Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Aaron Judge (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 11
Best Rank# 2# 3
Worst Rank# 25# 29
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 16# 15
Best Rank# 11# 13
Worst Rank# 20# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs99102
Home Runs3539
RBI10195
Stolen Bases117
Batting Average.269.268
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 8# 13
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 11
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 18
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 8# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 13
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 4
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 7# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 15
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 29
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 15
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 14
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 9# 11
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 12
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 16
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 9
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 13# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 13
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 8# 3
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 11
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 10
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 12# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 12
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 8
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 13# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 5
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 13
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 9
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 21# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 7
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 9
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats550413
   
Runs10377
   
Hits137115
   
Singles6966
   
Doubles3422
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs3427
   
RBI10067
   
Stolen Bases136
   
Caught Stealing33
   
Walks13076
   
Strikeouts169152
   
Batting Average.249.279
   
On Base Pct.393.392
   
Slugging Pct.496.528
   
On-base Plus Slugging.889.919
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats516514
   
Runs99102
   
Hits139138
   
Singles7374
   
Doubles2924
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs3539
   
RBI10195
   
Stolen Bases117
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks11194
   
Strikeouts145184
   
Batting Average.269.268
   
On Base Pct.398.381
   
Slugging Pct.533.545
   
On-base Plus Slugging.931.926
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
Aaron Judge (oblique) could begin a rehab assignment in Triple-A this weekend.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Phillies outfielder went 1-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Sunday's loss to the Reds. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Yankees manager Aaron Boone told reporters that Judge could begin a rehab assignment as early as this weekend.
James Bisson
Mon, Jun 10th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 in the team's win over the Cincinnati Reds on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th
Aaron Judge (oblique) could begin a rehab assignment in two weeks, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
Aaron Judge (oblique) took swings in the batting cage on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI in Thursday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Yankees manager Aaron Boone confirmed that Judge began hitting off a tee Monday, in addition to taking dry swings and throwing.
James Bisson
Tue, May 28th
Notes 
 Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Judge had a down year in 2018 which means his OPS was merely .919. If he can get back to playing 150 games this year, fantasy owners can bank on 45 homers, 110 runs and 100 RBIs. That may have you ready to grab him in the first round, but he comes with more injury risk than anyone else in the top 20
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After struggling during a brief cup of coffee with the Yankees in 2016, Judge took the world by storm with 52 home runs in 2017. His 2018 encore wasn't quite as tremendous, particularly when you factor in the missed time due to injury, but Judge still smacked 27 HRs in just 413 at-bats. His .278 batting average is due to drop -- Judge has had a surprisingly high BABIP for two years running -- but he is primed to again approach 40 HRs with 100+ runs and RBIs and even 5-10 steals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After scorching a rookie-record 52 homers in 52, Judge settled for 27 in 498 plate appearances last season. Yet a feared average regression never materialized, as he batted .278 despite posting a 30.5 strikeout %. He led all hitters in average exit velocity (94.7 mph) with the highest % of batted balls hit a least 95 mph (54.1), so don't make the mistake of expecting a regressed BABIP to ruin his average. He might have peaked right out of the gate, but Judge should at least settle into 35-40 homers with a handful of steals if last year's oblique injuries don't resurface.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros