he can get get the ball in the air a bit more next season.
54 Rich Hill (LAD - SP) 61.0 +7.0
Over his last 175 innings, there may not have been a better pitcher in all of baseball and that is not hyperbole. With that said, don't expect much more than 120 innings this year and a dozen wins. Those innings should be dominant though.
55 Kyle Hendricks (CHC - SP) 50.0 -5.0
While the Cubs, righty may have a career 2.94 ERA, his underlying numbers and merely mediocre stuff scream for a substantial drop-off this season. He doesn't help much in strikeouts either.
56 Edwin Diaz (NYM - RP) 46.0 -10.0
As is true with most closers, Diaz has gone through some rough spells, but overall, the 23-year-old has been spectacular and may only get better from here.
57 Jake Lamb (ARI - 3B) 70.0 +13.0
Lamb was superb in the first-half last year, but really fell off in the second-half. With the humidor now in place, don't expect 30 HR or 100 RBI again this year. That .250 BA won't seem as manageable without all the power in place.
58 Ronald Acuna (ATL - LF,CF) 58.0
While there is no doubt about it that Acuna has MVP type upside, he is still extremely young and his swing has too many holes in it. The hype has gone too far and we shouldn't expect a Cody Bellinger type season from Acuna. Plus, he is starting the season in the minor leagues.
59 Luis Castillo (CIN - SP) 68.0 +9.0
You may not have noticed, but Castillo was positively dominant last season in his 90 inning debut. If he were to sustain that production over 200 innings, we'd be talking at a top 10 fantasy baseball pitcher.
60 Ryan Zimmerman (WSH - 1B) 72.0 +12.0
Zimmerman went largely undrafted in 2017, but turned in one of the most surprising seasons in recent memory. Buoyed by a torrid April in which he bashed 11 home runs and batted over .400, Zimmerman set career highs in both home runs and RBI in 2018. He slowed down a bit in the second half but he kept his power gains, showing that he was a fantasy-relevant first base option regardless of his hot start. Even if Zimmerman regresses as expected, there's plenty of room for him to remain a fantasy-relevant option even with decreased numbers. There are always question marks surrounding his health, but don't be afraid to buy into last year if your league gives you a discount.
61 Raisel Iglesias (CIN - RP) 52.0 -9.0
Iglesias took another big step forward last season, seeing his K/9 jump 1.4 and both of his fantasy ratios improve. While he may not get many save opportunities, Iglesias is safe this season as a fantasy asset.
62 Gregory Polanco (PIT - LF,RF) 73.0 +11.0
Polanco has always left fantasy owners with the feeling like he should be much better than he is. With excellent speed and burgeoning power, he has all the makings of a perennial 20-20 player, but injuries have held him back. He drastically cut his strikeout rate last year, however, and has embarked on an extreme training regimen this offseason. If he can manage to stay healthy for most of the season, he could finally have that breakout year. But he warned - the total lack of supporting cast in Pittsburgh could keep in check his runs scored and RBI numbers, even if he does have that breakout season fantasy owners are waiting for.
63 Adam Eaton (WSH - LF,CF,RF) 75.0 +12.0
We only got to see 23 games from Eaton last year, but he looked as good as ever before. With a full season in 2018, we can expect 10 to 15 homers, 15 SB and a quality average to go with plenty of runs scored.
64 Madison Bumgarner (SF - SP) 25.0 -39.0
Bumgarner missed about three months of the season last year after he injured his shoulder and his ribs in a dirt bike accident. The results were mediocre on his return, as he posted a decent 3.43 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, but lost several strikeouts over his career pace. The reason was likely a drop in velocity, but it rose back to Bumgarner's standard level by the end of the season, lessening concerns. In the end, given that his injury was a freak accident and that he returned (mostly) to form, there should be few worries with the big lefty heading into 2018.
65 Ian Happ (CHC - 2B,3B,LF,CF,RF) 67.0 +2.0
If we can guarantee Happ a full season worth of at-bats, we'd be looking at a middle infielder with 35 homers and double-digit steals. The problem is that the Cubs are so loaded that he will probably only see 400 at-bats unless an injury opens up full playing time.
66 Zack Godley (ARI - SP) 56.0 -10.0
Many are wondering if Godley is a fluke, but the underlying data backs up his breakout as legitimate. Add a humidor and we may see him kick it up another gear this season.
67 Matt Carpenter (STL - 1B,2B,3B) 71.0 +4.0
Carpenter's batting average dropped to a career-low .241, but the rest of his numbers remained almost entirely consistent with his career norms. He may have been one of the few victims of the fly-ball revolution, as his large jump in fly-ball rate (50.8%) led to a career low in BABIP (.274), despite a strong hard-contact percentage. In the end, don't let the .241 batting average fool you. Carpenter has not declined much if at all, and he should once again put up excellent numbers in 2018 batting at or near the top of a strong Cardinals lineup.
68 Wade Davis (COL - RP) 57.0 -11.0
Davis has been a top 3 closer in baseball over the past four seasons. With that said, moving to Colorado should bump his ERA north of 3.00 and WHIP up above 1.2 so he is only a fringe top-10 fantasy closer this year.
69 Javier Baez (CHC - 2B,3B,SS) 63.0 -6.0
It is easy to forget that Baez is still just 25 years old and that we likely haven't seen his prime yet. That may be 30 HR and 10 SB with a .280 average. For a middle infielder, that is well worth a top 100 pick.
70 Josh Bell (PIT - 1B) 87.0 +17.0
Overall, it was a mildly disappointing season from Bell, who despite being a high-average hitter in the minors, struggled to the tune of a .255 batting average. Both his walk rate and strikeout rate were significantly worse than he showed in his 45-game stretch in the majors in 2016, and he simply didn't take the leap that some people expected. Still, Bell did hit 26 home runs and made strides over the second half of the season, so there's reason for optimism going forward. But there's little currently to suggest a true breakout in 2018, and he should be considered more of a roster-filler than a potential difference-maker in fantasy leagues in 2018
71 Luke Weaver (ARI - SP) 60.0 -11.0
Luke Weaver, was a smashing success to close 2016, this proceeded to begin the year in Triple-A in 2017. Everyone was excited for him to be called back up, but few beyond his own mother perhaps, expected him to finish 6th in xFIP in front of the likes of Justin Verlander, Jacob deGrom, Carlos Carrasco and Luis Severino. His 11.0 K/9 were elite, as was virtually every other underlying metric. The Cardinals have a legitimate ace on their hands, and you can too with just an 11th round pick this year.
72 Johnny Cueto (SF - SP) 69.0 -3.0
The most similar pitchers to Cueto according to Baseball Reference are Peavy, Milwood, Beckett, Appier, Drabek and Weaver. How many of them had a single decent season after they turned 31? Zero,. Cueto appears to have hit the same wall in 2017.
73 Kyle Schwarber (CHC - LF) 80.0 +7.0
There is significant bust potential with Schwarber, who struck out 150 times in just 129 games while batting .211. With that said, he may be the only catcher besides Gary Sanchez with a shot at hitting 40 bombs. If you want to buy a lottery ticket, Schwarber is your man.
74 Sean Doolittle (WSH - RP) 59.0 -15.0
Doolittle's problem has never been effectiveness, but rather just injuries. And although last year was ultimately a successful season, Doolittle was limited to just 51 1/3 innings, and has pitched just 104 innings total over the previous three seasons. Still, he is truly an elite pitcher when healthy, and excelled as the Nationals closer last season. His ability to limit walks and hard hit fly balls (his HR/FB rate almost always ranks among the league leaders), as well as his excellent strikeout rate, makes him the perfect option in the ninth inning. On a team that will provide him with plenty of save opportunities, Doolittle makes one of the best fantasy options at relief pitcher.
75 Michael Conforto (NYM - LF,CF,RF) 89.0 +14.0
This may be the biggest lottery pick of the fantasy season. If his shoulder injury lingers, it will be a waste of a pick, but we are looking at a player with .280/40/100 potential if he gets a full season.
76 Justin Turner (LAD - 3B) 47.0 -29.0
Turner missed time with leg injuries but he proved, once again, that he is a completely changed hitter. He set career-bests in walk rate, strikeout rate, and OPS, and even threw in seven steals to boot. Injuries will always be an issue - last year's 130 games played were the second-most of Turner's career - but there is no reason to doubt his production when he's in the lineup. Forget the part-time player that the Mets cast off years ago - Turner's a legitimate fantasy stud when he plays, and is worthy of an early-mid round pick.
77 Evan Longoria (SF - 3B) 90.0 +13.0
Longoria was fantastic in 2016, so his 2017 season may have seemed like a major disappointment. The fact is, however, that it was very much in line with what he did in both 2014 and 2015, so don't be banking on a bounce-back.
78 Eugenio Suarez (CIN - 3B) 99.0 +21.0
Suarez doesn't offer much in the way of batting average or stolen bases, but he is useful in the other three main categories and makes for a reliable mid-round third basemen.
79 Odubel Herrera (PHI - CF) 104.0 +25.0
At this point, it is quite clear that Herrera will give us a .280 batting average with a hint of power and speed. It is nice to have a reliable asset like that later on in drafts, but his upside is limited.
80 Justin Bour (PHI - 1B) 95.0 +15.0
There's little reason to doubt Bour's ability at this point, as he's established himself as a legitimate power hitter over the last three seasons. An increase in hard-contact rate led to a 26% HR/FB rate last season, which was 13th-best in the league despite Bour playing his home games in Marlins Park. The total lack of supporting cast this season is certainly worrisome for Bour, and his RBI totals may take a dip. But he should still be considered a relatively safe source of home runs heading into 2018.
81 Manuel Margot (SD - CF) 76.0 -5.0
Margot played more than expected last season, but didn't put up nearly the counting stats fantasy owners hoped for. His upside is that of a 20/35 power/speed combo, but virtually all projections have him performing near the mediocre stats he put up in 2017.
82 J.T. Realmuto (MIA - C,1B) 65.0 -17.0
While Realmuto showed last season that his .303 batting average from 2016 was a fluke, he did tack on 6 more homers and 17 extra RBIs. He is also the most stolen base friendly catcher, so depending on the makeup of your team, you may want to target him toward the middle of your drafts.
83 Jonathan Gray (COL - SP) MiLB 81.0 -2.0
It is amazing what Gray was able to do at Coors Field last year (3.13 ERA, 4 HR allowed), but we've never seen anyone sustain that type of success over a full season for the Rockies. He may strike out 200 and win 15 games, but don't bank on useful ratios again this season.
84 Adam Duvall (ATL - 1B,LF) 79.0 -5.0
For two straight seasons now, Duvall has hit 30+ HR and driven in 99+ runs. The batting average isn't pretty, but won't single-handedly kill your team in that category.
85 Brandon Morrow (CHC - RP) DL60 78.0 -7.0
Morrow's turn from mediocre starter to elite reliever became complete last year, as he turned in a dominant season for the Dodgers. He became an integral part of the team's success, and even pitched in all seven games in the World Series. He parlayed his season into a three-year deal with the Cubs to be their closer, which instantly made him one of the most coveted relief pitchers in all of fantasy. Assuming the Cubs don't swoop in and sign Greg Holland, Morrow should be a strong source of ratios, strikeouts, and saves, as there's little reason to doubt his ability to pitch well when healthy. But tread lightly - he has not pitched more than 57 innings in any season since 2012, and his checkered injury history suggests more caution is warranted than most relievers.
86 Paul DeJong (STL - 2B,SS) 74.0 -12.0
The batted ball data suggests that Dejong's power is legitimate. He does have holes in his wing, however, and may see the batting average drop to around .255. Still, with 30+ homers and at shortstop, that is a quality mid-round pick.
87 Garrett Richards (SD - SP) 84.0 -3.0
Richards has been limited to just 62 1/3 innings over the past two seasons, as arm injuries have derailed his promising career to this point. Now fully healthy, he makes an intriguing pick on draft day. Armed with elite velocity and both a plus-slider and a plus-curveball, Richards is a master at limiting hard contact. With an improved Angels lineup, Richards should be in line for plenty of wins with solid peripherals if -- and that is the key word -- if he can stay healthy. His troubling injury history should keep his price under control, but he offers nearly as much upside as anyone going in the late rounds.
88 Jameson Taillon (PIT - SP) 88.0
It's hard to know what to make of Taillon, who missed two full years in the minors because of injuries and then missed a chunk of time last year due to testicular cancer. His recovery and return from the illness was one of the feel-good stories of the year, but it is difficult to know whether his struggles after his return were because of the illness or just poor performance. Taillon led the league in BABIP-against last year (.352) and, not surprisingly, had a FIP about a run lower than his 4.44 ERA. Your best bet is to draft Taillon expecting him to improve on last year's numbers, but keeping below a 4.00 ERA, and not much more than that, should be your baseline expectation.
89 Hector Neris (PHI - RP) 77.0 -12.0
While it seems clear that Neris is the best reliever in the Phillies bullpen, his role as the closer may not be a lock. He is worth owning regardless, but make sure to keep tabs on the news coming out of camp, as it would effect his draft stock nearly 100 slots.
90 Dexter Fowler (STL - CF,RF) 105.0 +15.0
Fowler puts up quality numbers whenever he is on the field, but he has only played more than 125 games once in the past five seasons. If he can stay healthy, we can bet on 20 HR, 10 SB and 90 runs, but that is a big if.
91 Kenta Maeda (LAD - SP) 92.0 +1.0
After a terrific rookie campaign, Maeda took a small step backward last year. It wasn't for lack of efficiency, however, considering he improved all over the board. Rather, it was an innings issue which again is the concern for 2018.
92 Yadier Molina (STL - C) 83.0 -9.0
Molina's value often came from just a heavy workload, as his ability to compile stats usually resulted in a top-12 finish at the catcher position, even if it didn't seem like a great ride. But his 2017 was truly miraculous, as he swatted 18 home runs and stole nine bases, both of which were the second-best marks at his career. His solid year was backed up by a decline in his ground-ball percentage and career-high in hard-contact rate, suggesting it was no fluke. Molina has seen an incredibly high workload in his career and will be 36 years old this season, so the ride should likely end sometime soon. But at an incredibly weak position, he's certainly a safe bet to provide decent and starting-caliber fantasy numbers.
93 Jeff Samardzija (SF - SP) 91.0 -2.0
Samardzija had a fine year other than his inflated ERA. He finished the season with the best walk rate (just 3.8%) and strikeout to walk rate (20.4%) of his career, and his second best WHIP (1.14) and strikeout rate (24.2%). The problem for the Shark, as it has been throughout his career, was his home run rate, as his 1.30 HR/9 rate was one of the worst in the league. If he can just correct that number and bring it back to his career mark of 1.05 HR/9, he could be a borderline elite starter. That, combined with his five straight 200-inning seasons, leaves him as a valuable mid-to-late round selection in fantasy drafts.
94 Chase Anderson (MIL - SP) 85.0 -9.0
Anderson lept from being a #4 starting pitcher in the majors to posting a 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through 141 innings last season. Don't count on a repeat performance, however, as his underlying metrics remained the same season to season, suggesting loads of luck last year.
95 Arodys Vizcaino (ATL - RP) 82.0 -13.0
Vizcaino found his control last season, and turned in a fine year, holding down the closer's role with ease in the latter part of the season. His control, which had been downright awful in 2016, was much improved, as he cut his walk rate from 6.05/9 to a passable 3.30/9. Combined with an above-average strikeout rate, Vizcaino has plenty of tools to be a successful closer. But it is worth noting that in light of his inflated hard contact rate and his luck in strand rate, Vizcaino's FIP (3.72) and xFIP (4.21) were much higher than his ERA (2.83) last season. If his luck regresses, he could lose his grip on the role, especially with A.J. Minter waiting in the wings.
96 Eric Thames (MIL - 1B,LF,RF) 102.0 +6.0
We all rememeber how phenomenal Thames was to start last season, but don't forget that he only hit 8 homers and drove in 20 runs in the second half last year. That isn't to say he will be a complete flop, but be advised that his 2018 numbers are unlikely to mirror his 2017 breakout.
97 Steven Souza (ARI - RF) 100.0 +3.0
Souza certainly won't help you in the batting average department, but he is a quality source of homers and steals. Bonus points if you play in an OBP league.
98 David Peralta (ARI - LF,RF) 130.0 +32.0
Peralta is as good of a bet as you will find in the middle of drafts to bat .290, but he might not even provide a dozen homers with the humidor now in action.
99 Taijuan Walker (ARI - SP) 94.0 -5.0
Since being compared to Dwight Gooden as a prospect, Walker has been a bit of a disappointment in fantasy terms. Still, he has been improving with each year including posting a 3.49 in Coors Field lite last season. Now that they have the humidor, we may see him take a leap to being an MLB #2 starting pitcher.
100 Mark Melancon (SF - RP) 86.0 -14.0
For four consecutive seasons, Melancon was a dynamite closer. After signing the huge contract with San Francisco, however, he had a terrible season. He's got dibs at the save opportunities, but the ratios aren't a guarantee to bounce back.
101 Kevin Gausman (ATL - SP) 96.0 -5.0
There may have been no starting pitcher who killed more fantasy teams last year than Gausman in the first-half. In the second, however, he was right in line with the top 15 starting pitchers in baseball and that would also be his upside this season.
102 Maikel Franco (PHI - 3B) 116.0 +14.0
Franco has been around long enough that you may think we know exactly who he is, but he's still just 24 years old and could break out into a 30 HR, .270 BA type of monster any time. If you need a lottery ticket late in drafts, Franco fits the description.
103 Scooter Gennett (CIN - 2B,3B,LF) 97.0 -6.0
While it is reasonable to expect Scooter to take a major step back after last year's major breakout, even regression would leave him as a .270 hitter with 20 homers which is a plenty useful fantasy middle infielder.
104 Corey Dickerson (PIT - LF,DH) 108.0 +4.0
Dickerson's batting average bounced back up last season to his career line of .280 and the power stayed despite playing his home games in Tampa. He should have no trouble repeating his 25 HR, .280 BA output in Pittsburgh if he can stay healthy.
105 Todd Frazier (NYM - 3B) 119.0 +14.0
Frazier had a rough year splitting time between the White Sox and the Yankees, but he still clubbed 27 home runs. Although his batting average was anemic even by his standards (just .213), he set a career high in walk rate at 14.4% and his strikeout rate remained consistent. Now batting in the middle of suddenly solid Mets lineup and playing close to his home town, Frazier should be able to once again top 25 home runs with decent counting stats. If he gets his steals back up into the double digits, he could be a draft day bargain.
106 Orlando Arcia (MIL - SS) 101.0 -5.0
Arcia may be a defense first shortstop, but he also offered fantasy owners 15 homers, 14 steals and a .277 batting average last year. Even a repeat would be welcomed in fantasy lineups, but he was just 22 years old last year so perhaps he takes another step or two forward.
107 Cole Hamels (CHC - SP) 98.0 -9.0
Hamels really struggled for the first time in his career in 2017. He failed to reach 200 innings pitched for the first time since 2009, saw his strikeout rate dip to a career low, and had a 4.20 ERA (with a 4.62 FIP and 4.83 xFIP). Father time eventually catches up to everyone not named David Ortiz, and in light of Hamels' decreased velocity, it certainly appears on the surface that it has finally caught up to him. Still, even with his struggles, he had just a 1.20 WHIP, and a crafty veteran like Hamels probably still has tricks up his sleeve. But he's much more of a back-end-of-the-rotation starter, and you probably shouldn't expect that much from him in 2018.
108 Archie Bradley (ARI - RP) 93.0 -15.0
After struggling in the rotation through 34 career starts, Arizona made the decision to move Bradley to the bullpen where he was lights out last season. He posted stellar ratios and struck out nearly 10 hitters per 9 innings. If the Diamondbacks do name him the closer, we would be looking at a top 10 reliever in baseball.
109 Cesar Hernandez (PHI - 2B) 122.0 +13.0
It may seem like a boring pick to you, but Hernandez has now hit over .290 in consecutive full seasons and scored 85 runs last year. He won't hit for much power, but the 15 to 20 stolen bases certainly help.
110 Jose Peraza (CIN - 2B,SS) 118.0 +8.0
Peraza is certainly no source of power, but he is a .277 hitter through his MLB career thus far and averages 34 stolen bases per 162 games played. He is a safe source of steals late into drafts as we can virtually guarantee he holds onto the starting job all season even if he struggles a bit.
111 Michael Wacha (STL - SP) 109.0 -2.0
It was once thought that Wacha would compete each year with Matt Harvey to be the NL Cy Young. That clearly isn't the case anymore, but he does seem to be a reliable mediocre pitcher at this point in his career, and it never hurt anyone to add an arm like that at the end of their drafts.
112 Starlin Castro (MIA - 2B) 135.0 +23.0
Castro does take a sizeable ballpark factor dip this season which could knock his HR, RBI and R down, but let's try to not be so quick to forget that he batted .300 last season and was on pace for over 20 homers for the second straight season if it weren't for his injury.
113 Brandon Belt (SF - 1B,LF) 138.0 +25.0
Belt's batting average dipped last season as he struggled to stay healthy, but if he can get on the field this year, we know Belt should return to delivering a .275 BA with 15 to 20 HR, 65+ RBI and 70+ runs. That isn't a great fantasy player, but it is a useful bench asset for sure.
114 Addison Russell (CHC - SS) RST 112.0 -2.0
Russell is more well known as a result of the Cubs' success and his wizardry in the field than for his offensive prowess. The potential for 25 HR is there for the youngster, but his .240 career batting average tells the story about his limits.
115 Julio Teheran (ATL - SP) 103.0 -12.0
The Braves' veteran struggled last year as his ERA ballooned from 3.21 to 4.49 in just one season, but he has been superb in Spring Training. Teheran won't provide much in the way of strikeouts, but he is a durable pitcher who shouldn't kill your ratios.
116 Ryan McMahon (COL - 1B,2B,3B) 141.0 +25.0
McMahon batted .355 with 69 extra-base hits and 11 steals in just 119 minor league games last season. He offers elite rookie potential playing half of his games in Coors if he can earn the starting job out of Spring Training.
117 Tanner Roark (WSH - SP) 114.0 -3.0
For most of his career, Roark offered nothing in the way of strikeouts, but that has changed suddenly. The issue is that his ratios have suffered at the same time. He isn't safe, but there is always a chance you get that 2.83 ERA with 16 wins that we saw in 2016.
118 Dinelson Lamet (SD - SP) 107.0 -11.0
Last year as a rookie, the 6'4" righty had some rough stretches which led to a season-long 4.57 ERA, but his peripheral stats suggest much better is on the horizon. The difference between his 10.9 K/9 and 6.9 H/9 was only topped by five starting pitchers: Chris Sale, Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber, Rich Hill and Robbie Ray. Sure, he needs to work on his command and consistency a little, as most youngsters do, but that is mighty impressive company.
119 Brian McCann (ATL - C) 106.0 -13.0
McCann's nine-season streak of at least 20 home runs was snapped last year, as injuries limited him to just 399 plate appearances and 18 home runs. There were warning signs for the veteran, such as a career-low in hard-contact rate, but overall, his numbers remained relatively consistent. He'll continue to sit against lefties, but his consistent power stroke and his place in a strong lineup keeps him as a definite starter in mixed leagues, even as he reaches the wrong end of the aging curve for catchers.
120 Scott Kingery (PHI - 2B,3B,SS) 111.0 -9.0
Kingery has the skill-set to push the envelope. If he ends up slated to start opening day, consider him a top 200 overall fantasy player, otherwise he is merely a draft and stash play for deeper leagues.
121 Michael Taylor (WSH - CF) 117.0 -4.0
We knew Taylor possessed fantasy potential for a while, but he finally put it together last season. In less than 400 at-bats, he posted 19 homers and 17 SB with a solid .271 BA. Pro-rated to a full-season, we could be looking at a 25/25 type of player.
122 Jose Martinez (STL - 1B,LF,RF) 131.0 +9.0
 
123 Matt Kemp (LAD - LF,RF) 128.0 +5.0
Kemp can still mash, but his durability and defensive liabilities may keep him out of the lineup for a third of the season. The .275 BA with 20 HR and 65 RBI he gave us last year is about what we should expect in 2018.
124 Aaron Altherr (PHI - LF,CF,RF) 144.0 +20.0
We've seen Altherr go white-hot for an extended period of time so thee is definitely upside to be found here, but the second-half did not paint a pretty picture so proceed with risk in mind.
125 Lewis Brinson (MIA - LF,CF) 124.0 -1.0
Lew was beyond abysmal in his cup of coffee last year, batting .106 with just 1 steal, but in the long-run, that is not who he is. More likely, we are looking at a .250 hitter with both power and speed in the same mold as Carlos Gomez or Michael Taylor.
126 Patrick Corbin (WSH - SP) 110.0 -16.0
Corbin's WHIP was dreadful last season, but he did throw 190 decent innings and won 14 games. Now that he'll be pitching with the humidor in place, we can expect the ERA to drop to near 3.50 this season while the wins likely remain in place.
127 Amed Rosario (NYM - SS) 125.0 -2.0
There is a little too much hype surrounding the offensively raw rookie who hit just .248 with no power last season. Sure, he batted .328 in Triple-A, but Las Vegas is the minor league equivalent to Coors Field, and the power was still absent. He may steal 20 bags in the Bigs this season, though.
128 Luke Gregerson (STL - RP) 137.0 +9.0
To begin Spring Training, Mike Matheny said Gregerson would be the Cardinals closer, but as it stands now, Dominic Leone is looking more and more like the guy. Don't give up on Gregerson altogether, but at this point he isn't worth drafting in standard leagues.
129 Jedd Gyorko (STL - 1B,2B,3B,SS) 197.0 +68.0
Jedd has 50 HRs in his last 825 at bats and batted .272 last season. If he remains the starter, fantasy owners will have a bargain utility player late in drafts.
130 David Dahl (COL - LF,CF,RF) 120.0 -10.0
Dahl has five-tool upside and could very well turn into another Carlos Gonzalez for the Rockies. The issue here, is that the Rockies are expected to start him in the minor leagues and he'll have to knock off an established major leaguer or two to get his crack at big league at-bats.
131 Nick Williams (PHI - LF,CF,RF) 167.0 +36.0
The former top prospect is flying under the radar despite offering 25 homer potential with a near 300 batting average. He will even steal some bags for you.
132 Scott Schebler (CIN - CF,RF) 158.0 +26.0
You may not like the .233 batting average that he offered fantasy owners last season, but he did knock 30 homers and there is no subsitute for that kind of late round power.
133 Ketel Marte (ARI - 2B,SS) 164.0 +31.0
Marte has now hit just 8 homers over his first three seasons, but he won't hurt you in batting average and could steal 20 bases if he gets a full season of playing time in Arizona this year.
134 Keone Kela (PIT - RP) 157.0 +23.0
The Rangers have not given a conclusive answer as to who their closer will be, but it is seeming more and more likely that Kela, the best man for the job, will be handed the role. If it happens, he would immediately become a top 15 reliever in baseball with even larger upside.
135 Joe Musgrove (PIT - SP,RP) 188.0 +53.0
 
136 Tyler Chatwood (CHC - SP,RP) MiLB 115.0 -21.0
 
137 Brandon Crawford (SF - SS) 127.0 -10.0
With Crawford's power keeping him below 15 homers and his lack of steals, Crawford's fantasy impact will be dependent on whether his batting average ends up around the .275 mark we got two years go or the .250 mark that he has sat at virtually his entire career. The RBIs and runs will be there, but without the average, he is only a fringe fantasy asset.
138 Austin Barnes (LAD - C,2B) 113.0 -25.0
The Dodgers used Barnes and Grandal in a platoon type situation last year. That doesn't mean Barnes is guaranteed at-bats, however, in 2018. If he does, it is safe to expect him to take a step back well outside of the top 12 at his position.
139 Miles Mikolas (STL - SP) 145.0 +6.0
Mikolas is a total question mark. He started the spring as a disaster, but has rebounded and has many thinking he could be another Lance Lynn type pitcher for the Cardinals this season.
140 Luiz Gohara (ATL - SP,RP) MiLB 152.0 +12.0
It is hard to believe that a 6'3" lefty who has touched 100 MPH was able to go overlooked as a minor league prospect, but he was somehow barely scratching the top 100 in most lists when he made his debut as a 20-year-oldĀ despite carrying a 2.62 ERA and 147 Ks in just 123 innings this season. Luiz Gohara didn't finish the season well, but he is the ultimate late-round lottery ticket for next season.
141 Alex Reyes (STL - SP) 156.0 +15.0
Many seem to think Reyes will become the closer when he returns from the DL, but Matheny has made it clear that Reyes belongs in the rotation. He is well worth a DL draft and stash as he may end up becoming the Cardinals ace sooner than later.
142 Jimmy Nelson (MIL - SP) DL60 143.0 +1.0
The Brewers' new-found ace may not pitch until mid-season, but he is without question worth drafting. When he returns, you might just get a top 20 pitcher in baseball for the rest of the season. Store him on the DL until the time comes then rake in the rewards for your patience.
143 Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD - SP) 191.0 +48.0
Ryu only threw 126 innings last year, but they were useful innings for a fantasy team. His career ERA is 3.41 and while he may have had a terrible spring, a full season with that type of ERA is a legitimate possibility.
144 Jesse Winker (CIN - LF,RF) 175.0 +31.0
Winker is the player who will slip under the radar despite being a former top 40 prospect then proceeding to rake in the majors after his debut. In 47 games, he batted .298/.375/.529, which if extended to a full season, compares favorably to George Springer and Andrew McCutchen. Now, he won't steal more than a handful of bases, but even without it, he is likely to be vastly overlooked.
145 Dominic Leone (STL - RP) DL60 123.0 -22.0
Oh, you actually believed the rumor that Luke Gregerson (4.57 ERA, 13 HR allowed) was going to be the Cardinals closer over Leone? It is only a matter of time before the entire fantasy baseball community catches wind of the fact that Leone is far and away the best reliever in St. Louis. Over the second half, he morphed into a force of nature for the Blue Jays, posting a 2.05 ERA with 11.5 K/9 and a .205 batting average against. This is the cheapest closer you can find right now, and he may just end up top 10 at the position this year.
146 Josh Hader (MIL - RP) 132.0 -14.0
Hader is a former top prospect for the Brewers who was stuck in the bullpen last year. Now, that may happen again, but even if it does and he doesn't find a way to steal the closer job from Corey Knebel, Hader is dominant enough to be owned in even standard leagues. Over the second half of the season, he was better than Craig Kimbrel, Edwin Diaz and a host of other top closers. This season, you can expect him to strike out near 100 hitters with a great ERA and WHIP. Don't sleep on the idea that he ends up as the Brewers closer if Knebel stumbles, or better yet, gets his crack in the rotation where he just may be a future ace.
147 Hunter Renfroe (SD - LF,RF) 163.0 +16.0
Renfroe did not provide a useful batting average last year, but he does have 30 to 35 homer pop if he gets enough at-bats. With that, obviously, comes plenty of runs and RBIs.
148 Joe Panik (SF - 2B) 126.0 -22.0
 
149 Joc Pederson (LAD - LF,CF) 160.0 +11.0
Pederson made the Dodgers' roster and they are teaching him to play some first base. He might not get 300 at-bats once again this season, but he if can find a way on the field, his upside is tantalizing.
150 Zach Davies (MIL - SP) 121.0 -29.0
Davies won't strike out 150 hitters for you, but he should provide ratios that you can live with and is a good bet to win a dozen games in front of that Brewers' lineup/
151 Dansby Swanson (ATL - SS) 133.0 -18.0
After starting his MLB career with a bang in 2016, Swanson has a rough 2017, batting .232 with just 6 homers and 3 stolen bases. The bat will come along eventually, but it may not be this year. With that said, the upside is there for him to be a top 12 shortstop if he puts it all together in 2018.
152 Chris Iannetta (COL - C) 129.0 -23.0
 
153 Keon Broxton (MIL - CF) MiLB 142.0 -11.0
Broxton is a quality fantasy asset, having it 20 homers and swiped 20 bases last year, but his batting average is low plus the Brewers don't have room for him to play. At this point, he is merely a stash or a waiver wire watch.
154 Alex Avila (ARI - C,1B) 153.0 -1.0
If you whiffed on your top catching targets, there is no need to fret, you can get Avila late and he may just be a top five catcher this year. Last season, his batted ball rates were through the roof. Even with Chase Field adding the humidor, he may be in for a breakout campaign.
155 Jack Flaherty (STL - SP) 186.0 +31.0
The Cardinals are starting Flaherty in the minors despite a terrific spring from the youngster. It might only be a matter of time before he gets called up and when he does, he should be picked up in all formats.
156 Austin Hedges (SD - C) 134.0 -22.0
 
157 Kyle Barraclough (WSH - RP) 195.0 +38.0
Barraclough needs to work on his command so that he can bring the ratios down to a more favorable level for fantasy teams, but he is a good bet to rack up 75+ strikeouts and happens to be second behind one of the shakiest closers in baseball.
158 Victor Robles (WSH - RF) 172.0 +14.0
There is a reason Robles is among the top prospects in baseball. Not only does he carry all five tools, but his stats have been downright amazing in the minors against much older competition. It is only a matter of time before he forces his way into a big league lineup and when he does, you will want to own him quickly.
159 Jason Heyward (CHC - CF,RF) 149.0 -10.0
It may seem as though Heyward will never hit sufficiently again, but it is easy to forget that he is still young. There is untapped upside here so feel free to take a flier, especially in a an OBP league where even his floor isn't worthless.
160 A.J. Minter (ATL - RP) 155.0 -5.0
The Braves and many around the industry seem to think Minter may be the next Craig Kimbrel. We haven't seen enough yet to warrant owning a project reliever, but he is worth keeping an eye on even if he isn't notching saves for another year. He might be able to be a big help in three categories.
161 Dan Straily (MIA - SP) SUS 182.0 +21.0
 
162 C.J. Edwards (CHC - RP) MiLB 161.0 -1.0
Brandon Morrow has more of a locked down closers job than many others, but if he were to falter, Edwards might just be a top 5 closer from that point on. He has elite strikeout stuff and will be a tremendous help with both ERA and WHIP regardless of whether or not he sees save opportunities.
163 Curtis Granderson (MIL - LF,CF,RF,DH) FA 159.0 -4.0
 
164 Colin Moran (PIT - 1B,3B) 201.0 +37.0
 
165 Albert Almora (CHC - CF) 217.0 +52.0
 
166 German Marquez (COL - SP) MiLB 178.0 +12.0
 
167 Vince Velasquez (PHI - SP) 196.0 +29.0
We will more than likely get something in the neighborhood of the 5.13 ERA Velasquez posted last season, but try to remember that it was just two years ago when he lit the world on fire, striking out 152 batters in 131 innings with manageable ratios.
168 Jose Pirela (SD - 1B,2B,LF,RF) 189.0 +21.0
 
169 Travis d'Arnaud (NYM - C) 147.0 -22.0
While d'Arnaud hasn't offered fantasy owners much over the first handful of years, try to remember that he is a former top prospect and that catchers develop much more slowly offensivley than other positions. He has the upside to swat 20+ homers while batting around .250.
170 Sean Newcomb (ATL - SP) 165.0 -5.0
Newcomb's final numbers weren't all that pretty, but he flashed the makings of a strong fantasy starter. He is a hoss that can pile up the innings and may just reach 200 Ks this season with a decent ERA.
171 Tyler Flowers (ATL - C) 168.0 -3.0
 
172 Tyler Lyons (STL - RP) DFA 190.0 +18.0
 
173 Jorge Alfaro (PHI - C) 136.0 -37.0
 
174 Francisco Mejia (SD - C,DH) 162.0 -12.0
If you've got a deep bench, Mejia is a terrific late-round flier to take a shot on. He's got the talent to force his way onto the Indians' opening day roster, and if he does, he will likely get 3B at bats while qualifying at catcher. Some have said he can bat .280 as a rookie with decent pop.
175 Tyler Mahle (CIN - SP) 200.0 +25.0
 
176 Ty Blach (SF - SP,RP) 176.0
 
177 Darren O'Day (ATL - RP) MiLB 253.0 +76.0
 
178 Nick Senzel (CIN - 3B) MiLB 180.0 +2.0
Senzel may not make the big leagues out of Spring Training, but he is the top draft and stash candidate in fantasy baseball. He should help in all five categories from the moment he arrives in Cincy.
179 Yasmany Tomas (ARI - LF) MiLB 170.0 -9.0
Tomas has tremendous upside and has flashed it for half a season before his 2017 injury. The issue is that the D-Backs have a loaded outfield so he will fight for playing time. If he gets plugged into the starting lineup, you should pick him up immediately.
180 Lonnie Chisenhall (PIT - LF,CF,RF) 210.0 +30.0
 
181 Jerad Eickhoff (PHI - SP) 199.0 +18.0
Eickhoff has a lat strain and should miss the first month or two. When he returns, we might see the lousy 4.71 ERA that he gave fantasy owners last season, but remember that his career ERA is below 4.00 and he can strikeout quite a few hitters as well.
182 Ivan Nova (PIT - SP) 173.0 -9.0
 
183 Pedro Strop (CHC - RP) 260.0 +77.0
 
184 Chris Stratton (SF - SP) 211.0 +27.0
 
185 Steven Matz (NYM - SP) 151.0 -34.0
Matz was truly terrible last season, but we know the type of pitcher he could be if he stays healthy and puts it all together. He had a rough spring, but is getting his crack in the rotation so Matz might be worthy of a flier.
186 Kolten Wong (STL - 2B) 198.0 +12.0
If Wong could stay on the field for a full season, we would see that he has 15 HR, 15 SB upside to go with his .285 batting average from last season. With that said, he has only managed even 420 at bats just twice in his career so a full bill of health may be a pipe dream.
187 Trevor Williams (PIT - SP,RP) 208.0 +21.0
 
188 Pat Neshek (PHI - RP) 148.0 -40.0
 
189 Manny Pina (MIL - C) 184.0 -5.0
 
190 Jason Vargas (NYM - SP) 146.0 -44.0
 
191 Ben Zobrist (CHC - 2B,LF,RF) 140.0 -51.0
There is no doubt about it that Zobrist is on the last leg of his career, but after hitting .270 or higher for five consecutive years, his .232 line screams positive regression. Zobrist will still hit double-digit homers and tack on both runs and RBI for you.
192 Jarrod Dyson (ARI - LF,CF,RF) 203.0 +11.0
 
193 Brandon Nimmo (NYM - LF,CF,RF) 240.0 +47.0
 
194 Jhoulys Chacin (MIL - SP) 177.0 -17.0
 
195 Mike Foltynewicz (ATL - SP) 185.0 -10.0
 
196 Sam Dyson (SF - RP) 219.0 +23.0
 
197 Eduardo Escobar (ARI - 2B,3B,SS,DH) 181.0 -16.0
 
198 Clayton Richard (SD - SP) 216.0 +18.0
 
199 Tyler Anderson (COL - SP) MiLB 218.0 +19.0
 
200 Tony Watson (SF - RP) 166.0 -34.0
 
201 Amir Garrett (CIN - SP,RP) 229.0 +28.0
We saw Garrett jump out to a hot start to begin his career, but then it all came tumbling down. He finished the season with terrible numbers, but it turns out he was pitching at less than 100% most of the season. Garrett is healthy now, however and his velo has spiked 4 MPH, so don't be shocked if he breaks out.
202 Enrique Hernandez (LAD - 2B,3B,SS,LF,CF,RF) 280.0 +78.0
 
203 Drew Steckenrider (MIA - RP) 202.0 -1.0
 
204 Ross Stripling (LAD - SP,RP) 320.0 +116.0
 
205 Brent Suter (MIL - SP,RP) DL60 227.0 +22.0
 
206 Adam Wainwright (STL - SP) 179.0 -27.0
 
207 Brad Miller (MIL - 1B,2B,SS,DH) DFA 231.0 +24.0
 
208 Tommy Hunter (PHI - RP) 283.0 +75.0
 
209 Brett Cecil (STL - RP) 339.0 +130.0
 
210 Scott Alexander (LAD - RP) 323.0 +113.0
 
211 Anthony DeSclafani (CIN - SP) 212.0 +1.0
 
212 Brandon Woodruff (MIL - SP,RP) 213.0 +1.0
 
213 Pat Valaika (COL - 1B,2B,3B,SS) 318.0 +105.0
 
214 Seung-Hwan Oh (COL - RP) 150.0 -64.0
 
215 Dominic Smith (NYM - 1B,LF) 235.0 +20.0
 
216 Pedro Baez (LAD - RP) 301.0 +85.0
 
217 Juan Nicasio (PHI - RP) 225.0 +8.0
 
218 Martin Prado (MIA - 3B) 232.0 +14.0
 
219 Hunter Strickland (SF - RP) 295.0 +76.0
 
220 Steve Cishek (CHC - RP) 247.0 +27.0
 
221 Raimel Tapia (COL - LF,RF) MiLB 206.0 -15.0
 
222 Jacob Barnes (MIL - RP) 273.0 +51.0
 
223 Kurt Suzuki (WSH - C) 154.0 -69.0
Last season, Suzuki was suddenly among the most efficient hitters in all of baseball. If you are counting on that in 2018, you are in for a wake-up call, but that doesn't mean he can't produce as a fringe C1 if the Braves continue to feed him at-bats.
224 Stephen Vogt (MIL - C) 204.0 -20.0
 
225 Kirby Yates (SD - RP) 215.0 -10.0
 
226 Nick Pivetta (PHI - SP) 221.0 -5.0
Pivetta's second-half looked like a disaster, but his underlying numbers suggest he could be in line for significant improvement. Keep an eye on him in case we start to see hints of that breakout.
227 Chad Kuhl (PIT - SP) 209.0 -18.0
 
228 Paul Sewald (NYM - RP)    
 
229 Yoshihisa Hirano (ARI - RP) 183.0 -46.0
 
230 Hernan Perez (MIL - 2B,3B,SS,LF,CF,RF) 187.0 -43.0
 
231 Andrew Toles (LAD - LF,CF) 244.0 +13.0
 
232 Mike Montgomery (CHC - SP,RP) 174.0 -58.0
 
233 Matt Andriese (ARI - SP,RP) 245.0 +12.0
 
234 Bryan Shaw (COL - RP) MiLB 282.0 +48.0
 
235 Koda Glover (WSH - RP) 296.0 +61.0
 
236 Walker Buehler (LAD - SP,RP) 192.0 -44.0
 
237 Brandon Kintzler (CHC - RP) MiLB 139.0 -98.0
 
238 Robert Gsellman (NYM - SP,RP) 291.0 +53.0
 
239 Phil Maton (SD - RP) 347.0 +108.0
 
240 Tom Murphy (COL - C) MiLB 256.0 +16.0
 
241 Brandon Finnegan (CIN - SP) 233.0 -8.0
 
242 Adrian Gonzalez (NYM - 1B) FA 242.0
 
243 Michael Feliz (PIT - RP) 334.0 +91.0
 
244 Brian Anderson (MIA - 3B,RF) 250.0 +6.0
 
245 John Brebbia (STL - RP) 329.0 +84.0
 
246 Jordan Hicks (STL - SP,RP) 277.0 +31.0
 
247 Adam Frazier (PIT - 2B,LF,RF) 223.0 -24.0
 
248 Dixon Machado (MIA - 2B,SS) NRI 285.0 +37.0
 
249 Seth Lugo (NYM - SP,RP) 248.0 -1.0
 
250 Zack Wheeler (NYM - SP) 220.0 -30.0
 
251 Francisco Cervelli (PIT - C) 224.0 -27.0
 
252 Tucker Barnhart (CIN - C) 171.0 -81.0
 
253 Robert Stephenson (CIN - SP,RP) DL10 222.0 -31.0
Stephenson had a terrible start to the season, but closed the year with a strong second-half. He's got some potential so monitor him so you can pick him up before any kind of breakout takes place.
254 Craig Stammen (SD - RP)    
 
255 Michael Lorenzen (CIN - RP) 236.0 -19.0
 
256 Matt Albers (MIL - RP)    
 
257 Jose Urena (MIA - SP,RP) 193.0 -64.0
 
258 Harrison Bader (STL - LF,CF,RF) 276.0 +18.0
 
259 Chad Bettis (COL - SP,RP) MiLB 309.0 +50.0
 
260 Alex Verdugo (LAD - LF,CF) 252.0 -8.0
 
261 Homer Bailey (CIN - SP) 255.0 -6.0
 
262 Adam Morgan (PHI - RP)    
 
263 Kyle Freeland (COL - SP,RP) 270.0 +7.0
 
264 Junior Guerra (MIL - SP,RP) 338.0 +74.0
 
265 Brock Stewart (LAD - SP,RP) 281.0 +16.0
 
266 Nick Ahmed (ARI - SS) 335.0 +69.0
 
267 Wei-Yin Chen (MIA - SP) 341.0 +74.0
 
268 Yan Gomes (WSH - C) 214.0 -54.0
 
269 Magneuris Sierra (MIA - CF,RF) MiLB 287.0 +18.0
 
270 Howie Kendrick (WSH - 2B,LF) 261.0 -9.0
 
271 Tony Wolters (COL - C) 327.0 +56.0
 
272 Johan Camargo (ATL - 2B,3B,SS) 228.0 -44.0
 
273 Joshua Fields (LAD - RP) 330.0 +57.0
 
274 Matthew Strahm (SD - SP,RP) 267.0 -7.0
The Padres have not committed to putting Strahm in their rotation yet or he would be worthy of a draft pick even in shallow leagues. Either way, he is well worth watching because once the plug him into the rotation he should be owned everywhere. The young lefty has incredible stuff and should be fantasy relevant for years to come.
275 Julio Urias (LAD - SP) 169.0 -106.0
 
276 Andrew Knapp (PHI - C)    
 
277 Juan Lagares (NYM - CF) 333.0 +56.0
 
278 Adam Conley (MIA - SP,RP) 326.0 +48.0
 
279 Jimmie Sherfy (ARI - RP) 292.0 +13.0
 
280 Carter Capps (SD - RP) MiLB 294.0 +14.0
 
281 Jake McGee (COL - RP) 264.0 -17.0
 
282 Jeff Hoffman (COL - SP,RP) MiLB 293.0 +11.0
 
283 Kazuhisa Makita (SD - RP) MiLB    
 
284 Jesus Aguilar (MIL - 1B) 272.0 -12.0
 
285 Carlos Asuaje (SD - 2B,3B) MiLB 289.0 +4.0
 
286 Bryan Mitchell (SD - SP,RP) 254.0 -32.0
 
287 Luis Perdomo (SD - SP) 238.0 -49.0
 
288 David Hernandez (CIN - RP)    
 
289 Sandy Alcantara (MIA - SP,RP) 205.0 -84.0
 
290 Tony Cingrani (LAD - RP)    
 
291 Chris Rusin (COL - RP) 331.0 +40.0
 
292 Luis Garcia (WSH - 2B)    
 
293 Brendan Rodgers (COL - SS) NRI 226.0 -67.0
 
294 David Freese (PIT - 1B,3B) 308.0 +14.0
 
295 Erick Fedde (WSH - SP) 288.0 -7.0
 
296 Brian Duensing (CHC - RP) MiLB    
 
297 Sal Romano (CIN - SP,RP) 274.0 -23.0
 
298 Carson Kelly (ARI - C) 275.0 -23.0
 
299 Chasen Shreve (STL - RP)    
 
300 Daniel Hudson (LAD - RP) FA 348.0 +48.0
 
301 Jeremy Jeffress (MIL - RP)    
 
302 Sam Freeman (ATL - RP)    
 
303 Devin Mesoraco (NYM - C) 239.0 -64.0
 
304 Matthew Bowman (CIN - RP)    
 
305 James Pazos (PHI - RP)    
 
306 Kyle Crick (PIT - RP)    
 
307 J.T. Riddle (MIA - SS) 342.0 +35.0
 
308 Wandy Peralta (CIN - RP)    
 
309 Josh Ravin (ATL - RP) DFA    
 
310 Jared Hughes (CIN - RP) 269.0 -41.0
 
311 Wilmer Difo (WSH - 2B,3B,SS) 207.0 -104.0
 
312 Tom Murphy (COL - C) MiLB    
 
313 Pablo Sandoval (SF - 1B,3B)    
 
314 Mac Williamson (SF - LF,RF) 337.0 +23.0
 
315 Rafael Montero (NYM - SP,RP) FA