Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Charlie Blackmon (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Expert
Recommendation
86%
Recommended by
48 of 56 experts
14%
Recommended by
8 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 19
Best Rank# 2# 5
Worst Rank# 25# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 16# 26
Best Rank# 11# 25
Worst Rank# 20# 28
   
Projections 
   
Runs99109
Home Runs3528
RBI10178
Stolen Bases1112
Batting Average.269.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 8# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 19
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 17
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 8# 26
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 20
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 19
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 14
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 7# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 17
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 23
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 13
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 8# 13
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 18
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 18
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 18
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 9# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 22
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 24
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 21
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 21
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 13# 14
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 20
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 13# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 19
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 18
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 11
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 12# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 8
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 21# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 5
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 11
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats550626
   
Runs103119
   
Hits137182
   
Singles69115
   
Doubles3431
   
Triples07
   
Home Runs3429
   
RBI10070
   
Stolen Bases1312
   
Caught Stealing34
   
Walks13059
   
Strikeouts169134
   
Batting Average.249.291
   
On Base Pct.393.358
   
Slugging Pct.496.502
   
On-base Plus Slugging.889.860
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats516593
   
Runs99109
   
Hits139176
   
Singles73109
   
Doubles2931
   
Triples17
   
Home Runs3528
   
RBI10178
   
Stolen Bases1112
   
Caught Stealing45
   
Walks11155
   
Strikeouts145122
   
Batting Average.269.296
   
On Base Pct.398.356
   
Slugging Pct.533.516
   
On-base Plus Slugging.931.872
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
Charlie Blackmon went 4-for-5 with two homers, four RBI, and two runs scored as the Rockies beat the Padres 9-6 on Thursday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Phillies outfielder went 1-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Sunday's loss to the Reds. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Charlie Blackmon went 2-for-5 with a homer, a double, three RBI, and two runs scored as the Rockies beat the Cubs 10-3 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 in the team's win over the Cincinnati Reds on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th
Charlie Blackmon went 3-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two RBI as the Rockies beat the Cubs 6-5 on Monday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
Charlie Blackmon is leading off and playing right field on Saturday versus the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI in Thursday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Blackmon was activated from the 10-day injured list prior to Friday's game against the New York Mets.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Notes 
 Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
While Blackmon wasn't the number one fantasy asset like in 2017, he still knocked 29 homers, led the league in runs and batted .291, and don't forget, that was a down year. If that is his floor, fantasy owners are getting a steal in the late 2nd round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Blackmon doesn't receive the fanfare of guys like Bryce Harper and Giancarlo Stanton, but he's outperformed them in standard roto/categories leagues for three years running. Even though his numbers predictably tailed off considerably from his bonkers 2017 season, Blackmon still finished as a top-six outfielder and top-14 overall hitter last season. His stolen bases are on a three-year decline, but he should still be able to reach double digits, and there's not much evidence his skills are otherwise deteriorating at age 32. As long as his skills remain constant and he remains in Colorado, last season's .291 batting average is close to the floor for Blackmon, and another year above .320 is entirely possible.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Blackmon's down year (.291, 29 HR, 119 R, 12 SB) was still far better than most players' best year. Nevertheless, 2017's 37 homers now looks like the clear outlier for a 32-year-old yet to reach 30 in another season. He has also stolen fewer bases in each of the last three seasons. Yet this is still someone who has logged over 640 plate appearances and hit at least .287 in each of his five full seasons as an everyday starter. Nobody has scored more runs (542) during that timeframe, and he's no longer a flight risk after signing an extension through 2023 with the Rockies. Blackmon remains an elite stat-stuffer with little downside as a borderline top-25 pick.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros