Who Should I Draft?

Aroldis Chapman or Zack Wheeler (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 25# 28
Best Rank# 14# 13
Worst Rank# 39# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 70# 85
Best Rank# 63# 83
Worst Rank# 81# 96
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts92169
Wins311
Saves340
ERA2.633.59
WHIP1.091.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 28
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 30# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 47
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 21# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 92
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 22# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 21# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 51
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 24# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 24
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 23# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 58
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 25# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 22# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 34
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 22
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 19# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 26# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 28
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 22# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 30# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 21
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 26# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 27# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 23
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 29# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 17
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 30# 13
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 30# 23
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 31# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 31# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 20
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 33# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 29
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 34# 25
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 34# 33
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 39# 31
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played5529
   
Games Started029
   
Innings Pitched51.0182.2
   
Wins312
   
Losses07
   
Saves320
   
Blown Saves20
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed24150
   
Earned Runs1467
   
Home Runs Allowed214
   
Strikeouts93179
   
Walks3055
   
ERA2.453.31
   
WHIP1.051.12
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5929
   
Games Started029
   
Innings Pitched58.2172.4
   
Wins311
   
Losses29
   
Saves340
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed37155
   
Earned Runs1769
   
Home Runs Allowed518
   
Strikeouts92169
   
Walks2758
   
ERA2.633.59
   
WHIP1.091.24
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Aroldis Chapman gave up an unearned run on one hit and struck out one to record his 22nd save of the season in Monday's 10-8 win over the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 25th
Zack Wheeler (6-5) earned the win Saturday against the Cubs by allowing one run on five hits across seven innings. He struck out five and walked one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Aroldis Chapman picked up the save after allowing a hit and a walk while striking out two in a scoreless ninth inning Friday night against Houston.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 22nd
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday’s loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 18th
 Aroldis Chapman recorded the final out without allowing a baserunner in Thursday's game against the Astros to earn his 20th save of the season.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 21st
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
 Aroldis Chapman struck out the side in three batters during the ninth inning to record the save in a 6-3 victory against the Rays on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 7th
 Aroldis Chapman pitched one scoreless inning giving up a hit and striking out one on Saturday as the Yankees beat the White Sox by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
Wheeler allowed three runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across six seven innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Notes 
 Aroldis Chapman was his typical dominant self last season and enters 2019 as the clear closer in the Bronx. This shapes up as arguably the best bullpen in baseball, however, so the Yankees will have no shortage of potential replacements should Chapman struggle or get hurt.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Chapman still delivers strikeouts in spades. Yet he has tossed just 50.1 and 51.1 innings over the last two seasons, capping the edge over pitchers like Brad Hand who worked 72 frames last year. He also struggled mightily with control, issuing 30 walks (5.26 BB/9) in 2018. Although one of baseball's few locked-in closers, there's a slimmer margin of error than the other top-tier arms with Dellin Betances and Adam Ottavino looking over his shoulder. Wait a little longer for a closer like Hand or Felipe Vazquez.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Chapman has been exceptional for nearly a decade now. It may surprise you to learn that he hasn't struck out 100 batters since 2015, though. Edwin Diaz, meanwhile, had 123 last year to go with 25 more saves than Aroldis. Chapman is obviously one of the top closers in baseball still, but doesn't deserve any consideration as a top 50 fantasy pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros